Post on 10-Dec-2015
Secondary School Strategy Managers
East Riding of Yorkshire
GCSE 2007 Results
November 2007
Provisional Data
Objectives of this session
• To review KS4 results and the implications for action nationally, regionally and locally.
• To focus attention on securing good progress for all pupils.
• To outline the new PSA targets and explore implications for LAs and schools.
45.146.3
47.949.2 50.0
51.652.9 53.7
56.3
45.7
60.058.5
60.3
45.344.3
42.641.942.140.740.0
38.637.0
35.6
34
38
42
46
50
54
58
62
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
% 1
5 ye
ar o
lds
ach
ievi
ng
5+
A*-
C
5+ A*-C 5+ A*-C incl Eng & Maths
2008 PSA target achieved one year early. Progress made on 5+ A*-C inc
E+M
Progress made on 5+A-C by gender in ER schools
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
% 15
year
old
s ac
hiev
ing
5+ A
*-C
Boys LA 5+A*-C Girls LA 5+A*-C
Progress made on 5+A-C inc EM in ER schools compared to National data set
Progress made on 5+ A*-C (+ inc E&M)
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
% 15
year
old
s ac
hiev
ing
5* A
-C
LA 5+ A*-C Nat 5+ A*-C LA 5+ A*-C inc EM Nat 5+ A*-C inc EM
Progress made on 5+A-C by gender in ER schools compared to National data set
Progress made on 5+ A*-C (+ inc E&M)
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
% 15
year
old
s ac
hiev
ing
5* A
-C
LA 5+ A*-C Nat 5+ A*-C LA 5+ A*-C inc EM Nat 5+ A*-C inc EM
40.5 41.342.8
44.0 44.846.4
47.9
51.453.8
55.850.051.5
53.454.6 55.4
57.058.2 58.8
61.463.5
48.8
65.0
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007prov
% 1
5 y
ea
r o
lds
ac
hie
vin
g 5
+ A
*-C
Boys Girls
9.5 10.210.6 10.6 10.6
10.6 10.3 10.010.0
9.79.2
Gender gap narrowed slightly since 2005,
but not significantly over time
32.233.4
35.036.3 36.7
38.3 38.040.2 41.0 41.2
39.240.7
42.543.8
44.846.0 45.9 46.8
48.649.8
38.7
50.3
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007prov
% 1
5 y
ea
r o
lds
ac
hie
vin
g 5
+ A
*-C
inc
lud
ing
E
ng
lish
an
d m
ath
s
Boys Girls
7.07.3
7.57.5 8.1
7.7 7.98.1
8.40
8.8 9.1
Signs of the gender gap widening for 5+ A*-C including English and maths
44.945.8 46.5
53.0
34
38
42
46
50
54
58
62
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
% p
up
ils
ach
ievi
ng
5+
A*-
C i
nc
E+
M
5+ A*-C inc E+M (end KS4)
Some improvement including English and maths, but new PSA target sets a
challenging trajectory
Reduction in schools below30% 5+ A*-C floor target
896
828
735
661619
499
410
343
230
13481
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007prov
2008
No
. of
Sc
ho
ols
Below 20% Below 25% Below 30%
2007<30% 81<25% 26<20% 8
We expect these numbers to fall further when schools have checked their data and revised figures are
published in the Achievement and Attainment Tables in January 2008
… and similarly when indicator includes English and
mathematics
16101507
13101241
11541089 1098
1052
924
789
670
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007prov
No
. o
f S
cho
ols
Below 15% Below 20% Below 25% Below 30%
2007<30% 670<25% 402<20% 187<15% 58
We expect numbers to fall further when schools have checked their data and revised figures are published in AAT in January 2008
In 1997 51% of schools had less than 30% achieving 5+ A*-C inc E+M. In 2007 this had fallen to 22% of schools
E R schools achieving below the 30% for 5+A*-C
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2004 2005 2006 2007
Num
ber of
Sch
ools
Below 70% Below 60% Below 50% Below 40% Below 30%
ER Schools including E &M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2004 2005 2006 2007
Num
ber of
Sch
ools
Below 70% Below 60% Below 50% Below 40% Below 30%
71
.6%
61
.9%
56
.4%
49
.9%
46
.8%
44
.1%
46
.7%
72
.3%
63
.6%
58
.5%
52
.4%
49
.7%
45
.7%
49
.2%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
<=5% 5-9% 9-13% 13-21% 21-35% 35-50% 50%+
School FSM Band
Pro
p o
f P
up
ils A
ch
iev
ing
5+
A*-
C
2006 2007
Low deprivation High deprivation
Similar rate of increase across all levels of deprivation
Schools with more than 50% FSM have increased by 2.5 ppts compared to an increase of only 0.7 ppts in schools with less than 5% FSM, however schools with 35-50% FSM have only
increased by 1.6ppts
60
.1%
49
.4%
42
.4%
35
.0%
30
.4%
25
.3%
27
.6%
61
.4%
50
.8%
43
.9%
36
.6%
32
.0%
26
.8%
29
.0%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
<=5% 5-9% 9-13% 13-21% 21-35% 35-50% 50%+
School FSM Band
Pro
p o
f P
up
ils A
ch
iev
ing
5+
A*-
C in
c
E+
M
2006 2007
Low deprivation High deprivation
…. and similarly when English and mathematics are included
KS3 Secondary LA and school targets
For 2009, targets to be set at KS3:
Proportion of 14 yr olds reaching level 5+ in both English and maths*
Proportion of 14 yr olds reaching level 5+ in science*Proportion of 14 yr olds making 2 levels progress in
English* Proportion of 14 yr olds making 2 levels progress in maths*Attendance: to reduce persistent absence.
