Download - Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

Transcript
Page 1: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m
Page 2: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

2

Highlights

2011 2010 %

Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m +31

Basic EPS (continuing operations) 6.30p 4.21p +50Basic EPS (total operations) 3.78p 3.76p +1

Dividends declared 5.25p 5.25pFinal dividend recommended 3.50p 3.50p

Net debt £77.1m £66.8m

Page 3: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

3

Revenue MovementRevenue

£m2010 308.8Working days: 1 fewer in 2011 (1.3) -0.4%

307.5UK 17.7 +5.7%International 8.9 +2.9%2011 334.1 +8.2%

Revenue growth 8.2%

Revenue Growth£m

334.1308.8297.8

2009 2010 2011

Page 4: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

4

Revenue Analysis

Public Sector and Commercial Revenue

64% of GroupRevenue up 9%Price up 4%, volume up 5%

Domestic Revenue

36% of GroupRevenue up 7%Price up 4%, volume up 3%

Page 5: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

5

2011 2010 %£m £m

Continuing OperationsEBITDA 35.0 31.9 +10Depreciation/Amortisation (18.3) (18.9)

Operating profit 16.7 13.0 +29

Discontinued Operations (4.9) (0.9)

Profit for the Financial Period

Page 6: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

6

Margin Reconciliation

Movement in Impact onRevenue Operating Margin

Profit£m £m %

2010* 308.8 13.0 4.2

Price increases to recover costs 12.3 (0.4) (0.3)Volume 13.0 3.1 0.8Property - 1.0 0.3

2011* 334.1 16.7 5.0

£m %Underlying operating profit 334.1 15.3 4.6Property 1.4

16.7

* Continuing operations

Page 7: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

7

Cash inflow arising from: 2011 2010£m £m

Operating profit 16.7 13.0Depreciation and amortisation 18.3 18.9EBITDA (continuing operations) 35.0 31.9Discontinued operations (0.5) (0.8)EBITDA (total operations) 34.5 31.1

Net financial expenses paid (3.5) (2.2)Taxation received/(paid) 0.2 (0.1)Pensions paid (6.6) (6.6)Net gain on sale of property, plant and equipment (1.4) (0.4)Working capital* (4.2) 0.5Works closure costs (1.2) (1.4)Other items (1.9) (0.1)

Free cash flow 15.9 20.8* Excluding working capital relating to international expansion

Free Cash Flow

Page 8: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

8

2011 2010£m £m

Free cash flow 15.9 20.8Investment

Capital expenditure* (13.6) (11.9)Proceeds from sale of surplus assets 5.4 3.9Investments / acquisitions** (8.2) (0.1)Disposal proceeds 0.6 -

Dividends paid (10.3) (10.3)

Sub-total (10.2) 2.4Finance leases (0.1) -

Movement in net debt (10.3) 2.4Net debt at 1 January (66.8) (69.2)

Net debt at 30 June (77.1) (66.8)

Gearing (%) 37.4% 33.7%

* Includes capital expenditure relating to international expansion of £1.0m** Includes working capital relating to international expansion of £4.1m

Cash Flow

Page 9: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

9

2011 2010Interest charge:

Charge £3.0m £2.6mCover 5.6 times 5.1 times

Tax rate 11.1% 21.1%

EPS:Continuing operations 6.30p 4.21pTotal operations 3.78p 3.76p

Dividend:2011 interim and final announced 5.25p 5.25pCover (continuing operations) 1.2 times 0.8 times

Weighted average number of shares: 195.4m 195.5m

Net asset value £206.1m £198.2m

Additional Information and Ratios

Page 10: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

10

Significant Borrowing Facilities

Expiry Date Facility CumulativeFacility

£m £mCommitted facilities:

Q3 2016 50 50Q3 2015 75 125Q3 2014 20 145

On demand facilities:Available all year 25 170Seasonal

(February to Augustinclusive) 20 190

* Note: 2012 based on consensus information

0

20406080

100

120

140160180200

220

2011 2012

On demand: Seasonal (Feb to Aug)

On demand: Overdrafts (all year)

Committed

Net debt

£m

*

Page 11: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

11

Pensions

Risk Management2000 closed to new members2006 closed to future service accrual2007 investment strategy

Investment StrategyMoved from equities to LDIsCloser matching to liability profile of pension scheme

