Planning for the Future: FMP Committee Meeting #1
April 4, 2017
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Agenda Part 1: Introductions
Welcome/Introductions: Tamara Uselman, Supt.
Presentation Goals: Rob Schwarz, consultant/planner
Activity 1 – What You Know
Part 2: Committee Info
Boundary Process
Purpose of Committee & District Vision
ACE (Academics, Culture, Economics) & Ideal Grad
Review of 2015/16 Committee Work
Part 3: Digging Into Challenge
Enrollment, Demographics & Development
Projections and Digging Deeper into Challenge Info
Activity 2 – What You Have Learned
Activity 3– Clicker Questions
Part 4: Next Steps
Schedule
Homework?
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• Your work on this Elementary Facility Committee is to represent ALL schools in the BPS District, not just your home school.
• You may discuss recommendations to the School Board that may include some small additions & renovations to existing schools & some micro-boundary adjustments where students in overpopulated schools could attend underpopulated schools.
• You may discuss when a new K-5 school may be needed in a high growth area or when a school should be closed/repurposed. Criteria for school closing/repurposing was developed by the 2015-16 Facility Committee.
• The Board prefers no bond election at this time, and wants to keep the existing feeder system in tact, but ALL ideas are on the table!
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• Introduction:
• This purpose of this activity is to understand what you know to help provide the best information for decision making.
• Materials for Discussion:
• All information in your brain.
• Directions:
• What do you know about elementary space needs in BPS from the information you were provided or acquired through your school, the news media, family/friends, etc.?
• What have you heard people talk about regarding elementary space issues?
Time Limit – 10 minutes than report out.
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VISUALIZING SUCCESS
Founded in 2003
Professional educational planning firm
Expertise in multiple disciplines
Over 20 years of planning experience
Over 80 years of education experience
Over 20 years of GIS experience
Clients in Arkansas, Iowa, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and North Dakota
Projection accuracy of 97% or greater
Robert SchwarzCEO, AICP, REFP, CEFP
Planning
GIS Analyst
Educators
Clay GuthmillerEducation Planner
Jay HarrisEducation Planner
David StoakesEducation Planner, Ed.D.
Dave WilkersonEducation Planner, Ph.D.
Tyler LinkGIS Analyst
Brandon SylvesterGIS Analyst
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1. Provide information that will help guide the understanding to why the district has embarked on the journey to plan its future:
• Past Facility Committee Work
• Enrollment, Demographic, Development, and Projections
• Digging Deeper into Creating Solutions
2. Provide a transparent dialogue between RSP, Administration, the School Board, and the Committee so the public will better understand how the Facility Master Plan will guide the decision of projects to complete and the timing in which they may occur.
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Part 2:Committee Information
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Provide the School Board a recommended multi-year Facility Plan that will improve elementary students being College, Career & Community Ready without a Bond Election.
Committee recommendation can include, but is not limited to:
Elementary additions / renovations
Micro boundary adjustments
Potential future new elementary school
Closing / repurposing elementary facilities
Measurements for a successful multi-year Facility Plan should center around the following elements:
Academics
Culture
Economics
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• 21st Century Learning
• College & Career Ready
• Relevant & Rigorous
• Class Size
• Enrollment/Capacity
• Athletics
• Activities
• Clubs
• Organizations
• Student Engagement
• Parent Involvement
• Traditions/Pride
• Safety
• “Bismarck” Experience
• Beliefs
• Values
• Attitudes
• Repurpose of Schools
• Remodeling/Additions
• New Construction
• Bond Referendums
• Community Support
• Ability/Desire To Afford
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• In 2014, the District had visioning meetings with parents, business people, high school students and community representatives. The graphic above was created from words these groups used repeatedly to describe the ideal graduate
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• Many of you served on the 2015-16 Facility Committee.
• Most of that group’s work was to review middle/high school needs.
• After reviewing many options, the group recommended the Board add on to the 3 existing middle schools (vs. building a new one), as well as adding on to Century High & making improvements to Bismarck High to meet future enrollment projections of 1,500 more students by 2022.
• The committee also brainstormed what at “model” school looks like, and discussed equity among schools. (Next Slide)
• The group developed a list of criteria for closing or repurposing schools. The Board asked administration to apply the criteria to existing schools and a decision was made to close and sell the Saxvik Elementary School building.
• A bond election was held March 7, 2017 on middle/high school space proposals, with 85% voter approval. Construction starts this spring.
• Enrollment projections, updated in Nov. 2016, also show 422 more elementary students for BPS, so this committee was created.
