Post on 27-Mar-2015
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An Overview of the Region’s Financially Constrained
Long-Range Transportation Plan
John Swanson, Principal Transportation Planner
September 20, 2011Fairfax County Transportation Advisory Committee
National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board
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The Washington Region
Approximately 3,000 square miles
Includes over 5 million people and 3 million jobs.
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Federally Mandated Role: The TPB is responsible for coordinating planning and funding for the region’s transportation system.
Members: representatives of local governments; state transportation agencies; state and District of Columbia legislatures; and WMATA.
What is the Transportation Planning Board?
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Key Roles of the TPB
1. Federally required planning process
2. Forum for regional coordination
3. Technical resources for decision-making
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Federally Required Planning Process
The CLRP – Financially Constrained • Long-Range Transportation Plan • - Comprehensively updated • every four years• - Horizon must be at • least 20 years The TIP – Transportation Improvement Program• - Must be updated every four • years• - Always a six-year program
Key Documents
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Key Federal Requirements
Financial constraint — The CLRP & TIP may only include projects that can be “reasonably anticipated” to be funded.
Emissions impacts — The CLRP & TIP must meet the limits established in the region’s air quality improvement plan. This is called a “conformity finding.”
The Planning Cycle
• 20-30 years • NOT a wish list – Only includes projects that can be
“reasonably anticipated” to be funded– Reflects the region’s priorities
Projects must be in the CLRP in order to qualify for federal funds
CLRP must “conform” to regional air quality goals
What is the Constrained Long-Range Plan?
State Long-Range Plans
• Virginia– VTrans2025– TransAction 2030– State Highway Plan
• Maryland– Maryland Transportation Plan
(MTP)• District of Columbia– Strategic Transportation Plan
Financial Constraint
The CLRP puts a financial squeeze on state and other unconstrained long-range plans.
6-Year Programming
• Varies in every state• But in every state:
- Every new program begins with last year’s program. - The DOTs take the lead.
- State legislatures approve funding.
Virginia
SYIP
Maryland
CTP
D.C.
CIP
WMATA
CIP
Other 6-year
programs
The Regional
TIP
The TPB’s 6-Year Transportation Improvement
Program (TIP)
Land Use Forecasts
Change in Population and Employment Forecast, 2011-2040
What Shapes the Plan?
Fastest growth rate seen in the Outer Suburbs
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Land Use ForecastsWhat Shapes the Plan?
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Households and Jobs in Regional Activity Centers
•From 2005 to 2040, households in Regional Activity Centers will increase by 107% - more than twice the rate for the region as a whole.•By 2040, 55% of the region’s jobs and 19% of the region’s households are forecast to be concentrated in the Regional Activity Centers that make up less than 5% of the region’s total land area.
What Shapes the Plan?Financial Constraint
CLRP Expenditures 2011-2040CLRP Revenues 2011-2040
Highway ExpansionTransit ExpansionTransit Operations/PreservationHighway Operations/Preservation
FederalState/DCLocalTransit FaresPrivate/Tolls
$222.9 Billion
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What Shapes the Plan?Financial Constraint
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43%43%
14%
36%51%
13%
2006 CLRP 2010 CLRP
• Transit fares increased in 2010.• Federal and local funding for Metro
Rehabilitation expires in 2020. • Transit ridership will be
constrained at 2020 service levels.
What Shapes the Plan?Transit Fares and Constraints
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CLRP: 20092006• South Capitol Street Bridge• 11th Street Bridge• DC Streetcar: Anacostia Initial
Line Segment
2007• I-66 Spot Improvements inside
the Beltway• I-95/I-395 HOV/Bus/HOT Lanes• Potomac Yard Transitway,
Alexandria2008• I-95 and Fairfax Co. Parkway
Ft. Belvoir EPG Access Improv.• Columbia Pike Streetcar from
Skyline to Pentagon city
2009• Purple Line from Bethesda to
New Carrollton
Streetcar: H Street, NE and Benning Road, plus MLK Extension of Anacostia Segment
CLRP: 2010Projects Removed from the CLRP
1. I-95/I-495 Interchange at Greenbelt Metro Station2. Upgrade US 29, Columbia Pike from Sligo Creek
Parkway to Howard County line3. MD 201, Kenilworth Avenue from Rittenhouse
Road to Pontiac Street4. Upgrade/Widen US 301 from north of Mount Oak
Road to US 505. I-95 Interchange at Franconia-Springfield Parkway6. Widen US 1 from Stafford County line to Joplin
Road7. Widen VA 7 from Route 9 to Market Street8. Widen US 15 from VA 234 to Loudoun County
Line9. Widen VA 28 from northern limits of Manassas
Park to Old Centreville Road10. Widen US 50 from I-66 to western limits of Fairfax
City11. VA 7100, Fairfax County Parkway widen from VA
636 to VA 640 and construct from VA 640 to VA 7900
12. Widen/Upgrade VA 234 from south of Manassas to I-66
13. Widen/Upgrade VA 28 from VA 619 to AV 234 Bypass
14. Widen US 29 from US 50 to I-6615. Widen VA 123 from Horner Road to Devil’s Reach
Road
An additional 7 projects in Maryland and Virginia were delayed by at least ten years.
