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Chart 1MERDEKA CENTER
Voter Opinion Poll 4th
Quarter 2007
Awareness and Perspectives on Demonstrations, the EconomyNational Issues and Leadership
26 December 2007MERDEKA CENTER
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Chart 2MERDEKA CENTER
Background
The poll is part of Merdeka Centers quarterlysocio-political barometer surveys.
Objectives
Measure public awareness and opinions overrecent social and political events.
Continue tracking of top issues and sentimentsover the economy.
Methodology
1026 randomly selected registered voters aged21+ in Peninsular Malaysia were interviewed viatelephone for the survey.
Respondents were selected via random stratifiedsampling method along the lines of state ofresidence, ethnicity, gender and age.
Survey was carried out between 14th to 19thDecember 2007.
Survey margin of error estimated at 3.10%.
Introduction
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion PollDecember 2007
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Chart 3MERDEKA CENTER
Key Findings
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007 (14 19 Dec 2007, n = 1026)
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Chart 4MERDEKA CENTER
Key Findings: Overview
Inflation and crime remain top issues of concern but dissatisfaction over treatment bygovernment has come to the fore, especially among ethnic Indians.
Concerns over the economy remain high with sentiments mixed over prices, jobs and
business opportunities. Economic optimism for 2008 shows some decline, Malay votersremain positive but less upbeat.
Confidence in the government in running the economy remains high among Malays butvery low among Chinese.
Approval rating of the Prime Minister has decreased from 71% to 61%.
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
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Chart 5MERDEKA CENTER
Key Findings: Overview
Overall, voters still see things as headed in the right direction in the country but contexthas significantly changed over the past month.
Indian voters sentiments have turned visibly more negative but non-Indian sentiments
have improved probably due to calm after the recent spate of demonstrations and policeaction.
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
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Chart 6MERDEKA CENTER
Generally speaking, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way things aregoing in the country at present?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
15%
48%
1%
27%
9%
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied Don't know
Overall satisfaction with situation in the country in the month of December
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Chart 7MERDEKA CENTER
Generally speaking, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way things aregoing in the country at present?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Satisfaction with the way things are going in the country
44%
63%
65%
72%72% 67%
71%
76%
75%73%
74%
75%
54%47%
47%
68%65%
59% 62%
54%
63%
78%
86%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Oct 07 Dec 07
Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian
NOTE: Very satisfied & somewhat satisfied aggregated.
7 pt improvement among Chinese but massive drop in satisfaction among Indians over
the period down by 18pts from November
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Chart 8MERDEKA CENTER
I am going to read you a list of items and institutions recently mentioned in themedia, how favourable or unfavourable would you say is your view towards: Thejudiciary
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
7%
38%
18%
1%
7%
29%
Very favourable Somewhat favourableSomewhat unfavourable Very unfavourableDon't know No response
Less than one-half see the Judiciary in favorable light
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Chart 9MERDEKA CENTER
The Economy
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007 (14 19 Dec 2007, n = 1026)
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Chart 10MERDEKA CENTER
How do you see the current economic conditions in Malaysia compared to 3years ago?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Views on contemporary economy has improved from lows in November into positive
realm
16%
37%
3%
27%
9%
8%
Strongly improved Somewhat improved Stayed the same
Somewhat declined Strongly declined Don't know
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Chart 11MERDEKA CENTER
How do you see the current economic conditions in Malaysia compared to 3years ago?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Perceived improved economic conditions compared 3 years ago (% saying improved)
54%
61%63%
52%
55%
52%
63%
74%
74%
67%
70%
64%
33%
23%
44%
34%
30%
33%
67%
76% 75%
53%
55%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Oct 07 Dec 07
Peninsula M'sia MalayChinese Indian
NOTE: Strongly improved & somewhat improved aggregated.
Marginal improvement in sentiments among Chinese over the past one month
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Chart 12MERDEKA CENTER
Moving on the subject of the economy, can you tell how favorable or unfavorablethings are with respect to the following:
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
10%
2%
8%11%
48%
14%
39%
52%
7%8%
9%
37%
30%
39%
31%32%
8%
4%
9%
1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Your personal income Prices of consumer items
and services
Job opportunities Business opportunities
Very favourable Somewhat favourable Somewhat unfavourable Very unfavourable Don't know No response
Personal income levels still in positive range but sentiments over business and jobs
remain mixed
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Chart 13MERDEKA CENTER
How do you expect the economy to be one year from now?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Optimism over the economy however has declined by further 2pts - majority now
uncertain or negative
11%
30%
7%
8%25%
19%
Strongly improve Somewhat improve Stay the same
Somewhat decline Strongly decline Don't know
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Chart 14MERDEKA CENTER
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
How do you expect the economy to be one year from now?
