Kazakhstan National Opinion PollConducted: April 3-13, 2010
1
International Republican Institute
Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization
with funding from the United States Agency for
International Development
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
METHODOLOGYMETHODOLOGY• This survey was designed, coordinated and analyzed by Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the
International Republican Institute. Field work was carried out by the Institute for Comparative Social Research-Kazakhstan.
• The national representative survey was carried out from April 3 - 13, 2010. The eligibility criteria was based on age(18 years and older). A sample of 1,527 Kazakh participants were interviewed face-to-face in their homes.
• The sample design was a multi-stage probability sample.– Stage one: the sample was stratified into 16 regions.– Stage two: the sample was further stratified into rural, urban and metropolitan sampling units.– Stage three: Primary Sampling Units (PSU) were described.
2
– Stage three: Primary Sampling Units (PSU) were described.
• The closest birthday rule was used for the selection of the respondent. The households were selected using randomroute method.
• The sample was distributed at the regional level, in rural and urban areas, in all 16 regions of Kazakhstan.
• The response rate was 61 percent.
• The margin of error for the survey results does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent with the confidence level of 95percent.
• One hundred and thirty-two interviewers worked on the study, on average completing 8-13 interviews in one PSU.The interviews were done in Russian, Kazakh and Uzbek languages.
• Due to rounding, charts may not add up to 100 percent.
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Survey DemographicsSurvey Demographics
Male 47% Female 53%
Urban 60% Rural 40%
Age18 to 29 31% 30-49 41%50+ 28%
Monthly Household IncomeUp to 25,000 tenge 23%25,001 - 40,000 tenge 18%40,001- 60,000 tenge 16%More than 60,000 tenge 25%No answer 18%
EthnicityKazakh 56%
3
EducationPrimary 2%Secondary unfinished 3%Secondary 29%Vocational 31%Higher unfinished 9%University, higher 27%
Kazakh 56%Russian 30%Uzbek 4%Ukrainian 2%Tartar 3%Other 3%
Language of InterviewRussian 80%Kazakh 17%Uzbek 3%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Astana city4% Almaty city
9% Almaty 10%
Akmola5%Mangystau
Pavlodar5%
North Kazakhstan
5%
South Kazakhstan
13%
Region
4
5%
Aktyubinsk4%
Atyrau3%
East Kazakstan10%Zhambyl
6%
West Kazakhstan4%Karaganda
9%
Kyzylorda4%
Kostanai6%
Mangystau2%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
SOCIALSOCIAL INDICATORS INDEXINDICATORS INDEX
5IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
SOCIALSOCIAL INDICATORS INDEXINDICATORS INDEX
Generally speaking, would you say that things in Generally speaking, would you say that things in Kazakhstan are going in the right direction or wrong Kazakhstan are going in the right direction or wrong
direction?direction?
77%79%
90%
67%
72% 76% 74%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
6IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
11% 10%
12%5%
18%14% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Jul-04 Sep-05 Aug-08 Feb-09 May-09 Oct-09 Apr-10
Right direction Wrong direction
In the past year, has your personal financial situation In the past year, has your personal financial situation gotten better, worse or stayed the same?gotten better, worse or stayed the same?
26%31% 33%
38%
43% 43%39%
50% 47%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
3%
26%
24%21%
20%23%
25%31% 33%
24%
1%3% 3% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Aug-08 Feb-09 May-09 Oct-09 Apr-10
Better Worse Stayed the same DK/NR
In the next year, do you expect the economic situation in In the next year, do you expect the economic situation in Kazakhstan to get better, worse or stay the same?Kazakhstan to get better, worse or stay the same?
50%
54%
46%
33%
44%
33%26%
30%32%
27%30%
40%
50%
60%
8IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
7%10%
14%23%17%
26%32%27%
11%11%
10%12%12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Aug-08 Feb-09 May-09 Oct-09 Apr-10Better Worse Same DK/NR
ISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEXISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEX
9
ISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEXISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEX
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Some argue that Kazakhstan is now experiencing a serious Some argue that Kazakhstan is now experiencing a serious financial crisis. Do you agree or disagree with this idea?financial crisis. Do you agree or disagree with this idea?
