350 Presentation

164
? WHAT IS

Transcript of 350 Presentation

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?WHAT IS

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it’s MORE than a NUMBER...

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SCIENCE

it’s about…

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a SCIENTIFIC TARGET…

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CHANGING CLIMATE

FOR OUR

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it’s a opportunityPOLITICAL

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a specific goal

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to shift what’s possible for

A GLOBAL CLIMATE TREATY

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it’s about…

MOVEMENT

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moving away from fossil fuels

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a rallying cry for a global movement

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and a single day to join together

AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD

24 oct.

an international day of

climateaction2009

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SCIENCE

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THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT

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387ppm CO2

today:

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Do you think we’re above or

below where we need to be?

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NOW

climate change is impacting our planet

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NATURAL WORLD

it’s impacting our

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GLACIERS ARE MELTING

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MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 1941

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MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 2004

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PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 1920

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PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 2005

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OCEANS ARE ACIDIFYING

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Coral reefs are bleaching

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SEA LEVELS ARE RISING

Three Year Average

Satellite Altimetry

Year

Sea

Leve

l Cha

nge

(cm

)

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WEATHER IS BECOMING MORE EXTREME

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Australia suffers worst drought in

1,000 years “ ”

- Guardian UK, Nov 7, 2008

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Burma cyclone death toll rises above 43,000. “ ”- USA Today, May 15th, 2008

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U.S. dealing with

Katrina’s wrath as death toll

soars.

“ ”- International Herald Tribune,

August 31, 2005

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Solomon Islands declare

FLOOD DISASTER.“ ”- Reuters Feb 4, 2009

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MAJOR FLOODS PER DECADE

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FORESTS ARE THREATENED

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“Rapid Warming’ Spreads Havoc in Canada’s Forests.“ ”

- Washington Post, March 1, 2006

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Australia fires spark calls for CLIMATE ACTION“ ”- Washington Post, March 1, 2006

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climate change impacts

HUMANITY

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threatens the survival of

SMALL ISLANDS

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[Small islands] are like the canary in the coal mine in terms of the

dramatic impact of climate change on a whole civilization of

people. They didn’t cause the problem, but they will be among

the first to feel it.

“ ”- James J. McCarth,

Oceanographer

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impacts

LOCAL LIVELIHOODS

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The most comprehensive review ever carried out on the economics of climate change warns that global warming could inflict worldwide disruption as great as that caused by the two World Wars and the Great Depression.

“ ”- Environmental News Service

STERN REVIEW, 2006

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The world has never faced such a predictably massive threat to

food production as that posed by the melting mountain glaciers of

Asia

“ ”- Lester Brown, Earth Policy

Institute, Author of Plan B

DISRUPTS FOOD PRODUCTION

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Global Warming Increases Malaria, Dengue Fever Threat, UN Says.“ ”- Bloomberg, Nov. 27, 2007

AFFECTS OUR HEALTH:

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Climate change could force

1 BILLION from their homes by 2050.

“ ”- April 30, 2008, The Independent.

CREATES CLIMATE REFUGEES

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Climate change will draw ever-deeper lines of division and conflict in international relations… over the distribution of resources, especially water and land.

“ ”- Report: World in Transition

THREATENS SECURITY:

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387ppm CO2

today:

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CO2 CONCENTRATIONS ARE OFF THE CHARTS

CO2 in PPM

TEMPERATURE

Years

Part

s p

er M

illio

n C

O2

TODAY: 387ppm

550ppm? More?

EARLY 1900S

LAST ICE AGE

Where we’ll be mid-century if we keep this up

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The most startling evidence yet…

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is the MELTING OF THE ARCTIC.

New predictionsSatellite observations

Mean IPCC predictionMost likely change (melt)

IPCC rangeActual observed melting

it has melted nearly

80 YEARS ahead of when

scientists predicted

YEAR

% c

hang

e in

ice

co

ver

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do you think we’re above or

below where we need to be?

So,

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CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE

WE’RE HERE: 387

WE NEED TO BE HERE: 350

PART

S PE

R M

ILLI

ON

CO

2

YEAR

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“If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.”