Balance Sheet ValuesYE 2011 surplus £13.0m

Net of deferred tax £9.7mYE 2010 deficit £4.1m

Net of deferred tax £3.0mMovements

AA Corporate Bond RateInflation expectationsAsset values

YE2006

H12007

YE2007

H12008

YE2008

H12009

= Accounting valuation

= Actuarial valuation: Formal

YE2009

HY2011

H12010

YE2011

YE2010

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Page 12: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

12

Delivering Flexibility andSustainable Outperformance

Page 13: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

13

Operating Flexibility

Capacity Available Geographic Coverage Maintained

Operating75%

Available25%

= 2 hours driving time

Page 14: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

14

Sustainable Growth

Public Sector and Commercial - targeted marketing and product innovation

Domestic - installer initiatives and distributor merchandising

International - specialist landscape products into selected markets

Page 15: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

15

Public Sector and CommercialTargeted Marketing

Page 16: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

16

Civil and Public

Education

Industrial

Olympics

Residential

Other

Rail / Transport

Retail an...

Civil Engin...

Public Sector and CommercialTargeted Marketing

Marshalls MAT Change In Sales per Project Type

Civil and Public

Civil Engineering

Education

Hotel and Catering

Industrial

Leisure and Sports

Medical and Healthcare

Mixed Development

Olympics

Rail / Transport

Residential

Retail and Commercial

Utilities

Current Activity by Scape Growth by Scape

Marshalls Change in Sales per Project Type

Civil

Engineering

Retail and

Commercial

Page 17: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

17

1300

1400

1500

1600

1700

1800

Jan-0

8

Jul-0

8

Jan-0

9

Jul-0

9

Jan-1

0

Jul-1

0

Jan-1

1

Jul-1

1

Jan-1

2

Domestic MarketInstallers

Marshalls Register - Installer Teams

Customer service remains excellent

Page 18: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

18

Domestic MarketBetter Business Programme

Installer Better Business Programme

Working to improve and demonstrate quality

Page 19: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

19

International Markets

Two operating sites, 40 million people within a 2 hour drive time

Natural sandstone, granite and limestone from India and China

Specialist manufactured products and street furniture from the UK

Key synergies – marketing and sales collateral, sales processes and systems, broader range of products, manufacturing & technical expertise

Organic development. Additional sales resource for 2012. Sales 3% of Group in 2011, target 10% by 2015.

Drive Zones

= 2 hours

= 3 hours

Page 20: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

20

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

Jan-0

9Feb Mar Apr May Ju

n Jul

Aug Sept

OctNov Dec

Jan-1

0Feb Mar Apr May Ju

n Jul

Aug Sept

OctNov Dec

Jan-1

1Feb Mar Apr May Ju

n Jul

Aug Sept

OctNov Dec

Revenue Per DayMoving Annual Total

Inde

x

UK Domestic Public Sector and Commercial

Page 21: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

21

Public Sector and CommercialNew Work Sales Lead Indicator

Contract Awarded 12 Month Rolling Average of Hard Landscape Value Adjusted(ABI with 12 Month Lag)

Jan-0

5

Jul-0

5Ja

n-06

Jul-0

6Ja

n-07

Jul-0

7Ja

n-08

Jul-0

8Ja

n-09

Jul-0

9Ja

n-10

Jul-1

0Ja

n-11

Jul-1

1Ja

n-12

Jul-1

2Ja

n-13

£mill

ions

55

110

165

220

275

330

Page 22: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

22

Domestic MarketConsumer Confidence and Installer Order Books

Rolling 6 Months Consumer Confidence v Installer Order Book (3 Month Lag)

-40.0

-35.0

-30.0

-25.0

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

-

Jan-0

5Apr-

05Ju

l-05

Oct-05

Jan-0

6Apr-

06Ju

l-06

Oct-06

Jan-0

7Apr-

07Ju

l-07

Oct-07

Jan-0

8Apr-

08Ju

l-08

Oct-08

Jan-0

9Apr-

09Ju

l-09

Oct-09

Jan-1

0Apr-

10Ju

l-10

Oct-10

Jan-1

1Apr-

11Ju

l-11

Oct-11

Jan-1

2

Con

sum

er c

onfid

ence

(6 m

onth

rolli

ng)

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

Inst

alle

r Ord

er B

ooks

(6 m

onth

Ave

rage

)

