How B20 Recommendations Translate into G20 Decisions

Report prepared by IORI HSE and G20 Research Group of the

University of Toronto

22 March 2013

G20-B20 DIALOGUE EFFICIENCY TASKFORCE

2

Presentation Structure

• Review Goals• Methodology• Main findings• Findings by areas• Conclusions

3

Goals

• Review the progress of G20-B20 engagement • Identify what works • Support continuity of B20 efforts on the key areas of

policy coordination with G20 • Help in developing B20 recommendations for future

G20 actionsThe report is not meant to assess either G20 or B20

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MethodologyFirst Step: Review of Recommendations

• Recommendations singled out from B20 final documents, produced since Toronto and included into a catalogue

• Recommendations categorized by summits, by 14 issue areas, by Task Forces

• Output: catalogue as an archive and a tool for future B20 presidencies consolidating B20 members’ individual wisdom into an institutional memory

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MethodologyFurther Steps: Analysis and Assessment

Neither G20 nor B20 are assessed, the score is used as an indication of G20-B20 engagement progress on B20 recommendations.Criteria:1. Direct references to B20; 2. Mentions of the keywords “business”, “private sector”; 3. Degree of G20 statements matching B20 recommendationsScoring system:(+1) B20 recommendation was addressed in the G20 documents and G20 actions (commitments) or mandates are in line with it(0) B20 recommendation was addressed in the G20 documents but no commitments/ mandates in line with it have been agreed (deliberation)(-1) B20 recommendation was not addressed in the G20 documents.Cycle based analysis

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Main Findings

• Total of 262 recommendations: 93 (35.5%) reflected in G20 documents as commitments and/or mandates

• Toronto: 11 recommendations as a response to the G20 priorities on the eve of the summit

• Seoul (57 recommendations): increase in the number and expansion into new areas of green growth, ICT and innovations, infrastructure development and health

• Cannes (118 recommendations): increase in the number and expansion into new areas of food security, anticorruption, global governance and financing for development

• Los Cabos: 76 recommendations

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B20 Recommendations’ Scores Distribution

Scoring

Toronto Seoul Cannes Los Cabos Total

No. % No. % No. % No. % No. %

-1 0 0 30 52.6 47 39.8 28 36.8 105 40.1

0 4 36.4 11 19.3 26 22 23 30.3 64 24.4

+1 7 63.6 16 28.1 45 38.1 25 32.9 93 35.5

Total 11 100 57 100 118 100 76 100 262 100

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B20 Recommendations’ Scores Distribution by Areas

-1

0

+1

Finan

cial R

egulati

on

Internati

onal Moneta

ry Sy

stem

Food se

curit

y

Macroeco

nomicTra

de

Infrastr

ucture

Green Gro

wth

Corruption

Investm

ent

Global Gove

rnan

ce

Employm

ent, H

uman Cap

ital, S

ocial Is

sues

Energ

y

Finan

cing f

or gro

wth and dev

elopmen

t

ICT, Te

chnologie

s and In

novations

Total

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

3

35

4 84

17

7

84

11

7

717

1056

1 4

49

37

8

2 211

3

1

3

64

16 7 15

7 123 10 6 4 2 7 3

1

93

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Financial Regulation: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

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International Monetary System (for Cannes only)

• 4.2% of all recommendations• 63.6% of recommendations were acted upon by G20• Level of reflection is the highest after Financial Regulation• High level of correlation between B20 recommendations

and G20 decisions explained by B20 sharing G20 established agenda and reflecting it in recommendations, rather than B20 influencing G20 decisions

11

Macroeconomic Policy: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

12

Food Security: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

13

Trade: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

14

Investment: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

15

Infrastructure: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

16

Employment, Human Capital and Social Issues: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

17

Green Growth: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

18

ICT, Technologies and Innovations: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

19

Energy: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

20

Corruption: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

21

Financing for Development: Scores Distribution by Presidencies

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Global Governance and Impact and Advocacy

• 8 recommendations made in Cannes focused on improving G20 coordination and communication with business and other stakeholders, and enhancing G20 transparency and legitimacy

• 2 reflected in G20 decisions, 2 deliberated upon• In Los Cabos the Task Force on Impact and Accountability

addressed its recommendations to B20, not G20• B20 should consider agreeing a set of recommendations

which would integrate proposals to G20 and recommendations to B20 in a balanced manner

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Conclusions

B20 impact on G20 decisions is incremental and mostly tracked in the policy areas and on issues which constitute G20 core agenda. However, there are good examples of B20 leadership and success stories, such as the employment and finance respectively. B20 can build upon its own best practices. This will require three qualities:• B20 capability to identify challenges G20 face, to define B20 priorities

related to these challenges and to agree on a select number of issues B20 would advocate;

• B20 awareness of G20 members’ national circumstances, understanding if G20 consensus may be forged on B20 recommendations;

• B20 capacity to coordinate and consolidate positions across presidencies, B20 consistency and continuity on the issues they prioritize, especially where recommendations fall beyond the G20 core agenda.

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B20 Recommendations’ Scores Distribution by Areas

Area-1 0 1 Total

No. % No. % No. % No. %

Green Growth 17 50 7 20.6 10 29.4 34 100

Employment, Human Capital, Social Issues

11 37.9 11 37.9 7 24.1 29 100

Trade 8 27.6 9 31 12 41.4 29 100

Financial Regulation 3 12 6 24 16 64 25 100

Food security 5 20.8 4 16.7 15 62.5 24 100

Corruption 7 33.3 8 38.1 6 28.6 21 100

ICT, Technologies and Innovations 17 85 3 15 0 0 20 100

Macroeconomic Policy 4 26.7 4 26.7 7 46.7 15 100

Investment 8 57.1 2 14.3 4 28.6 14 100

Energy 7 53.8 3 23.1 3 23.1 13 100

International Monetary System 3 27.3 1 9.1 7 63.6 11 100

Infrastructure 4 40 3 30 3 30 10 100

Financing for development 7 77.8 1 11.1 1 11.1 9 100

Global Governance 4 50 2 25 2 25 8 100

Total 105 40.1 64 24.4 93 35.5 262 100