Institute for the Future - Ecosystems of Well-Being

Health Horizons Program

INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE

July 19, 2012

Rod Falcon | Director

Foresight to Insight to Action

what is the future of well-being?

Bodies

Networks

Environments

What’s for dinner? is no longer a simple question

what is the future of well-being? threats and imbalances

What is the future of well-being?

Thinking systematically about the future

• Immerse yourself in different shapes of change: growth, constraint, collapse and transformation

• Consider effects at different scales: bodies, networks, and environments

• Provoke your thinking and develop resilient responses to a variety of futures

GROWTH A future in which current trends and conditions are extrapolated forward

WELL-BEING IS PRODUCTIVITYand more choice increases experiential well-being

Growth

• Expanding well-being economy

• Health is a major component of consumer choices and decisions

• Focus on productivity and personal responsibility

CONSTRAINT A future in which scarce resources force societies to contend with limitations

CONSTRAINT in 2021WELL-BEING IS COMMUNITY

and taking care of others increases personal well-being

Constraint

• Resource constraints place practical limits on everyday life

• Well-being is focused on optimizing scarce resources

• Well-being shifts from a largely individual to communal pursuit

COLLAPSE A future in which systems are strained beyond the breaking point, causing social disarray

WELL-BEING IS SECURITYand escape from real and perceived threats

Collapse

• Decline of trust in institutions and communities

• Constant uncertainty and lack of access to basic resources leaves populations stressed and anxious

• People adopt hoarding and self-quarantining as practices

Personal data ecosystem

• Digital Identity & Profiles-demographic and household data

• Networks & Relationships-connections people and organizations

• Activity, Interests, & Behaviors-real-world and online activity

• Communications & Interactions-preferences and logs

• Media produced, consumed, and shared-text, audio, video

• Financial data-transactions, scores, physical and virtual goods

• Health data and medical history-prescriptions, and insurance status

• Institutional data-government, academic, and employer

• Data is volunteered, observed, or inferred

TRANSFORMATION A future in which fundamental change signals a break from the past

WELL-BEING IS ECOLOGICALand collaboration builds capacities for holistic well-being

Transformation

• Well-being is about feeling aligned at all scales-body, networks, and environments

• Social production creates new capacities for well-being

• More integrated and holistic approaches to well-being

4 corners of possibility

Preparing for uncertain futures

• What are the common themes that cut across multiple scenarios?

• In what ways is your organization best prepared to thrive in multiple possible futures?

• Where is your organization most vulnerable to uncertain possible futures in the next decade?

Institute for the Future - Ecosystems of Well-Being

Health & Medicine

Transcript of Institute for the Future - Ecosystems of Well-Being

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