25
24
48
43
13
20
7
6
1
1
6
6
Oct-09
Apr-10
26% disagree67% agree
73% agree 20% disagree
10
36
25
42
48
13
13
5
7
1
1
3
6
0 20 40 60 80 100
May-09
Oct-09
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagreeStrongly disagree No response Don't know
18% disagree78% agree
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Do you think the government is doing a very good, good, bad Do you think the government is doing a very good, good, bad or very bad job handling the problems of the world financial or very bad job handling the problems of the world financial
crisis?crisis?
4 51 25 4 2 14Apr-10
56% Good job 24% Poor job
55% Good job 29% Poor job
11
5 51 22 2 4 16
0 20 40 60 80 100
Oct-09
Very good Good Bad Very bad No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
56% Good job 24% Poor job
Which one of the following issues is of the greatest concern to you?(Responses 2% or greater)
2
3
25
2325
23
18
7
6
21
35
24
32
4
4
20
4
6
22
29
Low standard of living and low income
Inflation and price increase
Unemployment and threat of losing a job
Corruption
Low quality and high prices of health servicesFeb-09May-09
12
2
3
2
3
2
3
3
6
5
4
4
2
2
3
2
1
3
3
3
2
3
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Low quality and high prices of health services
Increase in level of crime
Solution of housing problems
Quality and accessibility of education
Not a sufficient level of support to small businesses
Don't know /No answer
May-09Oct-09Apr-10
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Now I am going to read you a list of things that may be a problem in Now I am going to read you a list of things that may be a problem in the country. Please tell me if you think it is a very big problem, a the country. Please tell me if you think it is a very big problem, a moderately big problem, a small problem or not a problem at all?moderately big problem, a small problem or not a problem at all?
67
64
49
20
24
35
7
6
10
1
1
3
5
5
3
The spread of HIV/AIDS orother infectious diseases
Illegal drugs
Pollution
13
49
49
48
35
29
30
10
9
13
3
2
5
3
11
4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Pollution
Corrupt governmentofficials
Increases in the price ofutilities
Very big problem Moderately big problem Small problem Not a problem at all Don't know /No answer
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Now I am going to read you a list of things that may be a problem in Now I am going to read you a list of things that may be a problem in the country. Please tell me if you think it is a very big problem, a the country. Please tell me if you think it is a very big problem, a moderately big problem, a small problem or not a problem at all?moderately big problem, a small problem or not a problem at all?
44
33
29
29
31
34
14
18
20
5
10
9
8
8
8
Human rights violations
People leaving Kazakhstanfor jobs in other countries
People from othercountries coming to
14
29
28
27
34
25
32
20
21
24
9
15
10
8
11
6
0 20 40 60 80 100
countries coming toKazakhstan looking for jobs
Conflicts between ethnic ornationality groups
A lack of quality publictransportation
Very big problem Moderately big problem Small problem Not a problem at all Don't know /No answer
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Thinking about this past winter, how would you rate the Thinking about this past winter, how would you rate the service of your basic utilities heat, gas and electricity service of your basic utilities heat, gas and electricity ––
very good, good, bad or very bad?very good, good, bad or very bad?
11 60 18 5 2 4
71% Good 23% Poor
15
11 60 18 5 2 4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very good Good Bad Very bad No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Thinking about this past winter, how would you rate the service of your Thinking about this past winter, how would you rate the service of your basic utilities heat, gas and electricity basic utilities heat, gas and electricity -- very good, good, bad or very bad? very good, good, bad or very bad?
(Breakdown by region)
18
66
189
29
6 4 3 312
60
80
100
No response/Don't know
16
76
30
7989
59
0
20
40
South East North West Center
Don't know
Bad
Good
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, October 2009
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the government’s efforts Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the government’s efforts to fight corruption?to fight corruption?