- NASA climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008

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?HOW DO WE GET TO

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GLOBAL EMISSIONS STILL RISING 2PPM PER YEAR

Total

Petroleum

CoalNatural GasCement Production

YEAR

MIL

LIO

N M

ETRI

C T

ON

S O

F C

ARB

ON

/YEA

R

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MEANS MEANS

REMAKING REMAKING OUR WORLDOUR WORLD

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IT MEANS PUTTING UP WIND TURBINESINSTEAD OF COAL PLANTS

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IT MEANS PLANTING TREESINSTEAD OF CLEAR-CUTTING

RAINFORESTS

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AND IMPLEMENTING AND IMPLEMENTING A A THOUSAND THOUSAND

DIFFERENT SOLUTIONSDIFFERENT SOLUTIONS

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that can create new jobs

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And make our communities

HEALTHIER

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PART

S PE

R M

ILLI

ON

CO

2

YEAR

Phaseout of coal by 2030Improved forestry and soil

Reduced oil/gas use

GETTING TO 350

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POLITICS

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2009

IS A CRUCIAL YEAR

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World leaders will gather to create a new climate treaty

at the end of the year in

Copenhagen.

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this all began 20 years ago

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1988: Jim Hansen made his first testimony to the U.S. Congress on global

warming

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1988: The IPCC was created to “provide the

decision-makers and others interested in climate change with an objective source

of information about climate change”

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NEW REPORTS EVERY 4 YEARS

SCIENTISTS

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WON THE NOBEL PRIZE IN 2007 WITH AL GORE

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UNFCCC, United Nations Framework UNFCCC, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Convention on Climate Change created at the Rio Earth Summitcreated at the Rio Earth Summit

COPENHAGENCOPENHAGEN

RIORIO

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KYOTO PROTOCOL 1997Ratified TreatyDidn’t Ratify

Signed, Ratification PendingNo Position

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Each year there is a two-week Conference of the Parties (COP) to discuss the terms of the Kyoto Treaty

COP 12 Montreal, Canada 2005

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10,000participants come together

from governments, corporations, media, civil society, and NGOs

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to try to INFLUENCE this process

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Now, Kyoto is set to

EXPIRE, and negotiators must

agree upon a new treaty by the end of

this year.

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In 2007, at COP 13 in Bali, Indonesia

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NEGOTIATORS CREATED THE BALI ROADMAP

•ADAPTATION

•MITIGATION

•TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER

•FINANCIAL RESOURCES

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IPCC

450ppm(in 2007- last report)

MITIGATION TARGETS:

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450ppm = 50% chance of 2°C

warming

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As effects of warming grow, UN Report is

QUICKLY DATED.“ ”-February 12, 2009, Yale Environment 360

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350ppm has begun gaining traction in the INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS

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Two degrees (450ppm) is really not a safe level for small island states. For

many of them it would be like a death sentence in the long run.“ ”- Leon Charles, Chair of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS)

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Gore won the loudest cheers [at COP14 in Poland) for supporting a tougher limit on levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than a widespread aim of 450 ppm or more. ‘We will soon need to toughen that goal to 350,’ he said. – Reuters, December 2008

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DECEMBER 2009

By the end of this year, negotiators must agree upon the final terms for a NEW CLIMATE TREATY in Copenhagen

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Many are concerned about the prospects for a treaty that is

fair and just:•CDM

•CARBON TRADING

•INDIGENOUS REPRESENTATION

•KYOTO HASN’T REDUCED EMISSIONS

•FINANCING FROM DEVELOPED TO DEVELOPING NATIONS

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But there is reason to hope that a new treaty could be BETTER

My presidency will mark a new chapter on American leadership on climate change.

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There is a lot of work to be done this year. If the nations of the world were to agree upon a deal right now, it would

be FLAWED AND INADEQUATE.

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That’s why we need to make our

voices heard in 2009

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HOPE

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THE MOVEMENT

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POTENTIAL FOR A GLOBAL MOVEMENT:

WE ARE READY FOR ACTION: Global public opinion polls have found 9 in 10 people want action on climate change, and 7 in 10 want to see dramatic action ‘very soon’

WE ARE ORGANIZED: 110,00 civil society organizations listed on WiserEarth.org

WE ARE NETWORKED: Since 2007, Avaaz.org has collected 10 million signatures online for human rights and environmental causes

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BILLIONS on email lists

100+ MILLION blogs

50 MILLION Facebook users

55 MILLION users/month on YouTube

Roughly 25% of the world’s population is on-line.

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A GROWING GLOBAL CLIMATE

MOVEMENT

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BALI, INDONESIA

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LEBANON

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UNITED KINGDOM

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AUSTRALIA

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[INSERT YOUR OWN CLIMATE ACTION PHOTO!]

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Make the

INVISIBLEVISIBLE

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can unite us

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HOW?