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• ADA accessible
• Adequate playground & green space
• Good traffic flow for pick up and drop off
• Collaborative & flex learning space—inside & out
• Separate gyms & cafeterias
• Fine arts space
• Storage space
• Parking
• 4 section school x 6 grades x 20 or so per grade=500 student school
• Specialist space for speech, reading, etc.
• Technology
• Safe & well lit
• Large enough rooms so 2 classes can meet together
• Location & proximity to the kid’s homes
• Natural light
• Expanded core areas so school can be added on to
• Safe entrance; go through the office
• Kitchen space
• Student wings fanning out from the office
• Handicapped accessible playgrounds
• Paved playground space and green space for when green space is wet or if the district needs to use the paves space for portables
• Cost efficiency, including costs to bus students
• After school program space
These are the items the committee felt were needed to create a Model Elementary:
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• Technology
• Teacher / student ratio
• Class size
• School size
• PLCs (Professional Learning Communities for teachers)
• Collaborative space
• Transportation
• On-site parking
• Bus drop off
• Safety
• Playground & open space
These are items the committee felt were needed to create BPS elementary equity:
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• Technology
• Green space
• Same curriculum resources & intervention resources
• Book rooms & student reading materials
• Staff development opportunities for all professional AND support staff
• Square feet of a classroom size is appropriate for the number of students per room
• Adequate air & heat
• Art rooms & fine art rooms (music)
• Quality teachers & administrators
• Peer mentoring & inclusion of all students
• Collaboration among teachers
• Nutrition
• Safety/security; double doors; visitors enter the office area first; cameras in & out
• Collaboration spaces that can be used by all: students, staff, parents, community
• School furniture replacement schedule
• Gym space and flooring to host community events; separate cafeteria from the gym
• Proximity of the school to the students
• PTO support
• Audio enhancement systems in classrooms
These are the items the committee felt the inside of a BPS elementary would have:
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Elementary School:
• Size: less than 500 students are preferred (new ones have a capacity of 625)
• Additions to an elementary school should be considered
• An elementary school could be closed or repurposed
• A new elementary school should be considered
• Complete ES to MS feeder system is preferred
Middle School:
• Size: less than 900 students are preferred (future capacity will be 1,200)
• A middle school should not be closed
• Additions to a middle school could be considered
• Repurposing a middle school could be considered
• A new middle school could be considered
• Complete MS to HS feeder system is preferred
High School:
• Size: less than 1,400 students are preferred (future capacity will be 1,500-1,600)
• A high school should not be closed
• Additions to a high school could be considered
• Repurposing a high school could be considered
• A new high school could be considered
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1. Projected Enrollment / Building Utilization
2. Feeder Systems
3. Contiguous Planning Areas
4. Students Impacted Boundary Change
5. Demographic Considerations
In Oct. 2012, the School Board discussed 10 possible boundary criteria. Using “clickers” to vote, the top 5 boundary criteria were prioritized.
The prioritized criteria is to be used as the starting point & reference to being able to determine which boundary scenario will be best for the Bismarck community.
Note: Safety considerations should help make safe attendance areas.
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1. Projected enrollment: expected to increase over the next 5 years to over 14,000 K-12 students (+12.6%) & stabilize at about 15,000. Elementary growth of 422 students projected.
2. Capacity Challenges:
• Continue to tweak out efficiencies where there’s available capacity.
• Elementary: projected to have K-5 student capacity districtwide of 200-250 “seats”.
• Elementary: some schools will have enrollment current & future growth challenges: Highland Acres, Liberty, Lincoln, Northridge, Solheim & Sunrise.
• Elementary: space doesn’t include areas for specialists, music, storage, etc.
• Elementary: Roosevelt & Prairie Rose have the smallest student enrollment.
• Middle/High School: capacity at 3 middle schools & 2 high schools solved by additions approved in the bond election; also LHS was built to add on another wing, if needed.
3. Development continues in Bismarck: the school district is likely to deal with inadequate facility space in locations where the greatest development is slated to happen.
