Post on 03-Aug-2018
Hamilton‐Auckland Passenger Rail Service Strategic Assessment and Evaluation ScopingStrategic Assessment and Evaluation Scoping
Roger Boulter Don Wignall
Boulter Consulting Transport Futures Ltd
06 379 8909/ 021 872 654 04 475 7730/ 021 139 4438/ /
roger@boulter.co.nz transportfutures@xtra.co.nz
www.boulter.co.nz www.transportfutures.co.nz
KiwiRail’sPreliminary Economic Evaluation HandbookPreliminary Economic Evaluation Handbook
Passenger Rail Services
CBA only part of a bigger pictureCBA only part of a bigger picture
Evaluation in ContextStrategic AssessmentStrategic Assessment (Polices and Strategies)
Detailed EvaluationDetailed Evaluation (Proposals and Options)
E i E l tiEconomic Evaluation (Cost Benefit Analysis)
Strategic level assessmentStrategic level assessment
• ‘Level of service’ (users; ‘fit for purpose’?)
• Rail service with Expressway, urban railRail service with Expressway, urban rail services & urban form
A l i / ‘ id i ’ b fi• Agglomeration/ ‘wider economic’ benefits
• Congestion, saved parking, urban designg , p g, g
• High proportion of benefits are to Auckland
• Practical constraints are challenges to overcome
Detailed level evaluation (KiwiRail Handbook cf NZTA Manual)
l• User consumer surplus • Road traffic relief (as in NZTA Manual)( )• Community option values, non‐use values (in Handbook: subject to continuing NZTAHandbook: subject to continuing NZTA research)
• Health benefits (in NZTA Manual but not• Health benefits (in NZTA Manual but not usually applied to PT)
• Other benefits (e.g. agglomeration, externalities)
Benefit‐cost ratios (base assumptions may differ)
NZTA Manual BCR KiwiRail Handbook BCRNZTA Manual BCR KiwiRail Handbook BCR
Through rail service ( )
1.5 2.5(Hamilton‐Auckland)
Shuttle rail service 1.4 2.4(Hamilton‐Papakura)
Farebox recovery % and costs/ pax kmFarebox recovery % and costs/ pax‐km
Farebox recovery % Cost per Passenger kmFarebox recovery % Cost per Passenger km
Through rail service 44% 19 centsThrough rail service (Hamilton‐Auckland)
44% 19 cents
Shuttle rail service (Hamilton‐Papakura)
31% 24 cents
Practical issues and their resolutionPractical issues and their resolution
il i / ik• Rail service/ Waikato expressway: NZTA strategic planning approach
• Hamilton‐Auckland vs Auckland urban rail: LTMA requires inter‐regional; benefits inc to q g ;Auckland; practical issues surmountable (e.g. Strand))
• Auckland CBD rail loop? Neither pre‐requisite nor guarantee of Hamilton servicenor guarantee of Hamilton service
• Level of service, spatial planning
Conclusions & recommendationsConclusions & recommendations
C h i & tifi d t t i t• Comprehensive & quantified strategic assessment merited
• Adverse issues are short term and detailed level• Adverse issues are short‐term and detailed level –look to overcome
• EW/ AT joint study with NZTA support• EW/ AT joint study with NZTA support• Look at corridor as a whole – urban rail, regional rail Expressway urban formrail, Expressway, urban form
• Papakura shuttle (preferable to Pukekohe, more trains) as short‐term onlytrains) as short term only
• Auckland/ Waikato allocation of costs