Greening Your World…

The Road Ahead: Massive Implementation of Solar

And Efficiency in the San Diego Region

Andrew McAllisterCCSE - Director of Programs

September 29, 2009

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Source: Dan Kammen, UC Berkeley

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1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

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Historic U. S.

emissions

Business as usual (EIA)

Kyoto protocol

Bush administration intensity target

IPCC Assessment: Climate Stabilization Zone

The Obama climate targetThe California target

EU Copenhagen plan

Turning the Ship Around

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The Challenge: Climate & Energy

• AB32 CO2 reduction goals by 2020 require aggressive action

• Clean energy improvements in existing built environment are paramount

Source: CARB Scoping Plan

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#1 in California• The City of San Diego ranked highest

in the state for both number of rooftops with PV and installed capacity.

• CCSE’s efforts in solar market development credited with high installation rates.

Del Chiaro, Bernadette, 2009, Environment California, “California’s Solar Cities, Leading the Way to a Clean Energy Future.”http://www.environmentcalifornia.org/uploads/YM/3W/YM3W81JComzW53sx1fgAiw/Californias-Solar-Cities.pdf

Top 5 for Number of Solar Roofs

Rank Cities # Solar Roofs

1 San Diego 2,262

2 Los Angeles 1,388

3 San Francisco 1,350

4 San Jose 1,333

5 Fresno 1,028

Top 5 for Solar Capacity (kW Installed)

Rank Cities kW AC Installed

1 San Diego 19,427

2 San Jose 15,450

3 Fresno 14,538

4 Los Angeles 13,000

5 Santa Rosa 8,954

66http://sd.solarmap.org/solar/index.php

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San Diego Region PV Installations• Installed capacity in

the San Diego region now exceeds 46 MW.

• Project installations have been bolstered by various state-wide incentive programs;

• Emerging Renewable Program (ERP: 1999-2007)

• Self Generation Incentive Program (SGIP: 2002-2007)

• California Solar Initiative (CSI)

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But We’re Really Just Getting Started…

• Regional goal of ~1000 MW of PV by 2030

• Assuming 50%

financed: at least $2B within SD County

• Would reduce energy purchased from the utility by ~8% over CEC business-as-usual forecast

San Diego 2030 PV Goals

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Solar (Actual) Solar (Projected)

We are Here

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Clear trends – PV in San Diego

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Clear trends, part two…

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Solar Water Heating (SWH)• Public Utilities Commission asked

CCSE to develop the San Diego SWH Pilot Program• 2.5 year program• $2.59 million dollars

• Success of the SWH Pilot led to a proposed state-wide program• $368 million dollars• 7 year program• CPUC to approve program in Dec.09

• Install rate must increase ~20x!

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Clean Energy on a Massive Scale:Key Elements Going Forward

• Cost Reductions, Financing Options• Workforce Development• Integration: Solar and Efficiency• Customer Education: Communicate

a Clear Value Proposition

Greening Your World…

Thank You!