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District Map – Zoomed In
• District Boundary (purple)
• City Limits (Bismarck and Lincoln)
• Major Streets
• Major water features
• City Boundaries
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MS and HS Attendance Area Map
• District Boundary (purple)
• Major Streets
• Major Parks
• Middle School Attendance Areas
- Simle MS (Blue)
- Horizon MS (Green)
- Wachter MS (Pink)
• High School Attendance Areas
- Legacy HS (Blue)
- Century HS (Green)
- Bismarck HS (Pink)
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Elementary Attendance Area Map
• District Boundary (purple)
• Major Streets
• Major Parks
• Elementary Attendance Areas
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Planning Areas
• By Land Use (Residential, Commercial,Industrial)
• By Residential Density (single-family, mobile, home, duplex, apartments)
• By Natural Features (Rivers and Creeks)
• By Manmade Features (Railroad and Streets)
• By ES Attendance Area
• By MS Attendance Area
• By HS Attendance Area
• Over 900 planning areas
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Planning Area Detail Map
• Show the power of GIS information – zoomed into Highland Acres
• See where students are located in relation to streets, subdivisions, parcels
• Illustrates how the planning areas are tied to the parcel
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This is the central focus of everything RSP does. The model is based on what is happening in a school district. The best data is statistically analyzed to provide an accurate enrollment forecast. The District will be able to use RSP’s reports and maps to better understand demographic trends, school utilization, and the timing of construction projects.
Built-Out
Developing
Where:
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*Enrollment provided by the district – student data is last school day count. Does not include Early Childhood, Home School, Private Schools, or Parochial Schools.
Pig in the Snake Effect: But the pig keeps getting BIGGER!• Largest grade level in 2016/17 – 3rd grade (1,056).• Smallest grade level in 2016/17 – 12th grade (856).• Graduating senior class smaller than the next year incoming Kindergarten class.• Bottom Line: the grade levels moving up are LARGER than those leaving the district.
Year K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total
2005/06 672 703 760 731 771 732 747 845 791 874 920 904 932 10,382
2006/07 809 722 751 797 775 826 775 798 865 814 869 891 849 10,541
2007/08 769 830 735 773 809 805 841 828 804 893 816 866 865 10,634
2008/09 841 773 834 758 800 815 824 856 835 852 882 806 826 10,702
2009/10 820 820 766 836 750 807 815 837 872 847 810 844 814 10,638
2010/11 850 823 827 780 839 756 806 855 839 909 866 824 878 10,852
2011/12 936 848 850 833 787 851 767 819 837 852 917 854 833 10,984
2012/13 966 969 875 870 852 826 846 803 828 879 878 890 862 11,344
2013/14 1,001 974 991 918 891 864 844 872 806 853 914 877 885 11,690
2014/15 991 1,035 983 1,020 927 916 891 866 888 864 849 923 841 11,994
2015/16 1,003 1,016 1,041 1,018 1,026 941 932 924 899 936 874 868 895 12,373
2016/17 997 1,007 1,008 1,056 1,023 1,034 973 948 940 983 924 894 856 12,643
Source: Bismarck Public School District
Enrollment By Grade
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Changes:• Largest average grade level increase – 8th to 9th grade (+63)• Largest average grade level decrease – 11th to 12th grade (-25)• Propensity to have cohort increase students from year-to-year in nearly all grades
Change By Grade from the Previous YearK 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
From To K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
2005/06 2006/07 137 50 48 37 44 55 43 51 20 23 -5 -29 -55
2006/07 2007/08 -40 21 13 22 12 30 15 53 6 28 2 -3 -26
2007/08 2008/09 72 4 4 23 27 6 19 15 7 48 -11 -10 -40
2008/09 2009/10 -21 -21 -7 2 -8 7 0 13 16 12 -42 -38 8
2009/10 2010/11 30 3 7 14 3 6 -1 40 2 37 19 14 34
2010/11 2011/12 86 -2 27 6 7 12 11 13 -18 13 8 -12 9
2011/12 2012/13 30 33 27 20 19 39 -5 36 9 42 26 -27 8
2012/13 2013/14 35 8 22 43 21 12 18 26 3 25 35 -1 -5
2013/14 2014/15 -10 34 9 29 9 25 27 22 16 58 -4 9 -36
2014/15 2015/16 12 25 6 35 6 14 16 33 33 48 10 19 -28
2015/16 2016/17 -6 4 -8 15 5 8 32 16 16 84 -12 20 -12
3-Yr Avg -1.3 21.0 2.3 26.3 6.7 15.7 25.0 23.7 21.7 63.3 -2.0 16.0 -25.3
3-Yr Wavg -0.7 16.0 -0.5 24.0 6.0 12.8 25.8 22.7 21.7 67.7 -3.3 17.8 -21.3
Source: Bismarck Public School District
*Enrollment provided by the district – student data is last school day count. Does not include Early Childhood, Home School, Private Schools, or Parochial Schools.
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In-Migration Map – Zoomed In
• 2016/17 students who are in 1st through 12th grade that were not attending the district in 2015/16 as kindergarten through 11th grade
• Who is new to the District that was not attending the previous year
• Is it related to a particular type of Development (SF, MF, Dup)?
• Is it related to perceptions of a school building?