6 36 26 18 3 11Apr-10
53% Satisfied 26% Unsatisfied
42% Satisfied 44% Unsatisfied
17
10 43 17 9 4 17
0 20 40 60 80 100
Oct-09
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfiedVery unsatisfied No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
53% Satisfied 26% Unsatisfied
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the government’s efforts Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the government’s efforts to reduce unemployment?to reduce unemployment?
8 42 27 15 2 8
50% Satisfied 42% Unsatisfied
18
8 42 27 15 2 8
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfiedVery unsatisfied No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
There are reports that the government is considering a plan to lease a There are reports that the government is considering a plan to lease a large area of Kazakhstani land to China for agricultural use. Would you large area of Kazakhstani land to China for agricultural use. Would you support or oppose the government leasing Kazakhstani land to China?support or oppose the government leasing Kazakhstani land to China?
I would support a decision to lease the land to China
I would oppose a decision to lease
19
the land to China5%
decision to lease the land to China
81%
No response2%
Don't know12%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Are people in Kazakhstan afraid to openly Are people in Kazakhstan afraid to openly express their political views?express their political views?
24
24
19
14
32
29
20
19
26
31
15
19
12
11
24
27
6
5
22
21
Feb-09
May-09
Oct-09
Apr-10
20
14
8
29
24
27
25
29
32
35
40
26
26
16
21
11
12
8
5
5
6
0 20 40 60 80 100
Jul-04
Sep-05
Aug-08
Feb-09
Majority are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid Nobody is afraid Don't know /No answer
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Why do you think people are afraid to openly express their political views?(Respondents who think that people are afraid, N=788)
17
11
5
4
2
They don't want complications in the future
They are afraid to lose their job
They are afraid of punishment from leadership
They are threatened with punishment
They do not trust the government
21
2
2
2
1
2
35
19
They do not trust the government
They worry about themselves and their families
Nobody listens
They are not interested in politics
Other
Don't know
No response
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of Islamic How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of Islamic extremism in Kazakhstan these days? Are you very concerned, extremism in Kazakhstan these days? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned?somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned?
23 39 11 12 2 13
22
23 39 11 12 2 13
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not too concernedNot at all concerned No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Do you believe democracy is the right form of Do you believe democracy is the right form of government for Kazakhstan or not?government for Kazakhstan or not?
47 34 6 3 10Apr-10
23
41 41 6 9 3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Feb-09
Yes Maybe No No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Since Democratic Choice of Kazakhstan (DCK) was banned in 2005, its successor Alga (DCK) has been unable to obtain registration with the
Ministry of Justice. Do you believe that it is wrong for the government to deny legal status to a major opposition party?
34
35
22
21
8
9
36
35
May-09
Apr-10
24
39
36
34
22
19
22
5
10
8
34
35
36
0 20 40 60 80 100
Aug-08
Feb-09
May-09
Wrong Right No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
INSTITUTIONAL RATINGSINSTITUTIONAL RATINGS
25
INSTITUTIONAL RATINGSINSTITUTIONAL RATINGS
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Rate the national Rate the national government’s government’s performance on issues on a ladder performance on issues on a ladder scale from one to five, where one means very poor and five means very scale from one to five, where one means very poor and five means very
good performance. good performance.
