350 Presentation

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Transcript of 350 Presentation

?WHAT IS

it’s MORE than a NUMBER...

SCIENCE

it’s about…

a SCIENTIFIC TARGET…

CHANGING CLIMATE

FOR OUR

it’s a opportunityPOLITICAL

a specific goal

to shift what’s possible for

A GLOBAL CLIMATE TREATY

it’s about…

MOVEMENT

moving away from fossil fuels

a rallying cry for a global movement

and a single day to join together

AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD

24 oct.

an international day of

climateaction2009

SCIENCE

THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT

387ppm CO2

today:

Do you think we’re above or

below where we need to be?

NOW

climate change is impacting our planet

NATURAL WORLD

it’s impacting our

GLACIERS ARE MELTING

MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 1941

MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 2004

PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 1920

PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 2005

OCEANS ARE ACIDIFYING

Coral reefs are bleaching

SEA LEVELS ARE RISING

Three Year Average

Satellite Altimetry

Year

Sea

Leve

l Cha

nge

(cm

)

WEATHER IS BECOMING MORE EXTREME

Australia suffers worst drought in

1,000 years “ ”

- Guardian UK, Nov 7, 2008

Burma cyclone death toll rises above 43,000. “ ”- USA Today, May 15th, 2008

U.S. dealing with

Katrina’s wrath as death toll

soars.

“ ”- International Herald Tribune,

August 31, 2005

Solomon Islands declare

FLOOD DISASTER.“ ”- Reuters Feb 4, 2009

MAJOR FLOODS PER DECADE

FORESTS ARE THREATENED

“Rapid Warming’ Spreads Havoc in Canada’s Forests.“ ”

- Washington Post, March 1, 2006

Australia fires spark calls for CLIMATE ACTION“ ”- Washington Post, March 1, 2006

climate change impacts

HUMANITY

threatens the survival of

SMALL ISLANDS

[Small islands] are like the canary in the coal mine in terms of the

dramatic impact of climate change on a whole civilization of

people. They didn’t cause the problem, but they will be among

the first to feel it.

“ ”- James J. McCarth,

Oceanographer

impacts

LOCAL LIVELIHOODS

The most comprehensive review ever carried out on the economics of climate change warns that global warming could inflict worldwide disruption as great as that caused by the two World Wars and the Great Depression.

“ ”- Environmental News Service

STERN REVIEW, 2006

The world has never faced such a predictably massive threat to

food production as that posed by the melting mountain glaciers of

Asia

“ ”- Lester Brown, Earth Policy

Institute, Author of Plan B

DISRUPTS FOOD PRODUCTION

Global Warming Increases Malaria, Dengue Fever Threat, UN Says.“ ”- Bloomberg, Nov. 27, 2007

AFFECTS OUR HEALTH:

Climate change could force

1 BILLION from their homes by 2050.

“ ”- April 30, 2008, The Independent.

CREATES CLIMATE REFUGEES

Climate change will draw ever-deeper lines of division and conflict in international relations… over the distribution of resources, especially water and land.

“ ”- Report: World in Transition

THREATENS SECURITY:

387ppm CO2

today:

CO2 CONCENTRATIONS ARE OFF THE CHARTS

CO2 in PPM

TEMPERATURE

Years

Part

s p

er M

illio

n C

O2

TODAY: 387ppm

550ppm? More?

EARLY 1900S

LAST ICE AGE

Where we’ll be mid-century if we keep this up

The most startling evidence yet…

is the MELTING OF THE ARCTIC.

New predictionsSatellite observations

Mean IPCC predictionMost likely change (melt)

IPCC rangeActual observed melting

it has melted nearly

80 YEARS ahead of when

scientists predicted

YEAR

% c

hang

e in

ice

co

ver

do you think we’re above or

below where we need to be?

So,

CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE

WE’RE HERE: 387

WE NEED TO BE HERE: 350

PART

S PE

R M

ILLI

ON

CO

2

YEAR

“If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.”

