Post on 29-Oct-2021
© 2021
From Technologies to Markets
Sample
Microcontroller Market Monitor
2021 Q2 Automotive Feature
Edition
2
Biographie & contact
Microcontroller Quarterly Market Monitor | Q2 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | © 2021
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Tom Hackenberg
As Principal Analyst for Computing and Software in the Semiconductor, Memory and Computing Division at Yole Développement (Yole), Tom is
engaged in developing processor market monitors and research into related technology trends.
Tom is an industry leading expert reporting on markets for semiconductor processors including CPUs, MPUs, MCUs and DSPs, SoCs, GPUs and
discrete accelerators, FPGAs and configurable processors since 2006. Tom is also well-versed in related technology trends including AI and edge
computing, IoT, heterogeneous processing, chiplets, as well as vertical markets like Automotive, Computing and Telecommunications where processor
trends play a significant role.
Tom worked with market-leading processor suppliers developing both syndicated and custom research. He holds a BSEE/BSECE from the University
of Texas at Austin specializing in Processors and FPGAs.
Contact:Tom.Hackenberg@Yole.fr
TABLE OF CONTENTS
MCU MARKET OVERVIEW 3
▪ Executive Summary 4
▪ Introduction 8
▪ Methodology 10
▪ Definitions and Assumptions 11
MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS 17
▪ Overall Market Summary 18
▪ Automotive (Featured Discussion) 27
▪ Mobility Featured Discussion 41
▪ Other Markets 53
▪ Consumer 53
▪ Personal Data Processing 57
▪ Smartcard & Secure MCU 61
▪ Enterprise Data Processing 66
▪ Telecommunications Infrastructure 70
▪ Defense and Aerospace 74
▪ Medical 78
▪ Industrial and Other 82
REGIONAL MCU BOOKINGS 87
▪ By MCU Class 88 - 94
DESIGN TRENDS 95
▪ Embedded Memory Density 98
▪ Voltage and Frequency 100
▪ Primary Function 102
▪ Technology Ecosystem 104
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 107
▪ Top 10 Rankings 108
▪ Overall MCU Companies 109
▪ 4/8/16-bit Class 110
▪ 32-bit Class 111
▪ High-Reliability Class 112
▪ Multimarket Class 113
▪ Secure MCU Class 114
▪ Top 5 in Rankings 115
▪ By MCU Market 115-124
MCU DESIGNER PROFILES 125
▪ Ranked MCU Designer Profile 126
▪ 1st Rank Profile 127
▪ 2nd Rank Profile 129
▪ 3rd Rank Profile 131
▪ 4th Rank Profile 133
▪ 5th Rank Profile 135
▪ 6th Rank Profile 137
▪ 7th Rank Profile 139
▪ 8th Rank Profile 141
▪ 9th Rank Profile 143
▪ 10th Rank Profile 145
MCU PRODUCTION 147
▪ Process and Wafer Production 148
▪ Foundry MCU Capex 153
▪ MCU Fabrication 155
▪ Composite of IDM Production 156
▪ Foundry Unit Production 157
▪ Foundry Wafer Production 158
Microcontroller Quarterly Market Monitor | Q2 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | © 2021 4
Welcome to the Premier of Yole Développement’s Microcontroller Monitor, this is the 2021 Q2 Edition. This service is a presentation of the market for microcontrollers comprised of a data rich quantitative Excel database and this qualitative and visual view of that data in the over 150 pages of this report.
For your convenience, this page briefly summarizes top level data from the monitor followed by a few graphic overviews to visualize the market.
