Mathematical Equationon Building a Nation after Disaster or War

Nation Build™ Training Series

If x + y = zIf w is unknown

nation build

What is the mathematical equation for w?

The Kepner-Tregoe (K.T.) method

Concern Performance Indicator Approach for Resolution

Approach for Resolution

Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Problem Analysis (PA)

Past What is the fault?

Decision Analysis (DA)

Present Correct the future

Potential Problem Analysis (PPA)

Future Prevent faults

Concern # 1.

The Zamboanga City is in war

Performance Indicator # 1.

Total Cost of Damage = Area in sqm of all affected places in

ZamboangaX approximate damages per area

+ total population without means of Livelihood due to war

X approximate losses in earnings

Approach for Resolution # 1.

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern #2

1 thousand families became homeless

126,607 internally displaced people

Performance Indicator #2

Number of damaged homeX cost of each home

+ total homeless populationX cost of recovery per person

(evacuation center space cost andrelief cost for the duration of the

recovery until they can return to their home

Approach for Resolution #2

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern #3

How to find people still missing and the number still increasing

Performance Indicator #3

Number of missing people

Approach for Resolution #3

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern #4

Increasing death toll due to firing, and shooting, and house fire

Performance Indicator #4

Number of people dead

Approach for Resolution #4

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 5

There is no integrating mechanism for distribution among needy areas5.1 Some areas are able to get their supplies while others have not been reached5.2 Families in evacuation centers are now getting sick due to lack of food, water, medicine and beddings.

Performance Indicator # 5

Cost of developing a national distribution system for relief

operations throughout the country

+Cost of designing systems

in evacuation centers

Approach for Resolution # 5

Problem Analysis on 5.1 and 5.2 Decision Analysis on 5.1 and 5.2 Potential Problem Analysis on 5.1

and 5.2

Concern #6

Potential typhoon and victims getting sick of diarrhea, leptospirosis and other diseases.

Performance Indicator #6

Number of victims getting sick

Approach for Resolution #6

Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 7

People may become unruly. They rush, push and they try their best to be first in their desperate plea for helping in getting food for the family.

Performance Indicator #7

Amount of time unproductive due to unruly process.

Approach for Resolution #7

Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 8

Mounds of garbage are found in streets are starting to stink and are adding to the causes of illnesses among the residents.

Performance Indicator #8

Amount of garbage to be collected per area

X number of unpassable areas

Approach for Resolution #8

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 9

Damages to agriculture in Zamboanga.

Performance Indicator # 9

Area in hectares of destroyed agricultural lands

X approximate landsX approximate damage in crops per

hectare+ total population of farmers with no

land to plant X approximate losses in earnings

Approach for Resolution # 9

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 10

Damages to infrastructure have been increasing

Performance Indicator # 10

Total cost of all infrastructure destroyed

Approach for Resolution # 10

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 11

A future rice shortage is being forecasted by Department of Agriculture due to these damages.

Performance Indicator # 11

Forecasted damage per area given strength of typhoon X area expected to be hit

Approach for Resolution # 11

Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 12

There is a need to allocate proper residential zones and vacant zones for floodways and spillways.

Performance Indicator # 12

Cost of zoning

Approach for Resolution # 12

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 13

There is an impeding super typhoon to hit the Northeastern part of the country in two days.

Performance Indicator # 13

Forecasted damage per area given strength of typhoon X area expected to be hit

Approach for Resolution # 13

Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 14

Sustained average of knee-deep flooding in some areas NCR and Northern Luzon since Sept 26, 2009 to present.

Performance Indicator #14

Total cost of damages = Area in sqm of all flooded places in

the affected cities and region X approximate damages per area

+total population without means of livelihood

due to floods X approximate losses in earnings

Approach for Resolution # 14

Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

Concern # 15

Informal settlers should vacate their houses in the slums

Performance Indicator # 15

Population of informal settlers

Approach for Resolution # 15

Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis

“This is what the Lord says: As I have brought all this great calamity on this people, so I will give them all the prosperity I have promised them.”

- Jeremiah 32:42

AuthorityEthical Leadership

ResponsibilityEveryone is a stakeholder

AccountabilityWe are all accountable to what happen in Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao

NATION BUILD™ PROCESS

If x + y = zIf w is nation build

What is the mathematical equation for w?

Mathematical Equation on Building a Nation

W= nation build

X+Y = ZXY + Strategy = Vision