- NASA climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008

?HOW DO WE GET TO

GLOBAL EMISSIONS STILL RISING 2PPM PER YEAR

Total

Petroleum

CoalNatural GasCement Production

YEAR

MIL

LIO

N M

ETRI

C T

ON

S O

F C

ARB

ON

/YEA

R

MEANS MEANS

REMAKING REMAKING OUR WORLDOUR WORLD

IT MEANS PUTTING UP WIND TURBINESINSTEAD OF COAL PLANTS

IT MEANS PLANTING TREESINSTEAD OF CLEAR-CUTTING

RAINFORESTS

AND IMPLEMENTING AND IMPLEMENTING A A THOUSAND THOUSAND

DIFFERENT SOLUTIONSDIFFERENT SOLUTIONS

that can create new jobs

And make our communities

HEALTHIER

PART

S PE

R M

ILLI

ON

CO

2

YEAR

Phaseout of coal by 2030Improved forestry and soil

Reduced oil/gas use

GETTING TO 350

POLITICS

2009

IS A CRUCIAL YEAR

World leaders will gather to create a new climate treaty

at the end of the year in

Copenhagen.

this all began 20 years ago

1988: Jim Hansen made his first testimony to the U.S. Congress on global

warming

1988: The IPCC was created to “provide the

decision-makers and others interested in climate change with an objective source

of information about climate change”

NEW REPORTS EVERY 4 YEARS

SCIENTISTS

WON THE NOBEL PRIZE IN 2007 WITH AL GORE

UNFCCC, United Nations Framework UNFCCC, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Convention on Climate Change created at the Rio Earth Summitcreated at the Rio Earth Summit

COPENHAGENCOPENHAGEN

RIORIO

KYOTO PROTOCOL 1997Ratified TreatyDidn’t Ratify

Signed, Ratification PendingNo Position

Each year there is a two-week Conference of the Parties (COP) to discuss the terms of the Kyoto Treaty

COP 12 Montreal, Canada 2005

10,000participants come together

from governments, corporations, media, civil society, and NGOs

to try to INFLUENCE this process

Now, Kyoto is set to

EXPIRE, and negotiators must

agree upon a new treaty by the end of

this year.

In 2007, at COP 13 in Bali, Indonesia

NEGOTIATORS CREATED THE BALI ROADMAP

•ADAPTATION

•MITIGATION

•TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER

•FINANCIAL RESOURCES

IPCC

450ppm(in 2007- last report)

MITIGATION TARGETS:

450ppm = 50% chance of 2°C

warming

As effects of warming grow, UN Report is

QUICKLY DATED.“ ”-February 12, 2009, Yale Environment 360

350ppm has begun gaining traction in the INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS

Two degrees (450ppm) is really not a safe level for small island states. For

many of them it would be like a death sentence in the long run.“ ”- Leon Charles, Chair of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS)

Gore won the loudest cheers [at COP14 in Poland) for supporting a tougher limit on levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than a widespread aim of 450 ppm or more. ‘We will soon need to toughen that goal to 350,’ he said. – Reuters, December 2008

DECEMBER 2009

By the end of this year, negotiators must agree upon the final terms for a NEW CLIMATE TREATY in Copenhagen

Many are concerned about the prospects for a treaty that is

fair and just:•CDM

•CARBON TRADING

•INDIGENOUS REPRESENTATION

•KYOTO HASN’T REDUCED EMISSIONS

•FINANCING FROM DEVELOPED TO DEVELOPING NATIONS

But there is reason to hope that a new treaty could be BETTER

My presidency will mark a new chapter on American leadership on climate change.

There is a lot of work to be done this year. If the nations of the world were to agree upon a deal right now, it would

be FLAWED AND INADEQUATE.

That’s why we need to make our

voices heard in 2009

HOPE

THE MOVEMENT

POTENTIAL FOR A GLOBAL MOVEMENT:

WE ARE READY FOR ACTION: Global public opinion polls have found 9 in 10 people want action on climate change, and 7 in 10 want to see dramatic action ‘very soon’

WE ARE ORGANIZED: 110,00 civil society organizations listed on WiserEarth.org

WE ARE NETWORKED: Since 2007, Avaaz.org has collected 10 million signatures online for human rights and environmental causes

BILLIONS on email lists

100+ MILLION blogs

50 MILLION Facebook users

55 MILLION users/month on YouTube

Roughly 25% of the world’s population is on-line.

A GROWING GLOBAL CLIMATE

MOVEMENT

BALI, INDONESIA

LEBANON

UNITED KINGDOM

AUSTRALIA

[INSERT YOUR OWN CLIMATE ACTION PHOTO!]

