Louisiana’s Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast: 2012 Update
January 6, 2011
Governor’s Advisory Commission on Coastal Protection and RestorationKirk Rhinehart - OCPR
Uses Original 2007 Master Plan Science-based Objectives as Foundation
1.Reduce economic losses from storm-based flooding
2.Promote a sustainable coastal ecosystem by harnessing natural system processes
3.Provide habitats suitable to support an array of commercial and recreational activities coast-wide
4.Sustain Louisiana’s unique heritage and culture
• Specific & Realistic Goals & Objectives
• Prioritized Project List
• Map showing the selected projects and what they provide:
• Levels of protection• Levels of ecosystem services across the coast• Extent and character of future landscape
• Detailed Implementation plan with:• Schedule, Costs, Expected sources of funding
• An Adaptive Management plan to guide implementation
Key Components of 2012 Update
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Review and Coordination
Project Effects Models
Technical Advisory
Committee
Prioritization Tool Technical
Advisory Committee
Master Plan Delivery Team
Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory
Committee
CPRACoastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Project-Effects Models• Steve Ashby, USACE Eng. Res. Dev. Center
• John Callaway, University of San Francisco
• Fred Sklar, South Florida Water Mgmt. District
• Si Simenstad, University of Washington
Prioritization Tool TAC• John Boland, John Hopkins
• Ben Hobbs, John Hopkins
• Len Shabman, Virginia Tech
Cultural Heritage TAC• Don Davis, Louisiana State University• Carl Brasseaux, University of Louisiana Lafayette• Maida Owens, LA Dept. of Cultural, Recreation, Tourism
Technical Advisory Committee Members
12
Review and Coordination
Project Effects Models
Technical Advisory
Committee
Prioritization Tool Technical
Advisory Committee
Master Plan Delivery Team
Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory
Committee
CPRACoastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Modeling Workgroups
Project - Effects Models
Team Leader
Eco-hydrology Dr. Ehab Meselhe, ULL + 9 members
Vegetation Dr. Jenneke Visser, ULL + 8 members
Wetland Morphology Dr. Greg Steyer, USGS + 6 members
Barrier Island Morphology
Dr. Mark Kulp, UNO + 6 members
Upper Trophic Level Dr. Andy Nyman, LSU + 8 members
Storm Surge Dr. Joe Suhayda/Arcadis, + 3 members
Storm Damage/Risk Dr. Jordan Fischbach, RAND + 7 members
Project - Effects Models Team Members
14
Over 60 Team Members, Support Staff, and Technical Advisory Committee Members
Review and Coordination
Project Effects Models
Technical Advisory
Committee
Prioritization Tool Technical
Advisory Committee
Master Plan Delivery Team
Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory
Committee
CPRACoastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Science & Engineering
Board (MP-SEB)
Modeling Workgroups
Ecosystem Science / Coastal Ecology• William Dennison, University of Maryland• Mark Brinson, East Carolina University• Ed Houde, University of Maryland
Engineering• Robert Dalrymple, Johns Hopkins University• Jos Dijkman, Deltares
Geosciences• Charles Groat, University of Texas at Austin
Social Science and Risk• Greg Baecher, University of Maryland• Philip Berke, University of North Carolina –
Chapel HillClimate Change• Virginia Burkett, U.S. Geological Survey
National Science and Engineering Board -Independent Technical Review
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Review and Coordination
Project Effects Models
Technical Advisory
Committee
Prioritization Tool Technical
Advisory Committee
Master Plan Delivery Team
Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory
Committee
CPRACoastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Science & Engineering
Board (MP-SEB)
Framework Development Team (FDT)
Stakeholders
Modeling Workgroups
Framework Development Team-Over 30 Federal, State, NGO, Academic, Community, and Industry Organizations
18
• Framework Development Team as Key Consultative Group• Represent broad range of interests
• Ports and Navigation
• Fisheries and Restoration
• Oil and Gas• Focal point for communications
• Local Outreach
• Political and PR Strategies
• Coastal Louisiana Website
Communication & Outreach Elements of Framework Development Team
Review and Coordination
Project Effects Models
Technical Advisory
Committee
Prioritization Tool Technical
Advisory Committee
Master Plan Delivery Team
Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory
Committee
CPRACoastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Gulf Recovery Plan
Other Federal
Programs
Science & Engineering
Board (MP-SEB)
Framework Development Team (FDT)
Stakeholders
Modeling Workgroups
• Realistic expectations for protection and restoration• What we want to achieve not what we want to do
• Confront trade-offs upfront• Provide an expectation of future conditions
Why a Vision?
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• Support of navigation and commercial activities
• Protection for major population centers, strategic assets, and historic properties at varying levels
• A coastwide emphasis on non-structural protection, especially in outlying communities
• Maximum use of river resources and natural processes, and management of estuarine gradients to provide ecosystem services
• Strategic use of dredging/placement of sediment to bolster ‘skeleton’ of the system
Preliminary Vision – Key Aspects
23
• Approach – • Identify ports of national significance as
strategic assets to be protected• Account for effects of protection and
restoration projects on navigation and ports• Coordinate with the USACE, DOTD and
navigation interests to integrate coastwide port and navigation strategy and targets in future Coastal Louisiana Master Planning
Incorporation of Ports and Navigation into Master Plan Process
26
Levels of Protection
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Both Structural and Non-structural
>100-Year Level of Protection
100-Year Level of Protection
50-Year Level of Protection
25-Year Level of Protection
` No Additional Protection Provided
Restoration Vision: Ecosystem Services
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Agricultural/aquaculture production
Oyster harvest
Saltwater fisheries harvest
Carbon/nutrient uptake
Ecotourism
Shoreline recreation
Surge/wave attenuation
Shrimp harvest
Freshwater-dependent services
Planning Framework Guides Investments Towards a Sustainable Future
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How do we get there?What should we do now?
How can we adapt to evolving uncertainties and improved information?
What tradeoffs remain?
A sustainable future
- Sustainable coastline & ecosystems
- Resilient communities and assets
- Long-term cost savings through strategic investments
Future without action
- Severe land loss- Increasing hurricane flood risk- Loss of ecosystem services- Loss of cultural heritage- Reactive expenditures
Key Steps:1.Define a future vision for the coast
2.Estimate individual project effects on the coast
3.Compare individual projects
4.Construct feasible project portfolios
5.Select robust project portfolios
6.Consider trade-offs among robust portfolios
7.Define implementation strategy
8.Examine expected outcomes
Prioritization Process
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• Maps showing ranges of Master Plan outcomes• Levels of flood protection• Levels of ecosystem services• Extent and character of
landscape
• An adaptive management plan to guide implementation• Maps of near-term projects• Maps of potential future
project• Schedule• Costs• Expected sources of funding
2012 Master Plan Outputs
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