• 2014/15: 1,024 new students
• 2016/17: 962 new students
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Out-Migration – Zoomed In
• students attending the district in 2013/14 who were in kindergarten through 11th grade that are not attending in 2014/15 as 1st through 12th grade
• Who was in the District that is not attending the current year
• Is it related to a particular type of Development (SF, MF, Dup)?
• Is it related to perceptions of a school building?
• 2014/15: 839 students no longer attending
• 2016/17: 820 students no longer attending
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Source: ESRI Business Analyst Online from Census Data
Known Information
• Current Enrollment is closing in on 13,000 students.
• New Residential Permits greater averaging more than 400 units per year.
• 2016 Average Household Size is 2.3 .
• 2016 Census Population within Bismarck Public Schools over 90,000 in 2010 under 80,000.
• 2016 Census Female Population over 51%.
• 2016 Census Household Annual Population Rate increase of about 2.4%.
Other things to Consider
• Building Permits – new residential development is anticipated to be very vibrant.
• Average Household Size should increase with young families relocating to Bismarck.
• Younger aged households have a greater propensity for school aged children.
• Economic outlook is anticipated to be very good.
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Planning Area Change Map (Density)
• Depicts student movement at each Planning Area from 2012/13 to 2016/17
• Enrollment change is weighted by land area of each Planning Area to show density per square mile
• Normalizes by the size of the planning area
• Orange areas experienced an increase since 2012/13
• Green areas experienced a decrease since 2012/13
• White areas had no net change of students between 2012/13 and 2016/17
• Shows change in students relative to land area
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Planning Area Change Map (Density)
• Depicts student movement at each Planning Area from 2012/13 to 2016/17
• Enrollment change is weighted by land area of each Planning Area to show density per square mile
• Normalizes by the size of the planning area
• Orange areas experienced an increase since 2012/13
• Green areas experienced a decrease since 2012/13
• White areas had no net change of students between 2012/13 and 2016/17
• Shows change in students relative to land area
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Graphic Explanation• Census data indicates the area has an increasing population – now over 90,000 people in the district boundary
• Certificate of Occupancy indicates there has been steady new residential activity – the lower number for 2016 does not reflect all activity
• Student Enrollment growth has remained positive and steady a bit lower for 2016 than previous years
What Does This Mean• The new households moving into the District may start having more children and/or school aged children
• New infrastructure and financing of it will influence how and where development may happen
• Older areas of the community are in the subdivision life cycle to generate more children than in the past (housing impact)
Source: Census, Cities of Bismarck, and Lincoln, Bismarck Public School District and RSP SFM & Demographic Models
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Year Built Map – Zoomed In
• Track trends in new residential development
• Strong activity where much in past years has focused on multi-family
• 400-600 new units anticipated in 2016
• How will new development impact enrollment, capacity & facility use?
• Majority of the units appear to be:North of Highway 94East of River Road West of NE Highway 83, as well as:
• SW: Burleigh Ave. & Washington St.• SE: City of Lincoln• NE: Near Legacy High• NW: Near Liberty ES
• (all 4 corners of the city)
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Future Land Use Plan
• What type of land uses are being planned, where and to what extent?
• Is development changing – will it impact enrollment and use of facilities?
• Red/Purple/Pink areas are commercial and industrial
• Yellow areas are residential
• Non-residential use designations follow major arterial roads and corridors
• A large majority of future developable land in the District is designated residential
• Transportation network and infrastructure will eventually be extended to support future growth in accordance with the land use plan
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Growth Area Map
• Will development continue similar tocurrent rates?
• What housing products will be built (SF, MF, smaller or larger)?
• Will families be able to afford the available housing stock?
• Identifies where development activity is happening (green)
• Identifies possible areas could develop (yellow and orange)
• The market and property owner desire to build guides the timing of development
• Other properties not shown might develop while some shown might not develop
• Infrastructure Choke Points
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Graphic Explanation• Elementary School yield rates have slightly increased since 2005/06
• Middle School, High School, and District yield rates similar or slightly lower than 2005/06
• Overall the district yield rate is lower than it was in 2005/06, this is the influence of new development
• There are over 8,000 more units than there was in 2005/06
• Adding more newer housing inventory typically can decrease the yield rate – type of housing must be monitored
Yield Rates
School Total
Year K-5 6-8 9-12 District Units K-5 6-8 9-12 District
2005/06 4,369 2,383 3,630 10,382 28,019 0.16 0.09 0.13 0.37
2006/07 4,680 2,438 3,423 10,541 28,579 0.16 0.09 0.12 0.37
2007/08 4,721 2,473 3,440 10,634 29,304 0.16 0.08 0.12 0.36
2008/09 4,821 2,515 3,366 10,702 29,970 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.36
2009/10 4,799 2,524 3,315 10,638 30,329 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.35
2010/11 4,875 2,500 3,477 10,852 30,890 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.35
2011/12 5,105 2,423 3,456 10,984 31,463 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.35
2012/13 5,358 2,477 3,509 11,344 32,732 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.35
2013/14 5,639 2,522 3,529 11,690 33,946 0.17 0.07 0.10 0.34
2014/15 5,872 2,645 3,477 11,994 34,948 0.17 0.08 0.10 0.34
2015/16 6,045 2,755 3,573 12,373 35,768 0.17 0.08 0.10 0.35
2016/17 6,125 2,861 3,657 12,643 36,170 0.17 0.08 0.10 0.35
0.17 0.08 0.10 0.35
0.17 0.08 0.10 0.35
Grade Configuration Yield Rate
Source: Bismarck Public Schools, Burleigh County, RSP & Associates
Three Year Average
Three Year Weighted Average
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• Infrastructure “choke points” in some areas of Bismarck are anticipated to be resolved to allow for orderly growth & better connectivity.
• Building permit activity will be stable between 400 & 700 units per year.
• Multifamily development happens in phases. The next few years should result in many more of these type of developments.
• Future Kindergarten classes will likely get closer to 1,100 students.
• Economic conditions, development activity, & Kindergarten Roundup are variables to monitor for how well projections will become reality.
• BPS has a need for increased elementary school capacity by 2021-22. Projected districtwide elementary capacity of 229 in 2021-22 in 16 schools with 309 classrooms, which equates to 14.3 seats per school or 1.3 seats per classroom, if every K-5 school had room, which they don’t.
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Elementary
• Projected 6,358
• Actual 6,125
• 96.2% Accuracy
Middle School
• Projected 2,861
• Actual 2,861
• 100.0% Accuracy
High School
• Projected 3,565
• Actual 3,657
• 97.5% Accuracy
District
• Projected 12,785
• Actual 12,643
• 98.9% Accuracy
NOTES:• Projections evaluated from the 2014/15 RSP forecast (2 years ago).• Projected Kdg and Kdg to 1st grade bounce in enrollment did not meet expectations resulting in ES projections not meeting expectations • Projected 8th to 9th grade cohort has been greater and the typical loss of students through HS did not happen resulting in HS projections
not meeting expectations.• Economic, development, demographic, and enrollment trends will change and are factored into future projections.
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NOTES:
• The above enrollment totals are Kdg to 12th grade (ES +6.9%, MS: +18.5%, HS: +23.7%, District : +12.6%)
• The above numbers are not the Certified Enrollment Count
• Does not include Home School, Private School, or Parochial School
• Annual examination of enrollment, demographics, and development trends recommended
Enrollment will increase from 2016/17 by nearly 13% by 2021/22
Source: Bismarck Public School District and RSP SFM & Demographic Models
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School Student
Location 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22
Centennial ES Res/Att 430 428
Capacity 469 Reside 441 438 419 412 409 417 425 429 420 417 425 433
Grades K-5 Attend 451 446
Grimsrud ES Res/Att 219 225
Capacity 268 Reside 237 246 240 238 250 255 263 241 241 253 258 266
Grades K-5 Attend 234 249
Highland Acres ES Res/Att 140 157
Capacity 134 Reside 153 168 175 181 192 201 207 167 174 185 194 200
Grades K-5 Attend 144 161
Liberty ES Res/Att 561 609
Capacity 625 Reside 568 620 625 652 684 731 793 640 668 700 747 809
Grades K-5 Attend 580 636
Lincoln ES Res/Att 523 569
Capacity 625 Reside 546 591 610 639 641 632 642 594 621 623 614 624
Grades K-5 Attend 529 573
Miller ES Res/Att 364 368
Capacity 536 Reside 385 388 397 396 398 402 411 404 399 401 405 414
Grades K-5 Attend 398 391
Moses ES Res/Att 323 351
Capacity 469 Reside 353 378 386 387 374 379 375 391 390 377 382 378
Grades K-5 Attend 346 381
Murphy ES Res/Att 454 529
Capacity 625 Reside 575 553 575 574 585 594 593 594 591 602 611 610
Grades K-5 Attend 469 570
ELEMENTARY TOTAL
Capacity 6,776 Reside 6,045 6,125 6,182 6,259 6,305 6,407 6,547 6,182 6,259 6,305 6,407 6,547
Grades K-5 Attend 6,045 6,125
Note 7: Capacity numbers for each school provided by the District January 2015 - Saxvik ES Closed in 2015/16
Past School Enrollment Future Enrollment By Student AttendanceFuture Enrollment By Student Residence
Source: RSP & Associates, LLC - November 2016
Note 1: Student Projections are based on the residence of the student Exceed Building Target Capacity
Note 2: School Choice Options between Facilities are depicted in the Projections
Note 3: PreKindergarten and students utilizing the alternative educational programming are not in the enrollment projections
Note 4: Reside is based on the student address
Note 5: Attend is based on which facility a student may attend
Note 6: Res/Att is are students who reside in the attendance area and attend that facility
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School Student
Location 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22
Myhre ES Res/Att 241 260
Capacity 424 Reside 360 319 345 343 327 328 327 299 303 287 288 287
Grades K-5 Attend 255 279
Northridge ES Res/Att 429 409
Capacity 436 Reside 459 435 436 456 459 464 468 438 452 455 460 464
Grades K-5 Attend 454 431
Pioneer ES Res/Att 230 253
Capacity 290 Reside 256 270 254 246 235 240 236 276 269 258 263 259
Grades K-5 Attend 262 293
Prairie Rose ES Res/Att 167 168
Capacity 201 Reside 168 169 162 155 152 148 145 168 164 161 157 154
Grades K-5 Attend 176 178
Roosevelt ES Res/Att 114 122
Capacity 156 Reside 123 127 132 128 133 138 139 133 134 139 144 145
Grades K-5 Attend 129 133
Saxvik ES Res/Att 0 0
Capacity 0 Reside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grades K-5 Attend 224 0
Solheim ES Res/Att 483 479
Capacity 581 Reside 500 492 517 545 554 577 602 532 558 567 590 615
Grades K-5 Attend 512 505
Sunrise ES Res/Att 610 634
Capacity 625 Reside 632 661 660 663 665 663 674 639 643 645 643 654
Grades K-5 Attend 624 641
Will Moore ES Res/Att 218 227
Capacity 312 Reside 289 270 249 244 247 238 247 237 232 235 226 235
Grades K-5 Attend 258 258
ELEMENTARY TOTAL
Capacity 6,776 Reside 6,045 6,125 6,182 6,259 6,305 6,407 6,547 6,182 6,259 6,305 6,407 6,547
Grades K-5 Attend 6,045 6,125
Note 7: Capacity numbers for each school provided by the District January 2015 - Saxvik ES Closed in 2015/16
Past School Enrollment Future Enrollment By Student AttendanceFuture Enrollment By Student Residence
Source: RSP & Associates, LLC - November 2016
Note 1: Student Projections are based on the residence of the student Exceed Building Target Capacity
Note 2: School Choice Options between Facilities are depicted in the Projections
Note 3: PreKindergarten and students utilizing the alternative educational programming are not in the enrollment projections
Note 4: Reside is based on the student address
Note 5: Attend is based on which facility a student may attend
Note 6: Res/Att is are students who reside in the attendance area and attend that facility
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School Student
Location 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22
Horizon Middle Res/Att 913 949
Capacity 900 Reside 938 970 1,055 1,127 1,155 1,127 1,126 1,069 1,138 1,166 1,138 1,137
Grades 6-8 Attend 946 986
Simle Middle Res/Att 825 925
Capacity 850 Reside 859 957 977 1,020 1,014 1,025 1,021 1,038 1,086 1,080 1,091 1,087
Grades 6-8 Attend 950 1,017
Wachter MS Res/Att 832 835
Capacity 900 Reside 958 934 994 1,035 1,151 1,208 1,244 919 958 1,074 1,131 1,167
Grades 6-8 Attend 859 858
Bismarck HS Res/Att 1,060 1,074
Capacity 1,550 Reside 1,197 1,241 1,263 1,333 1,354 1,387 1,465 1,232 1,320 1,337 1,373 1,445
Grades 9-12 Attend 1,301 1,210
Century HS Res/Att 1,065 1,090
Capacity 1,230 Reside 1,204 1,215 1,268 1,307 1,367 1,485 1,545 1,246 1,298 1,358 1,483 1,534
Grades 9-12 Attend 1,342 1,223
Legacy HS Res/Att 675 930
Capacity 1,390 Reside 1,050 1,090 1,142 1,187 1,270 1,327 1,395 1,195 1,209 1,296 1,343 1,426
Grades 9-12 Attend 808 1,113
South Central HS Res/Att 122 111
Capacity 0 Reside 122 111 117 125 119 122 118 117 125 119 122 118
Grades 9-12 Attend 122 111
MIDDLE TOTAL
Capacity 2,650 Reside 2,755 2,861 3,026 3,182 3,320 3,360 3,391 3,026 3,182 3,320 3,360 3,391
Grades 6-8 Attend 2,755 2,861
HIGH TOTAL
Capacity 4,170 Reside 3,451 3,546 3,790 3,952 4,110 4,321 4,523 3,790 3,952 4,110 4,321 4,523
Grades 9-12 Attend 3,451 3,546
Note 7: Capacity numbers for each school provided by the District January 2015 - Saxvik ES Closed in 2015/16
Past School Enrollment Future Enrollment By Student AttendanceFuture Enrollment By Student Residence
Source: RSP & Associates, LLC - November 2016
Exceed Building Target CapacityNote 1: Student Projections are based on the residence of the student
Note 6: Res/Att is are students who reside in the attendance area and attend that facility
Note 3: PreKindergarten and students utilizing the alternative educational programming are not in the enrollment projections
Note 2: School Choice Options between Facilities are depicted in the Projections
Note 5: Attend is based on which facility a student may attend
Note 4: Reside is based on the student address
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• Liberty is projected to have the highest student population in 5 years (793=7 portables). Roosevelt & Prairie Rose are projected to have the least number of students by 2021-22.
• Elementary schools projected to grow past current capacity are:
• Liberty 0 portables may need 7 in the next 5 years• Highland Acres 3 portables used for music & specialists• Lincoln 0 portables may need 1 in 5 years• Northridge 1 portable used for storage & sensory room• Solheim 0 portables may need 1 in 5 years• Sunrise 2 portables used for music & after-school program
• Other schools with portable classrooms:
• Centennial 1 portable used as 5th grade classroom this year only• Grimsrud 1 portable used for storage• Pioneer 1 portable used for music • Prairie Rose 1 portable used for music• Roosevelt 1 portable used for music• Will-Moore 1 portable used for storage
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• 2012 bond for Liberty & Lincoln Elementary Schools & Legacy High also provided $5 million for equity improvements at existing schools.
• All K-5 schools were air conditioned; some were added on to, remodeled, had kitchen improvements and/or the entry was made more secure.
• Some schools need an elevator (ADA): Will-Moore, Prairie Rose, Northridge.
• Some schools need additional space for food service & Phy. Ed.:
• Solheim could use a cafeteria separate from the gym.
• Northridge’s library & cafeteria should be moved out of the basement.
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BECEP:
• The Bismarck Early Childhood Education Programs is a required program located at the former Richholt School. BECEP is full. There is need for 2-to-3 preschool classrooms for Early Childhood Special Education and/or Head Start for next year (2017-18). More ECSE growth expected by 2021.
Hughes:
• Used for administrative offices, Child Nutrition, Accounting, Technology, Printing, Human Resources, Special Education, etc.
• 80% of the “classroom wing” at Hughes is currently occupied by Early Intervention (BECEP) staff and Life Education for special needs students ages 18-21. The other 20% is being used as an English Learner Center.
• Idea: As a pilot program create an innovative 21st Century learning environment school that partners with a college or university teacher preparation program, as allowed by recently passed Senate Bill 2186.
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Elementary Attendance Area Changes Map
• District Boundary (purple)
• Major Streets
• Major Parks
• Current Elementary Attendance Areas
• 2012/13 Elementary Attendance Areas
• Saxvik closure changes
• Large Maps are Available at Meeting
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• Review revenue available in the school district’s Building Fund (Darin will discuss the next 2 slides).
• Invest in existing school space with “good bones” before considering a new school.
• Use micro boundary adjustments to move students from crowded schools to schools with low enrollment.
• Consider program changes, like moving part of BECEP to another school or using Hughes for another purpose.
• Other ideas? Nothing is off the table!
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Elementary AdditionsProjects Construction FFE Fees Total
Classroom Addition 1,750,000$ 50,000$ 140,000$ 1,940,000$
4 classrooms
Bathrooms
Office Space
Hallways, etc..
Classroom Additions 2,150,000$ 50,000$ 172,000$ 2,372,000$
6 classrooms
Bathrooms
Office Space
Hallways, etc..
Multipurpose Space 900,000$ 72,000$ 972,000$
Gymnasium Space 1,100,000$ 88,000$ 1,188,000$
Northridge Renovation 4,250,000$ 340,000$ 4,590,000$
Move lower level
Add gym
Add elevator
Fix windows
HVAC Upgrade
Source: Bismarck Public Schools March 2017
• BPS Building Funds are dedicated through 2017-18.
• After that, there may be $5 million/year to do some smaller ES additions &/or remodeling projects.
• NOT INCLUDED: elevators would be $500,000 per school.
