Future ICT Megatrends: The Internet of Things and the ... · Wolfgang Wahlster. German Research...

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Wolfgang Wahlster

German Research Center for Artificial IntelligenceSaarbrücken, Kaiserslautern, Bremen, Berlin

Phone: +49 (681) 302-5252/4162Fax: +49 (681) 302-5383/5341

Email: wahlster@dfki.deWWW: http://www.dfki.de/~wahlster

Opening:Future Information & Communication Technologies

Future Technologies I: CommunicationSession 2

Hannover, 3 November 2010

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Communication: Anytime, Anywherefor Everybody?

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Source: Unstrung Insider1. Massive traffic increase (-> Anja Feldmann)2. Flat rate pricing schemes3. Revenues go to services (eg. Google, Facebook)

The Economy of Digital Communication

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ADSL2+

ADSL2

VDSL2

ADSL

HSPA+WiMAX

HSPA

GPON

GPRS

P2P - FE

0,51

4

810

24

100

10000

500

1000

´00 ´02 ´04 ´08 ´10´06 ´12

UMTS

P2P - GE

LTEWiMAX

NG PON

Fixed-Line NetworksFactor10

Factor 100

Mbps per User

Fixed-Line and Wireless Bandwidth areIncreasing Rapidly, but at different Pace

Challenge: Mobile 3D-Video Streaming

Wireless Networks

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SpeechGraphics

Gesture

MultimodalInteraction

Combining all Senses -Getting Rid of Keyboard and Mouse

Facial Expression Body LanguageBiometrics

Physical Action

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Embodied Interaction with Emotional Virtual Characters (-> Keynote Justine Cassell)

Lifelike conversational partner with emotional tearing

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70 Years of Computer Technology: From Zuse‘s Z3 to Smart Spaces

90% of all computers areembedded and invisible

5) Intelligent Environments

4) Embedded Computers

3) Smart PhoneSmart Card, nPA

Zeit2000 202019801960

Smart City

1) Central Computer2) PC, Notebook

1 ComputerMany Users 1 Computer

1 User

1 UserMany ComputersM2M Communication

1941

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Smart Spaces, Instrumented Environments andAmbient Intelligence (-> Keynote Hideyuki Nakashima)

Smart Class Room

Smart ShopSmart Factory

Smart Home

Smart City

Smart Spaces

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Digital Agenda: Bridging the Digital Divide

Workshop 2.1: Internet of Services for Developing

CountriesWorkshop 2.2: Ambient

Assisted Living

Rich Poor

Young

Old

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Breaking Communication Barriers

German Chinese

Man Man

Chinese Java

Man Machine

OWL RDF

Machine Machine

Human Human

Speech-to-Speech Translation

Human Machine

Human-Machine Interaction

Machine Machine

M2M Communication

Communication between

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Digital Agenda 2020: Use ICT to makehuman-machine interaction more user-friendly, intuitive and accessible for every citizen.

Human users should not

be forced to adopt to the

language of the machines,

but the machines should

adopt the language of

their users

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Oral Society

TextualSociety

2050

today-560 Years W

+40 Years today

StoreRetrieve

CopyEdit

1450 Mainz

Digital Voice RecordingVoicemail

Speech Retrieval

SimultaneousSpeech Translation Systems

Summarization Systems

A Bold Vision: Back to an Oral Society?

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Zu

Thank you for your attention

Zuse Year 2010