ENSO update - OCOF 154 · NINO3.4 –0.1 –0.1 +0.1 NINO4 +0.1 +0.3 +0.3 Weekly data for the week...

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Transcript of ENSO update - OCOF 154 · NINO3.4 –0.1 –0.1 +0.1 NINO4 +0.1 +0.3 +0.3 Weekly data for the week...

ENSO update - OCOF 154

15 July 2020

ENSO Update

June 2020 SSTs

NINO SST anomalies (°C)

IndexMay2020

June2020

Latest weekly

NINO3 0.0 –0.4 –0.2

NINO3.4 –0.1 –0.1 +0.1

NINO4 +0.1 +0.3 +0.3

Weekly data for theweek ending 12/07/2020

Equatorial Pacific sub-surface profileBureau of Meteorology

Equatorial Pacific sub-surface profile

June 2020 Sea Level Anomaly

Ocean Currents at 9 July 2020

A

B

Southern Oscillation Index

At 12 July 2020: 30-day SOI = –1; 90-day SOI = –2

Equatorial Trade Winds

Equatorial Trade Winds

Equatorial Pacific

June

Madden-Julian Oscillation

ECMWF

NCEP

Satellite Rainfall

A B

C

Satellite Rainfall Anomaly

Units = mm per month

Model Rainfall Predictions (JAS)

Model Rainfall Predictions (JAS)

Model Rainfall Predictions (JJA)

Model Rainfall Predictions (JAS)

Climate Model Summary