Milt Pappas and the Expected Outcomes Hackathon

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Transcript of Milt Pappas and the Expected Outcomes Hackathon

Page 1: Milt Pappas and the Expected Outcomes Hackathon
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Our starting pitcher• Inform pitch selection

and location based on Run Value

• An “expanded” heat map for situational pitching

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Run Value (wOBA)

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Run Value (wOBA)

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Why it didn’t work• Randomness of

baseball• Complexity of data

(not easy to view)

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Call to the bullpen• Narrow the focus while

maintaining meaning• We kept heat map,

situational filtering and wOBA metric

• Focus: Actionability

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The “Stuff”• What is a pitcher’s

best weapon?• Who does he have the

most trouble with? Why?

• Analyze pitch based on outcome

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Thanks!

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Demo