Download - Traffic Forecasting Report - Planning Inspectorate · ppk – pence per kilometer ppm – pence per mile rsi – road side interview shb – south humber bank ta – transport assessment

Transcript

Planning Act 2008

Infrastructure Planning (Applications: Prescribed Forms and Procedure)

Regulations 2009

Regulation Number: Regulation 5(2)(o)

Author: Jacobs

Document Reference: TR010007/APP/23.6

Revision Date Description

0 8 Jan 2014 Application Issue

Traffic Forecasting Report

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

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Glossary

AADT - ANNUAL AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC

AAWT - ANNUAL AVERAGE WEEKDAY TRAFFIC

ABP – ASSOCIATION OF BRITISH PORTS

ARCADY – SOFTWARE FOR ASSESSMENT OF ROUNDABOUT CAPACITY

ATC – AUTOMATIC TRAFFIC COUNT

DFT – DEPARTMENT FOR TRANSPORT

DM – DO MINIMUM (WITHOUT SCHEME)

DMRB – DESIGN MANUAL FOR ROADS AND BRIDGES

DS – DO SOMETHING (WITH SCHEME)

GDP – GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

GEH - STATISTICAL COMPARISON OF TWO NUMBERS

GFA – GROSS FLOOR AREA

HGV – HEAVY GOODS VEHICLE (OGV1 AND OGV2)

LGV – LIGHT GOODS VEHICLE

MCC – MANUAL CLASSIFIED COUNT

MCTC – MANUAL CLASSIFIED TURNING COUNT

NMU – NON MOTORISED USER

NTEM – NATIONAL TRIP END MODEL

NTM – NATIONAL TRAFFIC MODEL

OGV – ORDINARY GOODS VEHICLE

PCF – PROJECT CONTROL FRAMEWORK

PCU – PASSENGER CAR UNIT

PICADY – SOFTWARE FOR ASSESSMENT OF CAPACITY OF PRIORITY JUNCTIONS

PPK – PENCE PER KILOMETER

PPM – PENCE PER MILE

RSI – ROAD SIDE INTERVIEW

SHB – SOUTH HUMBER BANK

TA – TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT

TEMPRO – TRIP END MODEL ASSESSMENT PROGRAMME

TRADS – TRAFFIC FLOW DATA SYSTEM

TRICS – TRIP RATE INFORMATION COMPUTER SYSTEM

TRL – TRANSPORT RESEARCH LABORATORY

WEBTAG – INTERNET BASED TRANSPORT APPRAISAL GUIDANCE

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CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 7

2 OVERVIEW OF CURRENT BASE YEAR MODELS ................................................... 11

3 SUMMARY OF PREVIOUS FORECASTING WORK ................................................. 14

4 DEVELOPMENT OF 2012 INTERIM FORECAST MODEL ........................................ 15

5 FORECASTING AND MODELLING FUTURE YEAR TRAVEL ................................... 19

6 CORE TEMPRO SCENARIO ..................................................................................... 28

7 CORE SCENARIO ..................................................................................................... 38

8 CORE SCENARIO - FUTURE YEAR FORECASTS ................................................... 42

9 HIGH AND LOW SENSITIVITY TEST RESULTS ....................................................... 48

10 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION ................................................................................ 54

FIGURES

Figure 1.1 - Location of A160 ............................................................................................ 7 Figure 1.2 - Plan of Key Locations and Features of A160 Scheme .................................... 8 Figure 1.3 - Plan Indicating Proposed Layout for A160 Scheme ...................................... 10 Figure 4.1 - MCTC and MCC Sites Used in the Creation of 2012 Matrices ...................... 16 Figure 5.1 - Forecast Core TEMPRO Methodology (Cars) Flow Chart ............................ 26 TABLES

Table 4.1 - 2012 Matrix Validation Results ...................................................................... 18 Table 5.1 – PPM and PPK Values ................................................................................... 22 Table 5.2 - Classification of Future Inputs ....................................................................... 23 Table 5.3 - NTM 2011 Factors ......................................................................................... 27 Table 6.1 - Default TEMPRO 6.2 Planning Assumptions 2012 to 2031 ........................... 28 Table 6.2 - Adjusted TEMPRO 6.2 Planning Assumptions 2012 to 2031 ......................... 30 Table 6.3 - Fuel & Income Factors .................................................................................. 30 Table 6.4 - Development Site Trip Generation (Total Vehicles) ....................................... 32 Table 6.5 - Scunthorpe Gravity Model Distribution by Population Area ............................ 34 Table 6.6 - AM Peak Core TEMPRO Matrix Totals. ......................................................... 36 Table 6.7 - Inter Peak Core TEMPRO Matrix Totals ........................................................ 36 Table 6.8 - PM Peak Core TEMPRO Matrix Totals .......................................................... 36 Table 6.9 - 12 Hr AAWT Model Conversion Factors ........................................................ 37 Table 6.10 - 12hr AAWT to 16hr, 18hr and 24hr AAWT and AADT Conversion Factors .. 37 Table 7.1 - Able Development Trip Totals ....................................................................... 38 Table 7.2 - Additional Port Growth Trip Totals ................................................................. 39 Table 7.3 - AM Peak Core Matrix Totals .......................................................................... 40 Table 7.4 - Inter Peak Core Matrix Totals ........................................................................ 40 Table 7.5 - PM Peak Core Matrix Totals .......................................................................... 40 Table 7.6 – Comparison between Core TEMPRO and Core Matrix Totals ...................... 41 Table 8.1 - A160 Journey Times (Seconds) - Core Scenario ........................................... 42 Table 8.2 - A1173 Journey Times (Seconds) - Core Scenario ......................................... 42 Table 8.3 - A180 Journey Times (Seconds) - Core Scenario ........................................... 42 Table 8.4 - Congestion - Delays and Queues - Opening Year 2016 - Core Scenario ...... 44 Table 8.5 - Congestion - Delays and Queues - Design Year 2031 - Core Scenario ......... 44 Table 8.6 - Summary Vehicle Hours - Core Scenario ...................................................... 45 Table 8.7 - Summary Vehicle Kilometres - Core Scenario ............................................... 46 Table 8.8 - Forecast Core Scenario Model Assignment Convergence ............................. 47 Table 9.1 - High Growth Matrix Totals ............................................................................. 50 Table 9.2 - Low Growth Matrix Totals .............................................................................. 52

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1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 SCHEME HISTORY/BACKGROUND

1.1.1 The South Humber Bank (SHB) remains the largest area of undeveloped land fronting a deep-water estuary in the United Kingdom. Approximately 1000 hectares of land is currently available for future development. The ports of Immingham and Grimsby located on the SHB are the largest ports in the UK by tonnage having handled 66 million tonnes of freight in 2007, representing some 10% of the UK’s cargo market. The SHB is also home to the UK’s largest refinery cluster representing approximately a quarter of the UK’s refining capacity.

1.1.2 With the availability of developable land and increasing infrastructure constraints at the major southern ports (Felixstowe, Southampton etc) there is the potential for significant growth to take place on the SHB with the ports of Immingham and Grimsby forecast to grow rapidly over the next 10-15 years to meet growing UK demand.

1.1.3 The A160 is the principal route to the Port of Immingham from the A180, which continues to Grimsby (see Figure 1.1). The A160 and A180 routes provide a strategic link between these ports and the national motorway network, via the M180 and M18.

Figure 1.1 - Location of A160

1.1.4 Although the local road network in the vicinity of the SHB is reasonably lightly trafficked, the A160 between the A180 and the Port of Immingham remains the biggest single constraint to the area’s development.

1.1.5 Key locations and features of the A160 are shown on Figure 1.2. The section between A180 (Brocklesby Junction) and Habrough Roundabout is a single carriageway road (2km length) followed by a dual carriageway section for 2.5km to Manby Road Roundabout. A 700m single carriageway section

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connects the Immingham Port entrance (west gate) to Manby Road Roundabout.

Figure 1.2 - Plan of Key Locations and Features of A160 Scheme

1.1.6 The heavy freight traffic serving the port results in a high proportion of Heavy Goods Vehicle (HGV) traffic on the A160; between 35% and 45% (AADT), with the HGV proportions at some points during the day rising to in excess of 70%1. This proportion is significantly higher than the average (10% HGVs2) for rural trunk roads which affects the throughput of vehicles on the two single carriageway sections; this in turn can cause delays on the whole A160/A180 route.

1.1.7 With the planned expansion of the port and the land available for development, a considerable traffic growth is forecast in the next 10 to 15 years. The existing road layout is already inhibiting growth in the region, and is predicted, to worsen over time. The increase in the volume of traffic flow, particularly HGVs, is likely to worsen the safety of the Brocklesby junction which currently has a high accident rate.

1.1.8 The main scheme objectives of the scheme are to:

• Provide improved access to the Port of Immingham;

• Improve throughput on the A160; and

1 Figures shown for existing percentage of Heavy Goods Vehicles are derived from traffic surveys

carried out in 2008.

2 Derived from transport Statistics Great Britain 2008 (DfT). Total distance travelled for all goods

vehicles on rural trunk roads was 5.8 billion vehicle km (in 2007). Total distance travelled for all vehicles was 58.6 billion vehicle km

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• Improve safety.

1.1.9 In previous commissions, the Highways Agency examined the feasibility of eight options which arose following Options and Value Engineering workshops in July and November 2008 respectively. These eight scheme options were developed and appraised during the Stage 1 (Options Identification) and Stage 2 (Option Selection) of the PCF process. During Stage 2 a Public Consultation was carried out between 8th June and 28th August 2009, resulting in the development of a ninth option to address issues that arose from the consultation exercise. This option was also appraised and recommended as the preferred option, with the Preferred Route Announcement having been made on 22nd March 2010.

1.2 SCHEME PROPOSALS

1.2.1 The scheme layout is shown in Figure 1.3 and includes the following improvements:

• Upgrading of Brocklesby Junction to a two bridge roundabout layout, including a dedicated left turn lane for vehicles travelling from the eastbound A180 to the A160;

• Improving the single carriageway section of the A160 to dual carriageway standard;

• Relocating Habrough Roundabout to the west of its current position, with new link roads provided from the A160 to Ulceby Road, Top Road and Habrough Road;

• Closure of the central reserve gaps at the Town Street Junction and the entrance to the oil refinery (approximately 500m to the west of Manby Road Roundabout);

• Provision of a new road over bridge at Town Street to provide vehicular and NMU access between the two sides of South Killingholme; and

• Provision of a new gyratory carriageway system between Manby Road Roundabout, Rosper Road Junction and the Port of Immingham, requiring the construction of a new link road and bridge beneath the railway.

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Figure 1.3 - Plan Indicating Proposed Layout for A160 Scheme

1.3 PURPOSE OF THE REPORT

1.3.1 This report describes the process undertaken in preparing the A160 Port of Immingham Model for use in the forecasting of future traffic conditions on A160 between the A180 and the Port of Immingham with (Do Something) and without (Do Minimum) the scheme. The model forecasts are intended to be used in the assessment of economic benefits and environmental impact of the scheme.

1.3.2 This document provides details of the methodology used in the development of the traffic forecasts for both the Do Minimum and Do Something preferred route scheme. It aims to demonstrate that the forecast model has been developed to represent projected changes in both travel demand and network supply.

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2 OVERVIEW OF CURRENT BASE YEAR MODEL

2.1 BASE MODEL OVERVIEW

2.1.1 The base traffic model represents travel and traffic conditions on the highway network in 2010.

2.1.2 The 2010 base model has been reviewed and a number of proposed improvements were identified to ensure the model complied with current WebTAG guidance and current best practice.

2.1.3 To account for a general reduction in trips in the area due to the effects of the economic recession a 2012 interim forecast traffic model has been developed. The 2012 model was developed using TRADS and survey data (both collected in 2012) to apply a growth factor between 2010 and 2012. This uplift methodology is explained in Section 3 of this report.

2.2 MODEL TIME PERIODS

2.2.1 The 2010 model represents morning, evening and inter-peak traffic conditions for the following model hours:

• AM Peak (0700-0800);

• PM Peak (1600-1700); and

• Inter-Peak (1000-1600, modelled as an average hour for the period)

2.3 STRUCTURE AND DEVELOPMENT OF 2010 BASE MODEL

2.3.1 The process undertaken in preparing and developing the 2010 base model was split into 3 stages; development, calibration, and validation.

2.3.2 The model was developed using the SATURN modelling suite. SATURN provides the structure for the model but also a computational basis to represent the interaction between travel demand and the operation of the network.

2.3.3 Highway travel demand was gauged by the data collected as part of the study, and includes Roadside Interviews (RSI), Automatic Traffic Counts (ATC), Manual Classified Counts (MCC) and Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR).

2.3.4 RSI data from 5 locations was used to develop observed highway trip matrices of travel demand for trips entering a cordon around the Port of Immingham, and were located as follows:

• Site 1 . College Road, East Halton;

• Site 2 . A160 Humber Road, east of Top Road Roundabout;

• Site 3 . B1210 Station Road, Habrough;

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• Site 4 . B1210 Stallingborough Road, south of Immingham; and

• Site 5 . A1173, between A180 and Kiln Lane Roundabout.

2.3.5 This data was processed to remove double counting and provide the basis for the development of a synthetic trip matrix to infill unobserved and partially observed movements.

2.3.6 The development of the base highway model network was based on providing a spatial framework that represents the structure of the highway network. This structure was broadly split into two linked components of junctions and roads linking the junctions.

2.3.7 The operation of junctions and roads is related to the geometric arrangement, operational characteristics of the vehicles, abilities of the user and constraints such as speed limits. The data collected for building this process was based on the following sources:

• Network Inventory; and

• Aerial Photography.

2.3.8 The network inventory provided information on traffic signal operations, signed speed limits and other signed restrictions such as height and weight restrictions. The inventory also included the collection of signal timings and phasing information from North Lincolnshire Council (NLC). The aerial photography provided a visual basis for the representation of the geometric information of both junctions and roads (aerial photography supplied by Google-Earth Pro via a commercial license).

2.3.9 At the calibration stage the trip matrices and highway network were combined via an assignment process within the SATURN suite. The highway model calibration process included two main steps; firstly, calibration of the gravity model to provide a synthetic trip matrix to infill unobserved and partially observed trips, and secondly, matrix estimation to adjust travel demand to reflect the range of traffic counts collected across the study area.

2.3.10 The synthetic trip matrix was developed using a gravity model formulation that was calibrated using the observed matrix developed from the roadside interview data.

2.3.11 The matrix estimation utilised traffic counts, which are point measures of travel demand for trips routeing between its origin and destination. Data used in the model development is used for comparative purposes to confirm that the model is accurately representing the input data.

2.3.12 Validation of the highway model used independent data collected for the modelling process. The three types of observed data collected for the study and used at this stage are as follows:

• Traffic Counts;

• Journey Time Surveys; and

• Automatic Number Plate Registration.

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2.3.13 The validation process was based on criteria defined in the Design Manual for Roads and Bridges (DMRB) Volume 12 which measure the correlation between observed and modelled datasets; higher levels of correlation tend to indicate a more robust model. The results of the calibration and validation are details in the Local Model Validation Report.

2.3.14 An extensive set of journey time surveys were undertaken on the main routes around and across the study area including the A160, A180 and A1173.

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3 SUMMARY OF PREVIOUS FORECASTING WORK

3.1 PCF STAGES 1

3.1.1 PCF Stage 1 is Option Identification. The assessments used the SATURN suite of programs.

3.2 PCF STAGE 2

3.2.1 PCF Stage 2 is Option Selection, the purpose of which is to identify options, and associated key information, to be presented at Public Consultation. The outcome of PCF Stage 2 is the announcement of a Preferred Route. Traffic forecasts were previously produced for the then future Opening Year and Design Year of 2017 and 2032 respectively, both with and without the scheme in place, and based on the then current national traffic forecasts (NTEM version 5.4). Future developments were not assessed in detail as it was considered that they were unlikely to materially affect the choice between options.

3.3 PCF STAGE 3

3.3.1 PCF Stage 3 is Preliminary Design, the purpose of which is to progress the design of the Preferred Route such that draft Legal Orders can be published. As mentioned earlier in this report, traffic forecasts for PCF Stage 3 were previously produced for the then future Opening Year and Design Year of 2017 and 2032 respectively, both with and without the scheme in place, and based on the then current national traffic forecasts (NTEM version 5.4). Future developments were explicitly modelled for those significant developments closest to the scheme.

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4 DEVELOPMENT OF 2012 INTERIM FORECAST MODEL

4.1 INTRODUCTION

4.1.1 This section describes the methodology and results of producing 2012 present year demand matrices for Immingham. The 2012 demand matrices have been developed using the existing 2010 base model and a set of 2012 traffic surveys undertaken by Sky High-Count On Us.

4.1.2 The 2012 demand matrices are required to act as an alternative base year from which to forecast future demand. This is necessary to account for a general reduction in trips in the area between 2010 and 2012 due to the effects of the economic recession. Standard practice would be to forecast the 2010 base to 2012 using TEMPRO and NTM data; however, both these datasets work on the principle that there will be an increase in trips between 2010 and 2012, which does not tally with on site observations made using TRADS and the Sky High-Count On Us observed data. The TEMPRO and NTM data are therefore not suitable for use in determining changes in traffic between 2010 and 2012 in this area.

4.2 2012 DATA COLLECTION

4.2.1 In November 2012, Sky High-Count On Us undertook a number of traffic surveys in the area covered by the model simulation network. The surveys are detailed below.

• 9 Manually Classified Turning Count (MCTC) Surveys (12hr, 1 Day).

• 5 Manually Classified Count (MCC) Surveys (12hr, 1 Day).

• 9 Automatic Traffic Count (ATC) Surveys (24hr, 1-3 weeks).

4.2.2 Additionally, 4 TRADS sites on the A180 and A160 have available data for 2012.

4.2.3 A data processing exercise was undertaken to check and analyse the observed traffic counts. This included the following checks:

• Check that surveyed trips approximately match between connecting surveys.

• Check that 12hr counts are approximately equal and opposite to a certain degree.

• Check for unusual spikes or anomalies in flow profiles by vehicle type.

• Compare MCTC and MCC counts for consistency.

• Compare 1 day MCTC/MCC counts against ATC and TRADS.

4.2.4 Data from all 9 MCTC surveys, 4 of the MCC surveys and ATC data (for checking) was extracted for use in the creation of the 2012 matrices. The locations of these 13 sites are shown in Figure 3.1.

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Figure 4.1 - MCTC and MCC Sites Used in the Creation of 2012 Matrices

4.3 2012 FACTORING METHODOLOGY

4.3.1 The 2010 base traffic model was used to extract select link or turn matrices representing traffic using each of the 13 locations identified in Figure 3.1. The select link matrices contain traffic making each possible movement at each of the locations. There are 86 turns modelled at the 9 MCTC survey sites and 10 movements modelled at the 4 MCC survey sites, giving a total of 96 separate matrices.

4.3.2 The matrix extraction was done using the Select Link Analysis tool in SATURN P1X to create the 96 demand matrices for each of the 3 modelled

MCTC

MCC

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time periods (AM, IP and PM) and 4 user classes (Car, LGV, OGV1 and OGV2).

