Measure What You FIx: Asset Risk Management Done Right

Post on 08-May-2015

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Transcript of Measure What You FIx: Asset Risk Management Done Right

Measure What You Fix:

!

Asset Management Is Broken

Michael RoytmanData Scientist, Risk I/O

It is far better to grasp the universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring.

- Carl Sagan

Risk =More Can Happen

Than Will.

2. CVSS Score Reduction

Bad Remediation Metrics

1. Vulnerability Density

Part 1: !

Fix What Matters

I Love It When You Call Me Big Data50,000,000 Live Vulnerabilities

1,500,000 Assets

2,000 Organizations

I Love It When You Call Me Big Data

3,000,000 Breaches

Probability A Vuln Having Property X Has Observed Breaches

RANDOM VULN

CVSS 10

CVSS 9

CVSS 8

CVSS 6

CVSS 7

CVSS 5

CVSS 4

Has Patch

0.000 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040

Probability A Vuln Having Property X Has Observed Breaches

Random Vuln

CVSS 10

Exploit DB

Metasploit

MSP+EDB

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3

Part 2: !

Measure What You Fix

#DoingItWrong

Jet Engine x Peanut Butter SHINY!=

Current State of Remediation Performance Tracking

Where We Want To Be

Data 1.Active Breaches !

2.Metasploit Module !

3. ExploitDB Entry !

4. Popular Target

Framework

Estimate likelihood of breach event for each vulnerability.

Framework

An asset is only as safe as the riskiest vulnerability on that asset.

Model

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Breached In The Wild?

Metasploit Module Exists?

ExploitDB Entry?

Popular Target?

Less Risky

Model Actively

BreachedMeta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target …

Better?

Model

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Asset

Model

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Asset

Model

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Asset Asset Asset

Model

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Actively Breached

Meta sploit

Exploit DB

Popular Target

Vuln

Asset = 5 Asset = 10 Asset = 4.375

Where We’re Going, We Don’t Need Peanut Butter

Where We’re Going, We Don’t Need Peanut Butter

An Engine Not A Camera

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@mroytman

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