• 2020 – Microcontroller Global Market Revenue: $XX billion USD
• 2026 – Microcontroller Global Market Revenue: $XX billion USD
• 2020 to 2026 Revenue CAGR is XX %
• 2020 – Microcontroller Global Market Shipments: XX billion units
• 2026 – Microcontroller Global Market Shipments: XX billion units
• 2020 to 2026 Unit Shipment CAGR is XX %
• 2020 to 2026 Average Selling Price CAGR is XX %
• 2020 – 4/8/16 bit market share XX %, 32-bit share XX %
• 2026 – 4/8/16 bit market share XX %, 32-bit share XX %
• 2020 – Top 5 MCU Markets by Revenue Share: Market 1 XX % Market 2 XX %, Market 3 XX %, Market 4 XX % Market 5 XX %
• 2026 – Top 5 MCU Markets by Revenue Share: Market 1 XX % Market 2 XX %, Market 3 XX %, Market 4 XX % Market 5 XX %
• 2020 – Top 5 MCU Designers by Revenue Share: Company A XX %, Company B XX %, Company C XX %, Company D XX % Company E XX %
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Microcontroller Quarterly Market Monitor | Q2 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | © 2021 5
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Overall MCU Market Revenue Forecast $(M) with 2020 to 2026 CAGR of X.X%
Total MCU Revenue
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Overall MCU Market Shipment Forecast (M) with 2020 to 2026 CAGR of X.X%
Total MCU Shipments
Reve
nue $
(M)
USD
Ship
ments
(M
) U
nits
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2020 Bit Class Revenue Share
4/8/16-bit 32-bit
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2020 Leading Market Revenue Share
Market 1 Market 2 Market 3 Market 4 Market 5 Market 6
2026 Bit Class Revenue Share
4/8/16-bit 32-bit
2026 Leading Market Revenue Share
Market 1 Market 2 Market 3 Market 4 Market 5 Market 6
As the MCU market grows from $XXB in 2020 to $XXB in 2026, performance design trends align with performance market growth
XX% XX% XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Company ACompany B
Company C
Company E
Company D Company F Company G
Company H
Company I
Company J
Rest of Market
Autre
2019 Top Ten Overall MCU Rev Share
Company ACompany B
Company C
Company D
Company E
Company F Company G
Company H
Company I
Company J
Rest of Market
Autre
2020 Top Ten Overall MCU Rev Share
In 2020, the $XXB MCU market is dominated by the top 5 designers which supply over 80% of the MCU Market
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%XX%
XX%
XX%XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%XX%
XX%
XX%XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
XX%
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INTRODUCTION
Welcome
Introducing the Microcontroller Monitor Tracker from Yole Développement. This is the 2021 Q2 Edition and the premier edition of this service. The goal of this service is to provide a comprehensive supply chain view of the microcontroller (MCU) market by providing the essential data enabling well-informed actionable decisions for all participants in the microcontroller value chain.
About this Monitor
The scope of this report includes quarterly data from the prior, current and next year forecast. It provides annual data from the prior two years, current year and next five-year forecast for key market metrics including MCU Class, Market, and Applications in terms of Revenue, Shipments and Average Selling Price.
It also provides key value chain characteristics including design attributes, list of suppliers, market leaders and shares, leader profiles. It provides manufacturing data and the relationship of MCU process node, manufacturing share, and wafer starts.
Before diving into the rich data presented in the accompanying database, please allow us to present some background for your convenience. This introductory section will provide some context of the research and define some of the terms and classifications to better understand the value of the data presented.
Following the definitions, there will be a discussion of some of the current key trends in the overall market. Then the report will provide more depth into classes and markets. We’ll delve into the design features. We’ll present the competitive landscape with details on the leading MCU suppliers. We will then round out the monitor report with a discussion of the relationship between the MCU landscape and Integrated Design Manufacturers (IDM) and Foundry services.
Featured Content
Each edition of the monitor will provide an expanded discussion of one or more markets or trends to provide even greater depth of understanding of MCUs in that scope. This edition features an in-depth look at the closely related markets of Automotive and Mobility.
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This monitor will provide quarterly updates. With each update, the report will present a featured topic for detailed and in-depth analysis of the important trends in the context of the featured presentation.
This edition, Q2, of the Microcontroller Monitor features and in-depth look at the applications in Automotive and Mobility, with highly related market trends.