Consumer Confidence Installer Order Book

Page 23: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

23

Market Outlook

RevenueProportions 2011 2012

Commercial 35%

Public 23%

Do it for me 28%

DIY 5%

New build 6%

International 3%

100%

Page 24: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

24

Summary

Financial flexibility – further progress with bank facilities, pension deficit and property sales

Sales led Company - well known Superbrand: “Creating Better Landscapes”

Range of marketing and sales initiatives building on unique competitive advantages in UK

International expansion – niche, premium product supplier

Sector leading customer service

Operating flexibility enhanced - significant capacity available, experienced, skilled and committed workforce

Realistic about outlook, continuous improvement of business and competitive position will continue to deliver market outperformance

Page 25: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

Appendices

Page 26: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

26

Construction Products Association

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015£m/% change Actual Actual Actual Estimate Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast

Housing18,614 13,721 17,181 18,037 17,417 18,035 18,996 20,351-20.8% -26.3% 25.2% 5.0% -3.4% 3.5% 5.3% 7.1%

Other New Work53,118 46,772 52,435 52,869 48,908 48,253 50,067 52,263

1.3% -11.9% 12.1% 0.8% -7.5% -1.3% 3.8% 4.4%Repair, Maintenance and Improvement

Private Housing 11,328 9,916 10,573 10,467 10,467 10,781 11,212 11,7731.1% -12.5% 6.6% -1.0% - 3.0% 4.0% 5.0%

Total 39,847 36,084 34,847 35,428 34,514 34,975 36,036 37,3082.7% -9.4% -3.4% 1.7% -2.6% 1.3% 3.0% 3.5%

Total All Work111,578 96,576 104,462 106,334 100,840 101,262 105,099 109,923

-2.7% -13.4% 8.2% 1.8% -5.2% 0.4% 3.8% 4.6%

Page 27: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

27

2011Actual

EBITA: Interest charge 5.4 times

Net Debt: EBITDA 2.2 times

EBITA to interest charge must be greater than 2.5xNet debt to EBITDA must be less than 3.0xNet assets must be greater than £100 million

Financial Flexibility

Page 28: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

28

£m £m

2010 Year End Net Assets 198.2

Impact of movements in year:Profit for the financial period 7.3Ordinary dividends (10.3) Actuarial movement on pensions (after tax) 7.5Hedging reserve (0.1)Share based expenses 0.2Foreign currency translation differences (0.1)Non-controlling interest 3.4

7.9

2011 Year End Net Assets 206.1

Net Assets

Page 29: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m

Disclaimer

• For the purposes of the following disclaimer, references to this “presentation” shall be deemed to include references to the presenters’ speeches, the question and answer session and any other related verbal or written communications.

• This presentation, which is personal to the recipient and has been issued by Marshalls plc (“Marshalls”), comprises slides for a presentation in relation to Marshalls preliminary results, and is solely for use at such presentation.

• This presentation and these slides are confidential and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on directly or indirectly to any other person or published in whole or in part for any purpose.

• This presentation and associated discussion includes forward-looking statements. Information contained in this presentation relating to Marshalls has been compiled from public sources. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this announcement, including without limitation those regarding the plans, objectives and expected performance of Marshalls, are forward-looking statements. Marshalls has based these forward-looking statements on its current expectations and projections about future events, including numerous assumptions regarding its present and future business strategies, operations, and the environment in which it will operate in the future.

• Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as 'ambition', 'may', 'will', 'could', 'would', 'expect', 'intend', 'estimate', 'anticipate', 'believe', 'plan', 'seek' or 'continue', or negative forms or variations of similar terminology. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors related to Marshalls.

• By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions and many relate to factors which are beyond the control of Marshalls, such as future market and economic conditions, external factors affecting operations and the behaviour of other market participants. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, you are cautioned not to put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. In addition, the inclusion of such forward-looking statements should under no circumstances be regarded as a representation by Marshalls that Marshalls will achieve any results set out in such statements or that the underlying assumptions used will in fact be the case.

• Other than as required by applicable law or the applicable rules of any exchange on which securities of Marshalls may be listed, Marshalls has no intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements included in this presentation.

• This presentation is for information only and does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase, any shares in Marshalls or any other securities, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or investment decision related thereto. No investment advice is being given in this presentation.

Page 30: Year End 2011 Presentation FINAL Booklet · 2011 2010 % Revenue £334.1m £308.8m +8 EBITDA £35.0m £31.9m +10 Operating profit £16.7m £13.0m +29 Profit before tax £13.7m £10.4m