45
44
42
39
39
37
35
33
32
34
33
35
30
27
35
35
16
17
20
20
22
30
23
26
6
4
5
7
4
5
5
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
5
Fighting corruption
Poverty reduction
Employment
Fighting crime
Housing
Development of roads and highways
Inflation control
Preserving the environment
26
32
31
21
20
15
13
13
26
35
23
33
19
22
21
35
29
52
37
62
53
55
5
3
9
3
9
9
2
2
1
2
1
3
3
3
0 20 40 60 80 100
Democratic reforms
Healthcare
Water quality and availability
Improving educational system
Availability of electricity
Foreign policy
National security
Poor Neither poor, nor good Good No answer Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Rate the national government’s performance on issues on a ladder Rate the national government’s performance on issues on a ladder scale from one to five, where one means very poor and five means very scale from one to five, where one means very poor and five means very
good performance. good performance. October 2009October 2009
24
28
28
30
35
35
36
43
28
37
36
37
34
33
34
30
40
29
29
25
25
22
25
19
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
6
5
6
6
5
8
4
5
1
Development of roads and highways
Healthcare
Fighting crime
Inflation control
Housing
Fighting corruption
Employment
Poverty reduction
27
10
11
12
14
19
21
22
21
20
23
33
36
23
34
54
63
54
34
36
51
33
3
2
2
2
1
2
12
4
9
16
7
4
8
4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Foreign policy
Availability of electricity
National security
Democratic reforms
Improving educational system
Water quality and availability
Preserving the environment
Poor Neither poor, nor good Good No answer Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, October 2009
Rate the national government’s performance on issues on a ladder scale from one Rate the national government’s performance on issues on a ladder scale from one to five, where one means very poor and five means very good performance. to five, where one means very poor and five means very good performance.
(Only those responding that the government’s performance is poor)(Only those responding that the government’s performance is poor)
October 2009 April 2010 % Change from Oct-09 to Apr-10
Poverty reduction 43% 44% +1%
Employment 36% 43% +7%
Fighting Corruption 35% 45% +10%
Housing 35% 39% +4%
Inflation Control 30% 35% +5%
Fighting crime 28% 39% +11%
28
Fighting crime 28% 39% +11%
Healthcare 24% 31% +7%
Development of roads and highways
24% 37% +13%
Preserving the environment 22% 33% +11%
Water quality and availability 21% 21%
Improving the educational system
19% 20% +1%
Democratic reforms 14% 32% +18%
National Security 12% 13% +1%
Availability of electricity 11% 15% +4%
Foreign policy 10% 13% +3%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Please tell Please tell how how much corruption you think there is much corruption you think there is in each of the in each of the following institutions. Do following institutions. Do you think there is none, not very much, a you think there is none, not very much, a
fair amount or a great deal?fair amount or a great deal?
41
31
26
23
18
16
28
31
29
37
26
33
12
16
19
18
19
21
3
4
6
4
8
5
18
20
18
29
25
16Road police
Customs service
Universities
The courts
Office of the Prosecutor General
Kazakhstani companies
29
13
11
11
10
10
8
31
30
22
22
22
20
26
26
23
21
21
21
8
10
8
10
12
16
22
23
36
37
35
36
0 20 40 60 80 100
Army
Banks
Foreign companies
Political parties
Parliament
Office of the President
Great deal of corruption Fair amount Not much No corruption Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Please tell how much corruption you think there is in each of the Please tell how much corruption you think there is in each of the following institutions. Do you think there is none, not very much, a following institutions. Do you think there is none, not very much, a
fair amount or a great deal?fair amount or a great deal?October 2009October 2009
37
28
26
21
17
12
34
35
34
36
29
34
11
15
18
19
17
20
3
5
4
5
7
9
17
18
19
30
25
15Road police
Customs service
Universities
The courts
Office of the Prosecutor General
Banks
30
12
12
10
10
8
8
31
29
24
25
21
22
21
25
19
19
19
21
6
10
10
11
15
12
29
24
37
35
37
37
0 20 40 60 80 100
Kazakhstani companies
Army
Political parties
Parliament
Office of the President
Foreign companies
Great deal of corruption Fair amount Not much No corruption Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Have you or someone you know had to pay a bribe or offer a gift Have you or someone you know had to pay a bribe or offer a gift to a government employee or official in the following situations?to a government employee or official in the following situations?
19
21
70
68
11
11
To a local official for a license,permit or service
To a government official for a jobconsideration
31
22
35
38
68
67
54
52
11
11
11
10
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
consideration
To a teacher or school administratorto pass exams
To a police officer for a trafficviolation
For health services in a public clinicor hospital
Yes No Don't know/ No response
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Do you have confidence in the fairness of the judicial system Do you have confidence in the fairness of the judicial system and courts in the country?and courts in the country?