In our next edition, Q3, we will review the highly evolving trend for Smartcards and Secure MCUs in the context of their strong relationship with Personal Data Processing.
In Q4, the plan is to go more in-depth on the wide variety of Consumer products discussing ‘smart’ products, the strategy of optimizing time-to-market, point-of-sale pricing, brand identification and other Consumer trends.
Each Edition will also provide updates that highlight any significant changes that have been made and what assumptions or risks may have led to the update.
Analyst Access
Subscribers of this service are encouraged to contact the author with questions or discussions of the data presented in the monitor, requests for upcoming featured topics, or any recommendations on the content or structure of the monitor.
INTRODUCTION
Microcontroller Quarterly Market Monitor | Q2 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | © 2021 10
INTRODUCTION
Methodology
This Monitor Service is the culmination of over a decade’s research specifically on the microcontroller market. It is an integral part of Yole Développement’s portfolio of highly insightful and technically thorough Semiconductor and Software Division building on the web of semiconductor knowledge. The diagram below shows the quality control standards for production. It is important to also understand that we target between 15 and 30 interviews per quarter to maintain firsthand knowledge with MCU supply chain participants to keep the topics presented fresh and relevant for our subscribers.
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Definitions and TreatmentsMicrocontroller (MCU) – A highly cost, power, and area optimized processor for use in very resource constrained systems. The primary characteristics distinguishing a microcontroller from other processors are: the presence of on-chip memory, the presence of a variety or application specific input/output interconnects, the ability to load a program onto bootable read-only or nonvolatile memory (usually integrated in the MCU) and allow that program to run beginning at power on without the need of an operating system. Microcontrollers are frequently recognizable because their cores are named or labelled as controller cores, having a simpler integrated development environment to program and a more limited instruction set as compared to microprocessors, system-on-chip and more application specific processors and coprocessors. Advanced MCUs can have attributes of higher performing processors such as multiple cores, integrated coprocessing cores and subsystems, but these are rarer and still target highly constrained systems. Besides being very capable of operating in constrained applications, the verifiability and durability of these basic processors can make them more desirable even for applications that have fewer constraints and require more performance.
4/8/16-bit and 32-bit Class – a description of the maximum size of a piece of data that can be transferred or operated on in a clock cycle. It can limit the data coming into or leaving the processor per clock cycle and limit the size of operation that can be worked in a clock cycle. Blocks of data too large may have to be broken down into smaller blocks leading to inefficiencies, so the choices of hardware and software for an application are typically correlated. This means the higher the bit-class the better suited for more complex mathematical equations and larger memory addressing. This greater versatility often comes at the cost of energy, area and price, but the differences in characteristics between these two classes has narrowed substantially in recent years. So far there has been insufficient interest in increasing MCU complexity to 64-bit.
INTRODUCTION
Images Courtesy of Components 101
https://components101.com/article/difference-between-8-bit-16-bit-and-32-
bit-microcontrollers
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Definitions and Treatments
High-Reliability Class – The high-reliability design class is an affiliation between the characteristics of a specific group of processors and the business line of the processor designer. The characteristics of high-reliability are resistance to errors and breakdowns due to heat, vibration, electromagnetic interference, prolonged use, exposure to radiation and similar strengths. It is usually achieved by careful design, improved packaging, and cherry picking the highest validations from the manufacturing lots. Historically, these processors may have been and may still be referred to as automotive grade, military spec, rad hardened, and various other application related names. It is significant to the MCU Monitor because many MCU designers build costly manufacturing and business line strategies around optimizing these characteristics in order to win lucrative contracts for these pricier application-specific MCUs that also happen to supply long life cycle equipment.