Economic optimism (% saying "economy will improve")
44%
61%
64%
48%
43%41%
58%
75%78%
62%
57%
53%
21%
20%
39%
35%19% 19%
62%
70%
41%
47%43%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Oct 07 Dec 07
Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian
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Chart 15MERDEKA CENTER
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with way the government is managing theeconomy at present?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
13%
42%
9%
32%
4%
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied Don't know
Confidence in governments ability to manage the economy remains strong
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Chart 16MERDEKA CENTER
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with way the government is managing theeconomy at present?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Satisfaction with the government in handling the economy
(% saying very/somewhat satisfied)
58%56%
65%
61%
54%
55%
72%
75%75%
67% 68%67%
37%
51%
52%
32% 31%
35%
62% 60%
41%
55%
49%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Oct 07 Dec 07
Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian
63%
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Chart 17MERDEKA CENTER
National Issues
and Concerns
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007 (14 19 Dec 2007 n = 1026)
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Chart 18MERDEKA CENTER
What in your view, is the most important problem affecting Malaysia today?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Crime, inflation and now, ethnic equality issues, top national concerns in the post-
HINDRAF period
20%
3%
1%12%
9%
2%
3%
3%
3%
17%
2%
7%
1%
2%
3%
4%
7%
1%
Price hike & inflation
Unemployment
Other economic problemsCrime / Public safety
Social problems
Drug abuse
Illegal immigrants
Politics
Corruption
Ethnic & inequality
Management of government
Demonstration
Education
Flood
Others
None
Don't know
No response
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Chart 19MERDEKA CENTER
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with government efforts to solve theproblem? (Top 5 problems)
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Regardless of what the issue is, public satisfaction with government is low in terms of
resolution with majority dissatisfied
4%
12%
1%
9%
23%
24%
23%
31%
40%
42%
50%
40%
50%
38%
25%
20%
23%
16%
12%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Price hike & inflation
Ethnic & inequality
Crime & public safety
Social problems
Demonstration
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied
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Chart 20MERDEKA CENTER
How far would you say you believe the mainstream news reports on the followingdemonstrations/gatherings? Bersih rally
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Belief in news reports on BERSIH
36%
32%
3%
9%
11%
8%
1%
Strongly believe Somewhat believeSomewhat do not believe Don't believe at all
Does not follow news at all Don't knowNo response
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Chart 21MERDEKA CENTER
How far would you say you believe the mainstream news reports on the followingdemonstrations/gatherings? HINDRAF rally
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Belief in news reports on HINDRAF
11%
39%26%
9%
11%
2%
2%
Strongly believe Somewhat believeSomewhat do not believe Don't believe at allDoes not follow news at all Don't knowNo response
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Chart 22MERDEKA CENTER
In your view, what would be the most appropriate action that the governmentshould take in order to address the problem of protests and demonstrations?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
But public prefers discussions rather than arrests
8%
16%
6% 4%
2%
64%
Continue with the arrest of the demonstration supportersMeet and discuss with the protest leaders
Allow the demonstrations to take place with police permitsOthers, please specify:Don't knowNo response
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Chart 23MERDEKA CENTER
Approval Ratings
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007 (14 19 Dec 2007 n = 1026)
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Chart 24MERDEKA CENTER
How strongly do you approve or disapprove of the way Abdullah Ahmad Badawiis performing his job as the prime minister?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
23%
38%
25%
5%7%
2%
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know No response
The Prime Ministers approval rating has fallen by 10 points in the past one month
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Chart 25MERDEKA CENTER
How strongly do you approve or disapprove of the way Abdullah Ahmad Badawiis performing his job as the prime minister?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
Abdullah Badawi's state d approval rating since taking office
91%
86%85%
81%
78%
83%
68%
78%
74%
71%
63%
71%74%
70%
83%
77%78%
73%
61%
82%
83%
72%
71%
73%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
Nov20
04
Mar20
05
Apr20
05
8-1
2Jun2
005
15-1
9Jun2
005
22-2
7Jun2
005
Aug2005
1-4
Sept2
005
15-1
8Sept2
005
Nov20
05
1-5
Dec2005
21-2
5Feb2
006
2-4
Mar2006
Apr20
06
Jun2006
14-
22July2
006
22-2
5Sept2
006
Oct
06
Nov07
Apr
07
Jun
07
Sept
07
Oct
07
Dec
07
NOTE: Strongly approve & somewhat approve aggregated.
20 sen Petrolhike
Dr. M criticismbegins
Bersih/
Hindraf
30 sen Petrolhike
Pay rise forcivil
servants
Announcementof various econdevelopmentregions
UMNO GA2007
UMNO GA2006
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Chart 26MERDEKA CENTER
How strongly do you approve or disapprove of the way Abdullah Ahmad Badawiis performing his job as the prime minister?
Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll4th Quarter 2007
71%
61%
84%
76%
42%
79%
38%
73%
71%
72%
70% 73%
86%80%79%80%
84%
47%
54%
55%
62%
57%
53%
62%
68%
73%
71%
82%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Oct 06 Nov 07 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Oct 07 Dec 07
Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian
Abdullah Badawi's stated approval rating across races
NOTE: Strongly approve & somewhat approve aggregated.
The PM lost 8 pts in Malay support but biggest loss among ethnic Indians, a drop of
over 30 points in the past one month
Bersih/Hindraf