Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change:
European Regional Framework for Action
Extreme temperatures
Dr Bettina Menne
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
2
A deadly summer They got what they did not have before
(Klinenberg…
… cooling and medical attention…..
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
3
….
• September: WHO 35,000
• October ISRD 46,000
• Eurosurveillance: 50,000
• Etc etc
• 2007: Canicule:
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
4
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
5
Legend
0.00 - 0.120.12 - 0.180.18 - 0.270.27 - 0.410.41 - 0.620.62 - 0.780.78 - 0.850.85 - 0.910.91 - 0.970.97 - 1.041.04 - 1.101.10 - 1.161.16 - 1.231.23 - 1.271.27 - 1.311.31 - 1.351.35 - 1.391.39 - 1.591.59 - 1.881.88 - 2.322.32 - 2.992.99 - 3.983.98 - 5.475.47 - 7.707.70 - 11.05
August the 12th 2003 = DOY 224
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
6
EuroHEAT:
Improving Public Health Responses to
Extreme weather
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
7
Q 1: what do you want to measure?
• Heat-waves, cold wave frequency?
• Damage– Mortality
• attributable deaths?• Summer/winter excess mortality?
– Economic• Agriculture losses?
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
8
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
9
Number of daily mortality in Paris and min-max temperatures 25 June-19 August 2003. Paris Funeral Services (2003)
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change:
European Regional Framework for Action
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
11
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
12
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Athens
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Barcelona
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Budapest
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Dublin
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Helsinki-.
3-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Ljubljana
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
London
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Milan
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Paris
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Praha
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Rome
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Stockholm
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Turin
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Valencia
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
.2.3
.4s(
appa
rent
tem
pera
ture
)
-5 0 10 20 30 40apparent temperature
Zurich
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
13
Health effects of heat-waves
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
14
Scope
• For decision making – too late, simply too late
• For reporting purposes (lag 1 week) ok
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change:
European Regional Framework for Action
HHWSs in Europe
Heat Health Warning Systems and Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Europe
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change:
European Regional Framework for Action
HHWSs in Europe
Heat Health Warning Systems and Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Europe
•16 countries with HHWSscould be identified
•most systems implemented after 2003
•different methods (heat wave definitions)
•sometimes regional specific thresholds
•not all countries have heat plans
•lead times: 1 - 3 days
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
17
Seasonal forecasting
http://www.euroheat-project.org/dwd/index.php
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change:
European Regional Framework for Action
Dr Bettina Menne
WHO Regional Office for Europe
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate changewww.euro.who.int/globalchange
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change:
European Regional Framework for Action
The ENHIS System
Data from surveys
International and national data bases
Methodology for 22 “core” indicators
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
20
Share best practices, research, data, information, technology and tools at all levels
• Request to agencies to discuss the development of an information platform by 2014, building on available tools and information gathering processes
• Member States in the WHO European Region are called on to contribute, and support the provision of regular information to the platform.
• Overall strengthen research from improved risk assessment to applied research and improved economic assessments
Protecting health in an environment challenged by climate change: European Regional Framework for Action
21
For whom?
Top Related