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2
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5
6
7
8
9
10
1112
13
14
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Extend I-270 Widening and Improvements
Extend Construction
of VA 411 to US 50
2010 Summary• Due to the economic recession state and local
governments withdrew and delayed many significant projects
• No transit projects were delayed or removed– Corresponds to the first four policy goal recommendations
• Funding for bike/ped. projects increased by 30% from the FY 10-15 to the FY 11-16 TIP– Corresponds to the fifth policy goal recommendations
• TIGER grant funding provided the region a greater opportunity to move more transit projects forward in the CLRP
How Does the Plan Perform?
• Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) per capita• Reduce congestion on the region’s highway and
transit systems• Increase accessibility to jobs• Meet federal air quality standards and reduce
mobile-source NOx, VOC and PM emissions• Reduce mobile-source greenhouse gas emissions• Increase rate of construction of bicycle and
pedestrian facilities
Some of the key goals from the TPB’s Vision and COG’s Region Forward and Climate Change Reports include:
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Change in Travel Forecasts 2011-2040
43%
24%
-4%Transit Work Trips
Vehicle Work Trips
VMT
VMT per capita
Goal: Reduce VMT per capitaHow Does the Plan Perform?
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TruckTrips
35%
22%
Change in Travel Forecasts 2011-2040
VMT New Lane Miles
Lane Miles of Congestion(AM Rush Hour)
22%
11%
38%
Goal: Reduce CongestionHow Does the Plan Perform?
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Goal: Reduce CongestionHow Does the Plan Perform?
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Peak Hour Metrorail Passenger LoadsLine Current 2040
Red
Blue
Orange/Silver
Yellow
Green
Satisfactory (<100 people per car)
Congested (100-120 people per car)
Highly Congested(>120 people per car)
Goal: Increase Accessibility to JobsHow Does the Plan Perform?
Average Number of Jobs Accessible Within 45 Minutes25
5%
34%
Goal: Meet Federal Air Quality Standards
The CLRP meets federal air quality standards for mobile-source emissions of VOC, NOx, PM and Precursor NOx.
How Does the Plan Perform?
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Goal: Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions
COG Goals 2010 CLRP
23.5
9.6
How Does the Plan Perform?
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Goal: Increase Construction of Bike/Ped Facilities
Funding for Exclusive Bicycle and Pedestrian Projects in the TIP has increased each year.
Does not account for road and transit projects that include accommodations for bicycles and pedestrians.
How Does the Plan Perform?
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$98$119 $124
$160
Significant Additions and Changes to the 2011 CLRP
1. H Street, NW Peak Period Bus-Only Lane
2. CRYSTAL CITY – POTOMAC YARD STREETCAR
3. I-395/I-95 HOV AND HOT LANES PROJECT LIMIT CHANGES
4. I-395 HOV LANES REVERSIBLE RAMP FROM/TO SEMINARY ROAD
5. WIDENING OF US 1 PROJECT LIMIT CHANGE
6. WIDEN I-66 GENERAL PURPOSE AND HOV LANES
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2. Crystal City – Potomac Yard Streetcarin Arlington County
This project will construct and operate a streetcar system that runs parallel to US 1 (Jefferson Davis Highway) from the Pentagon City Metro station to Four Mile Run at the city limit of Alexandria. The CLRP currently includes an exclusive bus transitway project along most of the same route that is scheduled to open in 2013. The streetcar system will replace the bus service in 2018.
