Matteo Pedercini Millennium Institute, Washington D.C. System
Dynamics for Urban Sustainability Analysis
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1.Introduction to the Millennium Institute 2.System Dynamics
(SD) for urban planning 3.T21 integrated SD model 4.Prospective for
urban application of T21 5.Conclusions
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T 21 Countries MI Partner MI Head Office M 3 Countries MEG
Countries SD for Urban Planning1
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2 Major Delays Accumulation
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??? Output Input SD for Urban Planning2
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Support policy analysis on mid-long term development issues
from an integrated perspective Global, regional, national, (urban)
challenges: Food security and poverty Climate Change and natural
disasters Resources, emissions and sustainability Equity and
vulnerability Overview of T213
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3
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MIs T21 applications are grounded in the principle of
Integration: (1)Integration of social, economic, and environmental
dimensions of development (2)Integration of knowledge and input
from different sources and stakeholders (3)Integration of planning
instruments across sectors, time horizons, and spatial scales
Overview of T213
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Multiple goals in multiple sectors: Macroeconomy Agriculture
Industry Poverty Infrastructure Education Health Vision Overview of
T213
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What policy impact/contribution from each? Macroeconomy
Agriculture Industry Poverty Infrastructure Education Health Vision
Overview of T213
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What interactions across sectors? Macroeconomy Agriculture
Industry Poverty Infrastructure Education Health Vision Overview of
T213
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How much draw on resource base? Macroeconomy Agriculture
Industry Poverty Infrastructure Education Health Vision and Sustain
ability Overview of T213
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3
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3
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4T21 for Urban Planning Scaling and adapting T21 to urban level
100 Smarter cities application with Huangshi and Xiamen Treatment
of spatial dimension Data availability Capacity development and
institutionalization
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5Conclusions T21 is an integrated simulation model that helps
managing complexity in policy-making: Based on system dynamics
Support open and inclusive planning Facilitate the identification
of effective policies Integrates social, economic, and
environmental factors
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Thank You for Your Time www.millennium-institute.org
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