Make the

INVISIBLEVISIBLE

can unite us

HOW?

A single, clear message

for everyone who believes in fighting for safety from

DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE

Who is ?A global movement of concerned citizens

A network of partner organizations

Messengers

A coordinating team of young people from around the world

ALL OF US who seek a just and equitable solution to the climate crisis

350 IS A GLOBAL

MOVEMENT OF CONCERNED CITIZENS

CAMEROON

NUNAVUT, CANADA

NAGPUR, INDIA

BOGOTÁ, COLOMBIA

VALDIVIA, CHILE

[INSERT YOUR OWN 350 ACTION PHOTO!]

350 IS A NETWORK OF

PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS

to the

GRASSROOTS

From INTERNATIONAL NGOS

INSERT INFORMATION ABOUT YOUR OWN ORGANIZATION’S

INFORMATION

350 IS AIDED BY INSPIRING

MESSENGERS

If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed, and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.

-NASA Climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008

Climate change is already dangerous. As the Arctic melts and the small islands sink below a rising sea, the world cannot stand immobile. Inuit and all Peoples have the right to live safely in their culture. As a shared humanity, we must back away from the precipice. 350 is a good target to head towards.

-Sheila Watt-Cloutier, Former International Chair, Inuit Circumpolar Conference

Why 350? We must return to the Earth’s natural balance!

-David Suzuki, Canadian Scientist, Author, and Activist

Getting to 350 means changing everything about our global economy. It means providing clean-energy jobs to rewire every corner of the world and catalyzing a global transformation built on principles of equity and opportunity.

-Van Jones, Civil Rights and Environmental Advocate

Climate change is a reality. Life depends on a sustainable environment. With no world, there can only be nothing- no birds, no animals, no trees, no us. That’s why getting involved with 350.org is so important – it’s an effective way to take action to turn around the climate crisis.

-Desmond Tutu, Archbishop Emeritus

I am completely behind the 350 campaign. A shift from industrial agriculture to ecological, local food systems would be the biggest single step to move towards 350 and a safe climate, while simultaneously solving the food crisis.

-Vandana Shiva, Environmental Leader

350 IS COORDINATED BY A TEAM OF

YOUTH FROM AROUND THE WORLD

Civilization is what grows up in the margins of leisure and security provided by a workable relationship with the natural world. That margin won’t exist, at least for long, as long as we remain on the wrong side of 350. That’s the limit we face.

-Bill McKibben, author, environmental leader, and Director of 350.org

And author and environ-mentalist Bill

McKibben

THE SAME TEAM FROM STEP IT UP 2007

2,000 EVENTS

2,000 EVENTS

1 DAY

2,000 EVENTS

1 DAY

1 MESSAGE

80% BY

2050

OUR STRATEGY:

CREATIVE ACTIONS

+

TARGETED AND SPECIFIC MESSAGE

=

REAL CHANGE IN THE POLICY DISCUSSION

GET INVOLVED!

24 oct.

an international day of

climateaction2009

ORGANIZE AN ACTION IN YOUR COMMUNITY.

Six weeks before the UN climate negotiations in Copenhagen.

A SINGLE DAY TO JOIN TOGETHER

AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD

TO THE MEDIA

TO DECISION-MAKERS

TO THE WORLD

What will we do at these events?

United by our COMMON CALL TO ACTION…

WE WILL GATHER

WE WILL MARCH

WE WILL HIKE TO THE TOPS OF MOUNTAINS

WE WILL DIVE UNDERWATER

WE WILL RIDE OUR BIKES

WE WILL GET CREATIVE

WE WILL LOBBY OUR POLITICIANS

The options are open...

WHAT’S YOUR

IDEA?

WHERE WILL WE TAKE

ACTION?

iconic places

places we hold dear

places we hold dear

in the face of our changing

climate

places important to places important to our communities our communities

OUTCOME

A GLOBAL MOVEMENT, CONNECTED BY THE INTERNET, WITH A

COMMON CALL TO ACTION.

THE 350 ANIMATION:

JOIN THE

MOVEMENT.Take a stand for a fair global climate deal

that meets the latest science. SIGN UP!

Insert your contact info hereLOCAL

GLOBAL

24 october, 2009 SAVE THE DATE!

Sources

• Hansen’s paper• BBC World Service Poll -

http://www.globescan.com/news_archives/bbc_climate/