* For each of these targets LAs will be required to provide a breakdown by minority ethnic group. The groups have been revised to include Gypsy/Roma and Travellers of Irish Heritage.
KS4 Secondary LA and school targets
For 2009, targets to be set at KS4
Proportion of pupils achieving 5 A*- C grades or equiv incl GCSE English and maths*
Proportion of pupils making 2 levels progress in English* Proportion of pupils making 2 levels progress in maths*Children in care: to increase the proportion achieving 5 A*-
C grades at GCSE and equiv incl GCSE English and maths
Attendance: to reduce persistent absence
*For each of these targets LAs will be required to provide a breakdown by minority ethnic group. The groups have been revised to include Gypsy/Roma and Travellers of Irish Heritage.
KS3 to KS4 progress measures
KS3 NC level GCSE grade
8 A* (in maths)7 A (and A* in English)
6 B5 C4 D3 E2 F
Below level 2 G
2011 PSA targets
Key Stage
Target Type Subject 2007 results
2009mileston
e
2011 target
2007-2011 improveme
nt
KS3 Progress En 30% (06)
38% 46% +16ppts
KS3 Progress Ma 62% (06)
68% 74% +12ppts
KS3 Attainment En & Ma 67% 71% 74% +7ppts
GCSE Progress En 57% 65% 72% +15ppts
GCSE Progress Ma 29% 36% 42% +13ppts
GCSE Attainment 5+ A* -Cs inc En & Ma
46.5% 50% 53% +6.5ppts
Two levels progress
2004 2005 2006 2007
KS2-3 English 27% 29% 30% n/a
KS2-3 Maths 55% 54% 62% n/a
KS3-4 English 52% 53% 56% 57%
KS3-4 Maths 27% 25% 27% 29%
National picture of progression by 2 levels from KS2 to KS3 for English and Maths
79
71
28
34
28
3230
80
52
33
41
65
81
62
W L1 L2 L3 L4 L5 Overall
KS2 prior attainment
% P
rog
res
sio
n 2
le
ve
ls
English Maths English 2009 milestone Mathematics 2009 milestone
National Picture of progression by 2 levels from KS3 to KS4 for English and Maths
3438
46
58
6770
0
58
30
24
1517
24
28
39
56
28
42
Below L2 L2 L3 L4 L5 L6 L7 L8 Overall
KS3 prior attainment
% P
rog
res
sio
n 2
lev
els
English Maths English 2009 milestone Mathematics 2009 milestone
Discussion
1. What questions and issues does this KS4 data raise for you?for Current Y11 [mocks, coursework, intervention]other year groups [Y10, Y9, Y8, Y7]
2. What are the implications for schools’ target setting and intervention planning on the basis of this data?
ICT and science priorities
ICT - priorities
• use of performance data to review and shape improvement plans with a particular focus on conversion rates from KS3 to KS4 and residual performance
• collaborative improvement activity focused on improved planning and pedagogy
• attendance at the spring term SLDM to access SNS support and guidance, be briefed on the renewed framework, and benefit from local networking of effective approaches
Science quiz
• What do these terms mean? • SIIF • STEM • HSW • Triple science • Level 6+ entitlement
• What counts for reporting 2 GCSE sciences?
Science priorities
1. Supporting appropriate wave 1, 2 & 3 intervention through:
• use of data (including using RAISEonline and test analysis ) and AfL strategies to target underperforming groups throughout year 7 – 11;
• use of data to devise curriculum targets which are used in teaching;
• explicit teaching of scientific enquiry/How Science Works to improve progression between KS3 and 4.
2. Attendance at the spring term SLDM to access SNS support and guidance, be briefed on the renewed framework, and effective dissemination of key messages to science staff.
SIIF priorities
• For pilot LAs to increase level 6+ attainment and GCSE A*-B by trialling and evaluating materials in schools on: • improving teachers’ knowledge and use of
progression strategies through and between KS3 and KS4;
• improving teachers’ knowledge and use of effective interactive teaching including practical work.
• LAs contributing to collection of case studies of effective practice to support progression to post 16 sciences