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Page 1: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

How does excessive nitrogen loading effect the health and resiliency of Long Island’s coastal

ecosystems?

Christopher J. Gobler

Page 2: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

“Nitrogen is the critical limiting factor to primary producers in Long Island coastal

marine waters” – Dr. John Ryther, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute,

Science Magazine, 1971

Page 3: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Population, Suffolk County, NY, USA

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20100

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

Popu

latio

n

New York City

Long Island

>25,000,000 lbs of nitrogen per year from human waste

Page 4: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Septic tank

Water table / aquifer

Nitrogen

In Suffolk County:• 70% of homes have

septic tanks or cesspools.

• ~70% of N loads come from septic tanks and cesspools.

Loading of wastewater nitrogen to coastal waters

Nitrogen

Groundwater flow

Page 5: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

1987 20050

1

2

3

4 Glacial Magothy

Nitr

ogen

cont

ent (

mg/

L)

Changes in groundwater nitrogen levels in Suffolk County

40% increase

200% increase

Suffolk County Comprehensive Water Resources management plan, 2010

Page 6: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

N loads to Great South Bay from watershed

•~70% of N entering Moriches and Shinnecock Bay is from wastewater (Gobler et al, in progress for NYSDOS).

Kinney and Valiela, 2011

Septic tanks, cesspools

Atmosphere

Fertilizer

Page 7: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

> 22

18

12

6

< 0.3

4.8

4.82.8 2.8

3.1

2.4

3.0

Groundwater nitrogen concentrations, Eastern Bays

Total N mg L-1

Moriches Bay

Shinnecock Bay

Quantuck Bay

Page 8: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

> 22

18

12

6

< 0.3

Groundwater N and buildings

Total N mg L-1

Moriches Bay

Shinnecock Bay

Quantuck Bay

Page 9: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

> 22

18

12

6

< 0.3

Groundwater N and agriculture

Total N mg L-1

Pine Barrens

Moriches Bay

Shinnecock Bay

Quantuck Bay

Page 10: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

South shore bay nitrogen loads compared to other water bodies

Page 11: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

NYSDEC assessment of Long Island coastal watersImpaired

Minor impacts

No known impacts

Page 12: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

What impairments are brought about by excessive nitrogen loading?

• Loss of critical habitats: Eelgrass, salt marshes• Low dissolved oxygen levels, hypoxia• Acidification, low pH• Macroalgal blooms: Sea lettuce, Ulva• Toxic algal blooms: Red, rust, brown tides• Loss or depletion of shellfisheries and finfisheries

Page 13: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

The vital role of salt marshes in coastal ecosystems and communities

Page 14: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Salt marsh ecosystems

Page 15: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Salt marshes protect coastlines

Chris Bason, Delaware Center for the Inland Bays

Page 16: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Salt marshes protect coastlines

Page 17: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Healthy marsh Nitrogen loaded marsh

“Coastal eutrophication as a driver of salt marsh loss”, Deegan et al 2012, Nature

Dense, strong roots

Nutrient weakened, roots

Page 18: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Manhasset, K

ings Point

Manhasset, Plum

Point

Manhasset, M

anor Haven

South Manhasset B

ay

Nissequogue R

iver

Stony Brook H

arbor

Flax Pond

Mount Sinai H

arbor

Peconics, Corey C

reek

Peconics, Cedar B

each Creek

South Oyster B

ay, Gilgo Is.

South Oyster B

ay, Goose Is.

Western B

ays, Middle B

ay

Western B

ays, East Bay

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Perc

ent l

oss s

ince

197

4

Loss of wetlands on Long Island, since 1974

NYSDEC survey data

Nassau County, North Shore

Suffolk County, North Shore

East end Suffolk CountySouth Shore

Nassau CountySouth Shore

Page 19: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Salt marsh loss, Jamaica Bay

Page 20: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Flooding during Hurricane Sandy

Page 21: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Flooding in Mastic – Shirley during Hurricane Sandy

Salt marsh

Salt marsh

Each point is a home.

Page 22: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Flooding in Mastic – Shirley, sea level rise

Salt marsh

Each point is a home.

Flooding scenarios will worsen significantly with weakened or destroyed salt marshes.

Salt marsh

Page 23: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Eelgrass: Critical benthic habitat

Page 24: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

NYS seagrass, 1930 - 2030

NYSDEC Seagrass Taskforce Final Report, 2010; Suffolk County assessment, 2014

1930 2009 20300

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

Acre

s of s

eagr

ass

90% loss

Extinction in NY

Increasing Nitrogen Loading

Page 25: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Take a deep breath…Oxygen (O2)

Carbon dioxide (CO2)

Page 26: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Phytoplankton

CH2O + O2 CO2 + H2ORespiration

Nitrogen loading leads to low oxygen and high CO2

Nitrogen loading

Consumed Produced

Page 27: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Dissolved oxygen (mg L¯¹)

pCO2 (µatm)

Long Island Sound, August 2013

Page 28: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

The Forge River, NY, USA

6/30/2012 7/10/2012 7/20/2012 7/30/2012 8/9/2012 8/19/20126.86.9

77.17.27.37.47.57.6

00.511.522.533.5

pH Dissolved oxygen

pH (t

otal

scal

e)

Diss

olve

d ox

ygen

(m

g L-

1)

Page 29: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Effects of high CO2 and low O2 on fish survival

Control Low pH Low DO Low pH, Low DO

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

% S

urvi

val

Larval Inland Silversides

High CO2 Low O2 High CO2, low O2

Page 30: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Samples for eelgrass genetic analysesHarmful algal blooms across Long Island

PSP, DSP PSP, DSP

Brown tide

Cochlodinium

Cochlodinium

CochlodiniumPSP

Brown tideCochlodinium PSP, red tide DSP, red tide

PSP

PSP

Toxic blue green algae

Toxic blue greens Toxic blue greens

Ulva

Ulva

Ulva

DSP

Page 31: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Samples for eelgrass genetic analyses

Aureococcus‘Brown tide’

Cochlodinium‘Rust tide’

Alexandrium‘Red tide – PSP’

Dinophysis‘Red tide – DSP’

Enhanced nutrient loading more intense &/or toxic HABs

Gobler et al 2012

Gobler et al 2011;Gobler and Sunda 2012

Hattenrath et al 2010

Hattenrath-Lehmann 2014

Microcystis‘Blue green algae’

Harke and Gobler, 2013

Page 32: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Alexandrium red tides and paralytic shellfish poisoning (PSP)

AlexandriumSaxitoxin

Page 33: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Presence of PSP-producing Alexandrium in NY: 2007-2013

= cells not detected

= < 100 cells L-1

= > 1,000 cells L-1 = 100 - 1,000 cells L-1

**circles represent the highest observed densities at each site**

• Alexandrium found at 47 of 63 sites samples (75%)

Page 34: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Wastewater

N

“Sewage-derived nitrogen loading promotes intense and toxic Alexandrium blooms.”

Page 35: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Nitrogen impacts on shellfish• Landings of clams and scallops have declined 99% since 1980.

• Linkages to nitrogen driven HABs, habitat loss, and water quality degradation.

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

Hard clam landings (bushels) in Great South Bay

Page 36: Nitrogen Pollution and The Future of Long Island By Prof. Christopher Gobler

Conclusion: Excessive nitrogen loading leads to…

• Loss of critical habitats: Salt marshes, eelgrass• Low dissolved oxygen levels, hypoxia• Acidification, low pH• Macroalgal blooms: Sea lettuce, Ulva• Toxic algal blooms: Red, rust, brown tides• Loss or depletion of shellfisheries and finfisheries