4.3.3 To factor the modelled 2010 select link matrices to 2012 the following method was used to calculate a set of ‘growth’ factors.

4.3.4 The matrix total (in vehicles) for each of the 96 matrices was compared against the number of vehicles in the corresponding observed survey movement and a factor calculated to convert from 2010 modelled to the 2012 observed vehicles. This method provides an accurate representation of observed flows as any anomalies in the 2010 modelled flow are removed.

4.3.5 In some cases the observed 2012 turning movement was greater than zero but the modelled 2010 turning movement was zero. This means that a factor could not be calculated and so the 2012 flow was kept as zero. This does not affect the validity of the 2012 matrices as this does not occur on any junction on the proposed scheme and only involves minimal numbers of vehicles.

4.3.6 Each of the 96 matrices were then multiplied by their corresponding factor and an average of all 96 factored matrices calculated on a cell by cell basis. This average matrix forms the 2012 matrix for all trips travelling through the count sites.

4.3.7 The next step was to create a matrix for all modelled trips not travelling through one of the count sites. Firstly the average matrix above was compared against the 2010 base matrix. Where there was a zero value in the 2012 matrix the equivalent cell value in the 2010 matrix was extracted to create a matrix of trips which do not pass through one of the count sites.

4.3.8 This 2010 non-select-link matrix was then factored to create a 2012 non-select-link matrix. Factoring was done in two different ways. For cars and LGVs the factors were based on an average of the car or LGV based factors calculated using the select link to observed methodology above. For OGV1 and OGV2 the factor was based on NTM(11) as the growth in goods vehicles in the model simulation area was too large due to changes in land use between 2010 and 2012.

4.3.9 The 2012 non-select-link matrix was then added to the 2012 matrix for all trips travelling through one of the count sites to create a final matrix representing all trips in 2012.

4.4 ASSIGNED MATRIX VALIDATION

4.4.1 The 2012 demand matrices have been assigned to the 2010 base network to check the modelled link and turning movements at each of the 96 locations. The modelled flows have been compared to the observed 2012 flows for each time period and each vehicle type using the GEH statistic.

4.4.2 The GEH statistic is a generally accepted value used as an indicator of ‘goodness of fit’, i.e. the extent to which the modelled flows match the corresponding observed flows.

4.4.3 The majority of the link flows and turning movements have a good match of observed and modelled flows with a few cases where the difference did not pass the criteria of GEH statistic less than 5. Those movements were further

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investigated and it was found that the GEH values were above 5 for the following two reasons

• The observed flow is greater than zero but the modelled flow is zero. This occurs because the modelled flow in 2010 is zero due to the way the base model was developed and the traffic counts used to estimate the modelled flow. This zero flow cannot be factored and therefore remains as zero in the 2012 model.

• Some of the trips are being assigned differently (to an alternative path) with the changed demand.

4.4.4 The effect of zero flows due to zero flows in 2010 is minimal and relates to small observed flows, as such the 2012 matrices are still considered valid.

4.4.5 An assessment of the effect of rerouting of 2012 trips in the 2010 network concluded that it does not affect the validity of the 2012 matrices: an increase in a number of trips at one link or turning movement is compensated by a decrease of a similar scale at another link or turning movement on the same screen line. In any case, this mainly affects HGVs and is alleviated when the future year networks are used.

4.4.6 Table 3.1 below shows the summary of GEH statistic results for all the movements by time period and vehicle class.

Table 4.1 - 2012 Matrix Validation Results

% GEH < 5 Car LGV OGV 1 OGV 2 All Veh

AM 97% 100% 95% 93% 97%

IP 100% 100% 100% 84%* 96%

PM 95% 100% 93% 84%* 92%

*Lower GEH due to re-routing of OGV 2 trips and zero value trips.

4.4.7 The comparison of the observed and assigned flows showed that the final 2012 matrices produced from the 2010 base year matrices using the uplift methodology described above are satisfactory and can be used a basis for NTEM constrained forecast matrix development.

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5 FORECASTING AND MODELLING FUTURE YEAR TRAVEL

5.1 INTRODUCTION

5.1.1 The development of the future year model relates to projecting changes in travel supply and demand into the future. The 2012 interim forecast year model provides the starting point for each element of these projections.

5.1.2 Future year travel supply relates to updating the highway network to represent the future year both ‘with’ and ‘without’ the A160 Port of Immingham Improvements. The ‘without’ A160 Port of Improvement network, known as the Do Minimum (DM), includes other committed changes to the network which are planned to be delivered irrespective of the A160 Port of Immingham Improvement going ahead. The ‘with’ A160 Port of Immingham Improvement network, known as the Do Something (DS), includes the same committed schemes as in the Do Minimum plus the improvements relating to the scheme.

5.1.3 The proposed scheme Opening Year of 2016 has been modelled as the first of the future years. The Design Year of 2031, 15 years after scheme opening, has also been modelled. For the accurate assessment of the benefits associated with the scheme an intermediate year of 2023 and a final year of 2041 have also been modelled.

5.1.4 Future year travel demand relates to factoring the 2012 trip matrices in relation to projected growth in travel demand. The Department for Transport (DfT) provides national based forecasts via published summaries of traffic growth from its National Transport Model (NTM) split into several vehicle types.

5.1.5 Additionally the DfT provides growth forecasts for car based trips, in its National Trip End Model (NTEM), accessed via the software suite TEMPRO. This suite considers responses such as car ownership, population, employment and the number of households to derive localised growth forecasts. TEMPRO’s spatial detail is typically split into several areas for each local authority district.

5.1.6 TEMPRO includes an adjustment process to enable the inclusion of identified specific developments using specific trip rates and distributions, while allowing the wider trip growth to be adjusted to eliminate double counting of travel demand. Several developments in the model have been identified and site specific travel demand and trip patterns have been used.

5.2 TRAFFIC FORECASTING GUIDANCE

5.2.1 WebTAG, the DfT’s website for Transport Appraisal Guidance and IAN106/08 have been used to determine the traffic forecasting methodology used on the project. Key WebTAG Unit references are listed below:

• WebTAG Unit 3.15.1: Forecasting using Transport Models

• WebTAG Unit 3.15.2: Use of TEMPRO data

• WebTAG Unit 3.15.5: Treatment of Uncertainty in Forecasting

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5.3 FUTURE YEAR NETWORKS

5.3.1 The assessment process is based on considering the differences in traffic impacts from comparing trips assigned to the Do Minimum (DM) and Do Something (DS) networks.

5.4 DO MINIMUM NETWORK

5.4.1 The proposed link between Stallingborough Road (south of the A180) and the A180 / A1173 junction has been modelled as a Do Minimum scheme. This scheme is known locally as the ‘Immingham Bypass’. No other Highway Schemes were within the scope of the traffic model.

5.4.2 The same Do Minimum network has been used for all assessment scenarios.

5.5 DO SOMETHING NETWORK

5.5.1 The PCF Stage 2 - Option Selection concluded with a preferred route to be taken forward into the PCF Stage 3 - Preliminary Design. This preferred route is the previous Do Something ‘Option 9’ scheme.

5.5.2 The preferred route consists of a new grade separated junction replacing the existing Brocklesby A160/ A180 junction. A new dual carriageway, utilising the existing A160, linking the new grade separated junction with a new roundabout located to the south west of the existing A160 - Top Road roundabout. This new five arm roundabout links in to the existing A160, Habrough Road and Top Road approaches, and the A1077 Ulceby Road, which is diverted from the existing priority junction with the A160 (east of the Truck Stop).

5.5.3 The existing dual carriageway section of the A160 remains largely unchanged, except for closure of central reservations gaps at Town Street - South Killingholme and for refinery accesses west of the Manby Road roundabout. The north-south movements across the A160 at South Killingholme will be undertaken via a new over bridge.

5.5.4 The A160 to the east of the Manby Road roundabout has been modified via a one way circulatory route (two lanes) eastbound from Manby Road via a new link passing to the north of the Fire Station linking into Rosper Road via free flow left turn (northbound) and free flow right turn (southbound) lanes. The one way circulation continues south of this new junction towards the existing Rosper Road/ A160 junction which becomes a free flow left (to a two way single carriageway) and right turn (continued one way section) lanes. The one way section (two lanes) continues from this junction westbound to the Manby Road roundabout using the existing A160 carriageway.

5.5.5 The Do Minimum and Do Something networks were coded into the SATURN simulation model by the calculation of junction capacities related to the physical layout of the intersections. Junction capacities in SATURN are represented by saturation flows which relate to the maximum flow that could use the junction assuming no opposing flows but considering layout constraints. The saturation flows used were based on ARCADY, TRANSYT

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and PICADY formula described in the following Transport Research Laboratory (TRL) reports:

• Signalised junctions - TRL Research Report 67;

• Roundabout junctions - TRL Research Report 36;

• Priority Junctions, Opposed movements - TRL Research Report 35; and

• Priority Junctions, Unopposed movements - TRL Research Report 67.

5.5.6 The use of saturation flows based on the above methodology ensures that the junctions operate in a similar manner to an assessment undertaken in the junction modelling suites of ARCADY, TRANSYT and PICADY. Although it should be noted that SATURN calculation of delays and queues do differ from the junction modelling suites and so comparisons between the two types of modelling suites should be undertaken with due diligence. Although typically the operation results are similar, most notably volume over capacity ratios usually shows a good correlation.

5.6 ASSIGNMENT PROCEDURES

5.6.1 Assignment is the process that traffic models use to predict the routes that road users take between their origin and their destination.

5.6.2 Travel cost (and in particular time) is assumed to depend on the flows in the network. The default assignment procedure within SATURN was used, which is based on Wardrop’s Principle of traffic equilibrium (congestion-restrained and deterministic). This principle states that “Drivers choose routes such that, at equilibrium, no individual trip maker can reduce his/her cost of travel by unilaterally changing route”.

5.7 GENERALISED COST PARAMETERS

5.7.1 The assignment of trip matrices to the traffic model network is undertaken in an iterative manner by the assignment program until equilibrium is achieved. At the point of equilibrium, all trips have been assigned along paths between origins and destinations to minimise their overall user costs (based on travel time and distance). In this way, the traffic model achieves a balance between the transport network capacity (i.e. the supply) and the demand for road-based travel within the modelled area.

5.7.2 Generalised cost parameters have been calculated for each of the future years/time periods, based on the methodology proposed in WebTAG Unit 3.5.6: Values of Time and Vehicle Operating Costs. These generalised cost parameters have been input to the network files in the form of ‘pence per minute’ (PPM) and ‘pence per kilometre’ (PPK) values to specify the appropriate assignment criteria by year, time period and user class.

5.7.3 Table 5.1 below shows the PPM and PPK used for each model time period and year.

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Table 5.1 – PPM and PPK Values

2016 AM IP PM

2023 AM IP PM

PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK

HBW 13.11 6.82 13.01 6.82 12.80 6.82 HBW 14.39 5.73 14.28 5.73 14.11 5.73

EMP 16.59 6.82 17.23 6.82 17.59 6.82 EMP 17.98 5.73 18.69 5.73 19.30 5.73

HBO 70.10 13.71 68.48 13.71 67.68 13.71 HBO 78.93 12.57 77.32 12.57 76.05 12.57

NHB 16.59 6.82 17.23 6.82 17.59 6.82 NHB 17.98 5.73 18.69 5.73 19.30 5.73

LGV 26.52 18.31 26.52 18.31 26.52 18.31 LGV 29.95 17.23 29.95 17.23 29.95 17.23

OGV1 23.43 34.78 23.43 34.78 23.43 34.78 OGV1 26.50 36.10 26.50 36.10 26.50 36.10

OGV2 23.43 63.13 23.43 63.13 23.43 63.13 OGV2 26.50 65.47 26.50 65.47 26.50 65.47

2031 AM IP PM

2041 AM IP PM

PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK PPM PPK

HBW 16.08 4.93 15.96 4.93 15.73 4.93 HBW 18.92 4.85 18.80 4.85 18.61 4.85

EMP 19.83 4.93 20.54 4.93 20.95 4.93 EMP 23.13 4.85 24.02 4.85 24.91 4.85

HBO 90.99 11.64 89.03 11.64 88.04 11.64 HBO 111.6 11.56 109.6 11.56 107.6 11.56

NHB 19.83 4.93 20.54 4.93 20.95 4.93 NHB 23.13 4.85 24.02 4.85 24.91 4.85

LGV 34.62 16.56 34.62 16.56 34.62 16.56 LGV 42.51 16.53 42.51 16.53 42.51 16.53

OGV1 30.70 37.24 30.70 37.24 30.70 37.24 OGV1 37.79 37.77 37.79 37.77 37.79 37.77

OGV2 30.70 67.48 30.70 67.48 30.70 67.48 OGV2 37.79 68.41 37.79 68.41 37.79 68.41

5.8 FORECAST TRAVEL DEMAND

5.8.1 The forecasting of trip demand within the study area needs to consider both the impacts of local and national trends in travel demand from the present year of the model to the forecast opening, intermediate, design and final years. The current DfT Guidance in WebTAG Unit 3.1 - Introduction to Modelling, recommends the use of two data sources for the development of forecast growth factors as follows:

• National Trip End Model (NTEM) as currently encapsulated in the software TEMPROv6.2 using ‘Dataset 6.2 for the derivation of traffic growth factors for cars; and

• National Transport Model (NTM 2011) as currently published by the DfT, which is applicable for the derivation of traffic growth factors relating to light goods vehicles (LGV), and other goods vehicles classes 1 and 2 grouped together as heavy goods vehicles (HGV).

5.8.2 The guidance indicates that, where a significant development is adjacent to the scheme or will generate traffic using roads impacted by the scheme, then the trip demand and travel patterns relating to the development should be incorporated into the model. Additionally the growth factors from TEMPRO and NTM need to be adjusted to take account of the development.

5.8.3 The A160 Port of Immingham Model has trips relating to cars split into four trip purpose as follows:

• Home based work (HBW);

• Employers business (EMP);

• Home based other (HBO); and

• Non home based (NHB).

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5.8.4 The A160 Port of Immingham Model assigns each trip purpose separate based on relevant generalised costs. The value of generalised costs reflects the relative weighting between the value of time and vehicle operating costs.

5.8.5 The model represents trips undertaken by goods vehicles as follows:

• Light goods vehicles (LGV);

• Other goods vehicles type 1 - Rigid (OGV1); and

• Other goods vehicles type 2 - Articulated (OGV2).

5.9 UNCERTAINTY IN FORECASTING - OVERVIEW

5.9.1 In accordance with WebTAG Unit 3.15.5 - The Treatment of Uncertainty in Model Forecasting - and following consultation with the Highways Agency, North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire Councils, an Uncertainty Log has been developed which identifies the proposed developments within the study area and attaches a level of uncertainty, as defined in the Guidance in Table 5.2.

Table 5.2 - Classification of Future Inputs

Probability of the Input Status

Near certain: The outcome will happen or there is a high probability that it will happen.

- Intent announced by proponent to regulatory agencies. - Approved development proposals. - Projects under construction.

More than likely: The outcome is likely to happen but there is some uncertainty.

- Submission of planning or consent application imminent. - Development application within the consent process.

Reasonably foreseeable: The outcome may happen, but there is significant uncertainty.

- Identified within a development plan. - Not directly associated with the transport strategy/scheme, but may occur if the strategy/scheme is implemented. - Development conditional upon the transport strategy/scheme proceeding. - Or, a committed policy goal, subject to tests (e.g. of deliverability) whose outcomes are subject to significant uncertainty.

5.9.2 The purpose of an ‘Uncertainty Log’ is to highlight all the local and external uncertainties and factors which could affect traffic/patronage, revenues and delivery of scheme benefits. Typically these factors include proposed developments and transport infrastructure improvements. The role of the uncertainty log is to assess the certainty/likelihood of each individual factor taking place.

5.9.3 The log identifies a number of uncertainties, including factors influencing the demand on traffic such as the location, timing, size and nature of

Page | 24

developments. The factors which are ‘less likely’ will be used to derive further sensitivity tests to determine the robustness of the future year traffic flows.

5.9.4 Appendix A contains the Uncertainty Log.

5.10 DEVELOPMENT OF FORECAST SCENARIOS

5.10.1 The guidance in WebTAG unit 3.15.5 recommends that a core forecast scenario should be developed which includes development and interventions which are near certain and more than likely. In addition to this forecast scenario at least two sensitivity tests must be considered and it has been agreed that a Low Benefits (Low Growth) and a High Benefits (High Growth) scenario would be considered.

5.10.2 Guidance also advises that the forecast scenarios should be constrained to TEMPRO growth. In this instance the most likely and near certain developments results in traffic growth greater than that predicted by TEMPRO. When this occurs the guidance recommends that a further forecast scenario should be developed that is constrained to TEMPRO i.e. a Core TEMPRO Scenario. This forecast is used as a benchmark against which the core scenario can be assessed.

5.10.3 Forecasts have been produced for the following demand scenarios

• Core TEMPRO Scenario - this scenario includes traffic growth due to TEMPRO as well as near certain and more than likely development trips (excluding Able). The total traffic growth given in this Core TEMPRO Scenario has been constrained to TEMPRO as required by guidance given in WebTAG.

• Core Scenario - The Core scenario is the Core TEMPRO scenario but with additional development trips associated with the South Humber Bank (Able) and additional growth in Humber Sea Terminal and Immingham Port traffic. This scenario is not constrained to TEMPRO as it was not possible to provide TEMPRO constrained demand which includes the Able development and additional Port growth without unrealistic background growth to non-development trips. It is expected that this will be the most realistic forecast.

• High Growth Scenario - as Core but with increased TEMPRO growth and port growth as well as reasonably foreseeable development trips.

• Low Growth Scenario - as Core TEMPRO but with decreased TEMPRO growth and only near certain development trips.

5.11 OVERVIEW OF DEMAND FORECASTING PROCEDURE (CARS)

5.11.1 Figure 4.1 over the page shows a flow chart illustrating the methodology used for creating Core TEMPRO forecast matrices for cars.

5.11.2 In summary TEMPRO growth factors by trip purpose and time period have been calculated for each TEMPRO district in the model and for the Immingham / Killingholme TEMPRO ward areas within North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire. These have been applied to the base model trip ends to calculate traffic growth for each TEMPRO area.

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5.11.3 Development details obtained from the local authorities along with TRICS3 trip rates and trips extracted from Transport Assessments have been used to generate development trips. These trips have been distributed using similar parental zones in the 2012 base model to create a development matrix for each trip purpose and time period. Development trip end totals have been calculated by TEMPRO area.

5.11.4 The total TEMPRO only growth trip ends for each TEMPRO area have been adjusted based on the total development trip ends for each TEMPRO area to calculate background traffic growth trip ends.

5.11.5 The base model has been furnessed to the background growth trip ends to create a background growth matrix. This background growth matrix has then been added to the development matrix to create a final forecast matrix which as a result is constrained to TEMPRO i.e. total growth by TEMPRO area will be as dictated by TEMPRO factors.

