Post on 18-Jan-2018
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STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Estimated patterns of trade in Estimated patterns of trade in services flows services flows
between OECD countries between OECD countries and and
rest of the worldrest of the world
Fabiana CerasaOECD Statistics Directorate
AgendaAgendaItem 5.iItem 5.i
3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Estimated patterns of TIS flowsEstimated patterns of TIS flows
23rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Steps to fill the matrixSteps to fill the matrix
33rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
11stst and 2 and 2ndnd steps steps
43rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
33rdrd and 4 and 4thth steps steps
53rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
GuesstimatesGuesstimates
For example, after having exploited every potential information provided by mirror statistics:
half of the unallocated export from Africa have been allocated to Gulf Arabia with the other half going to Africa.
the unallocated Middle East exports have been equally divided between Africa and the Middle East
Taiwan’s estimated partner country distribution replicates the breakdown provided by Hong Kong
Thailand’s estimated partner country distribution replicates the breakdown provided by Singapore
in the 3rd and 4th steps OECD data have been used only for Hong Kong and Russian Federation
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STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Final stepsFinal steps
• After completion, the line totals have been scaled up to: the total exports available in OECD International trade in
services by category of services (TIS dataset) for the top side of the matrix that corresponds to OECD exporting countries
the IMF BOP totals for the bottom side that corresponds to non-OECD exporting countries
• Finally, in the standard table presentation, the five continents shown (Africa, America, Asia and Oceania and Europe) have been created reallocating OECD and non-OECD country data
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STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Final resultFinal result
83rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
OECD countries accounted for 71% of world service exports
intra-OECD exports accounted for 77% of total OECD exports …while an estimated 53% of OECD exports goes to OECD Europe countries
65.3% of OECD Europe’s exports destined for other OECD Europe countries
OECD Asia and Oceania trades mainly with Asia and Oceania (3.3%) and America (2.1%). 4.3% of world services exports exported by OECD Asia and Oceania to OECD countries, with the largest share (1.9%) to NAFTA
2.6% of world services exports to Africa, while 1.3% exported by Africa to Europe
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Coverage of data reported directly Coverage of data reported directly and supplementary mirror dataand supplementary mirror data
93rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD
STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection
Questions to WPTGS delegates:Questions to WPTGS delegates:
• Are you aware of any other existing trade in services world matrix?
• Are you aware of any other possible database from which bilateral data can be sourced?
• Any suggestions to improve the methodology?
103rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD