“I like the dreams of the future better than the history of the

past.”- Thomas Jefferson in a letter to John Adams (Aug. 1816)

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Class 5: Foresight Project Overview

ARE WE ON THE VERGE OF A COLLECTIVE AWAKENING OF THE MAGNITUDE OF THE RENAISSANCE?

How would we know?© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

FoodWeb2020

How does IFTF frame and structure its foresight report?

What forces of change do they identify?

How did they support their analysis of the forces of change?

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Team Foresight Project

Examples From Prior Student Teams

What is the future of (changing business/technological /societal category) as it relates to trends and change in X, Y &/or Z categories?

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The Future of Electric Vehicles

Katie Baker, Alex Clemente, Jazmin Hall, Teddy Larew, Brett Rocheleau© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

A Heavy Future:Obesity As A Malnutrition Paradox

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

The Future of Stem Cell Technology

What is the future of stem cell technology in the United States as it relates to demand for biotechnology, the aging population, changes in government and politics (funding/landscape of healthcare), and ethical thinking?

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

What is the future of electrical energy production in South Africa as it relates to improvements in energy efficiency, government involvement, and environmental sustainability?© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Project Video – The Future of Indonesia

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6XrdwnrLXl8&feature=plcp© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Project Video – The Future of Hydropower in the U.S.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3YXb2bh_OSU

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v20BsdYgH7c&feature=youtu.be

Project Video - Microfinance in Tanzania

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Project Video-Future of Mobile Payments

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ReH2n61ttE&feature=youtu.be© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Project Video-Future of the Great Lakes as a Fresh Water Supply

Link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IySprehj4lQ&feature=youtu.be OR http://youtu.be/IySprehj4lQ© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Project Video - Telemedicine in Sub-Saharan Africa

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2NU_axwNAM© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ro4ymSAEMA

Project Video - The Future of Biodiesel

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The Foresight Process

Current Assessment

Foresight Forecast

Final Report

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Foresight Project Deliverables(see syllabus for due dates)

Scope of Project Brief (and Elevator Speech)

Current AssessmentTrend Analysis Strategy Foresight ForecastDraft Foresight ReportPeer Review of Draft PapersFinal Foresight ReportFinal Presentation© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Sections of Your Papers

Title and AbstractExecutive Summary Introduction Topic in Context (Current Assessment) Foresight Forecast

Trend Analysis and Baseline Scenario Alternative Future Scenarios

Insights - Strategic Implications for Business

References and Appendices© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

"I’m sorry I wrote such a long letter, I didn’t have the time to write a short one."

--Abraham Lincoln

Think long. Write short.

© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Team Foresight Project

Executive Summary 10%Topic In Context / Current Assessment 20%

AbstractIntroduction (Scope and Purpose)Appropriate Use of Expert Sources and PerspectivesSynthesis of Systems AssessmentClarity of Forces Driving/Constraining Change

Trend Analysis and Baseline Forecasts 20%Quality and Description of Research StrategyUse of Appropriate Data SetsData Analysis and Projections Description of Expected Future Scenario

Analysis of Alternative Futures 15%Use of Futures MethodologiesClearly Define Uncertainties and DiscontinuitiesCreativity and Descriptiveness of Scenarios/Visions

Strategic Implications for Business 15%Opportunities: How will new value be created?Threats: Where will future obsolescence occur?Proposed Responses: Positioning to capture value amid uncertaintyScanning Strategies: What signposts will signal change?

Citations and Sources 10%Overall Report Quality, Flow, and Format 10%

100%

Breakdown of Foresight Project Grading

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Teams

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Working on Teams

What are the Challenges?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6dRKa700RaQ

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4 Stages of Team Development

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Working on Teams

What are the Advantages?

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Project Teams Announced

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Selecting a Topic

Look for categories of interest to your team

Seek areas where disruptive change is likely

Start broadly, then focus

Opportunity to work with Corporate Mentors

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Corporate Mentors

Scan mentor web sites to help frame your topic

Need to submit your idea for consideration Submittals based on Scope of Project Brief Customize to “sell” your project to mentor Submittals due _________________

Other industry experts are available and will be matched by topic

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“Scope of Project Brief” Assignment

• What is your central question?

• Why should business care?

• Preview drivers of change

• Annotated bibliography • (Present initial sources with 3-4 sentences describing potential value)

• Team Assignment Due Friday Sept 20th (Noon)

• In-Class Elevator Speeches on _________

• Corporate Mentorship Submittals due __________ © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.

Citing References

Only works cited; not a bibliography IN-TEXT CITATIONS, not footnotesSingle-space references listAPA format

(Author, Date, chapter/page)

See “Citation Guidance” folder

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Team Discussions

Gather with your team

Begin a dialogue on framing your project topic

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Preparation for Next Class (Class #6)

Dynamics of Change

Readings: “Cisco Sees the Future” IBM Watson Case Study

Quiz 1 on ___________ Study Guide will be posted by end of

week© 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved.