8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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HyperAdvance
07/09/09
The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring,
and the Future Enterprise
Bruce LaDuke
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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2008 Bruce LaDuke07/09/09
Directional Categorization
Who What When Where Why How
Known
Unknown
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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Knowledge Creation
1. Definition/Solution/Structure
(Understand Context)
2. Question/Problem
3. Logical Operation
(connects/structures/defines)
4. Result: Advanced
Definition/Solution/Structure
5. Return to step 1 Questions
Unknown
Cutting Edge
Knowledge
Creation
Knowledge
Structure
Encapsulates all forms of creativity, innovation, and problem solving
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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Instructor
Learner
Knowledge Creator
Social
Accepter
Ignorant
Performance
Social
Knowledge
Base
Expression/Non-Expression
EnterpriseKC Cycle
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Singularity
Nano
Bio
Info
Cogniti
ve
Volatility
Risk
Change
Simultaneous Convergence
and Knowledge Advance
Chaos
Complexity
Volume
Upheaval
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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Knowledge
Advance
KC Cycle
Balance of
Interests
Supply and
Demand
Impact
ResultSay/DoOr
Change
Decide
Know/Question
IntegralDialogue
Future Enterprise
Economy
Social
Context
Foresight Balanced
Adaptable
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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2009 Bruce LaDuke07/09/09
HyperAdvance
Backup Slides
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
8/14 2008 Bruce LaDuke07/09/09
Empiricism
Empirical Disciplines
Rationalism
Rational Disciplines
Converging
Logic
Expanding
Logic
Creation/
Invention
Rational
Method
RealityScientific
Method
Discovery
(e.g., technology, art)(e.g., chemistry, biology, physics)
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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Past Present Future
Mystery creativity/tacit knowledge Creative/innovation methods One integral method
(KC process)
Aristotelian logic Fuzzy logic Three-dimensional logic
Scientific method (empiricism orrationalism) Rational (mostly creative)method Unified scientific / rationalmethod
Amass knowledge Amass/find knowledge Cooperatively work knowledge
Behavioral focus (Skinner) Emergence (collective
behavioral focus)
Structural (Peirce) and
behavioral focus
Human intelligence Artificial intelligence Artificial knowledge creation
Synchronous comm. Asynchronous comm. Ubiquitous comm.
Division of labor Division of Mental Labor Integral performance
National interests Network interests Social balance
Strategy Long range planning / futuring Integral futuring
Individual advance Simultaneous convergence
/advance
Automated advance / (Space
age or implosion)
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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Increased Change and Volatility
Increased Change
1972 to 1987 - U.S. government deleted 50 industries from
its standard industrial classification. Added or refined 200
industries.
1987 to 1997 - Deleted 500. Added or refined 1,000.
Increased Volatility
1950 to 2000 - Variability in S&P 500 stock prices increased
more than tenfold.
1950s, 60s, and 70s - market fluctuation of 3% only occurred
twice a year.
Past two years - twice a month.Source: "It's Alive" by Christopher Meyer and Stan Davis
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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Environmental Scanning
The Delphi Method
The Futures Wheel
Trend Impact Analysis
Cross-Impact Analysis
Structural Analysis
The Systems Perspectives
Decision Modeling Statistical Modeling
Technology Sequence Analysis
Relevance Trees andMorphological Analysis
Scenarios
Interactive Scenarios
Participatory Methods
Simulation and Games
Genius Forecasting, Vision, andIntuition
Normative Forecasting
S&T Road Mapping Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)
Text Mining for TechnologyForesight
Agent Modeling
State of the Future Index (SOFI)Method
SOFI System
The Multiple PerspectiveConcept
A Toolbox for ScenarioPlanning
Causal Layered Analysis
Integration, Comparisons, andFrontiers of Futures ResearchMethods
AC/UNU Millennium Project, Futures Research Methodology, Version 2.0, Editors Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
8/14/2019 The Knowledge/Question Cycle, Futuring, and the Future Enterprise by Bruce LaDuke
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T. Irene Sanders - Chaos/Complexity
Mathematical
Complexity
Social
Complexity
Systems
ThinkingEngineeringApproach
Design
Emergent
Rules HeuristicsRemove Ambiguity Allow Ambiguity
Means of Controlling the System
Interaction
ofAgents
OutsideSystem
UnderstandingoftheSystem
Source: New Science, by T. Irene Sanders
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Transformational Leadership
Mathematical
Complexity
Social
Complexity
Systems
ThinkingEngineeringApproach
Design
Emergent
Rules Heuristics
TransformationalLeadership
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