3 TRICS – Trip Rate Information Computer System, the national standard for trip generation

analysis.

Page | 26

Figure 5.1 - Forecast Core TEMPRO Methodology (Cars) Flow Chart

Calculate Total

Households for each Site

Calculate Total Jobs for

each Site

Transport

Assessment

GFA

Assumption

GFA to Jobs

Assumption

Jobs and Households

for each TEMPRO area

District and Ward

Adjust TEMPRO planning

assumptions for each

TEMPRO area where

appropriate. Keep jobs

and households

constrained to default

TEMPRO at a district

level.

Output Growth Factors

for each TEMPRO area

UC 1-4

AM,IP,PM

Select specific sites

to model.

Trip Generation

TA Trips or TRICS Trip Rates

Gravity Model Used to

Exclude External WB

Scunthorpe

Development Trips

Trip Distribution

Based on parental zones

with similar land use.Development Matrix

UC 1-4

AM,IP,PM

2012 Base Trip Ends x

TEMPRO Factors.

Calculate growth for

each zone.

Aggregate

zone growth

into

TEMPRO area

growth

Calculate factor to adjust

TEMPRO Growth to account for

development growth for each

TEMPRO area

Factor = TEMPRO - Development

TEMPRO

Apply

adjustment

factor to zone

growth

according to

TEMPRO area.

Background Growth Trip Ends

Furness Base to

Background Growth Trip Ends

Background

Growth

Matrix

Add Development Matrix to

Background Growth Matrix

Resulting matrix is constrained

to TEMPRO growth

Final Matrix

Full TEMPRO Growth

Development Trips

Constraining to TEMPRO

Development Data

Site Name

Land Use Type

Size

Uncertainty

Page | 27

5.12 OVERVIEW OF DEMAND FORECASTING PROCEDURE (LGV AND HGV)

5.12.1 Non-development LGV, OGV1 and OGV2 growth has been based on growth factors calculated for trunk roads in England using National Transport Model 2011 (NTM11), Table 5: All Outputs - Road Type. These growth factors have been applied to the 2012 interim forecast matrices.

5.12.2 The factors are as follows in Table 5.3.

Table 5.3 - NTM 2011 Factors

5.12.3 Development matrices for LGV, OGV1 and OGV2 were developed in the same way as the car development matrices using the trip generation in TAs and the same trip distribution methodology. OGV1 and OGV2 vehicle trips have been converted to PCU trips using the following factors from WebTAG Unit 3.9.5, Table 8.

• OGV 1 = 1.9

• OGV 2 = 2.9

5.12.4 The factored matrices have been added to the development matrices to produce the final matrices.

5.12.5 Due to the nature of the modelled area no constraining has been applied to LGV, OGV1 or OGV2 matrices.

Veh Type 2012 - 2016 2012 - 2023 2012 - 2031 2012 - 2041

LGV 1.123 1.366 1.620 1.963

OGV1 1.110 1.169 1.271 1.271

OGV2 1.091 1.207 1.306 1.554

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6 CORE TEMPRO SCENARIO

6.1 OVERVIEW

6.1.1 The Core TEMPRO scenario includes car based traffic growth due to TEMPRO as well as near certain and more than likely development trips. The total traffic growth has been constrained to TEMPRO.

6.1.2 LGV and HGV trips have been based on NTM traffic growth as well as near certain and more than likely development trips as identified in the Uncertainty Log (Appendix A).

6.2 TEMPRO - DEFAULT PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS

6.2.1 The TEMPRO software v6.2 has been used along with dataset v6.2 to extract TEMPRO growth factors.

6.2.2 Within the TEMPRO software are a set of adjustable planning data assumptions which predict the number of households and jobs in 2012 and the number of future year households and jobs. To calculate accurate factors it is important to update these assumptions where appropriate to take account of the most recent development planning policy of the local authority.

6.2.3 The Immingham / Killingholme area in TEMPRO is split into two parts. One part falls within the North Lincolnshire TEMPRO zone while the other part falls within the North East Lincolnshire TEMPRO zone.

6.2.4 The growth assumptions for these Immingham areas within North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire have been updated using the Planning Data from the Local Councils whilst keeping the number of jobs and households within the whole of North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire the same as default TEMPRO.

6.2.5 Table 6.1 below shows the default predicted planning assumptions for the North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire TEMPRO areas and for the Immingham TEMPRO areas (located within North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire).

Table 6.1 - Default TEMPRO 6.2 Planning Assumptions 2012 to 2031

TEMPRO Area

Default TEMPRO v6.2

2012 Future 2031 Default Increase

HH Jobs Future HH Future Jobs HH Jobs

North Lincolnshire

Immingham / Killingholme

545 2,441 700 2,592 155 151

North Lincolnshire

72,636 77,604 87,960 83,406 15,324 5,802

North East Lincolnshire

Immingham / Killingholme

4,348 6,241 5,082 6,296 734 55

North East Lincolnshire

70,056 75,924 78,585 77,819 8,529 1,895

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6.3 TEMPRO AREAS

6.3.1 Although within the North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire District TEMPRO areas, the two smaller Immingham / Killingholme ward TEMPRO areas have been used specifically. This is because there are developments to be located within them with more associated jobs predicted than the job increase predicted by TEMPRO. If model zones located within this TEMPRO area were to be captured by the larger North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire TEMPRO zone it would not be possible to constrain to TEMPRO growth due to the small number of trips in the 2012 model relative to the high concentration of development trips.

6.4 FORECAST HOUSEHOLDS AND JOBS

6.4.1 Information and Transport Assessments received from North Lincolnshire Council and North East Lincolnshire Council have enabled Jacobs to develop an uncertainty log showing the location, land use type, size and uncertainty of all proposed housing and employment sites within the North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire authority areas. This data has been used to derive the number of jobs and the number of households associated with each development in the study area.

6.4.2 As the Immingham / Killingholme TEMPRO zones are located within the North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire TEMPRO zones the total number of 2012 and future year jobs and households in North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire need to be adjusted downwards so that when adjustments are made to the planning assumptions in TEMPRO the Immingham / Killingholme figures are not double counted.

6.4.3 It should be noted that when adjusted the total number of households and jobs within the whole of North Lincolnshire or North East Lincolnshire does not exceed that in the default TEMPRO for these areas.

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6.5 ADJUSTMENT OF PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS

6.5.1 The values in Table 6.2 have been used to adjust the default TEMPRO planning assumptions (Table 6.1).

Table 6.2 - Adjusted TEMPRO 6.2 Planning Assumptions 2012 to 2031

TEMPRO Area

Adjusted TEMPRO v6.2

2012 Adjusted Future 2031 Adjusted Increase

HH Jobs Future HH Future Jobs HH Jobs

North Lincolnshire

Immingham / Killingholme 545 2,441 700 2,985 155 544

North Lincolnshire 72,091 75,163 87,260 80,421 15,169 5,258

Total within North Lincolnshire Area (Same as default TEMPRO)

72,636 77,604 87,960 83,406 15,324 5,802

North East Lincolnshire

Immingham / Killingholme 4,348 6,241 5,082 7,109 734 868

North East Lincolnshire 65,708 69,683 73,503 70,710 7,795 1,027

Total within North East Lincolnshire Area (Same as default TEMPRO)

70,056 75,924 78,585 77,819 8,529 1,895

6.5.2 Using the adjusted planning assumptions the output growth factors for both the Immingham / Killingholme areas and for North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire for each of the four journey purposes and each time period have then been extracted from TEMPRO. Default TEMPRO factors have been extracted for the other TEMPRO area districts in which model zones lie.

6.5.3 Revised planning assumptions have also been applied for 2016, 2023 and 2041 growth. 2031 figures are shown in Table 5.1 and Table 5.2 as an example.

6.5.4 Appendix B contains the TEMPRO factors used for the Core TEMPRO Scenario.

6.6 FUEL AND INCOME FACTORS

6.6.1 Fuel and income factors have been calculated from WebTAG 13.15.2 Table 1. The fuel and income factors, and a combined factor for 2012 to 2016, 2023, 2031 and 2041 are shown in Table 6.3 below.

Table 6.3 - Fuel & Income Factors

Parameter 2016

Factors

2023 Factors

2031 Factors

2041 Factors

Fuel 1.011 1.033 1.060 1.100

Income 1.006 1.015 1.015 1.015

Combined 1.017 1.048 1.076 1.116

6.6.2 As the model is based upon fixed trips (without Variable Demand), the combined fuel and income factor has been combined with the TEMPRO factors. The forecast demand growth is constrained to this combined TEMPRO and Fuel and Income growth.

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6.7 GROWTH TRIP ENDS

6.7.1 The TEMPRO factor for each district combined with the fuel and income factor has been multiplied by the trip end for each zone in the 2012 model. The resulting trip ends have been used to calculate the total growth for each TEMPRO area. This represents the total growth due to TEMPRO to which the growth of the final Core TEMPRO forecast matrices has been constrained.

6.8 DEVELOPMENT TRIPS - TRIP GENERATION

6.8.1 The list of developments received from North Lincolnshire Council contains several proposed housing and employment development sites which are planned within the North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire area. Of these development sites there are seven specific development sites which have been identified which are within the North Lincolnshire model area. These are:

• Able Marine (South Humber Bank);

• Able Logistics (South Humber Bank);

• Bio-ethanol Plant (South Humber Bank);

• Glass Wool Manufacturing Plant (South Humber Bank);

• Hargreaves Warehousing and Industrial Development (North Killingholme Airfield);

• Two small container storage sites (North Killingholme Airfield); and

• Scunthorpe Residential Sites (multiple sites grouped into single model zone).

6.8.2 There are also nine specific development sites identified within the North East Lincolnshire model area. These are:

• Abengoa Bioethanol Plant (Immingham);

• XHelius Biomass Plant (Immingham);

• ABP (Immingham);

• Katoen Natie (Immingham);

• Encycle (Immingham);

• Real Ventures (Immingham);

• Graypen Ltd (Immingham);

• Vireol Bioethanol Plant (Grimsby); and

• Residential Sites (mainly in Grimsby/Cleethorpes area).

6.8.3 These North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire development sites have been specifically modelled in the traffic model based on calculated trip generation and trip distribution. Table 6.4 below shows the trip generation for the above sites.

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Table 6.4 - Development Site Trip Generation (Total Vehicles)

6.9 TRANSPORT ASSESSMENTS AND SHIFT PATTERNS

6.9.1 The Able Marine and Able Logistics development sites within the South Humber Bank development area both have had a Transport Assessment written as part of their planning application. The Transport Assessments provide information on trip generation into and out of the sites. Both sites will operate on a shift work system of which no trips will travel to or from the sites during the AM (0700-0800) or PM (1600-1700) peaks of the traffic model. Trips will however travel to and from the sites in the inter peak.

6.9.2 It is assumed that the Bio-ethanol plant located in the South Humber Bank development area will operate a similar shift work pattern to the Able developments and therefore will not generate any car trips in the AM or PM peak models. Trip rates have been used to calculate car, LGV and HGV trips to and from this site.

County Development

2016 (Trips in Vehicles) 2031 (Trips in Vehicles)

AM 0700-0800

IP (Avg 1hr) 1000-1600

PM 1600-1700

AM 0700-0800

IP (Avg 1hr) 1000-1600

PM 1600-1700

O D O D O D O D O D O D

Nort

h E

ast Lin

coln

shire

Abengoa Bioethanol Plant

8 8 12 12 8 8 8 8 12 12 8 8

XHelius Biomass Plant 14 18 18 18 20 14 14 18 18 18 20 14

ABP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 15 0 0

Katoen Natie 0 0 0 0 0 0 67 98 105 100 121 62

Encycle 0 0 3 3 0 0 7 7 10 10 7 7

Real Venture 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 7 7 30 0

Graypen Ltd 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 6 6 12 4

Vireol Bioethanol Plant 2 2 6 6 2 2 2 2 6 6 2 2

Residential Sites 43 12 37 36 48 64 190 51 161 159 210 283

Nort

h L

incoln

shire

Able Marine* 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 185 185 0 0

Able Logistics* 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 86 230 230 124 86

Bio-ethanol Plant 23 13 17 17 13 23 23 13 17 17 13 23

Glass Wool Manufacturing Plant

8 8 12 12 8 8 8 8 12 12 8 8

Hargreaves Warehousing and Industrial Development

27 56 29 24 48 14 30 56 29 24 48 14

Two small container storage sites

1 2 4 4 4 3 1 2 4 4 4 3

Scunthorpe Residential Sites

15 4 13 13 17 22 27 7 23 23 30 41

Total 141 123 151 145 167 159 435 392 844 828 637 555

Page | 33

6.9.3 The North Killingholme Airfield sites and North East Lincolnshire development sites also have Transport Assessments giving their type, size, GFA, phasing and trip generation.

6.10 SOUTH HUMBER BANK (ABLE)

6.10.1 The magnitude of the number of jobs associated with the Able development sites means it is not possible to include trips generated by these sites and be able to constrain to TEMPRO growth without significant negative background growth. For this reason the sites have not been included in the Core TEMPRO scenario, which will be constrained to TEMPRO, but they have been included in the Core Scenario (see Section 7) to be used for operational, economic and environmental assessment.

6.11 SCUNTHORPE & GRIMSBY RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT

6.11.1 The residential development sites identified in Scunthorpe and Grimsby have been grouped together as Scunthorpe and Grimsby are only represented by two to three zones in the model. A trip rate has been extracted from TRICS to generate the amount of trips to and from these development sites.

6.12 ASSESSMENT OF DEPENDENT DEVELOPMENT

6.12.1 A review of the relevant Core Scenarios and liaison with the relevant local authorities has identified that there are no significant developments in the study area that are wholly dependent upon the implementation of the A160/A180 improvement scheme.

6.13 CORE TEMPRO - PORT GROWTH

6.13.1 Information from ABP has identified a 70%4 increase in vehicles on the A160 associated with the port with the proportion of HGVs remaining at 44%. This 70% growth seems ambitious and as such the growth in port related car trips in the Core TEMPRO Scenario has been captured in the TEMPRO background growth calculated for the Immingham TEMPRO area. Port growth in LGV and HGV trips has been captured within the NTM growth factors.

6.13.2 The background growth for cars is between 6.4% (AM) and 8.5% (PM) for 2012 to 2016 and 15% (AM) and 19% (PM) for 2012 to 2031.

6.14 DEVELOPMENT TRIPS - TRIP DISTRIBUTION

6.14.1 The first step in the trip distribution was to identify development trips which will not pass through one of the road side interview sites used to build the base model. This is because in the base matrices, trips to and from Scunthorpe only have origins or destinations east of Scunthorpe (i.e. east of a point just west of the Brocklesby junction).

4 ABP, Port of Immingham Master Plan 2010-2030, October 2012

Page | 34

6.14.2 To be consistent with the base model all trips which travel west of Scunthorpe or that will travel north across the Humber Bridge have been excluded from the demand matrices.

6.14.3 To do this a gravity model has been developed by selecting 10 key population areas and using their number of future jobs (from TEMPRO) as an attractor to calculate their attraction to residential development trips in and out of Scunthorpe. The 10 population areas are shown in Table 6.5.

Table 6.5 - Scunthorpe Gravity Model Distribution by Population Area

Population Area 2016

Proportion

2031 Proportion

Scunthorpe 34.8% 33.4%

Grimsby 4.0% 3.9%

Immingham 0.9% 1.5%

Hull 6.8% 6.4%

Lincoln 4.4% 4.2%

West Lindsey 3.6% 3.5%

Doncaster 11.7% 12.1%

Sheffield 17.9% 18.9%

Leeds 13.1% 13.1%

North Lincolnshire 2.8% 3.1%

6.14.4 In 2031 the total proportion of trips not going east to Immingham or Grimsby (94.6%) have been excluded from the trip generation for Residential Scunthorpe sites. The remaining trips have then been distributed as described below.

6.14.5 As a logic check the total number of NTEM TEMPRO trips in and out of Scunthorpe was compared against the total number of 2010 modelled trips in and out of Scunthorpe and the results showed that the model contains a maximum of 2.5% of TEMPRO trips, the 5.4% included as described above is therefore robust.

6.14.6 A similar exercise has been undertaken for development sites in Grimsby.

6.14.7 Each development site has been assigned to a model zone from which all the development trips will enter and leave the model network.

6.14.8 The trips to be modelled have been distributed based on existing similar zones. For example the Scunthorpe residential trips have been distributed based on distribution currently used for the Scunthorpe zones in the base traffic model. Employment development trips around Immingham have been distributed based on existing employment trips in the traffic model.

6.15 FINAL DEVELOPMENT MATRIX

6.15.1 The distributed trips to and from each development site form a final development matrix where trip ends have been calculated and summed up for each TEMPRO area. The development trip end for each TEMPRO area has

Page | 35

been used when calculating background traffic growth and constraining to TEMPRO.

6.15.2 A separate development matrix has been produced to represent trips to and from the South Humber Bank development sites. This has been used to create the Core scenario trip matrices.

6.16 CONSTRAINING TO TEMPRO

6.16.1 The growth due to TEMPRO contains a certain element of development growth proportional to the number of houses and jobs used in the TEMPRO planning assumptions. As the development matrix has been used without any adjustment it was necessary to adjust the TEMPRO growth in each district so that when it was added to the development matrix the total growth is equal to the TEMPRO growth. In this case TEMPRO growth includes the fuel and income growth.

6.16.2 The growth due to TEMPRO in each TEMPRO area has been factored based on the following factor, F.

F = (TEMPRO Growth - Development Trips) / TEMPRO Growth

6.16.3 This created a revised growth for each TEMPRO area which represents background growth i.e. growth not including development.

6.16.4 The background traffic growth factor for each TEMPRO area has been applied to the 2012 trip end for each zone that lies within the TEMPRO area. This created a set of background growth trip ends.

6.16.5 For North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire the ‘Immingham’ TEMPRO area in each has been combined with the main district area for each to ensure the constraining was undertaken at a district level.

6.16.6 The 2012 matrix has been furnessed to the background growth trip ends to create a background growth matrix.

6.17 FINAL FORECAST MATRIX

6.17.1 The development matrix has been added to the background growth matrix to create a final Core TEMPRO forecast matrix. The growth by TEMPRO area within this final forecast matrix is constrained to TEMPRO.

6.18 MATRIX CHECKS

6.18.1 The fixed trip matrices are the same for the Do Minimum and Do Something scenarios. Checks have been carried out to compare the trip end totals between the 2012 and the future years for all time periods to ensure the expected, overall growth between 2012 and the future years is in line with that estimated by TEMPRO.

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6.19 CORE TEMPRO - MATRIX TOTALS

6.19.1 The Core TEMPRO matrix totals are shown below. The numbers in brackets show the target TEMPRO growth. The values do not match exactly due to rounding and furnessing tolerances during the matrix building exercise.

Table 6.6 - AM Peak Core TEMPRO Matrix Totals.