Complete: 2018Length: 2.25 milesCost: $160 millionFunding:Federal, state and local
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3. I-395/I-95 HOV and HOT Lanesfrom 2 miles north of I-495 to VA 610
This project is currently included in the CLRP as a system of High-Occupancy Toll, or HOT lanes between Eads Street in Arlington County and VA 610 (Garrisonville Road) in Stafford County. HOT lanes will be available to HOV-3, transit and emergency response vehicles free of charge. Other vehicles may use the facility by paying an electronic toll. Tolls will vary based on time of day, day of week, and level of congestion in order to maintain free-flow conditions. VDOT is proposing to reconfigure the project, including the elimination of the implementation of HOT lanes on I-395 inside the Capital Beltway. The changes are summarized on the next slide.
Complete: 2015Length: 27 milesCost: $1.01 billionFunding: Federal, state, local and private
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3. I-395/I-95 HOV and HOT Lanesfrom 2 miles north of I-495 to VA 610
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Map Index
Current CLRPProject Includes
VDOT Proposed Change to Current CLRP Project
Description of Proposed Configuration
a 3 HOT Lanes 2 HOV Lanes Eliminate implementation of HOT lanes on I-395 inside the Capital Beltway
b 3 HOT Lanes 3 HOT Lanes(no change)
Widen existing HOV facility from 2 to 3 lanes on I-395 from I-495 to approximately 2 miles north, near Turkeycock Run and maintain as HOV lanes
c 3 HOT Lanes 2 HOT Lanes Widen existing HOV facility from 2 to 3 lanes on I-95 from I-495 to Prince William Pkwy,convert to HOT lanes
d 2 HOT Lanes 2 HOT Lanes(no change)
Convert existing 2-lane HOV facility from Prince William Pkwy to VA 234 to HOT lanes
e 2 HOT Lanes 2 HOT Lanes(no change)
Construct 2 new HOT lanes from VA 234 to VA 610
f 2 HOT Lanes 2 HOT Lanes (no change)
Two HOT lanes will continue 10 miles south to VA 17/US 1 Massaponax exit in Spotsylvania County.
VDOT is also proposing to remove the elements of the transit service plan currently in the CLRP. VDOT is working with local jurisdictions and transit agencies to redevelop transit improvements for the corridor.
4. I-395 HOV Lanes Reversible Ramp from/to Seminary Road
VDOT is proposing to construct a new reversible on/off ramp that connects Seminary Road and the I-395 HOV lanes to and from the south. This project adds HOV and transit access to accommodate the expected increase in travel generated by Department of Defense employees at the nearby Mark Center.
Complete: 2015Cost: $80 millionFunding:Federal and state
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5. Widening of US 1 from VA 235 South to VA 611
This project is currently included in the CLRP as a widening of US 1 (Richmond Highway) from 4 to 6 lanes from VA 235 South (Mt. Vernon Memorial Highway) to the Occoquan River/Prince William County Line. VDOT is proposing to remove approximately 4 miles of widening from the southern end of the project and change the southern limit to VA 611 (Telegraph Road).
Complete: 2020Length: 3.5 milesFunding:Federal and state
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Planned Widening
Removal of Planned Widening
6. Widen I-66 General Purpose/HOV Lanesfrom US 15 to US 29 (near Gainesville)
This project is currently included in the CLRP as a widening to construct HOV Lanes on I-66 between US 15 (James Madison Highway) and US 29 (Lee Highway) in Gainesville. VDOT is proposing to also add an additional general purpose lane in each direction to I-66 within the same limits. The completion date of the project is advancing from 2020 to 2018.
Complete: 2018Length: 2.5 milesCost: $132 millionFunding:Federal
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Schedule for the 2011 CLRP
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• March 12: Public Comment Period Closes• March 16: TPB Reviews Public Comments and is
asked to Approve Project Submissions and Draft Scope of Work
• October 13 – November 13: Public Comment Period on Draft CLRP and Conformity Analysis
• November 16: TPB Reviews Public Comments and Responses to Comments, and is Presented the Draft CLRP and Conformity Assessment for Adoption
“What if” scenarios: Different combinations of land-use and transit alternatives.
Looking beyond the CLRP
A Regional Transportation Priorities PlanHow should this plan reflect:– Regional land-use
goals?– More transportation
alternatives?– Pricing and funding
strategies?
Using scenarios to identify priorities
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More concentrated growth?
High-quality buses?
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High-quality buses?
Funding?
How are we going to pay for all of this?
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New projects: Learning from recent examples
These projects all tapped direct beneficiaries for funding
New York Avenue Metro Station
Rail to Dulles
Beltway HOT LanesIntercounty Connector
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A network of variably priced lanes?
Online Searchable DatabaseMore on the CLRP and TIP
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$98$119 $124
$160
www.mwcog.org/clrp