2011’S HURRICANE RINA AWAKENS MEMORIES OF 2005’S

HURRICANE WILMA

October 24-November 30, 2011

Dr. Walter Hays Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

ARLENE, BRET, CINDY, DON, FRANKLIN, GERT, HARVEY, IRENE,

JOSE, KATIA, LEE, MARIA, NATE, OPHELIA, PHILIPPE, AND RINA---

FORMED IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN AND GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE

2011 SEASON?

2011’S ATLANTIC BASIN STORM TRACKS

TROPICAL STORM RINA

FORMED OFFSHORE HONDURAS ON MONDAY, OCTOBER 24th and

QUICKLY BECAME A CAT 2 HURRICANE

OCTOBER 25: HURRICANE RINA HEADED TOWARDS A YUCATAN LANDFALL

OCTOBER 26: RINA HEADED TOWARDS A YUCATAN LANDFALL

HURRICANE RINA FORECAST

• A contingent of 82,000 tourists visiting Cancun, Cozumel, and the Maya Riviera and other locales via cruise liners and other modes of travel are at risk.

• Many are beginning to evacuate these areas, some of which were damaged by Wilma.

TOURISTS WAITING TO LEAVE CANCUN

HURRICANE RINA FORECAST

• Hurricane Rina is forecast to make landfall on Thursday, October 27th.

• Rina could make a sharp turn to the east and move towards Cuba and Florida, as Hurricane Wilma did in 2005.

EXAMPLE:HURRICANE WILMA: THREE COUNTRIES (MEXICO, CUBA,

AND USA) FACED A POTENTIAL DISASTER

OCTOBER 18 - 26, 2005

WILMA’S STORM TRACK

Hurricane Wilma was the most intense hurricane ever

in the Atlantic basin

At least 63 deaths were reported, and damage

exceeded $29.1 billion (with $20.6 billion in

the USA)

MONITORING TECHNOLOGY IS A VITAL PART OF THE

SURVIVAL STORY

HURRICANE WILMA: 0845 HOURS OCTOBER 18, 2005

HURRICANE WILMA: A CAT 5 STORM ON OCTOBER 19, 2005

HURRICANE WILMA: OCTOBER 21 CAT 3 LANDFALL AT CANCUN, MX

HURRICANE WILMA: ACTUAL LOCATION; OCTOBER 21, 2005

HURRICANE WILMA: PREDICTED PATH; OCTOBER 21

In Mexico, tourists in the resort city of Cancun and its adjacent islands were told on October 19th to go home, or head inland with

local residents.

HAZARDS OF A HURRICANE (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)

• WIND FIELD (COUNTER CLOCKWISE DIRECTION; CAT 1 (55 mph) TO CAT 5 (155 mph or greater)

• STORM SURGE• HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND FLOODS• LANDSLIDES (MUDFLOWS)• COSTAL EROSION• TORNADOS (SOMETIMES)

HURRICANE WILMA: CAT 3 WINDS; CANCUN, MX

HURRICANE WILMA: CANCUN, MX LANDFALL; HEAVY RAIN FALL

HURRICANE WILMA: CAT 3 WINDS; CANCUN, MX

HURRICANE WILMA: 30,000 STRANDED TOURISTS; CANCUN

HURRICANE WILMA: CAT 3 WINDS; PLAYA DEL CARMAN

HURRICANE WILMA: 24 IN (60 CM) OF RAIN; PLAYA DEL CARMAN

HURRICANE WILMA: 24 IN (60 CM) OF RAIN; PLAYA DEL CARMAN

HURRICANE WILMA: MOVING TOWARDS CUBA AND FLORIDA

HURRICANE WILMA: OCT 19 PREPARATION; HAVANA, CUBA

In Cuba, preparations to evacuate four western

provinces, including the Isle of Youth, were made early.In all, over 368,000 people were ordered to evacuate.

HURRICANE WILMA: 220,000 EVACUATED IN CUBA; OCT 19

HURRICANE WILMA: HAVANA, CUBA

HURRICANE WILMA: CUBA

• Evacuations started early.• Two million residents of Havana,

Cuba sat in darkness as a result of power outages.

• Neighborhoods in Havana were inundated with 1 m (3 ft) of water that reached up to four blocks inland.

HURRICANE WILMA: CUBA

HURRICANE WILMA: PREDICTED PATH; OCTOBER 22

HURRICANE WILMA: FLORIDA

• Wilma, Florida’s eighth hurricane in 15 months, came ashore at 6:30 a.m. ET on October 24th near Cape Romano, 22 miles south of Naples. FL.

HURRICANE WILMA: FLORIDA

• After landfall, Wilma raced through Florida at about 32 km/hr (20 mi/hr).

• In the process, Wilma spawned FIVE tornadoes and dropped 25 cm (10 in) of rain.

LOSS ESTIMATION TECHNOLOGY IS A VITAL PART

OF BEING PREPARED

HURRICANE WILMA: EARLY LOSS ESTIMATE

• Risk Management Solutions estimated that insurance companies would have claims in the range of $6 billion to $10 billion for damage in Florida.

HURRICANE WILMA: LOSS ESTIMATE

• RMS’ estimate was based on onshore damage resulting from wind, a coastal storm surge, business interruption, and increased costs for materials and services needed for repairs.

FLORIDA HAD RESOURCES READY TO GO BEFORE WILMA’S LANDFALL

In Florida, a mandatory evacuation of residents was

ordered for the Florida Keys.

HURRICANE WILMA: OCT 21 EVACUATION; SARASOTA FL

HURRICANE WILMA: OCT 21 PREPARATION; VENICE, FLORIDA

HURRICANE WILMA: OCT 21 PORT CHARLOTTE, FL; PREPARATION

HURRICANE WILMA: FLORIDA

• Winds with gust of over 160 km/hr (100 mi/hr) buffeted heavily populated Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties on the Atlantic coast.

HURRICANE WILMA: FORT LAUDERDALE

HURRICANE WILMA: FLORIDA

• An estimated 6 million homes and businesses across the state experienced power outages.

HURRICANE WILMA: FLORIDA

• Wilma flooded large sections of Key West, including the airport, with 1 to 1 ½ m (3 to 5 ft) water.

HURRICANE WILMA: KEY WEST, FL

HURRICANE WILMA: KEY WEST, FL

The Lower Florida Keys experienced an unusual flood: it occurred twice, increasing the economic

impact.

HURRICANE WILMA: FLOODING IN FLORIDA KEYS

First, as the storm crossed the Gulf towards the State of Florida it pushed water

across the keys from south to north.

Second, after the storm made landfall, it pushed the same water back to the sea.

HURRICANE WILMA: IMPACTS IN FLORIDA

• 6 million homes and businesses lost power.

• The death toll in Flordia from Wilma was low-- 25 people.

• Insured economic losses in Florida was high-- $10 billion.

HURRICANE WILMA: LOSS TO INDUSTRY IN FLORIDA

• A portion of the total economic loss in Florida was sustained by Florida’s 9.1 billion dollar citrus and sugar industries.