TRADE MICRODATA: The OECD-Eurostat Trade by ...Trade by Enterprise Characteristics (TEC) database...
Transcript of TRADE MICRODATA: The OECD-Eurostat Trade by ...Trade by Enterprise Characteristics (TEC) database...
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TRADE MICRODATA:
The OECD-Eurostat Trade by
Enterprise Characteristics (TEC)
Database
Working Party on Globalisation of Industry (WPGI) Paris, 20 May 2011
Sónia Araújo Trade and Business Statistics Division
OECD Statistics Directorate
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Main messages
In order to map and understand trade flows in an era of globalisation (GVCs etc.) we need to capture the micro, business-level dimension of trade
= who trades with whom?
TEC Database: disaggregating trade flows according to the characteristics of trading companies
The TEC exercise has proved a very efficient and cost effective way of advancing in that direction: it needs to be pursued and broadened.
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Plan of the presentation:
Understanding the dynamics of international trade using microdata is key for policy making
OECD experiences: Addressing Policy Issues with Trade Microdata
OECD-Eurostat Trade by Enterprise Characteristics (TEC) Database
Future Perspectives on TEC
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Trade microdata are a unique tool
to explore key policy questions:
• Bilateral Imbalances: improve trade in value-added measures
• The impact of the economic downturn on the intensive and extensive margin of trade
• The determinants of the extensive margin
• Exports as a determinant of young firms’ growth and job creation
• GVCs: are import duties really a tax on exports?
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Linking Trade with Enterprise
Characteristics OECD countries experiences
• Austria (Central Bank): – Determinants of Trade in Services
• Australia (Bureau of Statistics): – “Characteristics of Australian Exporters”
• Canada (Export Development Canada) : – Estimate future demand for trade facilitation services
– Identify the characteristics of firms that stopped exporting and the growth profile of SME exporters
• USA (USITC): – “Small and Medium Sized Enterprises U.S. and EU Export Activities,
and Barriers and Opportunities Experienced by U.S. Firms”
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THE OECD-EUROSTAT
TRADE BY ENTERPRISE
CHARACTERISTICS
DATABASE (TEC)
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Export Propensity Increases with
Firm Size Number of exporting enterprises as a share of total enterprises by size class
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Exports are concentrated (1):
Export values by Enterprise Size Class, as a share of total exports
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Exports are concentrated (2): Top exporters share of exports
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The majority of enterprises exports to
only a few destination markets:
Number of enterprises according to the number of partner countries Canada Norway EU extra-EU EU-Intra-EU
1 partner country 68% 55% 54% 17%
2 partner countries 11% 15% 15% 10%
3-5 partner countries 11% 16% 16% 22%
6-9 partner countries 5% 6% 7% 19%
10-14 partner countries 1% 3% 4% 15%
14+ 4% 4% 5% 16%
Export values according to number of partner countries
1 partner country 25% 1% 3% 3%
2 partner countries 8% 1% 3% 2%
3-5 partner countries 15% 2% 6% 6%
6-9 partner countries 10% 4% 8% 10%
10-14 partner countries 3% 5% 8% 15%
14+ 39% 62% 72% 64%
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Trade by Enterprise Characteristics (TEC) database Context
TEC is a joint OECD-Eurostat exercise.
Datasets are compiled by linking micro data (data at trader level) with business registers.
Under guidance of the OECD Steering Group “Business Economic Statistics and Trade (BEST)”, a first OECD set of Linkage Tables was sent out to participating Non-EU-OECD member countries in June 2007.
Structure
5 datasets displaying imports/exports by ISIC industry (or group of industry) in terms of value (M$) and numbers of enterprises :
I. Trade by size class
II. Trade by top enterprises
III. Trade by partner zones and countries
IV. Trade by number of partner countries
V. Trade by commodities (Central Product Classification)
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Content
Up to now, OECD has received tables from Canada, the United States, Norway and Israel. In addition to that, Eurostat provided OECD with the respective (published) data tables of 19 EU member states:
– EU countries 2005,2006,2007
– Canada 2003, 2006,2007,2008
– USA 2003, 2005 (exports)
– Israel 2006,2007,2008
– Norway 2003,2005,2006,2007
Comparability
– Unmatched Data
– EU countries trade data are reported either for Intra-EU or for Extra-EU, no Total trade as the other countries, the perimeter of these zones evolves over time (EU25, EU27)
– EU countries total trade and the number of trading enterprises
– For the majority of the countries (except Canada), data are not longitudinal series
TEC database
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Future perspectives on trade
microdata:
• Continue this highly informative exercise:
– bring in new countries
– enrich the matched datasets with more enterprise characteristics (ownership, purchases, turnover, etc.)
• Improve international comparability
• Exploring ways to improve access to microdata for analytical purposes while conforming to confidentiality laws
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Extending TEC
• Include Trade in Services
• Trade by Multinational Enterprises
• Intra-Firm Trade
• Persistent Exporters and Exports by Young Firms
• Clarifying the Role of Intermediaries
• Trade in Value-Added
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Clarifying the Role of
Intermediaries (1)
Wholesalers and Retailers (% of total exporting enterprises)
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Clarifying the Role of
Intermediaries (2)
Wholesalers and Retailers (% of total importing enterprises)
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Clarifying the Role of
Intermediaries (3)
International Trade in Goods by Economic Sectors
(% of total trade)
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% of Total
exportsAgriculture Industry Trade Total
Canada 1.0% 59.2% 8.7% 100.0%
Israel 1.0% 74.6% 19.7% 100.0%
United States 0.7% 65.0% 22.0% 100.0%
EU average 0.4% 71.6% 17.3% 100.0%
% of Total
importsAgriculture Industry Trade Total
Canada 0.3% 42.8% 35.6% 100.0%
Israel 0.3% 43.8% 47.0% 100.0%
United States - - - -
EU average 0.2% 46.2% 40.8% 100.0%
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Clarifying the Role of Intermediaries (4)
Weight of Wholesalers and Retailers in Top Product Categories (exports)
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Clarifying the Role of Intermediaries (5)
Weight of Wholesalers and Retailers in Top Product Categories (imports)
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More on linking trade with
enterprise characteristics: • The OECD Statistics Brief No. 16,February 2011:
http://www.oecd.org/document/48/0,3746,en_2649_33715_1844528_1_1_1_1,00.html
• The Statistics Newsletter, OECD, Issue No. 51, April 2011: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/51/22/47632702.pdf
• The OECD-Eurostat Handbook on Trade Microdata (forthcoming)
• Eurostat website on International Trade by Enterprise Characteristics: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristics
• TEC is available in the OECD website:
http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx >> Globalisation >> Trade by Enterprise
Characteristics
http://www.oecd.org/document/48/0,3746,en_2649_33715_1844528_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/document/48/0,3746,en_2649_33715_1844528_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttp://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/51/22/47632702.pdfhttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristicshttp://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/International_trade_by_enterprise_characteristics
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Thank you very much
for your attention!