© GSMA 2015 Growth in Mobile Broadband and its Implication for Spectrum Joe Guan, Spectrum Policy...

© GSMA 2015

Growth in Mobile Broadband

and its Implication for Spectrum

Joe Guan, Spectrum Policy Manager Asia Pacific

Government & Regulatory Affairs, GSMA

7 August 2015, Bangkok

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2015

GSMA BY THE NUMBERS


WHO WE ARE


DIGITAL ECONOMY INITIATIVES

Source: Analysys Mason Building Thailand’s Digital Economy and Society Report


THE SMARTPHONE EVOLUTION

Credit: www.layman.org


THE WORLD IS GOING 4G

Source: GSMA Intelligence Mobile Economy 2015


SMARTPHONE ADOPTION TREND



THAILAND’S BROADBAND PENETRATION IS RISING

Source: Analysys Mason Building Thailand’s Digital Economy and Society

Report


HOW CAN THIS GROWTH BE SUPPORTED?

FOUR MAIN WAYS MOBILE NETWORKS CAN SUPPORT RISING DATA

Increasingly spectrum efficient technologies (e.g. 3G to 4G to 5G)Denser networks (e.g. more cell sites inc. small cells)Wi-Fi offload (i.e. shifting data on to Wi-Fi networks as much as possible)Using more mobile spectrum


MORE DATA = MORE SPECTRUM

KNOW YOUR NATIONAL MOBILE SPECTRUM REQUIREMENTS FOR 2020?

The ITU predicts that on average a total of 1340–1960MHz will be required for mobile services worldwide by 2020GSMA research shows a further 600-800MHz should be made available by 2020–This accounts for the use of other capacity enhancing methodsMore spectrum need to be released both in the near- and long-term–Existing identified mobile spectrum will be essential to support data rises for the next 5-10 years–2.3GHz, 2.6GHz and 700MHz bands to help realise the Digital Economy–New spectrum to be allocated and/or identified for mobile at WRC-15

WITHOUT ADDITIONAL SPECTRUM MOBILE NETWORKS WILL STRUGGLE TO MEET GROWING DATA DEMANDS RESULTING IN SLOWER SPEEDS, HIGHER PRICES AND THE SOCIOECONOMIC BENEFITS OF MOBILE WILL BE LIMITED


IDENTIFIED SPECTRUM BANDS

Asia Pacific RegionCoverage Bands (<1GHz) Capacity Bands (>1GHz)

20MHz

824 894

The 850 band: 2x25 MHz

849 869 1920 217030MHz


1980 2110

2300 2400

The 2300 band: 100 MHzThe 900 band: 2x35 MHz

880 915 925 96010MHz

703 803


10MHz

748 75820MHz

1710 1880

The1800 band: 2x75 MHz

1785 1805

2500 2690

The 2600 band: 2x70 MHz with 50 MHz unpaired TDD

2570 2620

TDD


TARGET NEW BANDS FOR MOBILE GSMA had agreed widespread support for 4 new mobile allocations

EXISTING IDENTIFIED MOBILE BANDS

1.8G

Hz

2.1G

Hz

2.6G

Hz

450–

470M

Hz

Digi

tal D

ivide

nd

(700

/800

MHz

)90

0MHz

2.3G

Hz

3.4–

3.6

GHz

470-694/8MHz

3.4-3.8GHz

TARGET BANDSFOR WRC-15

2.7-2.9 GHz

1350-1518MHz

3.8-4.2GHz


EFFICIENT SPECTRUM UTILISATION = SHARING

We encourage regulators to look at ways of sharing bands– Most bands are not allocated exclusively for one service in the Radio Regulations Sharing is possible if we consider realistic scenarios – not worst-case Opponents to mobile are emphasising highly unrealistic, worst-case scenarios– L-band (1350-1518 MHz): 500km exclusion zone based on 1 km tall LTE base stations– 2.7-2.9 GHz: Exclusion zones that are hundreds of kilometres wide – ignoring practical solutions

All GSMA RECOMMENDED NEW MOBILE BANDS FOR WRC-15 CAN BE SHARED


NO FORMAL DEFINITION AGREED - THERE ARE TWO SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT VISIONS

1.Service level upgrade: Extremely reliable, near universal coverage, high speed mobile broadband that can cost effectively support growing traffic (especially video) and better support low-power IoT

Uses 2G, 3G, 4G & potentially others

2.Generationalist level upgrade: Achieves much higher data rates, lower latency and ubiquitous connectivity. Few applications require all these demands (e.g. virtual reality, tactile internet and autonomous/connected cars)

As with traditional generation upgrades it exclusively uses next-generation radio access technology

WHAT’S 5G?


5G PERFORMANCE – TECHNICAL TARGETS AND CHALLENGES

Higher Speed

>10Gbps30x 4G

To support mass connectivity and increase spectral efficiency

One Physical Network (hard) supportingMultiple Virtualised Networks (soft)

New Air Interface New Architecture

Higher bands to meet demands of speed and

capacity, ability to aggregate all bands

New Spectrum

More Connections

1,000k/km²100x 4G

Lower Latency

~1ms1/10th of 4G

Network SlicingMultiple Virtual

NetworksMobile Broadband and

Verticals

Numeric Source : NGMN 5G Whitepaper and Vendor Updates

5G – CHALLENGES AND CONSIDERATIONS


WHAT ARE THE 5G SPECTRUM POLICY CONSIDERATIONS?NO CLEAR AGREEMENT ON 5G SO IMPOSSIBLE TO ACCURATELY PREDICT SPECTRUM NEEDS, BUT…

Spectrum discussions need to begin given long timeframe to free spectrum–Agreeing a dedicated WRC-19 agenda item at WRC-15 (through Agenda Item 10) will be a vital first step–National regulators and regional ITU groups need to support a mobile agenda item for WRC-19–Governments must not be distracted from identifying additional harmonised mobile broadband (IMT) spepctrum at WRC-155G likely to require significant additional capacity spectrum–Spectrum above 6GHz is a good target as very wide bandwidths are more commonly available–1-6GHz (inc. refarmed IMT spectrum) provide capacity but can also cover wider areas and suit macro base station use cases5G will require coverage spectrum to provide nationwide services, not just urban hotspots–Sub-1GHz spectrum is vital for digital inclusion, in-building penetration and also low-power Internet of Things applicationsWider range of mobile licensing regimes are possible with 5G–Exclusive licensing: Essential to guarantee QoS and encourage network investment –Flexible shared licensing: Higher 5G frequency ranges suit sharing as small coverage areas mean more manageable interference

SUB 1-GHz

FREQUENCY RANGESTO BE EXPLORED FOR 5G

1-6 GHz(inc. refarming)

ABOVE 6 GHz(inc. mm waves)

5G – CHALLENGES AND CONSIDERATIONS


WHAT’S AT STAKE: MORE THAN JUST MHz

Mobile industry contribution to the Asia Pacific regional economy

THESE BENEFITS WILL BE RESTRICTED WITHOUT ACCESS TO SUFFICIENT SPECTRUM


© GSMA 2015 Growth in Mobile Broadband and its Implication for Spectrum Joe Guan, Spectrum Policy...

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