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• Introduction:
• Significant information has been covered in this meeting and the point of this activity is for us to see what you have learned and how that can help create a solution.
• Materials for Discussion:
• All information learned to this point in the presentation.
• Directions:• Using the information you have learned tonight, please use the large
maps to illustrate where you think potential solutions are needed.
• Where are the “hot spot” enrollment areas in BPS?
• Where are the schools we could do something with to solve the hot spots?
Time Limit – 20 minutes.
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General
• ES/MS combo school in North part of district
• Make BHS a middle school
• Highland Acres and Roosevelt “Paired School” (K-2, 3-5 or K-3, 4-5)
• New northern elementary
• HS Feeder Change where BHS is all south of I-94
• New ES on Hughes site where Highland Acres, Roosevelt, and Will-Moore attend
Repurpose
• Grimsrud
• Wilmar
• Northridge
Land Acquisition
• Near Cottonwood Park
• Near Prairie Rose ES
Additions
• Centennial
• Highland Acres
• Moses
• Roosevelt
• Solheim
Micro-Boundary Changes
• Centennial to Grimsrud
• Highland Acres to Centennial
• Liberty to Centennial
• Murphy to Myhre
• Will-Moore to Myhre
• Northridge to Will-Moore
• Solheim to Moses
• Sunrise to Miller
• Sunrise to Murphy
• Will-Moore to Murphy
Below are the ideas the Committee responded with:
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• Introduction:
• This purpose of this activity is to help build some consensus on the committee to use as we move forward.
• Materials for Discussion:
• All information learned to this point.
• Directions:
• Use the clickers to answer the questions that follow.
Time Limit – 20 minutes.
Choose up to five responses which best fit your situation. . .
A. Have current ES students
B. Have current MS students
C. Have current HS students
D. Had children graduate from BPS
E. Graduate from BPS
F. Have Grandchildren attending a BPS school
G. BPS Employee
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A. B. C. D. E. F. G.
24.1%
17.2%
9.2%
18.4%
3.4%
17.2%
10.3%
If you had to make a recommendation tonight, the top priority would be to build additions and/or renovations to existing elementary schools with “good bones”. . .
A. Absolutely
B. Mostly
C. Somewhat
D. Very Little
E. Not at All
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Absolu
tely
Most
ly
Som
ewhat
Very Li
ttle
Not at A
ll
31.8% 34.1%
4.5%4.5%
25.0%
If you had to make a recommendation tonight, the top priority would be to build a new K-5 elementary school. . .
A. Absolutely
B. Mostly
C. Somewhat
D. Very Little
E. Not at All
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Absolu
tely
Most
ly
Som
ewhat
Very Li
ttle
Not at A
ll
20.9% 23.3%
11.6%
20.9%
23.3%
If micro-boundary changes are to be considered, the most important consideration is. . .
A. Keep students in the same MS and HS feeder
B. Keep operating costs low
C. Maximize existing building inventory
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A. B. C.
33.3%
59.5%
7.1%
I support having new K-5 elementary schools ideally at the following capacity (Number of K-5 students). . .
A. 500 students
B. 600 students
C. Larger than 600 students
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A. B. C.
27.9%
25.6%
46.5%
In 2015-16 the committee and BPS wanted if possible elementary schools to have about 500 students. New schools like Sunrise, Liberty and Lincoln are currently at 625 due to growth, cost, etc.
I believe future preschool (BECEP) programming should be. . .
A. Kept on one site
B. At several sites based on the HS feeder
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A. B.
51.2%48.8%
BECEP does not have enough space in its existing brick and mortar to serve future preschool students
I believe BPS should create an innovative learning center at a school that parents could choose to have their children attend no matter where they lived in the district. . .
A. Absolutely
B. Mostly
C. Somewhat
D. Very Little
E. Not at All
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Absolu
tely
Most
ly
Som
ewhat
Very Li
ttle
Not at A
ll
25.6%
20.9%
11.6%
23.3%
18.6%
Senate Bill 2186 gives school districts the ability to explore innovative learning ideas.
Part 4:Next Steps
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Next Steps
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• Next Committee Meeting
o Tues. April 18, 2017 – 6:30-8 pm
• Homework
o Bus Tour/Lunch: Wed. April 12, 11:30 am to 1 pm?
• Work with Supt. & administration to ensure the recommended facility plan aligns with school district vision/mission statements, goals & expectations.
• We don’t want to get ahead of ourselves as we explore ideas “Brain Storm” that the public may feel are then set in stone. Please be respectful of what some of this information might mean to those who could be impacted – until there is a committee recommendation all the ideas are attempts to try to find solutions that will positively impact student learning.
NOTES/RESOURCES
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