AM Peak 2012

Core TEMPRO Opening

Year (2016)

Core TEMPRO

Intermediate Year

(2023)

Core TEMPRO

Design Year

(2031)

Core TEMPRO

Final Year

(2041)

Car 5,269 5,752 (5,771)

5,888 (5,907)

6,561 (6,567)

6,748 (6,832)

LGV 1,074 1,159 1,421 1,671 1,948

OGV1 615 640 695 711 733

OGV2 2,495 2,702 3,031 3,327 3,623

Total 9,453 10,253 10,964 12,269 13,072

Table 6.7 - Inter Peak Core TEMPRO Matrix Totals

Inter Peak 2012

Core TEMPRO Opening

Year (2016)

Core TEMPRO

Intermediate Year

(2023)

Core TEMPRO

Design Year

(2031)

Core TEMPRO

Final Year

(2041)

Car 2,664 2,859 (2,851)

2,917 (3,111)

3,326 (3,328)

3,399 (3,634)

LGV 720 803 1,067 1,234 1,420

OGV1 639 663 717 734 757

OGV2 2,525 2,737 3,044 3,344 3,644

Total 6,547 7,062 7,950 8,638 9,444

Table 6.8 - PM Peak Core TEMPRO Matrix Totals

PM Peak 2012

Core TEMPRO Opening

Year (2016)

Core TEMPRO

Intermediate Year

(2023)

Core TEMPRO

Design Year

(2031)

Core TEMPRO

Final Year

(2041)

Car 5,451 5,890 (5,891)

6,006 (6,157)

6,757 (6,750)

6,937 (7,125)

LGV 833 902 1,141 1,335 1,551

OGV1 546 574 627 642 661

OGV2 2,390 2,590 2,901 3,185 3,468

Total 9,221 9,956 11,066 11,918 12,980

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6.20 DERIVATION OF DAILY TRAFFIC FLOWS

6.20.1 Although traffic modelling is undertaken on representative hourly flows (AM Inter-peak and PM), for economic assessment, and the derivation of certain environmental impacts, traffic flows are required for longer periods such as 06:00 - 24:00 or the average day, for example to inform Noise and Air Quality impacts.

6.20.2 Daily traffic flows have been derived from the modelled hourly period using factors based on an analysis of TRADS data from the local permanent automatic traffic count (ATC) site on the A160 just west of the Manby Roundabout.

6.20.3 Data from this site has been combined and averaged to provide coefficients for conversion of peak hour modelled flows to 12 Hour annual average weekday traffic (12 Hr AAWT). The 12 Hr AAWT model conversion coefficients are given in Table 5.9 below.

6.20.4 Using the factors in Table 6.9 the 12hr AAWT flow is calculated as follows

12 Hr AAWT = (AM flow * AM factor) + (IP flow * IP factor) + (PM flow * PM factor)

Table 6.9 - 12 Hr AAWT Model Conversion Factors

Model Period

Conversion Coefficient

AM 2.345

IP 6.000

PM 2.184

6.20.5 To calculate the 16hr, 18hr and 24hr AADT and AAWT Flows additional information is obtained from observed weekday, overnight and weekend traffic from the same TRADS site.

Table 6.10 - 12hr AAWT to 16hr, 18hr and 24hr AAWT and AADT Conversion Factors

Period Conversion Coefficient

12h AAWT to 18h AAWT 1.166

12h AAWT to 18h AADT 0.928

12h AAWT to 24h AAWT 1.264

12h AAWT to 24h AADT 1.011

12h AAWT to 16h AAWT 1.138

12h AAWT to 16h AADT 0.902

Page | 38

7 CORE SCENARIO

7.1 OVERVIEW

7.1.1 The Core Scenario has been developed to provide the most realistic scenario for the operational assessment, economic assessment and environmental assessment of the scheme.

7.1.2 The Core Scenario is based on the Core TEMPRO scenario but with two additional elements added. These are

• Trips associated with the Able Development.

• Trips associated with additional Port Growth above TEMPRO.

7.1.3 The Core Scenario traffic growth is therefore higher than the Core TEMPRO traffic growth and is not constrained to TEMPRO due to these additional trips.

7.2 TRIPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABLE DEVELOPMENT.

7.2.1 Using the methodology described in Section 5 of this report it is not possible to constrain to TEMPRO growth and model the trips associated with the Able development without significant negative growth in background (non development) trips which would be unrealistic. For this reason the Core TEMPRO scenario has been modelled without these trips and the Core Scenario has been modelled with these trips.

7.2.2 The Transport Assessment for the Able development states that the site will not generate any car trips in the modelled AM and PM peaks but will generate car trips in the inter peak. The Able site will however generate LGV and HGV trips in the three modelled time periods.

7.2.3 Table 7.1 below shows the Able development site trip totals which have been added to the Core TEMPRO trips to create the Core Scenario. The Able sites will be built out by 2023 and are not expected to expand. The generated trips are therefore the same in 2023, 2031 and 2041.

Table 7.1 - Able Development Trip Totals

2023, 2031 and 2041

AM IP PM

Car 0 740 0

LGV 0 0 0

OGV1 27 13 32

OGV2 116 78 178

Total 143 831 210

Page | 39

7.3 TRIPS ASSOCIATED WITH ADDITIONAL PORT GROWTH.

7.3.1 The 2031 and 2041 background traffic growth applied to the model zones representing the Port of Immingham and the Humber Sea Terminal is based on TEMPRO growth. When comparing against the aspiration growth of 70% predicted by ABP this level of growth is thought to be too low.

7.3.2 A more realistic level of growth has been estimated for cars using NTM 2013 Yorkshire and Humberside growth rates between 2012 and 2031 and 2012 and 2041. This growth for both years is 31%.

7.3.3 The growth difference between the background TEMPRO growth (19%-20%) and the NTM13 growth (31%) has been used to calculate the growth in car trips to and from the ports above TEMPRO. This has been added to the Core TEMPRO matrices along with the Able development trips to create the Core scenario.

7.3.4 Table 7.2 below shows the additional port growth trip totals which have been added to the Core TEMPRO trips to create the Core Scenario.

Table 7.2 - Additional Port Growth Trip Totals

2016 2023 2031 2041

AM IP PM AM IP PM AM IP PM AM IP PM

Car 14 8 18 124 54 105 117 65 141 162 65 157

Page | 40

7.4 CORE SCENARIO MATRIX TOTALS

7.4.1 The Core matrix totals are shown below.

Table 7.3 - AM Peak Core Matrix Totals

AM Peak Base Year

(2012)

Core Opening

Year (2016)

Core Intermediate

Year (2023)

Core Design Year

(2031)

Core Final Year

(2041)

Car 5,269 5,766 5,942 6,678 6,931

LGV 1,074 1,159 1,421 1,671 1,948

OGV1 615 640 721 738 760

OGV2 2,495 2,702 3,147 3,443 3,739

Total 9,453 10,268 1,1231 12,529 13,377

Table 7.4 - Inter Peak Core Matrix Totals

Inter Peak Base Year

(2012)

Core Opening

Year (2016)

Core Intermediate

Year (2023)

Core Design Year

(2031)

Core Final Year

(2041)

Car 2,664 2,867 3,916 4,131 4,429

LGV 720 803 1,067 1,234 1,420

OGV1 639 663 729 746 769

OGV2 2,525 2,737 3,123 3,422 3,722

Total 6,547 7,070 8,835 9,534 10,340

Table 7.5 - PM Peak Core Matrix Totals

PM Peak Base Year

(2012)

Core Opening

Year (2016)

Core Intermediate

Year (2023)

Core Design Year

(2031)

Core Final Year

(2041)

Car 5,451 5,908 6,501 6,897 7,456

LGV 833 902 1,141 1,335 1,551

OGV1 546 574 659 674 693

OGV2 2,390 2,590 3,079 3,363 3,646

Total 9,221 9,974 11,381 12,269 13,347

7.4.2 Table 7.6 shows the difference between the Core and the Core TEMPRO matrix totals for each forecast year and time period.

Page | 41

Table 7.6 – Comparison between Core TEMPRO and Core Matrix Totals

Year Time User Class Core Core

TEMPRO Core -

Core TEMPRO

2016

AM

Car 5,766 5,752 14

LGV 1,159 1,159 0

OGV1 640 640 0

OGV2 2,702 2,702 0

Total 10,268 10,253 14

IP

Car 2,867 2,859 8

LGV 803 803 0

OGV1 663 663 0

OGV2 2,737 2,737 0

Total 7,070 7,062 8

PM

Car 5,908 5,890 18

LGV 902 902 0

OGV1 574 574 0

OGV2 2,590 2,590 0

Total 9,974 9,956 18

2023

AM

Car 5,942 5,818 124

LGV 1,421 1,421 0

OGV1 721 695 27

OGV2 3,147 3,031 116

Total 11,231 10,964 267

IP

Car 3,916 3,122 794

LGV 1,067 1,067 0

OGV1 729 717 13

OGV2 3,123 3,044 78

Total 8,835 7,950 885

PM

Car 6,501 6,397 105

LGV 1,141 1,141 0

OGV1 659 627 32

OGV2 3,079 2,901 178

Total 11,381 11,066 315

2031

AM

Car 6,678 6,561 117

LGV 1,671 1,671 0

OGV1 738 711 27

OGV2 3,443 3,327 116

Total 12,529 12,269 260

IP

Car 4,131 3,326 805

LGV 1,234 1,234 0

OGV1 746 734 13

OGV2 3,422 3,344 78

Total 9,534 8,638 896

PM

Car 6,897 6,757 141

LGV 1,335 1,335 0

OGV1 674 642 32

OGV2 3,363 3,185 178

Total 12,269 11,918 351

2041

AM

Car 6,931 6,768 162

LGV 1,948 1,948 0

OGV1 760 733 27

OGV2 3,739 3,623 116

Total 13,377 13,072 305

IP

Car 4,429 3,624 805

LGV 1,420 1,420 0

OGV1 769 757 13

OGV2 3,722 3,644 78

Total 10,340 9,444 896

PM

Car 7,456 7,300 157

LGV 1,551 1,551 0

OGV1 693 661 32

OGV2 3,646 3,468 178

Total 13,347 12,980 367

Page | 42

8 CORE SCENARIO - FUTURE YEAR FORECASTS

8.1 FORECAST TRAFFIC FLOWS

8.1.1 The forecast traffic flows for the three modelled time periods (AM, IP, PM) and a calculated daily flow (AADT) for the opening year (2016) and design year (2031) for the Do Minimum and Do Something networks are shown in schematics in Appendix C. For Comparison the forecast traffic flows for the Core TEMPRO Scenario are shown in Appendix D.

8.2 FORECAST JOURNEY TIMES

8.2.1 The forecast journey times on the A160 and A1173 access routes from the A180 to the Port of Immingham are summarised in Tables 8.1 and 8.2, the journey times on the A180 between the A160 and A1173 junctions is given in Table 8.3.

Table 8.1 - A160 Journey Times (Seconds) - Core Scenario

Scenario Time

Period

A160 from A180 to Port of Immingham

A160 from Port of Immingham to A180

DM DS Diff DM DS Diff

Opening Year 2016

AM Peak 344 210 -134 267 186 -81

Inter Peak 250 210 -39 234 188 -46

PM Peak 256 205 -52 289 187 -102

Design Year 2031

AM Peak 640 218 -423 282 189 -92

Inter Peak 272 213 -59 268 191 -77

PM Peak 273 207 34 352 193 -160

Table 8.2 - A1173 Journey Times (Seconds) - Core Scenario

Scenario Time Period A1173 from A180 to Port

of Immingham A1173 from Port of

Immingham to A180

DM DS Diff DM DS Diff

Opening Year 2016

AM Peak 394 376 -18 310 310 -1

Inter Peak 310 305 -5 327 321 -7

PM Peak 308 303 -5 390 388 -2

Design Year 2031

AM Peak 647 456 -191 313 313 0

Inter Peak 328 315 -13 342 337 -5

PM Peak 316 310 -6 480 420 -60

Table 8.3 - A180 Journey Times (Seconds) - Core Scenario

Scenario Time Period A180 from A160 to A1173 A180 from A1173 to A160

DM DS Diff DM DS Diff

Opening Year 2016

AM Peak 184 179 -5 190 178 -12

Inter Peak 177 173 -4 189 175 -15

PM Peak 179 175 -3 195 180 -15

Design Year 2031

AM Peak 193 185 -8 195 186 -9

Inter Peak 180 176 -3 193 179 -13

PM Peak 182 180 -2 206 190 -16

Page | 43

8.2.2 The modelled journey times show that in the design year the scheme will provide travel time savings relative to the DM on the A160 (between the A180 and Port of Immingham) ranging between just over 1 minute and 8 minutes depending on time period and direction.

8.2.3 In the design year the scheme provides travel time savings on the A1173 for the AM peak of up to 4 minutes between the A180 and the Port of Immingham. In the PM peak there is a time saving of 1.5 minutes. This is mainly due to changes in delay at the A160/A1173 roundabout but also along the A1173 corridor, most notably at the junctions to the town of Immingham.

8.2.4 Time savings on the A180 between the A160 and A1173 junctions of less than 1 minute occur for all time periods but are all relatively small, being no more than 17 seconds.

8.3 FORECAST CONGESTION

8.3.1 The level of congestion along the A160 corridor can be measured by considering the vehicle delay and queuing at the four main junctions as follows:

• Brocklesby Interchange;

• Habrough Road Roundabout;

• Eastfield Road Signals;

• Manby Road Roundabout; and

• A160 - Rosper Road Priority / Gyratory.

8.3.2 The delay and queuing levels from the forecast model assignments for each time period (AM, Inter Peak and PM) for these four junctions are summarised in Table 8.4 for the opening year (2016) and Table 8.5 for the design year (2031).

Page | 44

Table 8.5 - Congestion - Delays and Queues - Design Year 2031 - Core Scenario

Table 8.4 - Congestion - Delays and Queues - Opening Year 2016 - Core Scenario

Junction Congestion (Whole Junction)

AM Peak (0700-0800)

Inter Peak (1000-1600)

PM Peak (1600-1700)

DM DS DM DS DM DS

Brocklesby Interchange

Delay (s) 2 5 2 3 1 4

Queue (PCU) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Habrough Road

Roundabout

Delay (s) 20 18 10 17 12 17

Queue (PCU) 9 1 0 0 1 0

Eastfield Road Signals

Delay (s) 31 30 26 28 116 43

Queue (PCU) 25 26 15 16 76 33

Manby Road Roundabout

Delay (s) 16 14 15 14 16 15

Queue (PCU) 0 0 0 0 0 1

A160 -Rosper Road

Priority / Gyratory

Delay (s) NA 0 NA 0 NA 1

Queue (PCU) NA 0 NA 0 NA 0

Junction Congestion (Whole Junction)

AM Peak (0700-0800)

Inter Peak (1000-1600)

PM Peak (1600-1700)

DM DS DM DS DM DS

Brocklesby Interchange

Delay (s) 2 6 2 6 1 5

Queue (PCU) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Habrough Road

Roundabout

Delay (s) 64 18 12 18 14 18

Queue (PCU) 47 1 1 0 3 1

Eastfield Road Signals

Delay (s) 45 36 28 30 77 54

Queue (PCU) 40 38 20 21 66 52

Manby Road Roundabout

Delay (s) 16 14 16 14 16 46

Queue (PCU) 1 1 0 0 1 29

A160 -Rosper Road

Priority / Gyratory

Delay (s) NA 0 NA 0 NA 2

Queue (PCU) NA 0 NA 0 NA 0

8.3.3 The delays and queues in 2031 show a similar pattern to those modelled in 2016 with a rise in magnitude. Although the scheme will provide a mix of increases and decreases in queues and delays at the junctions (due to induced traffic) there will be an overall reduction across the junctions as a whole, particularly in the AM peak in 2031 where the total delay across all the junctions will reduce by just over 1 minute and the queues will reduce by up to 55 PCUs. The Eastfield Road signals will experience slightly longer queues and delay due to the additional traffic at the signals.

Page | 45

8.4 FORECAST CORE SCENARIO NETWORK PERFORMANCE

8.4.1 The forecast model assignments for each time period AM, Inter Peak and PM have been analysed to summarise the vehicle hours for each vehicle type in the model using the network in the opening and design years. These are shown in Table 8.6.

Table 8.6 - Summary Vehicle Hours - Core Scenario

Vehicle Type

Time period Opening Year 2016 Design Year 2031

DM DS Diff DM DS Diff

Car

AM Peak 3,709 3,653 55 4,528 4,325 204

Inter Peak 1,647 1,644 2 2,257 2,242 15

PM Peak 3,595 3,556 38 4,379 4,310 69

12 hr AAWT 26,427 26,199 228 33,722 33,005 717

LGV

AM Peak 874 865 8 1,310 1,271 39

Inter Peak 465 464 1 716 712 3

PM Peak 548 542 5 855 834 22

12 hr AAWT 6,033 5,996 37 9,234 9,075 160

OGV1

AM Peak 542 536 6 650 623 27

Inter Peak 462 461 1 523 521 2

PM Peak 435 429 6 511 505 6

12 hr AAWT 4,993 4,962 30 5,782 5,691 91

OGV2

AM Peak 3,144 3,090 54 4,141 3,984 158

Inter Peak 2,943 2,933 11 3,707 3,682 24

PM Peak 3,140 3,094 46 4,128 4,066 62

12 hr AAWT 31,890 31,599 292 40,968 40,316 653

All Vehicle

AM Peak 8,278 8,154 124 10,641 10,212 429

Inter Peak 5,526 5,511 15 7,211 7,166 45

PM Peak 7,726 7,631 95 9,883 9,724 159

12 hr AAWT 69,440 68,851 588 89,806 88,183 1,624

Page | 46

8.4.2 The above analysis shows that the scheme provides overall travel time

savings in all time periods with the highest hour savings in the AM and PM peaks with savings in the inter peak being smaller.

8.4.3 The forecast model assignments for each time period AM, Inter and PM peak have been analysed to summarise the vehicle kilometres for each vehicle type in the model using the network in the opening and design year. The results are shown in Table 8.7.

