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The Fossil Fuel EraThe Fossil Fuel Era

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-4000 -1000 1500 1800 2000 2500

A Brief Moment in Time

fusion

A Century of Change A Century of Change (1900 (=1) vs 2000)(1900 (=1) vs 2000)

• Industrial Output: 40

• Marine Fish Catch: 35

• CO2 Emissions: 17

• Total Energy Use: 16

• Coal Production: 7

• World Population: 4

• Forest Area: 0.8

Critical QuestionCritical Question

• Can This Century also stand a 4-fold increase in world population (from 6 to 24 billion)

• Will the emerging world market of China promote this kind of growth in the same way the industrial revolution did?

United States Energy Usage

Transportation CrazeTransportation Craze

Emerging Markets in India and China are Emerging Markets in India and China are source of real concern source of real concern approaching 1 approaching 1 billion vehicles:billion vehicles:

Every year We Drive More MilesEvery year We Drive More Miles

Hey, It’s Hey, It’s TheThe American American WayWay

Business As UsualBusiness As Usual

Possible FuturesPossible Futures

But role of clouds and aerosols are a But role of clouds and aerosols are a major complication.major complication.

Our Fossil Fuel Legacy

But Hey – We Are Green –But Hey – We Are Green –let’s Hide the COlet’s Hide the CO22 for awhile for awhile

Ice Core Data is Ice Core Data is RevealingRevealing

Currently 380 PPM; 30% higher than anytime in the last 450,000 years

And Let’s Not Forget And Let’s Not Forget MethaneMethane

25x GWP of Carbon Dixoide25x GWP of Carbon Dixoide Rice fields, cow slaughtering, Rice fields, cow slaughtering,

sewagesewage

Who Is to Blame?Who Is to Blame?

And All the Rest of Us That Think We Are at the Center of the Universe and therefore in a Privileged Position in Nature

Humans and NatureHumans and Nature Like it or not, Historically the collective of Like it or not, Historically the collective of

humanity has treated nature as a humanity has treated nature as a consumableconsumable

Most wars/conflicts are related to resource Most wars/conflicts are related to resource shortages or the need to acquire new landshortages or the need to acquire new land

Physics tells us we are in a necessary Physics tells us we are in a necessary partnership with nature and that resources partnership with nature and that resources are finiteare finite

Don’t look to the past Don’t look to the past look to the future look to the future where humanity evolves out of its adolescent where humanity evolves out of its adolescent stage into a more cooperative stagestage into a more cooperative stage