Paul McCloskey - Vice President of Energy & …...x 1.96 per unit $117,600/day Cost of gas supply in...

June 14, 2016

Paul McCloskey - Vice President of Energy & Business Development

“Proudly Serving the Community to Create Growth & Opportunity in Clearfield County, Pennsylvania”

Who we are: CorePA/Clearly Ahead Development

Overview of Marcellus Shale

PA – Gas importer to gas exporter.

o What’s that mean for prices now & in the future?

Overview of US natural gas & pricing.

What are other companies doing with energy in PA?

What are we (Clearly Ahead) trying to do with energy in Clearfield County, PA?

Illustrate that the USA and particularly Pennsylvania has a superabundance of natural gas.

Show how this superabundance will ensure long-term price stability & affordability of natural gas in Pennsylvania & provide at least 2 distinct advantages to companies locating here.

Identify 7 energy-intense industries that would be ideal for expansion/relocation into CorePA.

U.S.A.

Pennsylvania

CorePA

Clearfield County

Buffalo, NY - 3.5 Hours (258,959)

New York, NY - 4.5 Hours (8,550,405)

Washington DC - 4 Hours (658,893)

Baltimore, MD - 3.5 Hours (622,104)

Cleveland, OH - 3.5 Hours (390,113)

Pittsburgh, PA - 2 Hours (305,841)

Philadelphia, PA - 4 Hours (1,560,297)

City, State - Drive Time (Population)

Conclusion: Access to major population centers (+12,346,612 people) within 1 day drive.

County-wide Economic Development

Business Attraction

Business Expansion

Increased Tax Base

Membership-Based Organization

Land & Building Development

Energy Department

Financial Lending

PA- largest producer of hardwoods in U.S.

Annual revenues from PA forest products industry exceeds $5.5 billion

*Source: Pennsylvania Forest Products Association

3rd largest county producer of coal in Pennsylvania

Thermal & Met. Coal

Timber Natural Gas

5,228 Conventional Wells*

150 Unconventional Wells*

3 Natural Gas Transmission Lines

* Appx. Numbers - Source: PA DEP

Sample of Companies Engaged in “Upstream” Sector of Shale Gas Industry in Clearfield County

Exploration & Production Companies in Clearfield County

United States Shale Gas Generates Interest From

Around the Globe

Foreign Delegations in CorePA

Chinese Fertilizer Company

China Petroleum & Petrochemical Engineering Institute

Lanling County Government Lanling County, Linyi City, People’s Republic of China

U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Shale Basins

Marcellus Shale • Marcellus fairway is 40,000 –

50,000 square miles

Estimates of recoverable

reserves up to 500 tcf; current U.S. natural gas

demand is 23 tcf per year

Not all of the Marcellus will

produce the same...

Barnett core is 5,000 square mile

Barnett is largest U.S. gas field, providing 6% of US natural gas

U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Shale Basins

Bakken

(oil) The Competition

Eagle Ford (emerging)

How Much Natural Gas Does the US Have?

The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that as of January 1, 2013 there were about 2,276 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of technically recoverable resources of dry natural gas in the United States. At the rate of U.S. dry natural gas consumption in 2013 of about 27 Tcf per year, the United States has enough natural gas to last about 84 years.

Source: http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=58&t=8

How Much Natural Gas Does the US Consume?

Source: http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=26552

How the Marcellus Region Fits In

Source July 2015: http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=26552

EIA's latest data show that natural gas produced from U.S. shale basins now accounts for 56% of U.S. dry natural gas production. Collectively, shale gas production from the Marcellus and Utica regions increased by 12.6 Bcf/d from January 2012 to June 2015, making these regions the driving forces behind overall U.S. natural gas production growth.

“Dry Gas” = Methane (CH4)

Butane (C4H10)

Ethane (C2H6)

Propane (C3H8)

Historic Energy Pricing in US

Commodity Prices (per mmBtu)

(June 13, 2016)

•Crude Oil------$8.46 •Natural Gas----$2.62

Commodity Prices (per mmBtu)

(2012)

•Crude Oil------$17.20 •Natural Gas----$3.00

Oil & gas prices were

linked until shale revolution

How natural gas is priced in US Natural gas transported from source

through a network of pipelines & priced at various “hubs” throughout

the US.