Table 8.7 - Summary Vehicle Kilometres - Core Scenario

Vehicle Type

Time period Opening Year 2016 Design Year 2031

DM DS Diff DM DS Diff

Car

AM Peak 293,003 293,195 -192 339,720 339,836 -116

Inter Peak 136,617 136,732 -115 181,953 182,108 -155

PM Peak 280,703 280,476 227 326,766 327,075 -309

12 hr AAWT 2,119,847 2,120,491 -643 2,602,016 2,603,892 -1,877

LGV

AM Peak 71,450 71,479 -29 102,868 102,892 -24

Inter Peak 38,858 38,899 -41 59,242 59,338 -96

PM Peak 43,000 43,013 -13 63,089 63,193 -104

12 hr AAWT 494,608 494,954 -346 734,465 735,324 -859

OGV1

AM Peak 45,608 45,652 -44 51,943 51,969 -26

Inter Peak 39,168 39,213 -46 43,764 43,820 -56

PM Peak 36,430 36,504 -74 41,899 41,998 -99

12 hr AAWT 421,518 422,058 -540 475,900 476,513 -613

OGV2

AM Peak 284,658 284,776 -118 361,465 361,733 -268

Inter Peak 269,869 270,043 -174 336,287 336,498 -211

PM Peak 290,857 290,995 -138 375,460 375,820 -360

12 hr AAWT 2,921,969 2,923,591 -1,622 3,685,362 3,688,043 -2,681

All Vehicle

AM Peak 695,208 695,594 -386 856,486 856,923 -437

Inter Peak 485,000 485,380 -380 621,735 622,257 -522

PM Peak 651,479 651,482 -3 807,703 808,578 -875

12 hr AAWT 5,963,093 5,966,285 -3,192 7,502,893 7,508,961 -6,068

8.4.4 The data in Table 8.7 shows that generally the scheme increases vehicle kilometres on the network by a relatively small amount. This is due to the scheme being marginally longer than the existing road network including the diversion of the A1077 to run parallel to the A160 to link to the network via the new five arm Habrough Roundabout which act to add travel distance to some

Page | 47

movements undertaken on the network. Also, the Rosper Road gyratory adds additional journey distance for Port traffic. These small changes also include a range of re-routeing activity being undertaken on the network with some routes being chosen in the DS being longer than in the DM and some shorter, with the net impact being small. The 12 hour AAWT vehicle kilometres change by 0.05% in 2016 between the DM and DS and 0.08% in 2031.

8.5 CORE SCENARIO ASSIGNMENT MODEL CONVERGENCE

8.5.1 The summary assignment model convergence statistics for the Core Scenario models are presented in Table 8.8 for the forecast years 2016 and 2031, with and without the scheme. The assignment statistics for all the models meet the acceptability guidelines and so are considered to represent a good level of convergence.

Table 8.8 - Forecast Core Scenario Model Assignment Convergence

Year

Time

Period

Do Minimum Do Something

Assignment Simulation

Loop Delta (%)

% Flow Change within

+/- 0.5%

Assignment Simulation

Loop Delta (%)

% Flow Change within

+/- 0.5%

2016

AM

10 9 0.0016 99.2 19 0.0001

11 10 0.0014 99.5 20 0.0001

12 11 0.0013 99.7 21 0.0001

13 12 0.0013 99.5 22 0.0000

IP

4 4 0.0000 100.0 4 0.0000

5 5 0.0000 100.0 5 0.0000

6 6 0.0000 100.0 6 0.0000

7 7 0.0000 100.0 7 0.0000

PM

19 14 0.0015 98.8 14 0.0015

20 15 0.0011 98.6 15 0.0014

21 16 0.0010 99.0 16 0.0014

22 17 0.0010 98.9 17 0.0008

2031

AM

21 16 0.0018 98.8 13 0.0009

22 17 0.0017 99.2 14 0.0008

23 18 0.0015 99.0 15 0.0007

24 19 0.0011 99.3 16 0.0007

IP

6 6 0.0001 99.1 4 0.0000

7 7 0.0001 99.5 5 0.0000

8 8 0.0000 99.9 6 0.0000

9 9 0.0000 99.9 7 0.0000

PM

17 17 0.0022 98.8 17 0.0016

18 18 0.0016 99.5 18 0.0015

19 19 0.0014 99.5 19 0.0015

20 20 0.0014 99.7 20 0.0014

Page | 48

9 HIGH AND LOW SENSITIVITY TEST RESULTS

9.1 OVERVIEW

9.1.1 WebTAG Unit 3.15.5 states that schemes should be tested to incorporate national economic uncertainties. This is done by reducing or increasing core scenario highway growth to create a high growth and a low growth scenario sensitivity test.

9.1.2 The following methodology has been used to identify the sensitivity tests needed, and to specify inputs from the Uncertainty Log to be included within each one. The methodology to develop these two sensitivity tests was also discussed and agreed with the Highways Agency.

9.1.3 To produce the matrices for the High growth Scenario, the uncertainty threshold was lowered so that all the ‘reasonably foreseeable’ developments from the Uncertainty Log were included in the growth forecasts, in addition to the ‘near certain’ and ‘more than likely’ already present in the Core Scenario. Secondly, national uncertainty, covering such items as GDP growth, fuel price trends, vehicle efficiency changes and other national trends, has been assessed by following the guidance given in WebTAG Unit 3.15.5, to factor the matrices as follows:

• High Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2016 = +2.5% x √(2016-2012) = +5.0%

• High Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2023 = +2.5% x √(2023-2012) = +8.3%

• High Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2031 = +2.5% x √(2031-2012) = +10.9%

• High Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2041 = +2.5% x √(2041-2012) = +13.5%

9.1.4 The Low Growth Scenario was developed in a similar way. For the matrices, the uncertainty threshold was raised so that only the ‘near certain’ developments from the Uncertainty Log were included i.e. the ‘more than likely’ developments were excluded. Secondly, national uncertainty has been assessed in the same way, to factor the matrices as follows:

• Low Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2016 = -2.5% x √(2016-2012) = -5.0%

• Low Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2023 = -2.5% x √(2023-2012) = -8.3%

• Low Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2031 = -2.5% x √(2031-2012) = -10.9%

• Low Growth Scenario, 2012 to 2041 = -2.5% x √(2041-2012) = -13.5%

Page | 49

9.2 HIGH GROWTH SCENARIO

9.2.1 The high growth scenario is based on the Core TEMPRO scenario but has had the national uncertainty applied to the TEMPRO factors to create a higher growth due to TEMPRO. In addition to this higher TEMPRO growth the development trips associated with the reasonably foreseeable developments identified in the uncertainty log and also the Able development sites have been added.

9.2.2 For the high growth scenario the Humber Sea Terminal and Port of Immingham traffic growth to 2031 has been assumed to be 70%5. The same methodology as the Core scenario has been followed so that the total port growth including the higher growth due to TEMPRO is 70%.

9.2.3 The high growth matrix totals and a comparison with core scenario matrix totals are shown in Table 9.1 below.

5 ABP, Port of Immingham Master Plan 2010-2030, October 2012

Page | 50

Table 9.1 - High Growth Matrix Totals

Year Time User Class Core High Growth

High Diff Diff %

2016

AM

Car 5,766 6,094 327 6%

LGV 1,159 1,279 120 10%

OGV1 640 670 30 5%

OGV2 2,702 2,826 124 5%

Total 10,268 10,869 601 6%

IP

Car 2,867 3,045 178 6%

LGV 803 849 46 6%

OGV1 663 694 31 5%

OGV2 2,737 2,863 125 5%

Total 7,070 7,451 381 5%

PM

Car 5,908 6,265 357 6%

LGV 902 951 48 5%

OGV1 574 601 27 5%

OGV2 2,590 2,708 118 5%

Total 9,974 10,524 550 6%

2023

AM

Car 5,942 7,827 1,885 32%

LGV 1,421 1,705 284 20%

OGV1 721 821 99 14%

OGV2 3,147 3,740 593 19%

Total 11,231 14,093 2,861 25%

IP

Car 3,916 5,464 1,548 40%

LGV 1,067 1,397 330 31%

OGV1 729 840 111 15%

OGV2 3,123 3,929 806 26%

Total 8,835 11,630 2,795 32%

PM

Car 6,501 9,041 2,540 39%

LGV 1,141 1,354 213 19%

OGV1 659 749 89 14%

OGV2 3,079 3,751 672 22%

Total 11,381 14,895 3,514 31%

2031

AM

Car 6,678 8,958 2,280 34%

LGV 1,671 2,022 351 21%

OGV1 738 888 150 20%

OGV2 3,443 4,375 933 27%

Total 12,529 16,243 3,713 30%

IP

Car 4,131 5,807 1,677 41%

LGV 1,234 1,608 374 30%

OGV1 746 906 160 21%

OGV2 3,422 4,619 1,197 35%

Total 9,534 12,941 3,407 36%

PM

Car 6,897 9,798 2,901 42%

LGV 1,335 1,601 266 20%

OGV1 674 838 164 24%

OGV2 3,363 4,422 1,059 31%

Total 12,269 16,659 4,390 36%

2041

AM

Car 6,931 9,364 2,433 35%

LGV 1,948 2,379 430 22%

OGV1 760 929 170 22%

OGV2 3,739 4,789 1,051 28%

Total 13,377 17,461 4,084 31%

IP

Car 4,429 6,239 1,809 41%

LGV 1,420 1,848 427 30%

OGV1 769 950 181 24%

OGV2 3,722 5,038 1,316 35%

Total 10,340 14,074 3,734 36%

PM

Car 7,456 10,596 3,139 42%

LGV 1,551 1,878 327 21%

OGV1 693 875 182 26%

OGV2 3,646 4,818 1,172 32%

Total 13,347 18,168 4,821 36%

*Relative to 2031 the % change in 2041 matrix totals is slightly smaller. This is because the amount of development trips is the same as 2031.

Page | 51

9.3 HIGH GROWTH TRAFFIC FLOWS ON STRATEGIC ROADS

9.3.1 The high growth, strategic road traffic flows are shown in Appendix E.

9.4 LOW GROWTH SCENARIO

9.4.1 The low growth scenario is based on the Core TEMPRO scenario but has had the national uncertainty applied to the TEMPRO factors to create a lower growth due to TEMPRO.

9.4.2 The development trips associated with the more than likely developments identified in the uncertainty log have been removed. The low growth scenario does not contain the Able development.

9.4.3 No additional port growth has been added to the low growth scenario. The only growth associated with the Humber sea Terminal and the Port of Immingham is background traffic growth as a result of the TEMPRO growth.

9.4.4 The low growth matrix totals and a comparison with core scenario matrix totals are shown in Table 9.2 below.

Page | 52

Table 9.2 - Low Growth Matrix Totals

Year Time User Class Core Low Growth

Low Diff Diff %

2016

AM

Car 5,766 5,368 -398 -7%

LGV 1,159 1,090 -70 -6%

OGV1 640 601 -38 -6%

OGV2 2,702 2,526 -176 -7%

Total 10,268 9,585 -682 -7%

IP

Car 2,867 2,638 -229 -8%

LGV 803 747 -56 -7%

OGV1 663 625 -38 -6%

OGV2 2,737 2,552 -186 -7%

Total 7,070 6,561 -509 -7%

PM

Car 5,908 5,489 -419 -7%

LGV 902 849 -53 -6%

OGV1 574 541 -33 -6%

OGV2 2,590 2,420 -170 -7%

Total 9,974 9,299 -674 -7%

2023

AM

Car 5,942 5,167 -776 -13%

LGV 1,421 1,285 -136 -10%

OGV1 721 631 -90 -13%

OGV2 3,147 2,730 -417 -13%

Total 11,231 9,812 -1,419 -13%

IP

Car 3,916 2,592 -1,324 -34%

LGV 1,067 929 -137 -13%

OGV1 729 650 -80 -11%

OGV2 3,123 2,731 -392 -13%

Total 8,835 6,902 -1,933 -22%

PM

Car 6,501 5,601 -900 -14%

LGV 1,141 1,029 -112 -10%

OGV1 659 571 -89 -13%

OGV2 3,079 2,619 -460 -15%

Total 11,381 9,820 -1,561 -14%

2031

AM

Car 6,678 5,677 -1,001 -15%

LGV 1,671 1,472 -199 -12%

OGV1 738 629 -109 -15%

OGV2 3,443 2,924 -519 -15%

Total 12,529 10,701 -1,829 -15%

IP

Car 4,131 2,697 -1,433 -35%

LGV 1,234 1,055 -179 -15%

OGV1 746 647 -99 -13%

OGV2 3,422 2,926 -496 -14%

Total 9,534 7,326 -2,208 -23%

PM

Car 6,897 5,760 -1,137 -16%

LGV 1,335 1,174 -161 -12%

OGV1 674 569 -105 -16%

OGV2 3,363 2,804 -558 -17%

Total 12,269 10,308 -1,962 -16%

2041

AM

Car 6,931 5,685 -1,245 -18%

LGV 1,948 1,670 -279 -14%

OGV1 760 631 -129 -17%

OGV2 3,739 3,102 -637 -17%

Total 13,377 11,087 -2,290 -17%

IP

Car 4,429 2,862 -1,567 -35%

LGV 1,420 1,188 -233 -16%

OGV1 769 649 -120 -16%

OGV2 3,722 3,106 -616 -17%

Total 10,340 7,805 -2,535 -25%

PM

Car 7,456 6,048 -1,408 -19%

LGV 1,551 1,328 -223 -14%

OGV1 693 570 -123 -18%

OGV2 3,646 2,975 -672 -18%

Total 13,347 10,922 -2,425 -18%

*Relative to 2031 the % change in 2041 matrix totals is slightly smaller. This is because the amount of development trips is the same as 2031.

Page | 53

9.5 LOW GROWTH TRAFFIC FLOWS ON STRATEGIC ROADS

9.5.1 The low growth, strategic road traffic flows are shown in Appendix F.

Page | 54

10 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION

10.1 SUMMARY

10.1.1 The A160 Port of Immingham Improvements traffic forecasts have been developed from an interim forecast year (2012) model which was developed from a calibrated and validated base year 2010 traffic model. The process used in developing the traffic forecasts have been based on current WebTAG and DMRB guidance.

10.1.2 Forecast travel demand has been based on initially factoring the base year trip matrices to an interim forecast year of 2012 then applying traffic growth and development trips to represent the opening (2016), intermediate year (2023), design year (2031) and final year (2041) projected demand. These forecasts used a combination of DfT growth factors as from in the National Trip End Model (NTEM) as implemented in the TEMPRO (6.2 dataset) and the 2011 National Traffic Model (NTM) road traffic forecast. Travel demand associated with development proposals, most notably in land adjacent to and within the existing Port of Immingham has been incorporated into the forecasts. The development projections have also been used to adjust the TEMPRO growth in line with current WebTAG guidance.

10.1.3 The Do Minimum network uses the base year highway networks, with modifications to represent proposals associated with the ‘Immingham Bypass’ scheme. The Do Minimum network was then modified to include the A160 Port of Immingham Improvements proposals to create the Do Something network.

10.1.4 Forecast travel demand was then assigned to both the Do Minimum and Do Something networks to give future traffic levels on the network. The Do Something forecast assignments show that the A160 Port of Immingham Improvements scheme reduces travel times compared to the Do Minimum.

10.2 CONCLUSION

10.2.1 The forecasts documented in the appendices of this report provide estimates of traffic movements and operations on the A160 Port of Immingham Improvements scheme and adjacent road network for the future opening year (2016) and design year (2031). In addition, the forecasts have been undertaken to provide an estimate of traffic relating to the Do Minimum situation without the A160 Port of Immingham Improvements.

10.2.2 These forecasts show that the proposed scheme improves traffic conditions in the area by reducing delay along the A160 corridor between the A180 and the Port of Immingham. This reduction in traffic delay results in a rise in traffic volumes on the A160, due to re-assignment from a range of alternative routes.

10.2.3 The Do Minimum and Do Something forecasts are suitable for use in the economic and environmental assessment of the A160 Port of Immingham Improvements. Additionally, the traffic forecasts will be used in the preliminary and detailed design of the scheme.

Appendix A

Uncertainty Log

Commercial Developments

North East Lincolnshire

Development Location Land Use Type Size Completed by 2016 UncertaintyTrip

Calculation

B1 Office 30 Employees yes NC TA

B2 Industrial 40 Employees yes NC TA

Vireol Bioethanol Plant B2 Industrial 70 Employees yes NC TA

Vireol CHP Plant B2 Industrial 7 Employees yes NC TA

B1 Office 12 Employees yes NC TA

B2 Industrial 57 employees yes NC TA

B1 Office 5,311 m2

MTL TRICS

B2 Industrial 15,000 m2

MTL TRICS

B8 Warehousing 30,885 m2

MTL TRICS

Phase 1 B1 288 m2

NC TRICS

Phase 1 B8 25,800 m2

NC TRICS

Phase 2 B8 46,440 m2

NC TRICS

Encycle Stallingborough, Kiln Lane B2 Industrial 10,200 m2

NC TA

B1 Office 21,000 m2 NC TA

B2 Industrial 3,330 m2 NC TA

Phase 2 B8 3,200 m2 NC TA

Graypen Ltd Immingham, Queends Rd B1 Office 1410 m2 NC TRICS

North Lincolnshire

Development Location Land Use Type Size Completed by 2016 UncertaintyTrip

Calculation

B1 Office 529 Employees MTL TA

B2 Industrial 140 Employees MTL TA

B8 Warehousing 3,736 Employees MTL TA

B1 Office 11,075 m2 MTL TA

B2 Industrial 161,650 m2 MTL TA

Glass Wool East Halton B1, B2 26,230 m2 yes MTL TA

Bioethanol Ltd North Killingholme, Power Station B1, B2 77 Employees yes NC TA

Hargreaves Services North Killingholme B1, B8 21,088 m2 yes MTL TRICS

Ravenstock MSG ltd North Killingholme B8 1,240 m2 yes NC TRICS

Mobile Mini UK ltd North Killingholme B8 1,200 m2 yes NC TRICS

North Killingholme Airfield North Killingholme B1, B8 138.21 HA RF TRICS

ABLE Marine Energy Park South Humber Bank

ABLE Logistic Centre South Humber Bank

Stallingborough

Stallingborough

Stallingborough, Kiln Lane

Stallingborough, Hobson Way

Immingham, Alexandra Rd

Grimsby, Energy Park Way

Abengoa Bioethanol Plant

XHelius Biomass PlantX RWE npower renewables

ABP (formerly HM Estates)

Katoen Natie

Real Ventures (Immingham) Biomass Plant

Residential Developments

North East Lincolnshire

Development LocationNumber of

Dwellings

Completed by

2016Uncertainty

Trip

Calculation

Scartho Top Grimsby, Scartho Road 2100 171 NC TRICS

Central Parade phase 1

Grimsby, off Yarborough Road (Sorrel Rd,

Elder Rd, Berberis Way, Silver Birch Place,

Holly Mews, Inchmerry Road, Wild Cherry

Mews )

67 249 NC TRICS

Tower Place/ Waterworks Street Immingham, Waterworks Street 32 NC TRICS

R/O West St & William StCleethorpes, Acacia Terrace & Maygrove

Mews12 10 NC TRICS

Scartho Road Hospital site Grimsby, Second Avenue 117 NC TRICS

Winchester Drive Grimsby, Winchester Drive 43 MTL TRICS

Station Road, adj railway Stallingborough, Station Road 20 MTL TRICS

Hamilton Street, 71-85 Grimsby, Hamilton Street 24 MTL TRICS

Macaulay Lane, (West Marsh Renaissance)Grimsby, Macaulay Lane & Cromwell

Avenue 250 MTL TRICS

Blundel ParkCleethorpes, Imperial Ave & Constitutional

Ave73 MTL TRICS

Art College, Eleanor Street Grimsby, Eleanor St & Heneage Rd 20 MTL TRICS

Church Farm & adj paddock & field Great Coates, Old Road 32 MTL TRICS

Education Centre, Grimsby Grimsby, Wellington St & Heneage Rd 18 MTL TRICS

Pelham Rd, Norfolk Lane, Chapmans PondCleethorpes, Pelham Road

200 200 MTL TRICS

Grant Street (Clifton Bingo) Cleethorpes, Grant Street 35 MTL TRICS

Ladysmith Road, (Birdseye site) Grimsby, Ropery Street 177 MTL TRICS

Thrunscoe Centre, Infants & Nursery School,

part Cleethorpes, Highgate29 29 MTL TRICS

Thrunscoe Centre, Infants & Nursery School,

part Cleethorpes, Highgate34 MTL TRICS

Winter Gardens Cleethorpes, Kingsway 47 MTL TRICS

The Cedars Offices Grimsby, Eastern Outway 14 14 MTL TRICS

Weelby Avenue Grimsby, Weelby Avenue 111 111 MTL TRICS

Boundary Farm Grimsby, off Waltham Road 11 11 NC TRICS

Migar House, Garth Lane Grimsby, Garth Lane 88 MTL TRICS

Alexandra Dock West phase II Grimsby, Alexandra Road 70 MTL TRICS

Cordage Mill, Convamore Road Grimsby, Convamore Road 110 MTL TRICS

Granville Street / Convamore Road Grimsby, Granville St, Convamore Rd 35 35 MTL TRICS

