Download - Update on DG RTD activities Climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation

Research and Innovation

Update on DG RTD activitiesClimate change impacts,

vulnerability and adaptation

Eleni ManoliDG Research and InnovationDirectorate I – Environment

Climate Change and Natural Hazards [email protected]

7th EIONET Workshop on Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation

EEA, 20th June 2013

Policy Research and Innovation

Developments since mid-2012…• Adaptation-related projects from the last FP7

Environment call – expected to start in November 2013• Impacts of higher-end scenarios• Economics of adaptation to climate change

• Launch of research projects on Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change

• Towards the end of several research projects on adaptation• Outputs to be linked to Climate-Adapt


• Driving questions: • What do 4ºC and 6ºC worlds look like in

comparison to 2ºC?• What are the consequences of different

adaptation choices?• Key elements

• Multiple climate projections(RCPs) & SSPs, and downscaling experiments

• Global impact models: Agriculture, Water, Biomes, Health, Coastal infrastructure

• Synthesis of impacts at different warming levels, uncertainty and impact emulators

Duration: 48 Months – Consortium of 16 partners, led by the University of Exeter

HELIXHigh-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes

© Crown copyright Met Office

The HELIX focus areas

Impacts of higher-endscenarios (1/3)


• Focus: Integrated scenarios, adaptation measures, climate and socio-economic tipping points

• Key elements• Modelling framework, stakeholder

engagement• Advances in the CLIMSAVE IA platform:

new models, simulation of time- and path-dependent impacts, adaptation and vulnerabilities

• 5 Case Studies: Global, Europe, 3 local sites in Europe

Duration: 60 Months – Consortium of 24 partners, led by the University of Oxford

IMPRESSIONSImpacts and risks from high-end scenarios – Strategies for innovative solutions



• Focus• Impacts, vulnerability, adaptation in

coastal areas• Sea level rise, storm surges, other

climate change impacts

• Key elements• Diverse assessment cases: Deltas,

estuaries, coastal cities • Accommodate and retreat adaptation

strategies, other green options for coastal areas

Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 12 partners, led by the University of Catalonia

RISES-AM-Responses to coastal climate change: Innovative Strategies for high End Scenarios -Adaptation and Mitigation



• Aim: User-orientated methodologies and evidence relating to economic appraisal criteria to inform the choice of adaptation actions

• Focus on a set of methodological challenges• Long time scales (discounting and future preferences), Adaptive capacity in

economic analysis, Uncertainty, future learning and decision-making, Scaling and transfer (Micro → Macro), Treatment of systemic change

• Set of case studies• Disaster risk management – pan European scale• Project appraisal for flood protection (Czech Republic) and port infrastructure

(Spain)• Policy impact assessment of linkages between reformed CAP and ecosystem

management in the EU• Macro-economic assessment of adaptation strategies in the EU • Economic appraisal of financial support for adaptation from the EU to developing

countries • Toolbox on the economics of adaptation (economic analysts, policy support for

non-economists)

ECONADAPTEconomics of climate change adaptation in Europe

Economics of adaptationto climate change

Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 14 partners, led by the University of Bath


Recently launched projects (October 2012)

• Tool-supported policy-development for regional adaptation (ToPDAd) - end September 2015

• Socioeconomic methods & tools for integrated assessments, focus on Energy, Transport, Tourism, Mid - (2010-2050) and long-(2050-2100) term strategy horizons

• Framework for the next generation toolset

• Bottom-up Climate Adaptation Strategies towards a Sustainable Europe (BASE) - end September 2016

• Case Study approach (20 cases), Novel model combinations for combining top-down and bottom-up analysis, Stakeholder engagement, Policy guidelines

• Reconciling Adaptation, Mitigation and Sustainable Development for Cities (RAMSES) - end September 2017

• EU and international cities, full economic costs and benefits of adaptation, strategy development in a sustainability context

ToPDad/ BASE/ RAMSES/ Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change

http://base-adaptation.eu/

http://www.topdad.eu/

http://www.ramses-cities.eu/

Research and Innovation

More informationResearch on Environment: http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/Horizon 2020: http://ec.europa.eu/research/horizon2020/

Thank you for your attention