Modification 0282 Action 002 Update

Joanna Ferguson

Assumptions Used

• NGN region has approx 6.7m inhabitants• NGN has approx 2.4m domestic customers• Assuming household occupancy of 2.28• Suggests 2.9m houses in NGN region• Therefore estimated connection level of 82%• Therefore of the 300k unoccupied homes quoted

in mod 282, approx 245k will have a gas connection

Prices Assumed

• Weighted average UK unit rates as at 1 April 2010 prices:

LDZ Capacity (p/peak day kWh per day) 0.1362

LDZ Commodity (p/kWh) 0.0214

Customer Charge 0.0752

Average UK Load Factor 34.1%

Average domestic consumption 20,000KWh

Therefore average SOQ 161KWh

Financial Impact

• Assume 100% take up nationally of 282 proposal for 12 months

LDZ Capacity per household £ 79.93

LDZ Commodity per household £ 4.28

Customer charge per household £ 44.13

Total per household £ 128.34

times 245k vacant homes £ 31,445k

2010/11 Allowed Revenue forecast £ 2,835,800k

% attributable to vacant homes 1.1%

Questions?