1-7, Bark Street Cleethorpes, Bark Street 14 14 MTL TRICS

Land at Cartergate Grimsby, Cartergate 28 MTL TRICS

Poplar Road Depot Cleethorpes, Poplar Road 43 43 MTL TRICS

Land off College Street Grimsby, College Street 12 MTL TRICS

Land NW of Roval Drive Immingham 178 RF TRICS

Land West of Stallingborough Rd Immingham 560 RF TRICS

Land to South of Immingham Immingham 805 RF TRICS

Land West of Healing Healing 259 259 RF TRICS

British Legion, Oak Road Healing 102 RF TRICS

Land West of Great Coates A Great Coates 817 RF TRICS

Land to South of Wybers Wood Grimsby 1360 RF TRICS

Land West of Laceby Acres Laceby 691 RF TRICS

Land North of Nursing Home, Butt Lane Laceby 69 RF TRICS

Land East of Blythe Way Laceby 229 RF TRICS

Weelby Hall Farm Grimsby 1495 RF TRICS

Land West of Laceby Laceby 556 RF TRICS

Land off Shaw Drive / Glebe Road Grimsby 102 102 RF TRICS

Shaw Drive r/o Kensington Place Grimsby 75 RF TRICS

Land at Alfords Garden Centre Grimsby 36 36 RF TRICS

North Lincolnshire

Development LocationNumber of

Dwellings

Completed by

2016Uncertainty

Trip

Calculation

Phoenix Parkway Phase 1 Scunthorpe 249 RF TRICS

Phoenix Parkway Phase 2 Scunthorpe 52 RF TRICS

Land at Glebe Pit Scunthorpe 302 226 RF TRICS

Land at former Oakfield Primary School,

Morecambe Avenue (PA/2012/1092) Scunthorpe 20 20 NC TRICS

Land off Burringham Road Scunthorpe 90 30 RF TRICS

Land at Plymouth Road Scunthorpe 16 16 RF TRICS

Part of Advance Crosby Scheme Scunthorpe 29 20 RF TRICS

Land north of Doncaster Road Scunthorpe 1264 180 MTL TRICS

Former Church Square Multistorey Car Park Scunthorpe 46 0 RF TRICS

Land south of Ferry Road West Scunthorpe 746 296 RF TRICS

Land at the Council Depot, Station Road Scunthorpe 60 20 RF TRICS

Land at 1-7 Cliff Gardens Scunthorpe 28 28 RF TRICS

Former Darby Glass offices, Sunningdale

Road Scunthorpe 66 RF TRICS

Land off High Street, Yaddlethorpe Scunthorpe 304 RF TRICS

Former Arrow Park, Exeter Road Scunthorpe 17 RF TRICS

Former Kingsway House Scunthorpe 16 16 RF TRICS

Former Scunthorpe Telegraph Office Site ,

Doncaster Road Scunthorpe 67 RF TRICS

Land at former South Leys School ,

Enderby Road Scunthorpe 215 RF TRICS

Land at Hebden Road Scunthorpe 145 RF TRICS

Former allotments to the rear of 19-47

Somervell Road Scunthorpe66 54 MTL TRICS

West of Hilton Avenue Scunthorpe 40 40 NC TRICS

Lakeside Scunthorpe 764 681 NC TRICS

Normanby Road West Scunthorpe 386 386 NC TRICS

130 Ashby High Street Scunthorpe 15 15 NC TRICS

UTC Ltd, Smith Road Scunthorpe 20 20 NC TRICS

30-32 Crosby Road Scunthorpe 18 18 NC TRICS

Cottage Beck Car Sales, Cottage Beck

Road Scunthorpe 10 10 NC TRICS

St Philip's Club, Sheffield Street Scunthorpe 10 10 NC TRICS

Land at Crowberry Drive Scunthorpe 28 28 NC TRICS

Plot 29 Hebdon Road Scunthorpe 14 14 NC TRICS

Fomer Carpark,Collum Avenue Scunthorpe 14 NC TRICS

Former Crosby Health Centre, Parkinson

Avenue Scunthorpe24 24 NC TRICS

West of Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 6000 RF TRICS

NSD site, Land east of Scotter Road Scunthorpe 281 RF TRICS

Brumby Resource Centre, East Common

Lane Scunthorpe 72 RF TRICS

Fomer Tennis Courts Rowland Road Scunthorpe 26 RF TRICS

Post Office Depot Scunthorpe 20 RF TRICS

Former Yorkshire Electricity Depot, Land off

Queensway and Dudley Road Scunthorpe78 RF TRICS

Land at Dartmouth Road Scunthorpe 91 RF TRICS

Donnington House Site, Scotter Road

South Scunthorpe85 RF TRICS

Hartwell Ford Garage, Station Road Scunthorpe 33 RF TRICS

Appendix B

TEMPRO Factors

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0417 1.0417 GB GB 1.0392 1.0392 GB GB 1.0392 1.0392

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0378 1.0347 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0340 1.0345 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0328 1.0356

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0038 1.0250 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0182 1.0136 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0253 1.0061

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0437 1.0142 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0262 1.0324 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0166 1.0427

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0175 1.0171 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0167 1.0167 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0163 1.0166

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0270 1.0159 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0185 1.0210 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0154 1.0250

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0265 1.0217 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0233 1.0244 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0213 1.0258

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0171 1.0270 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0232 1.0216 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0260 1.0170

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.0865 1.2347 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2104 1.1920 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2323 1.1057

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0319 1.0289 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0299 1.0304 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0285 1.0312

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0385 1.0385 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0377 1.0377 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0375 1.0375

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0513 1.0524 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0502 1.0501 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0504 1.0495

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0445 1.0445 GB GB 1.0503 1.0503 GB GB 1.0473 1.0473

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0431 1.0420 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0503 1.0502 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0461 1.0465

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0482 1.0578 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0654 1.0645 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0491 1.0474

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0725 1.0593 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0702 1.0712 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0556 1.0584

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0396 1.0379 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0457 1.0460 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0357 1.0358

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0511 1.0528 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0573 1.0581 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0476 1.0470

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0488 1.0484 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0569 1.0566 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0461 1.0468

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0440 1.0463 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0540 1.0538 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0430 1.0419

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.1776 1.2659 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2363 1.2373 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2364 1.2041

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0545 1.0518 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0619 1.0620 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0506 1.0514

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0574 1.0574 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0625 1.0625 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0546 1.0546

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0659 1.0668 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0711 1.0711 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0641 1.0638

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0439 1.0439 GB GB 1.0435 1.0435 GB GB 1.0438 1.0438

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0380 1.0360 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0369 1.0368 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0366 1.0385

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0130 1.0298 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0266 1.0288 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0279 1.0147

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0339 1.0128 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0212 1.0184 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0172 1.0345

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0205 1.0203 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0210 1.0211 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0206 1.0209

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0260 1.0174 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0209 1.0191 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0193 1.0253

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0277 1.0245 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0262 1.0258 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0253 1.0280

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0245 1.0300 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0292 1.0296 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0298 1.0248

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.1870 1.2373 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2309 1.2308 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2354 1.1841

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0322 1.0305 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0320 1.0320 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0312 1.0329

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0420 1.0420 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0421 1.0421 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0420 1.0420

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0548 1.0554 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0551 1.0551 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0553 1.0547

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0436 1.0436 GB GB 1.0434 1.0434 GB GB 1.0437 1.0437

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0387 1.0386 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0387 1.0386 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0394 1.0392

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0441 1.0430 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0444 1.0445 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0465 1.0466

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0263 1.0270 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0263 1.0267 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0287 1.0284

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0264 1.0264 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0266 1.0264 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0278 1.0275

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0303 1.0285 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0306 1.0307 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0328 1.0339

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0320 1.0319 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0320 1.0323 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0334 1.0339

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0366 1.0370 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0366 1.0370 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0378 1.0383

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2584 1.2552 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2587 1.2592 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2620 1.2642

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0376 1.0375 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0379 1.0379 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0393 1.0394

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0460 1.0460 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0460 1.0460 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0469 1.0469

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0580 1.0580 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0577 1.0577 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.0584 1.0584

2016_AM 2016 IP 2016 PM

Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work

Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other

Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business

Area Description None-home Based Area Description None-home Based Area Description None-home Based

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0781 1.0781 GB GB 1.0749 1.0749 GB GB 1.0742 1.0742

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0575 1.0511 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0536 1.0547 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0501 1.0559

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 0.9905 1.0615 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0349 1.0203 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0600 0.9955

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1215 1.0303 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0651 1.0829 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0351 1.1154

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0350 1.0219 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0263 1.0286 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0207 1.0325

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.0731 1.1580 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1285 1.1128 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1531 1.0752

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0578 1.0570 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0569 1.0573 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0558 1.0567

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0251 1.0594 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0470 1.0414 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0569 1.0257

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.1299 1.2461 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2250 1.2143 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2434 1.1431

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0626 1.0642 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0625 1.0622 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0624 1.0609

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0862 1.0862 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0835 1.0835 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0828 1.0828

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1236 1.1212 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1196 1.1201 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1177 1.1199

2023_AM 2023_AM 2023_IP 2023_IP 2023_PM 2023_PM

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1106 1.1106 GB GB 1.1262 1.1262 GB GB 1.1094 1.1094

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1102 1.1081 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1291 1.1288 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1054 1.1063

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0793 1.1135 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1213 1.1188 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0906 1.0822

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1691 1.1234 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1579 1.1610 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1273 1.1398

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0846 1.0746 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0953 1.0960 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0712 1.0734

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1585 1.2285 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2062 1.2065 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1884 1.1642

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1148 1.1193 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1363 1.1355 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1107 1.1106

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0917 1.1028 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1182 1.1177 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0925 1.0882

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2754 1.3651 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3410 1.3464 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3254 1.2908

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1070 1.1064 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1250 1.1252 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1035 1.1037

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1256 1.1256 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1378 1.1378 Syorks South Yorkshire 1.1206 1.1206

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1780 1.1774 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1919 1.1920 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1671 1.1671

2023_AM 2023_AM 2023_IP 2023_IP 2023_PM 2023_PM

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0818 1.0818 GB GB 1.0828 1.0828 GB GB 1.0826 1.0826

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0567 1.0525 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0577 1.0576 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0554 1.0593

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0168 1.0707 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0582 1.0642 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0643 1.0201

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0888 1.0257 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0477 1.0406 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0368 1.0904

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0355 1.0271 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0313 1.0313 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0289 1.0369

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1163 1.1602 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1557 1.1530 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1597 1.1135

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0619 1.0614 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0641 1.0637 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0628 1.0630

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0448 1.0641 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0615 1.0626 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0634 1.0458

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2124 1.2476 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2476 1.2437 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2493 1.2076

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0650 1.0666 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0683 1.0688 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0675 1.0666

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0934 1.0934 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0934 1.0934 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.0934 1.0934

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1303 1.1284 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1298 1.1295 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1291 1.1306

2023_AM 2023_AM 2023_IP 2023_IP 2023_PM 2023_PM

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.0958 1.0958 GB GB 1.0963 1.0963 GB GB 1.0967 1.0967

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0819 1.0819 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0836 1.0831 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0844 1.0836

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1094 1.1048 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1110 1.1099 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1117 1.1102

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0573 1.0612 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0590 1.0624 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0599 1.0606

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0486 1.0481 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0500 1.0490 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0509 1.0500

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2173 1.2116 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2201 1.2234 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2215 1.2272

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0893 1.0892 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0905 1.0917 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0910 1.0925

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0878 1.0894 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0887 1.0902 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0891 1.0906

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3175 1.3076 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3211 1.3265 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3226 1.3324

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0873 1.0868 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0889 1.0885 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0897 1.0898

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1063 1.1063 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1070 1.1070 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1068 1.1068

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1475 1.1477 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1485 1.1485 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1484 1.1484

2023_AM 2023_IP 2023_PM

Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work

Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other

Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business

Area Description Non-home Based Area Description Non-home Based Area Description Non-home Based

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1134 1.1134 GB GB 1.1100 1.1100 GB GB 1.1088 1.1088

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0718 1.0619 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0686 1.0705 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0628 1.0719

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 0.9902 1.1056 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0628 1.0396 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1038 0.9993

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1905 1.0456 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1017 1.1295 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0541 1.1815

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0532 1.0434 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0450 1.0468 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0406 1.0493

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1036 1.1677 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1429 1.1322 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1620 1.1024

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1010 1.1000 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0993 1.0995 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.0976 1.0988

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0480 1.0991 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0800 1.0713 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0948 1.0482

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.1827 1.2565 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2395 1.2372 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2532 1.1872

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.0960 1.1051 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1005 1.0989 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1025 1.0942

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1365 1.1365 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1314 1.1314 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1306 1.1306

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2023 1.1953 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1956 1.1969 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.1915 1.1977

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1830 1.1830 GB GB 1.2129 1.2129 GB GB 1.1785 1.1785

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1846 1.1807 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.2211 1.2206 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1726 1.1743

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1416 1.2010 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.2141 1.2097 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1610 1.1465

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.2770 1.2000 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.2598 1.2653 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.2078 1.2290

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1242 1.1152 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1478 1.1487 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1126 1.1138

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2139 1.2893 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2752 1.2771 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2461 1.2195

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1877 1.1944 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.2254 1.2242 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1854 1.1855

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1488 1.1628 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1926 1.1921 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1524 1.1467

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3760 1.4602 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.4486 1.4601 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.4183 1.3842

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1795 1.1831 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.2155 1.2155 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1761 1.1749

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1912 1.1912 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2126 1.2126 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1876 1.1876

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3074 1.3045 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3314 1.3317 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2852 1.2859

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1189 1.1189 GB GB 1.1223 1.1223 GB GB 1.1210 1.1210

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0708 1.0642 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0749 1.0749 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0700 1.0762

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0345 1.1212 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1019 1.1117 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1112 1.0399

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1382 1.0383 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0743 1.0624 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0567 1.1413

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0586 1.0518 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0566 1.0573 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0538 1.0605

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1416 1.1687 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1715 1.1647 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1723 1.1372

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1062 1.1062 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1107 1.1097 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1088 1.1084

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0769 1.1056 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1023 1.1037 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1052 1.0786

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2407 1.2561 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2638 1.2546 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2623 1.2330

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1028 1.1095 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1120 1.1132 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1108 1.1057

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1480 1.1480 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1479 1.1479 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1480 1.1480

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2127 1.2076 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2118 1.2111 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2098 1.2139

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1424 1.1424 GB GB 1.1426 1.1426 GB GB 1.1470 1.1470

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1117 1.1117 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1135 1.1129 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1207 1.1197

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1743 1.1706 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1755 1.1764 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1828 1.1828

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0793 1.0810 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0796 1.0806 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0875 1.0861

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0755 1.0753 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0767 1.0759 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0815 1.0806

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2348 1.2249 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2367 1.2363 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2469 1.2514

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1386 1.1381 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1393 1.1403 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1448 1.1465

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1328 1.1347 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1332 1.1349 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1378 1.1396

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3397 1.3237 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3419 1.3420 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.3555 1.3634

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1394 1.1389 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1408 1.1407 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1463 1.1467

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1596 1.1596 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1596 1.1596 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.1625 1.1625

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2350 1.2352 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2356 1.2355 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.2407 1.2406

2031 AM 2031 IP 2031 PM

Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work

Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other

Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business

Area Description Non-home Based Area Description Non-home Based Area Description Non-home Based

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1749 1.1749 GB GB 1.1684 1.1684 GB GB 1.1668 1.1668

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1013 1.0856 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0963 1.0992 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0872 1.1014

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0052 1.1799 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1151 1.0803 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1772 1.0191

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.2959 1.0761 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1607 1.2021 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0884 1.2814

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0977 1.0906 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0864 1.0874 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.0827 1.0887

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1590 1.1866 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1680 1.1647 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1772 1.1488

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1687 1.1695 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1642 1.1641 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1627 1.1626

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.0951 1.1647 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1351 1.1234 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1556 1.0915

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2593 1.2766 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2624 1.2702 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2703 1.2462

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1561 1.1721 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1626 1.1596 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1665 1.1517

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2176 1.2176 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2074 1.2074 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2067 1.2067

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3211 1.3098 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3066 1.3087 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3004 1.3106

2041_AM 2041_AM 2041_IP 2041_IP 2041_PM 2041_PM

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.2754 1.2754 GB GB 1.3148 1.3148 GB GB 1.2673 1.2673

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.2783 1.2719 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.3316 1.3309 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.2575 1.2603

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.2444 1.3361 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.3542 1.3472 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.2713 1.2496

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.4405 1.3201 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.4035 1.4118 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.3247 1.3575

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1836 1.1761 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.2125 1.2138 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1709 1.1702

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2848 1.3578 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.3472 1.3508 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.3104 1.2840

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.2843 1.2940 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.3369 1.3352 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.2844 1.2847

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.2298 1.2455 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.2890 1.2880 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.2350 1.2293

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.4951 1.5678 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.5680 1.5852 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.5250 1.4953

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.2746 1.2819 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.3244 1.3243 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.2704 1.2680

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2852 1.2852 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.3083 1.3083 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2796 1.2796

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.4589 1.4541 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.4863 1.4868 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.4275 1.4285

2041_AM 2041_AM 2041_IP 2041_IP 2041_PM 2041_PM

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.1840 1.1840 GB GB 1.1885 1.1885 GB GB 1.1871 1.1871

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0995 1.0892 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1060 1.1061 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.0984 1.1082

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.0741 1.2077 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1773 1.1937 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.1917 1.0833

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.2185 1.0643 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1207 1.1005 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.0938 1.2225

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1095 1.1048 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1086 1.1100 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1064 1.1117

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1868 1.1871 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1988 1.1857 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.1961 1.1799

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1798 1.1811 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1857 1.1843 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.1841 1.1823

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1379 1.1765 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1707 1.1725 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.1756 1.1397

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2860 1.2758 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2911 1.2747 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.2872 1.2740

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1696 1.1815 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1834 1.1855 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.1826 1.1734

