Institute for the Future - Ecosystems of Well-Being
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Transcript of Institute for the Future - Ecosystems of Well-Being
Health Horizons Program
INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE
July 19, 2012
© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
Rod Falcon | Director
© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
Foresight to Insight to Action
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
what is the future of well-being?
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Bodies
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Networks
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Environments
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What’s for dinner? is no longer a simple question
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what is the future of well-being? threats and imbalances
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What is the future of well-being?
© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
Thinking systematically about the future
• Immerse yourself in different shapes of change: growth, constraint, collapse and transformation
• Consider effects at different scales: bodies, networks, and environments
• Provoke your thinking and develop resilient responses to a variety of futures
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GROWTH A future in which current trends and conditions are extrapolated forward
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
WELL-BEING IS PRODUCTIVITYand more choice increases experiential well-being
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
Growth
• Expanding well-being economy
• Health is a major component of consumer choices and decisions
• Focus on productivity and personal responsibility
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CONSTRAINT A future in which scarce resources force societies to contend with limitations
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
CONSTRAINT in 2021WELL-BEING IS COMMUNITY
and taking care of others increases personal well-being
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Constraint
• Resource constraints place practical limits on everyday life
• Well-being is focused on optimizing scarce resources
• Well-being shifts from a largely individual to communal pursuit
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COLLAPSE A future in which systems are strained beyond the breaking point, causing social disarray
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WELL-BEING IS SECURITYand escape from real and perceived threats
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Collapse
• Decline of trust in institutions and communities
• Constant uncertainty and lack of access to basic resources leaves populations stressed and anxious
• People adopt hoarding and self-quarantining as practices
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
Personal data ecosystem
• Digital Identity & Profiles-demographic and household data
• Networks & Relationships-connections people and organizations
• Activity, Interests, & Behaviors-real-world and online activity
• Communications & Interactions-preferences and logs
• Media produced, consumed, and shared-text, audio, video
• Financial data-transactions, scores, physical and virtual goods
• Health data and medical history-prescriptions, and insurance status
• Institutional data-government, academic, and employer
• Data is volunteered, observed, or inferred
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TRANSFORMATION A future in which fundamental change signals a break from the past
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
WELL-BEING IS ECOLOGICALand collaboration builds capacities for holistic well-being
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Transformation
• Well-being is about feeling aligned at all scales-body, networks, and environments
• Social production creates new capacities for well-being
• More integrated and holistic approaches to well-being
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4 corners of possibility
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© 2012 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1546
Preparing for uncertain futures
• What are the common themes that cut across multiple scenarios?
• In what ways is your organization best prepared to thrive in multiple possible futures?
• Where is your organization most vulnerable to uncertain possible futures in the next decade?
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