Milt Pappas and the Expected Outcomes Hackathon

Post on 22-Jan-2017

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Transcript of Milt Pappas and the Expected Outcomes Hackathon

Our starting pitcher• Inform pitch selection

and location based on Run Value

• An “expanded” heat map for situational pitching

Run Value (wOBA)

Run Value (wOBA)

Why it didn’t work• Randomness of

baseball• Complexity of data

(not easy to view)

Call to the bullpen• Narrow the focus while

maintaining meaning• We kept heat map,

situational filtering and wOBA metric

• Focus: Actionability

The “Stuff”• What is a pitcher’s

best weapon?• Who does he have the

most trouble with? Why?

• Analyze pitch based on outcome

Thanks!

Demo