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2362 1.2362 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2344 1.2344 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2357 1.2357

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3383 1.3300 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3344 1.3333 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3326 1.3394

2041_AM 2041_AM 2041_IP 2041_IP 2041_PM 2041_PM

Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination Level Name Origin Destination

GB GB 1.2274 1.2274 GB GB 1.2289 1.2289 GB GB 1.2300 1.2300

Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1840 1.1843 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1895 1.1882 Lincs Lincolnshire 1.1919 1.1899

00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.3140 1.3003 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.3175 1.3146 00FB East Riding of Yorkshire 1.3189 1.3142

00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1446 1.1560 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1484 1.1580 00FA Kingston upon Hull City 1.1503 1.1523

00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1396 1.1401 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1417 1.1397 00FC North East Lincolnshire 1.1434 1.1414

00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.2971 1.2846 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.3026 1.3092 00FC6 Immingham/Killingholme(main) 1.3052 1.3171

00FD North Lincolnshire 1.2377 1.2357 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.2396 1.2422 00FD North Lincolnshire 1.2405 1.2439

00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.2219 1.2243 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.2230 1.2264 00FD1 Scunthorpe 1.2237 1.2271

00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.4302 1.4022 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.4381 1.4489 00FD2 Immingham/Killingholme(part of) 1.4414 1.4630

NYorks North Yorkshire 1.2353 1.2334 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.2386 1.2377 NYorks North Yorkshire 1.2404 1.2409

SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2521 1.2521 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2523 1.2523 SYorks South Yorkshire 1.2514 1.2514

WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3742 1.3750 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3757 1.3758 WYorks West Yorkshire 1.3753 1.3753

2041_AM 2041_IP 2041_PM

Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work Area Description Home-based Work

Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other Area Description Home-based Other

Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business Area Description Employers Business

Area Description Non-home Based Area Description Non-home Based Area Description Non-home Based