Secure MCU Class – At the exact opposite end of the spectrum from High-Reliability is the Secure MCU Class which is also and affiliation between the characteristics of a specific group of processor and the business line of the processor designer. In this case, the Secure MCU Class is targeting s highly disposable device market with very stripped-down versions of an MCU. That is not to say that the MCU is poor quality, but it has a smaller instruction set, small memory footprint, a small count of specific I/O and almost no packaging. The market that uses this highly cost optimized MCU are smartcards including SIM, bankcard, ID cards and even some embedded applications. The companies that participate in this market quite often have very specific manufacturing processes that differ from other classes of MCU just to service this very simple, yet high volume market. It has fewer barriers to entry and is very attractive for startups. The expertise behind the crypto engine that is functionally the application the entire MCU is optimized for, is also being drawn on for more embedded secure elements. This is likely to be a strong migration as the smartcard market wains.
INTRODUCTION
Images Courtesy of DigiKey
https://digikey.com
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Definitions and Treatments
Multimarket Class – Where the business lines in High-Reliability and Secure MCU Classes have aligned with very application-specific specialized manufacturing strategies. The multimarket class is designed to fit the needs of a wide variety of applications. It includes both general purpose MCUs where the same product may be used across multiple markets and application-specific MCUs where the manufacturing strategy is more common, but the MCU featured characteristics have been optimized to be attractive for specific applications. The majority of MCUs fall in this class.
Market – The report is divided into ten vertical markets (defined later). Market is an arbitrary term to collect groups of dissimilar products into smaller, more manageable and actionable groups. Markets are typically chosen by a grouping of end-equipment that share some commonality that influences the entire supply chain. It influences sales outlets, OEM groups, design strategies and even manufacturing. These markets can further be subdivided by applications which is a further refinement of commonality.
Class relationship to market – It is unrealistic to try to track every product line and chip produced by specific classes and characteristics, so models are made and validated to best represent the trends characterizing the market. One of those model features is to treat specific applications as mostly targeted by specific MCU Classes such as Automotive Powertrain application as being a market demanding High-Reliability MCUs. The model holds mostly true but there are going to be exceptions where for whatever reason, an equipment manufacturer may choose a design that does not adhere to the model. In the end, the exceptions do not invalidate the points that the data are presenting because the outliers tend to average out.
The graphs on the next page are provided as a visual aid to express the common relationship between Classes, Markets and Applications for Microcontrollers with the respective market shares intact.
INTRODUCTION
Image Courtesy of Infineon
https://infineon.com
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INTRODUCTION TO MCU CLASS, MARKET & APPLICATION STRUCTURE
Graphic Depiction of 2020 MCU Revenue Structures*
* See associated Excel database for complete legible list of structures
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INTRODUCTION
Definitions and Treatments
Markets
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INTRODUCTION
Definitions and Treatments
Markets
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GENERAL MARKET OVERVIEW
Major Market Trends
Covid 19 – Pandemic impacts the global economy.
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Supply chain disruption – Not really an automotive semiconductor shortage
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Pricing – New pricing growth trends.
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GENERAL MARKET OVERVIEW
Major Market Trends
AI – Not just for cars and data centers
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Electrification and Intelligence –Automotive leads market growth for MCUs
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RISC V – Mainly custom for now.
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GENERAL MARKET OVERVIEW
General Market Trends
Hybrid MCUs – Classifying processors is not an exact science.
Performance Trends – 32-bit to grow even more dominant.
High-reliability & Secure MCU Classes
General Market Forecast Overview
The following section offers a graphical quantitative overview of these general class and market trends. Specific detailed market trends follow.
Microcontroller Quarterly Market Monitor | Q2 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | © 2021 22
Overall Quarterly Rev $(M) USD
High Reliability MCU Multimarket MCU Secure MCU
OVERALL MARKET SUMMARY
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Overall Annual Rev $(M) USD
High Reliability MCU Multimarket MCU Secure MCU
Overall Quarterly Shpmt (M) Units
High Reliability MCU Multimarket MCU Secure MCU
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Overall Annual Shpmt (M) Units
High Reliability MCU Multimarket MCU Secure MCU
2020 to 2026 CAGR X.X%
2020 to 2026 CAGR X.X%
Q/Q X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% Y/Y X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X%
Y/Y X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% Q/Q X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X% X.X%
23
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