Post on 19-Jan-2015
description
Greening Your World…
The Road Ahead: Massive Implementation of Solar
And Efficiency in the San Diego Region
Andrew McAllisterCCSE - Director of Programs
September 29, 2009
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Source: Dan Kammen, UC Berkeley
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1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
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Historic U. S.
emissions
Business as usual (EIA)
Kyoto protocol
Bush administration intensity target
IPCC Assessment: Climate Stabilization Zone
The Obama climate targetThe California target
EU Copenhagen plan
Turning the Ship Around
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The Challenge: Climate & Energy
• AB32 CO2 reduction goals by 2020 require aggressive action
• Clean energy improvements in existing built environment are paramount
Source: CARB Scoping Plan
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#1 in California• The City of San Diego ranked highest
in the state for both number of rooftops with PV and installed capacity.
• CCSE’s efforts in solar market development credited with high installation rates.
Del Chiaro, Bernadette, 2009, Environment California, “California’s Solar Cities, Leading the Way to a Clean Energy Future.”http://www.environmentcalifornia.org/uploads/YM/3W/YM3W81JComzW53sx1fgAiw/Californias-Solar-Cities.pdf
Top 5 for Number of Solar Roofs
Rank Cities # Solar Roofs
1 San Diego 2,262
2 Los Angeles 1,388
3 San Francisco 1,350
4 San Jose 1,333
5 Fresno 1,028
Top 5 for Solar Capacity (kW Installed)
Rank Cities kW AC Installed
1 San Diego 19,427
2 San Jose 15,450
3 Fresno 14,538
4 Los Angeles 13,000
5 Santa Rosa 8,954
66http://sd.solarmap.org/solar/index.php
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San Diego Region PV Installations• Installed capacity in
the San Diego region now exceeds 46 MW.
• Project installations have been bolstered by various state-wide incentive programs;
• Emerging Renewable Program (ERP: 1999-2007)
• Self Generation Incentive Program (SGIP: 2002-2007)
• California Solar Initiative (CSI)
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But We’re Really Just Getting Started…
• Regional goal of ~1000 MW of PV by 2030
• Assuming 50%
financed: at least $2B within SD County
• Would reduce energy purchased from the utility by ~8% over CEC business-as-usual forecast
San Diego 2030 PV Goals
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Solar (Actual) Solar (Projected)
We are Here
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Clear trends – PV in San Diego
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Clear trends, part two…
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Solar Water Heating (SWH)• Public Utilities Commission asked
CCSE to develop the San Diego SWH Pilot Program• 2.5 year program• $2.59 million dollars
• Success of the SWH Pilot led to a proposed state-wide program• $368 million dollars• 7 year program• CPUC to approve program in Dec.09
• Install rate must increase ~20x!
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Clean Energy on a Massive Scale:Key Elements Going Forward
• Cost Reductions, Financing Options• Workforce Development• Integration: Solar and Efficiency• Customer Education: Communicate
a Clear Value Proposition
Greening Your World…
Thank You!