A single, clear message

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for everyone who believes in fighting for safety from

DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE

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Who is ?A global movement of concerned citizens

A network of partner organizations

Messengers

A coordinating team of young people from around the world

ALL OF US who seek a just and equitable solution to the climate crisis

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350 IS A GLOBAL

MOVEMENT OF CONCERNED CITIZENS

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CAMEROON

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NUNAVUT, CANADA

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NAGPUR, INDIA

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BOGOTÁ, COLOMBIA

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VALDIVIA, CHILE

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[INSERT YOUR OWN 350 ACTION PHOTO!]

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350 IS A NETWORK OF

PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS

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to the

GRASSROOTS

From INTERNATIONAL NGOS

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INSERT INFORMATION ABOUT YOUR OWN ORGANIZATION’S

INFORMATION

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350 IS AIDED BY INSPIRING

MESSENGERS

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If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed, and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.

-NASA Climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008

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Climate change is already dangerous. As the Arctic melts and the small islands sink below a rising sea, the world cannot stand immobile. Inuit and all Peoples have the right to live safely in their culture. As a shared humanity, we must back away from the precipice. 350 is a good target to head towards.

-Sheila Watt-Cloutier, Former International Chair, Inuit Circumpolar Conference

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Why 350? We must return to the Earth’s natural balance!

-David Suzuki, Canadian Scientist, Author, and Activist

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Getting to 350 means changing everything about our global economy. It means providing clean-energy jobs to rewire every corner of the world and catalyzing a global transformation built on principles of equity and opportunity.

-Van Jones, Civil Rights and Environmental Advocate

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Climate change is a reality. Life depends on a sustainable environment. With no world, there can only be nothing- no birds, no animals, no trees, no us. That’s why getting involved with 350.org is so important – it’s an effective way to take action to turn around the climate crisis.

-Desmond Tutu, Archbishop Emeritus

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I am completely behind the 350 campaign. A shift from industrial agriculture to ecological, local food systems would be the biggest single step to move towards 350 and a safe climate, while simultaneously solving the food crisis.

-Vandana Shiva, Environmental Leader

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350 IS COORDINATED BY A TEAM OF

YOUTH FROM AROUND THE WORLD

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Civilization is what grows up in the margins of leisure and security provided by a workable relationship with the natural world. That margin won’t exist, at least for long, as long as we remain on the wrong side of 350. That’s the limit we face.

-Bill McKibben, author, environmental leader, and Director of 350.org

And author and environ-mentalist Bill

McKibben

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THE SAME TEAM FROM STEP IT UP 2007

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2,000 EVENTS

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2,000 EVENTS

1 DAY

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2,000 EVENTS

1 DAY

1 MESSAGE

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80% BY

2050

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OUR STRATEGY:

CREATIVE ACTIONS

+

TARGETED AND SPECIFIC MESSAGE

=

REAL CHANGE IN THE POLICY DISCUSSION

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GET INVOLVED!

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24 oct.

an international day of

climateaction2009

ORGANIZE AN ACTION IN YOUR COMMUNITY.

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Six weeks before the UN climate negotiations in Copenhagen.

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A SINGLE DAY TO JOIN TOGETHER

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AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD

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TO THE MEDIA

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TO DECISION-MAKERS

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TO THE WORLD

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What will we do at these events?

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United by our COMMON CALL TO ACTION…

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WE WILL GATHER

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WE WILL MARCH

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WE WILL HIKE TO THE TOPS OF MOUNTAINS

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WE WILL DIVE UNDERWATER

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WE WILL RIDE OUR BIKES

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WE WILL GET CREATIVE

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WE WILL LOBBY OUR POLITICIANS

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The options are open...

WHAT’S YOUR

IDEA?

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WHERE WILL WE TAKE

ACTION?

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iconic places

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places we hold dear

places we hold dear

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in the face of our changing

climate

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places important to places important to our communities our communities

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OUTCOME

A GLOBAL MOVEMENT, CONNECTED BY THE INTERNET, WITH A

COMMON CALL TO ACTION.

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THE 350 ANIMATION:

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JOIN THE

MOVEMENT.Take a stand for a fair global climate deal

that meets the latest science. SIGN UP!

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Insert your contact info hereLOCAL

GLOBAL

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24 october, 2009 SAVE THE DATE!

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Sources

• Hansen’s paper• BBC World Service Poll -

http://www.globescan.com/news_archives/bbc_climate/