Locations of various price “hubs” across the US. The “Henry Hub” in Louisiana sets the baseline for the US.

Since nat. gas is difficult to transport, it is priced as a regional commodity using the “Henry Hub” price as the benchmark.

Discounted Spot Pricing

at Leidy Hub in PA. -Henry Hub cost:

$2.59/thousand cubic feet or

~$73/thousand cubic meters*

-Leidy Hub cost:

$1.46/thousand cubic feet or

~$41/thousand cubic meters**

*as of June 14, 2016 – Bloomberg Energy

**as of June 14, 2016 – Natural Gas Intel

1. Superabundance of natural gas

1. Huge reserves = High Supply

2. Low demand (1.09Tcf annual demand in 2013*

3.20Tcf annual production in 2013*)

3. “Shut-in” wells

2. Lack of pipeline infrastructure

3. Marcellus has one of the lowest breakeven costs

of any shale play in the USA.

*Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission’s “Gas Outlook Report, June 2015”

“The Marcellus shale has fundamentally altered the outlook for the US natural gas industry. The US is emerging as a low-cost chemicals producer and is poised to become an exporter of natural gas—a feat unthinkable just 5 years ago when it was widely believed that increasing LNG imports would be needed to meet domestic demand.”

http://www.ogj.com/articles/uogr/print/volume-2/issue-3/marcellus-continues-to-defy-expectations-driving-us-gas-production-ever-higher.html

Suppose a fertilizer company or power plant

uses 60,000mcf/day & is investigating locations.

Cost of gas supply in IA

($1.96/mcf)

60,000 units

x 1.96 per unit

$117,600/day

Cost of gas supply in PA

($1.46/mcf)

60,000 units

x 1.46 per unit

$87,600/day

The fertilizer company would save $30,000/day in operating costs by locating in PA. Of course, other factors would determine ultimate realized savings including transportation

costs, taxes, logistics, labor costs, etc.

Well, yes, the price of gas in PA is low now, but what about in the future? What if the price of natural gas at the Leidy Hub is equal to the price of natural gas at the Henry Hub?

As shown earlier, the USA and Pennsylvania in particular have immense natural gas resources along with the technology to recover those resources which will result in stable, low-cost energy for the foreseeable future. Even if PA gas evens out with Henry Hub gas, it will still be some of the most affordable on the planet.

UK: ~$4.80/mmBtu (spot LNG)*

Japan: ~$4.90/mmBtu (spot LNG)*

Dutch: ~$5.10/mmBtu*

Russian export to Germany: ~$6.15/mmBtu*

US prices

Nymex: $2.59/mmBtu**

Pennsylvania (Leidy): $1.46/mmBtu***

Sources:

*BP Statisticial Review of World Energy Report 2016 **Bloomberg Energy ***Natural Gas Intel

• E&P Companies Willing to Entertain Long-Term Contracts

• 5 - 20 years (depending on volume & price)

• Why?

•Over-supplied Natural Gas Market

•No definitive end in sight

Source: Clearfield County GIS Department (www.gis.clearfieldco.org/)

16” Natural Gas

Pipeline

8” LPG

Pipeline

20” Natural Gas

Pipeline

30” Natural Gas

Pipeline

Gas-fired

Power Plant

115 kV

345 kV

230 kV

Electric

Transmission

The closer you can locate to heavy infrastructure, the lower your development costs will be and you’ll save

At least 6 intersections identified in Clearfield County with industrial land available for development.

Methane (CH4) Butane (C4H10)

Ethane (C2H6)

Propane (C3H8)

“Wet Gas” “Dry Gas”

Major Publicly Announced Projects Utilizing Natural Gas

Gas-to-Liquids

2,000 bpd

Gas-to-Liquids

1,000 bpd

C2H6 Ethane Cracker

World-Scale

Liberty Plant

830MW Gas-Fired

Power Plant

Moxie Energy

Patriot Plant

830MW Gas-Fired

Power Plant

Moxie Energy

Good Spring Plant

700MW Gas-Fired

Power Plant

Energy Self-sufficient

Manufacturing Facility

Proctor &

Gamble

LNG Exports via Cove Point, MD

Power Generation

Gas-to-Liquids (GTL)

Pulp & Paper

Fertilizer Production

Chemical Production

Cement & Brick Production

Pulp & Paper

Food & Beverage Processing

603 MW Power

Currently

undergoing

conversion to gas

Power Generation

1,837 Acre Site For Sale

Site prepped for Coal Power Plant

but stalled in 2008.

Gas-to-Liquids (GTL)

Syn-crude

Diesel

Gasoline

Di-methyl Ether

Ethylene

Potential outputs from various GTL processes:

Pennsylvania Grain Processing, LLC

•110 Million gallons of Ethanol

•330,000 tons Dry Distiller’s Grain

Pulp & Paper

Historic Timber Industry/Hardwood Resources

Natural Gas for Drying Kilns

Wood Processing Cluster:

Appalachian Wood Products

Domtar

Fertilizer Production

Proximity to Markets

32,458 Harvested Acres in Clearfield County*

3,942,079 Harvested Acres in Pennsylvania*

* Source: United States Department of Agriculture based off of most recent census data

Chemical Production

Methane utilized as fuel source & feedstock for various chemical products:

Syngas

Methanol

Ammonia

Transportation

Location Along Interstate

CNG Conversion Companies

Several Major Area Fleets

-WalMart Distribution Center -C&S Wholesale Grocers DC

Cement & Brick Production

Abundant Raw Materials

World-Class Sandstone Quarries

County Formerly Home to Two Brick Refractories:

Commerce Park in Clearfield

County is the first industrial park in

the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania

to be certified for food & beverage

manufacturing.

KopRnik French firm of energy analysts assisting energy-intense European companies with relocation to US to take advantage of energy environment.

Website launching July 1st, 2016: http://www.alex-andlauer.com/

Alexandre Andlauer Christophe Hecker

Ethane (C2H6) is “cracked” into ethylene.

• an ethane cracker with an approximate annual average capacity of 1.5 million metric tons of ethylene; • three polyethylene units with a combined annual production of approximately 1.6 million metric tons; and • power and steam generation, storage, logistics, cooling water and water treatment, emergency flare, buildings and warehouses.

Source: http://www.shell.us/about-us/projects-and-locations/appalachian-petrochemical-project/about-the-appalachian-petrochemical-project.html

June 7, 2016 - Shell Chemical announced decision to move forward with construction of world-scale multi-billion dollar ethane cracking facility.

Mariner East Pipeline

Sunoco Logistics Mariner East Pipeline will transport wet gas from SW-PA to Marcus Hook refinery.

511 Spruce Street (Suite #5)

Clearfield, Pennsylvania 16830 814-768-7838

1. The USA (and PA in particular) has an abundance of energy which will help to ensure long-term price stability making it a great location for investment.

2. Pennsylvania is home to the Leidy Hub which is currently the lowest-cost spot-price hub in the country.

3. We have relationships with O&G company executives and natural gas marketers to assist you with securing long-term, fixed-price contracts.

4. We have access to existing heavy infrastructure in our county so your company can tap into our natural gas and electricity resources with the least amount of capital expense.

5. We’ve identified the top 7 energy-intense industries that would enjoy a distinct energy advantage by locating here.

6. Pennsylvania has an Office of International Business Development (OIBD) dedicated to assisting foreign companies with investing in PA.

Paul McCloskey VP of Energy & Business Development

511 Spruce Street – Suite 5 Clearfield, PA 16830

1-814-768-7838 pmccloskey@clearlyahead.com

Contact Information

Paul McCloskey - Vice President of Energy & …...x 1.96 per unit $117,600/day Cost of gas supply in...

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