Appendix C

Core Traffic Flows

1,291

1,390

1,505

1,004 1,272 1,496

974

1,997

2,072 2,341 1,465

1,404 2,135

1,903

4,596

2,360 3,508 4,596

24 AADT 1,732 3,875

2016 2,970

Total Veh 3,852

Do Minimum 5,124

182

2,678 #N/A 6,200 3,140

2,080 4,564

146 #N/A

5,190

6,023 4,596

5,065

22 5 4,839

959

833 6,269 356 283

6,263 1,925

823 872 2,309

4,348

6,109 6,049

1,956

4,819

13,404 2,813

2,895 1,717

14,207 8,835

1,754

9,714

2,088

1,533 4,134

4,846

1,507

3,304

3,277

6,384

8,836 5,649

2,950

2,883

9,714

13,125

14,790

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

83

204

269

28 241 97

269

222

520 514 85

19 334

39

891

176 221 891

AM 263 849

2016 373

Total Veh 236

Do Minimum 539

28

196 #N/A 1,085 206

334 497

11 #N/A

441

1,058 290

438

9 2 928

148

110 872 69 39

572 83

62 79 546

253

861 572

367

763

1,881 314

246 57

1,367 1,173

131

950

349

312 152

972

63

546

126

1,383

1,173 144

214

389

950

1,126

2,190

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

116

111

101

74 71 109

47

183

108 130 139

60 139

109

309

117 276 309

IP 122 227

2016 251

Total Veh 314

Do Minimum 421

15

146 #N/A 438 247

145 347

10 #N/A

410

423 368

400

0 0 299

77

77 490 19 20

458 130

71 71 119

375

471 445

147

361

1,014 230

238 144

1,111 659

140

783

147

93 321

310

111

235

283

399

659 457

240

206

783

1,007

1,065

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

175

105

116

220 123 275

23

164

82 150 189

450 226

520

276

557 593 276

PM 165 220

2016 255

Total Veh 627

Do Minimum 583

11

599 #N/A 440 521

186 580

25 #N/A

748

430 759

723

0 0 373

65

49 555 35 30

963 425

112 116 133

665

549 903

86

369

1,263 305

393 321

1,912 929

269

1,228

166

103 828

298

310

265

571

308

929 1,146

448

321

1,228

1,966

1,417

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,291

1,400

1,512

1,032 1,352 1,501

1,008

2,402

2,131 2,483 1,737

984 2,108

1,918

5,292

1,921 3,921 5,292

24 AADT 1,704 3,975

2016 3,037

Total Veh 4,473

Do Something 5,287

209

2,209 5 6,495 2,969

2,054 4,721

0 167

5,913

6,286 4,452

5,774

0 140 4,736

927

802 #N/A 418 366

#N/A 1,823

747 797 1,970

4,048

6,708 6,622

1,897

4,719

13,391 2,751

2,952 1,682

14,332 9,120

1,596

10,153

1,720

1,529 3,795

4,682

1,541

3,311

3,287

6,210

9,120 5,300

2,885

2,828

10,153

13,187

14,830

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

83

207

277

33 246 98

287

238

545 521 86

20 351

45

950

168 244 950

AM 274 885

2016 408

Total Veh 260

Do Something 617

25

188 2 1,196 214

347 509

0 17

469

1,171 288

463

0 6 885

152

114 #N/A 72 49

#N/A 97

62 79 391

248

1,107 608

342

723

1,882 303

240 45

1,375 1,152

139

1,145

181

318 134

906

66

546

131

1,307

1,152 120

212

368

1,145

1,130

2,201

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

116

111

102

81 77 118

45

180

108 141 142

74 143

109

358

125 270 358

IP 114 229

2016 251

Total Veh 356

Do Something 407

19

150 0 443 247

136 359

0 10

435

424 330

424

0 10 297

70

70 #N/A 26 28

#N/A 133

65 65 121

336

472 479

147

359

1,016 228

238 144

1,111 694

137

782

150

93 281

308

117

235

282

400

694 420

231

207

782

1,010

1,065

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

175

106

106

211 136 250

25

338

83 177 303

221 184

520

391

346 771 391

PM 164 222

2016 247

Total Veh 768

Do Something 614

15

386 0 440 436

183 604

0 28

979

425 799

950

0 29 378

65

49 #N/A 40 36

#N/A 355

94 97 141

643

551 1,029

86

372

1,252 294

424 318

1,959 986

196

1,217

173

96 801

300

306

268

571

310

986 1,116

444

317

1,217

1,982

1,423

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,652

1,716

2,224

1,239 1,667 2,992

2,136

3,001

2,351 3,829 2,251

3,025 2,473

2,304

6,260

4,112 4,578 6,260

24 AADT 2,936 4,413

2031 3,633

Total Veh 4,953

Do Minimum 6,409

239

4,472 #N/A 7,111 3,900

3,286 5,505

211 #N/A

6,398

6,831 6,259

6,212

76 5 6,792

1,121

978 7,475 454 321

8,229 2,486

883 932 2,885

5,723

7,317 7,762

3,294

6,465

16,514 3,363

3,289 3,062

17,810 11,286

1,912

12,210

2,286

2,223 5,293

6,270

2,173

4,027

4,168

8,062

11,286 7,087

3,415

3,133

12,210

15,896

18,165

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

111

225

304

28 319 104

315

265

539 551 148

19 364

47

943

202 260 943

AM 255 882

2031 435

Total Veh 306

Do Minimum 548

34

224 #N/A 1,117 260

324 557

19 #N/A

525

1,065 307

516

31 2 1,000

153

112 807 77 37

607 59

73 89 583

312

907 583

488

816

2,220 450

265 142

1,626 1,448

137

1,195

367

393 196

1,046

77

570

156

1,508

1,448 184

246

394

1,195

1,285

2,571

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

151

146

201

102 95 311

219

268

140 342 259

329 175

143

540

391 379 540

IP 313 279

2031 322

Total Veh 449

Do Minimum 562

21

423 #N/A 544 313

336 442

14 #N/A

529

523 573

515

0 0 556

98

98 676 29 25

726 234

80 80 205

537

623 691

294

571

1,297 256

264 279

1,462 886

173

984

172

171 448

497

198

327

402

597

886 623

298

232

984

1,294

1,361

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

213

136

128

250 152 390

26

336

103 202 147

445 247

602

337

571 751 337

PM 195 285

2031 294

Total Veh 681

Do Minimum 770

14

620 #N/A 525 626

216 681

36 #N/A

880

511 929

844

0 0 474

74

54 661 43 36

1,081 420

103 107 118

780

626 990

160

482

1,530 337

478 467

2,301 1,119

245

1,542

169

116 954

349

358

313

614

391

1,119 1,300

462

357

1,542

2,261

1,723

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,652

1,766

2,622

1,188 1,591 2,504

2,761

2,968

2,562 3,538 2,878

2,847 2,622

2,333

6,924

3,800 4,599 6,924

24 AADT 3,491 4,777

2031 3,933

Total Veh 6,077

Do Something 6,527

275

4,134 14 8,079 3,750

3,896 5,697

9 253

7,112

7,813 5,946

6,926

2 188 6,034

1,181

1,016 #N/A 485 424

#N/A 2,448

884 962 2,761

5,257

9,184 9,042

3,245

5,834

16,672 3,210

3,424 2,985

18,150 11,654

1,869

13,299

2,132

2,050 4,763

5,603

2,051

4,165

4,245

7,448

11,654 6,693

3,449

3,143

13,299

16,023

18,275

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

111

246

397

37 285 97

383

254

628 539 158

23 428

59

1,059

205 266 1,059

AM 381 1,025

2031 528

Total Veh 347

Do Something 759

30

228 2 1,511 264

470 568

0 32

570

1,481 361

564

1 7 898

172

126 #N/A 66 49

#N/A 106

77 100 505

318

1,409 719

491

782

2,279 388

307 130

1,677 1,363

157

1,455

275

354 177

1,002

74

610

163

1,437

1,363 165

240

400

1,455

1,294

2,608

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

151

146

231

102 96 250

296

245

140 286 294

343 180

143

547

382 356 547

IP 366 283

2031 325

Total Veh 545

Do Something 515

27

410 1 541 315

391 446

1 14

548

514 525

534

0 14 469

98

98 #N/A 39 36

#N/A 230

80 80 202

487

724 754

286

484

1,298 253

265 275

1,457 937

169

1,067

176

161 401

410

195

332

404

529

937 592

299

232

1,067

1,295

1,363

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

213

136

127

217 152 343

26

399

103 238 325

322 233

602

494

450 820 494

PM 165 284

2031 321

Total Veh 881

Do Something 726

17

500 3 549 549

186 744

2 41

1,103

535 862

1,064

0 38 479

80

54 #N/A 41 40

#N/A 364

98 109 153

701

656 1,251

155

471

1,536 340

493 456

2,413 1,239

212

1,528

187

107 863

334

314

317

636

377

1,239 1,226

483

355

1,528

2,307

1,728

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

Appendix D

Core TEMPRO Traffic Flows

1,282

1,382

1,505

1,003 1,272 1,497

974

2,011

2,071 2,320 1,442

1,399 2,142

1,903

4,594

2,352 3,510 4,594

24 AADT 1,729 3,874

2016 2,941

Total Veh 3,850

Do Minimum 5,126

181

2,670 #N/A 6,200 3,113

2,076 4,564

146 #N/A

5,194

6,023 4,592

5,070

21 5 4,834

958

833 6,271 356 281

6,260 1,929

823 871 2,308

4,343

6,114 6,046

1,951

4,817

13,408 2,804

2,891 1,713

14,204 8,832

1,753

9,713

2,089

1,531 4,133

4,848

1,508

3,304

3,276

6,385

8,832 5,647

2,950

2,887

9,713

13,125

14,787

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

81

204

269

28 241 97

269

221

520 514 76

19 334

39

891

177 221 891

AM 263 848

2016 365

Total Veh 235

Do Minimum 540

28

197 #N/A 1,085 206

334 497

11 #N/A

442

1,058 290

439

9 1 928

147

110 873 69 39

573 84

62 79 546

253

863 572

366

765

1,883 310

245 58

1,367 1,172

132

949

349

311 152

972

63

546

126

1,383

1,172 143

214

391

949

1,127

2,189

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

116

110

101

74 71 109

47

183

108 129 139

61 139

109

309

117 276 309

IP 122 227

2016 250

Total Veh 314

Do Minimum 421

15

146 #N/A 438 246

144 346

10 #N/A

410

423 367

400

0 0 298

77

77 490 19 20

458 130

71 71 119

375

471 445

147

361

1,014 230

238 143

1,111 659

140

783

147

93 321

310

111

235

283

399

659 457

239

206

783

1,007

1,065

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

175

104

116

220 123 274

23

171

82 143 190

446 229

520

275

553 595 275

PM 165 220

2016 253

Total Veh 628

Do Minimum 583

11

596 #N/A 440 512

186 582

25 #N/A

751

430 759

726

0 0 372

65

49 555 35 29

962 426

112 116 133

665

549 902

86

368

1,263 304

392 320

1,910 929

268

1,228

166

103 828

298

311

265

571

308

929 1,146

448

321

1,228

1,965

1,417

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,282

1,392

1,512

1,032 1,352 1,502

1,008

2,404

2,130 2,461 1,710

984 2,110

1,918

5,266

1,921 3,921 5,266

24 AADT 1,703 3,974

2016 3,008

Total Veh 4,448

Do Something 5,284

209

2,209 5 6,495 2,946

2,054 4,720

0 167

5,913

6,286 4,446

5,773

0 141 4,731

927

802 #N/A 418 366

#N/A 1,824

747 796 1,970

4,043

6,708 6,620

1,893

4,717

13,391 2,748

2,950 1,677

14,330 9,120

1,598

10,153

1,720

1,529 3,794

4,685

1,540

3,312

3,287

6,214

9,120 5,299

2,885

2,829

10,153

13,187

14,830

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

81

207

277

33 246 98

287

238

544 522 77

20 351

45

950

168 244 950

AM 274 884

2016 399

Total Veh 259

Do Something 617

26

188 2 1,196 214

346 509

0 17

469

1,171 287

463

0 6 885

152

114 #N/A 72 49

#N/A 97

62 79 391

248

1,107 608

342

724

1,882 302

240 45

1,375 1,152

139

1,145

181

318 134

907

66

546

131

1,308

1,152 120

212

368

1,145

1,130

2,201

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

116

110

102

81 77 118

45

180

108 140 142

74 143

109

357

125 270 357

IP 114 229

2016 250

Total Veh 355

Do Something 407

19

150 0 443 246

136 359

0 10

435

424 330

424

0 10 297

70

70 #N/A 26 28

#N/A 133

65 65 121

336

472 479

147

359

1,016 228

238 143

1,111 694

137

782

150

93 281

308

117

235

282

400

694 420

231

207

782

1,010

1,065

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

175

104

106

211 136 250

25

339

83 170 302

221 185

520

383

346 771 383

PM 164 222

2016 245

Total Veh 761

Do Something 613

15

386 0 440 429

183 604

0 28

979

425 798

950

0 29 377

65

49 #N/A 40 35

#N/A 356

93 97 141

642

551 1,028

86

371

1,252 294

423 317

1,958 986

197

1,217

173

96 801

300

305

268

571

310

986 1,115

444

317

1,217

1,982

1,423

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,531

1,635

1,661

1,139 1,566 1,876

1,095

2,697

2,324 2,642 1,541

1,362 2,321

2,271

5,254

2,502 4,350 5,254

24 AADT 1,944 4,339

2031 3,342

Total Veh 4,524

Do Minimum 6,174

245

2,868 #N/A 7,042 3,701

2,308 5,447

208 #N/A

6,384

6,762 5,588

6,202

70 5 5,710

1,044

896 6,916 443 311

7,289 1,945

880 933 2,504

5,438

6,857 6,887

3,207

5,812

16,187 3,344

3,292 2,938

17,474 10,931

1,796

12,249

2,243

1,830 5,074

5,719

1,703

3,933

4,066

7,650

10,931 7,002

3,348

3,128

12,249

15,426

17,797

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

99

221

293

29 298 110

304

262

544 547 90

19 349

47

951

202 256 951

AM 265 876

2031 399

Total Veh 284

Do Minimum 568

36

224 #N/A 1,132 248

337 544

17 #N/A

511

1,081 307

504

29 1 997

157

113 822 75 37

598 58

70 89 592

308

910 573

484

808

2,227 442

265 136

1,621 1,450

131

1,196

371

388 196

1,043

75

570

154

1,508

1,450 184

247

392

1,196

1,285

2,572

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

139

137

116

92 86 130

52

220

134 161 168

74 168

137

374

138 337 374

IP 145 277

2031 295

Total Veh 379

Do Minimum 513

21

171 #N/A 533 294

170 436

14 #N/A

520

512 457

506

0 0 384

84

84 584 28 23

568 146

80 80 135

488

553 541

281

472

1,246 256

264 268

1,399 830

156

994

162

108 411

409

125

312

388

530

830 608

287

232

994

1,216

1,301

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

205

126

119

231 152 374

26

337

101 166 140

392 215

602

330

537 769 330

PM 196 263

2031 273

Total Veh 700

Do Minimum 776

14

587 #N/A 507 601

217 685

36 #N/A

913

494 944

877

0 0 460

74

54 645 43 36

1,097 416

104 108 126

791

609 1,016

160

467

1,513 336

480 448

2,328 1,111

244

1,531

171

115 956

344

348

310

611

388

1,111 1,303

462

357

1,531

2,263

1,721

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,531

1,683

1,921

1,131 1,539 1,795

1,278

2,692

2,527 2,749 2,008

1,279 2,478

2,303

6,103

2,280 4,406 6,103

24 AADT 2,044 4,667

2031 3,609

Total Veh 5,294

Do Something 6,366

277

2,609 14 7,961 3,542

2,448 5,742

9 256

7,123

7,693 5,223

6,936

1 187 5,434

1,093

927 #N/A 476 413

#N/A 1,966

885 961 2,300

4,957

8,184 8,036

3,165

5,654

16,285 3,184

3,361 2,936

17,749 11,289

1,765

12,920

2,020

1,701 4,594

5,523

1,673

4,055

4,156

7,450

11,289 6,625

3,403

3,138

12,920

15,559

17,899

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

99

240

391

37 284 103

381

250

629 528 104

22 405

60

1,045

205 264 1,045

AM 379 1,004

2031 487

Total Veh 318

Do Something 758

30

227 2 1,476 253

467 567

0 32

554

1,446 355

548

0 6 907

172

126 #N/A 65 49

#N/A 106

77 99 487

313

1,391 704

482

785

2,261 379

295 125

1,663 1,362

157

1,454

261

351 177

1,006

74

610

161

1,442

1,362 164

240

398

1,454

1,292

2,607

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

139

137

120

93 87 141

53

217

134 172 174

89 173

137

432

137 331 432

IP 129 280

2031 299

Total Veh 431

Do Something 512

26

166 1 539 296

154 445

1 14

528

514 426

514

0 14 370

84

84 #N/A 38 34

#N/A 146

80 80 134

454

572 577

276

458

1,247 253

265 267

1,398 859

153

1,006

164

105 379

393

127

315

387

529

859 587

285

232

1,006

1,216

1,302

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

205

127

119

217 152 316

26

355

102 204 321

312 212

602

455

436 801 455

PM 163 267

2031 291

Total Veh 873

Do Something 663

22

482 3 538 519

184 768

2 42

1,178

518 814

1,139

0 39 469

80

54 #N/A 41 40

#N/A 376

99 110 150

661

640 1,297

156

458

1,518 338

478 463

2,408 1,287

209

1,525

184

107 849

340

328

315

645

372

1,287 1,211

501

355

1,525

2,316

1,726

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Core TEMPRO

Traffic Flow Information

Date: Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

Appendix E

High Growth Traffic Flows

1,357

1,458

1,568

1,057 1,347 1,640

1,020

2,117

2,167 2,450 1,484

1,548 2,246

2,010

4,794

2,552 3,624 4,794

24 AADT 1,807 4,035

2016 3,098

Total Veh 4,006

Do Minimum 5,293

191

2,886 #N/A 6,438 3,312

2,168 4,769

158 #N/A

5,426

6,252 4,745

5,291

23 5 5,095

1,005

874 6,449 376 297

6,628 2,015

885 935 2,483

4,517

6,329 6,372

2,080

5,116

14,145 2,988

3,078 1,814

14,976 9,434

1,852

10,244

2,243

1,650 4,318

5,186

1,595

3,410

3,425

6,739

9,434 5,891

3,292

3,102

10,244

13,702

15,563

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

88

213

279

30 256 106

280

233

542 540 91

22 346

41

927

189 232 927

AM 271 878

2016 382

Total Veh 251

Do Minimum 535

29

210 #N/A 1,106 217

344 512

13 #N/A

463

1,078 289

459

9 2 978

155

116 850 74 41

603 78

65 82 596

264

855 595

396

822

1,977 338

267 61

1,438 1,263

138

988

387

343 163

1,057

70

549

133

1,462

1,263 152

230

393

988

1,183

2,309

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

122

117

105

79 75 113

50

191

114 136 147

62 145

115

324

122 290 324

IP 129 238

2016 263

Total Veh 331

Do Minimum 443

16

153 #N/A 460 260

152 366

11 #N/A

433

444 387

422

0 0 314

80

80 517 20 22

482 138

78 78 126

396

499 467

155

381

1,075 243

252 152

1,173 699

148

830

156

99 339

328

117

246

296

421

699 483

275

229

830

1,048

1,122

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

185

110

121

231 129 319

24

182

87 156 171

505 246

549

286

617 597 286

PM 173 230

2016 269

Total Veh 634

Do Minimum 603

11

661 #N/A 462 552

194 604

27 #N/A

770

451 775

743

0 0 394

68

51 587 36 31

1,028 448

117 121 140

675

577 964

90

388

1,329 321

416 340

2,013 995

283

1,298

173

108 849

313

324

278

594

323

995 1,178

487

353

1,298

2,053

1,485

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,357

1,473

1,589

1,090 1,430 1,603

1,041

2,491

2,257 2,608 1,817

1,069 2,212

2,030

5,566

2,073 4,047 5,566

24 AADT 1,790 4,175

2016 3,196

Total Veh 4,697

Do Something 5,564

216

2,376 6 6,871 3,123

2,161 4,982

1 187

6,196

6,656 4,670

6,050

0 146 4,994

976

844 #N/A 423 383

#N/A 1,929

788 839 2,083

4,243

7,081 6,972

2,004

4,988

14,147 2,902

3,126 1,776

15,142 9,641

1,687

10,752

1,817

1,613 3,986

4,961

1,625

3,449

3,440

6,526

9,641 5,544

3,224

3,060

10,752

13,758

15,624

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

88

220

294

35 261 107

293

241

579 551 94

24 371

50

1,006

191 248 1,006

AM 288 930

2016 432

Total Veh 277

Do Something 654

25

212 2 1,276 225

365 536

0 24

493

1,251 308

486

0 6 936

160

121 #N/A 69 50

#N/A 103

66 84 415

265

1,173 642

364

770

1,982 318

254 48

1,454 1,208

148

1,211

193

337 144

966

71

563

138

1,375

1,208 128

228

387

1,211

1,184

2,323

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

122

117

107

85 82 123

47

188

114 147 150

77 150

115

376

130 284 376

IP 120 240

2016 264

Total Veh 375

Do Something 428

20

157 0 466 260

143 379

0 11

458

446 348

448

0 11 312

73

73 #N/A 27 30

#N/A 141

69 69 127

354

498 504

155

379

1,076 241

252 152

1,177 736

145

830

158

97 297

325

123

246

298

419

736 443

266

226

830

1,053

1,123

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

185

110

110

222 143 272

26

352

87 184 311

246 191

549

407

376 786 407

PM 172 232

2016 258

Total Veh 801

Do Something 641

16

418 0 462 458

192 639

0 29

1,016

447 828

987

0 30 398

68

51 #N/A 42 38

#N/A 375

98 101 149

664

579 1,081

90

391

1,320 311

450 336

2,061 1,045

207

1,287

181

101 833

315

322

280

590

325

1,045 1,154

484

349

1,287

2,065

1,493

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

2,569

2,309

2,247

1,602 2,732 3,495

2,914

4,495

2,637 4,642 2,959

3,746 3,315

3,016

6,511

6,356 5,865 6,511

24 AADT 4,995 5,147

2031 4,771

Total Veh 5,130

Do Minimum 7,439

341

6,717 #N/A 7,711 5,341

5,095 6,943

476 #N/A

7,721

7,567 7,055

7,529

136 5 8,093

1,308

1,174 7,420 575 348

9,487 3,362

1,045 1,060 4,082

6,487

7,943 8,816

3,684

8,211

19,362 4,987

5,116 4,046

20,880 14,990

2,679

16,537

3,439

3,475 6,000

7,381

3,054

4,461

4,686

9,169

14,990 7,776

4,463

4,526

16,537

19,342

22,544

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

185

285

405

32 640 81

558

377

580 573 267

55 410

55

825

507 286 825

AM 531 883

2031 477

Total Veh 365

Do Minimum 535

44

527 #N/A 1,066 373

561 658

51 #N/A

611

1,023 288

599

53 1 893

165

125 902 112 34

707 108

95 104 433

368

1,151 695

519

817

2,209 628

343 149

1,801 1,945

169

2,301

222

636 222

1,039

136

578

278

1,455

1,945 215

301

617

2,301

1,544

2,978

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

235

201

151

118 138 375

241

420

164 437 277

404 262

187

612

586 559 612

IP 499 373

2031 413

Total Veh 445

Do Minimum 717

24

633 #N/A 630 434

502 585

40 #N/A

662

626 675

643

1 0 731

117

117 632 34 28

884 329

95 95 429

637

626 818

341

762

1,633 406

431 378

1,814 1,166

258

1,161

369

257 547

635

274

381

433

762

1,166 729

394

314

1,161

1,642

1,759

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

318

186

166

368 170 465

59

477

121 284 291

528 342

793

381

723 812 381

PM 319 358

2031 512

Total Veh 707

Do Minimum 824

40

738 #N/A 617 827

324 828

52 #N/A

1,021

609 1,030

999

0 0 695

94

77 655 47 44

1,108 503

110 107 206

792

640 999

175

748

1,907 469

764 634

2,537 1,496

323

1,826

304

184 977

481

483

353

632

494

1,496 1,287

616

525

1,826

2,587

2,176

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

2,569

2,443

3,107

1,535 2,012 3,290

3,311

4,031

3,084 4,610 3,845

4,093 4,054

3,058

8,364

6,519 5,284 8,364

24 AADT 6,644 6,131

2031 5,055

Total Veh 7,550

Do Something 7,939

253

6,977 35 10,453 5,008

7,032 6,952

81 298

8,583

10,280 7,031

8,403

43 222 7,067

1,481

1,312 #N/A 521 477

#N/A 3,648

1,164 1,231 5,047

6,054

12,253 11,683

3,719

6,985

20,813 4,635

5,231 3,865

21,738 14,988

2,967

16,653

4,222

2,718 5,412

6,213

2,630

4,723

4,820

8,502

14,988 7,638

4,514

4,235

16,653

19,831

22,793

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

185

326

492

45 359 69

533

275

737 640 297

62 522

73

1,173

424 294 1,173

AM 870 1,206

2031 617

Total Veh 515

Do Something 941

12

455 2 1,878 378

963 610

0 37

640

1,866 427

648

17 7 773

204

154 #N/A 67 46

#N/A 107

113 136 1,022

460

1,767 822

552

777

2,740 466

433 140

1,930 1,674

171

1,831

738

474 290

1,019

94

633

187

1,514

1,674 263

286

545

1,831

1,507

3,012

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

235

211

271

131 130 337

317

330

175 410 390

415 274

187

722

578 481 722

IP 612 407

2031 430

Total Veh 724

Do Something 635

28

621 3 744 452

633 561

8 19

744

724 658

724

0 19 594

124

124 #N/A 45 44

#N/A 364

106 106 372

580

1,006 1,042

337

589

1,674 403

420 338

1,838 1,217

295

1,347

321

210 471

480

239

391

458

646

1,217 705

388

304

1,347

1,695

1,783

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

318

177

134

287 169 490

57

623

123 273 351

646 523

793

544

906 757 544

PM 391 363

2031 444

Total Veh 874

Do Something 839

26

965 4 673 619

410 951

14 42

1,156

661 918

1,118

2 39 738

111

89 #N/A 42 46

#N/A 537

115 121 166

655

887 1,544

164

710

1,881 490

751 672

2,719 1,644

348

1,873

237

145 845

399

434

385

723

448

1,644 1,240

672

497

1,873

2,702

2,187

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

High Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

Appendix F

Low Growth Traffic Flows

1,198

1,311

1,356

937 1,191 1,318

898

1,876

1,973 2,177 1,347

1,194 1,927

1,793

4,407

1,843 3,366 4,407

24 AADT 1,391 3,647

2016 2,782

Total Veh 3,661

Do Minimum 4,908

184

2,148 #N/A 5,862 2,892

1,726 4,276

139 #N/A

4,884

5,681 4,349

4,758

13 4 4,498

914

785 6,243 337 267

5,765 1,729

767 824 1,767

4,110

6,051 5,582

1,799

4,488

12,556 2,611

2,695 1,595

13,325 8,182

1,611

9,432

1,601

1,408 3,898

4,482

1,387

3,124

3,104

5,949

8,182 5,348

2,752

2,728

9,432

12,280

13,812

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

77

194

250

28 225 86

257

212

500 487 70

15 317

36

865

137 212 865

AM 210 817

2016 364

Total Veh 222

Do Minimum 538

32

157 #N/A 1,059 194

278 466

11 #N/A

410

1,028 279

404

5 1 867

139

104 997 66 38

532 80

58 74 361

242

965 531

329

710

1,769 290

225 47

1,281 1,083

126

1,031

180

287 143

893

59

519

127

1,279

1,083 137

198

368

1,031

1,064

2,048

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

108

104

89

69 66 96

41

168

101 118 126

51 125

103

289

86 255 289

IP 95 208

2016 234

Total Veh 293

Do Minimum 394

14

113 #N/A 403 230

116 323

10 #N/A

378

389 340

368

0 0 275

72

72 452 18 19

418 115

67 67 104

350

434 406

138

336

946 214

221 135

1,038 612

128

733

134

85 298

288

101

221

266

375

612 430

223

195

733

937

992

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

165

99

99

204 116 241

19

160

78 139 188

385 189

490

273

451 595 273

PM 144 203

2016 225

Total Veh 614

Do Minimum 563

10

493 #N/A 409 468

164 549

24 #N/A

732

399 735

708

0 0 350

66

46 514 33 28

890 382

102 110 125

640

511 842

81

347

1,185 282

370 301

1,805 859

243

1,150

163

96 791

279

288

250

539

290

859 1,092

421

304

1,150

1,844

1,328

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,198

1,315

1,340

965 1,270 1,376

875

2,247

2,000 2,313 1,542

867 1,931

1,802

4,961

1,533 3,725 4,961

24 AADT 1,336 3,706

2016 2,825

Total Veh 4,129

Do Something 5,017

207

1,807 5 6,055 2,769

1,671 4,420

0 150

5,516

5,848 4,196

5,383

0 133 4,461

875

756 #N/A 411 353

#N/A 1,644

705 752 1,749

3,843

6,166 6,062

1,785

4,463

12,538 2,569

2,744 1,559

13,409 8,485

1,476

9,465

1,546

1,414 3,604

4,450

1,411

3,134

3,118

5,880

8,485 5,017

2,691

2,637

9,465

12,339

13,863

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

77

196

242

29 231 87

250

218

511 504 71

16 326

40

908

139 221 908

AM 200 834

2016 375

Total Veh 244

Do Something 580

28

159 2 1,123 202

269 481

0 13

436

1,096 268

430

0 6 847

144

108 #N/A 75 50

#N/A 90

58 74 342

232

1,015 561

322

697

1,764 284

224 35

1,288 1,086

131

1,065

151

295 125

878

62

520

133

1,252

1,086 113

196

350

1,065

1,067

2,057

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

108

104

91

75 72 103

39

165

102 126 129

62 129

103

331

93 251 331

IP 89 210

2016 235

Total Veh 329

Do Something 382

18

117 0 409 230

110 338

0 10

405

391 307

395

0 10 275

66

66 #N/A 25 26

#N/A 118

61 61 107

314

433 436

138

336

948 212

222 135

1,037 643

125

729

136

85 263

287

107

222

266

374

643 393

215

192

729

939

994

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

165

99

97

198 128 246

21

329

78 160 268

206 169

490

363

289 759 363

PM 146 204

2016 231

Total Veh 703

Do Something 600

14

327 0 410 405

165 556

0 27

918

396 770

890

0 27 355

62

46 #N/A 38 34

#N/A 324

89 93 132

627

512 944

82

350

1,178 275

393 298

1,839 908

184

1,139

163

90 774

282

279

252

539

291

908 1,070

417

290

1,139

1,861

1,337

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2016

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,331

1,471

1,476

973 1,334 1,570

954

2,462

2,123 2,441 1,481

994 2,083

1,960

4,853

1,712 3,973 4,853

24 AADT 1,483 3,943

2031 3,025

Total Veh 4,002

Do Minimum 5,523

216

2,034 #N/A 6,321 3,136

1,832 4,760

173 #N/A

5,674

6,110 4,945

5,521

22 5 5,093

934

787 6,309 396 283

6,479 1,619

761 827 2,205

4,718

6,083 6,187

2,884

5,161

14,143 2,720

2,855 2,747

15,298 9,392

1,551

10,464

2,013

1,451 4,644

5,226

1,347

3,393

3,364

6,821

9,392 6,213

2,993

2,805

10,464

13,387

15,236

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

88

207

267

31 250 95

264

225

519 516 80

15 333

41

907

162 225 907

AM 227 847

2031 381

Total Veh 252

Do Minimum 552

35

182 #N/A 1,102 220

301 511

12 #N/A

472

1,068 290

468

9 1 940

145

105 857 73 38

593 78

67 87 541

270

859 581

481

788

2,005 317

233 126

1,447 1,283

127

1,006

362

297 166

1,039

64

542

134

1,439

1,283 158

212

387

1,006

1,153

2,250

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

120

120

102

78 74 109

46

188

115 136 144

59 141

116

325

91 287 325

IP 104 235

2031 259

Total Veh 331

Do Minimum 435

18

120 #N/A 452 256

125 373

12 #N/A

444

434 382

432

0 0 322

71

71 497 23 20

484 114

67 67 108

404

472 464

233

393

1,069 218

224 246

1,199 707

131

845

136

88 360

336

98

247

290

435

707 503

250

198

845

1,023

1,099

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

180

114

102

192 133 309

21

358

89 177 188

271 197

524

331

350 770 331

PM 142 230

2031 250

Total Veh 633

Do Minimum 712

12

395 #N/A 437 480

162 582

33 #N/A

842

426 879

809

0 0 412

71

48 571 38 33

966 337

89 98 120

735

535 901

150

410

1,315 292

427 433

2,078 932

207

1,336

151

96 934

327

271

275

581

347

932 1,261

440

311

1,336

2,013

1,464

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Minimum

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

1,331

1,485

1,616

974 1,300 1,473

1,050

2,341

2,193 2,410 1,744

993 2,130

1,979

5,385

1,623 3,951 5,385

24 AADT 1,532 4,040

2031 3,184

Total Veh 4,633

Do Something 5,497

231

1,911 10 6,750 3,103

1,885 5,147

5 209

6,362

6,525 4,466

6,198

0 164 4,886

949

802 #N/A 442 381

#N/A 1,676

766 834 1,803

4,233

7,020 6,957

2,768

4,954

14,181 2,681

2,806 2,707

15,400 9,748

1,518

11,035

1,571

1,458 4,089

4,870

1,433

3,412

3,386

6,526

9,748 5,719

2,891

2,752

11,035

13,458

15,278

Total Vehicles

24 AADTTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

88

212

320

32 235 97

311

227

548 484 81

17 352

48

943

149 234 943

AM 277 877

2031 433

Total Veh 272

Do Something 652

27

169 2 1,226 224

354 554

0 26

502

1,199 293

495

0 7 885

152

111 #N/A 67 48

#N/A 94

68 88 365

258

1,189 635

442

733

2,020 307

231 116

1,465 1,239

138

1,239

173

302 138

939

67

548

140

1,345

1,239 136

208

367

1,239

1,154

2,266

Total Vehicles

AMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

120

120

102

79 74 116

43

185

115 143 145

69 146

116

371

94 283 371

IP 93 238

2031 261

Total Veh 369

Do Something 441

21

119 1 465 258

115 384

1 12

454

444 358

443

0 12 310

71

71 #N/A 31 29

#N/A 119

67 67 106

379

488 484

230

382

1,069 216

225 245

1,199 722

128

857

133

88 334

323

107

248

290

430

722 484

242

197

857

1,023

1,099

Total Vehicles

IPTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160

180

115

109

190 133 245

24

307

89 179 305

241 185

524

406

316 759 406

PM 140 232

2031 259

Total Veh 791

Do Something 576

17

357 1 463 457

159 681

1 35

1,093

447 724

1,058

0 35 409

71

48 #N/A 42 42

#N/A 332

91 100 133

597

560 1,139

146

406

1,315 292

404 429

2,103 1,099

187

1,310

159

93 785

310

284

277

586

329

1,099 1,113

420

309

1,310

2,044

1,465

Total Vehicles

PMTime Period:

Year:

Scenario:

12/09/2013 Box Information:

A160/A180 Port of Immingham Improvement

2031

Do Something

Time

Year

Box Information

Scenario

Project:

Low Growth

Traffic Flow Information

Date:

North Killingholme

North Killingholme

Airfield

Town St

Habrough Road

Station Road

Humber Rd

Eastfield Road

Ulceby Road

Rosper Rd

Town St

Eastfield Road

Top Rd

Queens Rd

Kiln Ln

A1173

A1173

A1173

Bluestone Ln

Stallingborough Road

Habrough Road

Refinery

A180

A180

A180

A160

A160