24 58 4 14Apr-10
32
27 47 4 22
0 20 40 60 80 100
Oct-09
Yes, I have confidence No, I am not confident No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
How would you rate each of the following institutions? (Favorable responses only)
72 70 68
5754
49
40 43
33
75
6762 63
46
84
71
57 60
51 50 50 50
8780 79
71 70
5753 53
45
73 73
59
4847
67
92
5248
515452
7980
94
4853
697880
52
7873
56
4451
91
47
5965
47 45
74
56
33
Pres
iden
t
Parl
iam
ent
Kaz
akhs
tan'
s med
ia
The
gov
ernm
ent
The
arm
y
Loc
al A
kim
at
Mas
likha
ts
Rel
igio
us a
ssoc
iatio
ns
Polit
ical
par
ties
The
cou
rts
The
pol
ice
Non
gove
rnm
enta
l org
aniz
atio
ns (N
GO
s)/
publ
ic a
ssoc
iatio
ns The
opp
ositi
on
Aug-08 Feb-09 May-09 Oct-09 Apr-10
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Would you describe your household’s current standard of Would you describe your household’s current standard of living as very good, good, bad or very bad?living as very good, good, bad or very bad?
5 62 20 2 3 9
34
5 62 20 2 3 9
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very good Good Bad Very Bad No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
How would you evaluate the income of your household?How would you evaluate the income of your household?
3232
34 35 35
17 1417 18 17
2 2 3 3 356543
60
80
100Don't know, No answer
We can afford almost whateverwe want
We are able to buy some moreexpensive goods, but should
35
12 12 11 9 10
33 3630 29 30
34 35 35
0
20
40
Aug-08 Feb-09 May-09 Oct-09 Apr-10
expensive goods, but shouldsave on other things
We are able to buy what isnecessary, but we cannot affordmore expensive goods
We are able to buy only basicproducts
We do not have enough moneyfor the basic needs
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
ELECTION INDEXELECTION INDEX
36
ELECTION INDEXELECTION INDEX
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
To what extent are you interested in politics?To what extent are you interested in politics?
Very interested11%Not very interested
31%
Not at all interested13%
No response1%
Don't know1%
37
Somewhat interested43%
31%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
In the past year, have you been an active member of any In the past year, have you been an active member of any group that tries to influence public policy or government?group that tries to influence public policy or government?
Yes8%
38
No87%
No response2%
Don't know3%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
If parliamentary elections were held next week, how likely is it If parliamentary elections were held next week, how likely is it that you would vote?that you would vote?
33
31
12
12
10
15
9
8
44
37
34
May-09
Oct-09
Apr-10
13% Likely not to vote82% Likely to vote
22% Likely not to vote70% Likely to vote
65% Likely to vote 27% Likely not to vote
39
37
40
38
9
10
7
4
6
5
5
47
41
44
3 4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Aug-08
Feb-09
May-09
Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not vote at all Don't know/No response
84% Likely to vote 12% Likely not to vote
81% Likely to vote 14% Likely not to vote
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Why wouldn’t you vote in parliamentary elections if they were held next Why wouldn’t you vote in parliamentary elections if they were held next week? week?
((If not very likely to vote or not at all, N=408)If not very likely to vote or not at all, N=408)
26
24
14
I don't believe elections will be fair
My vote doesn't change anything
I don't have enough information about parties andcandidates
40
13
9
8
1
3
1
I am not interested in politics
I don't have time to go to the polls
I don't like any party or candidate
For health reasons
Don't know
No response
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Which political parties working in your region do you know? Which political parties working in your region do you know? (Open ended, all mentioned)(Open ended, all mentioned)
7
2
4
1
0.7
0.7
9
3
3
2
2
62
0.7
66
0.9
1
2
Nur Otan
Ak Zhol
Auyl
Alga
Communist Party of Kazakhstan
Azat
Rukhaniyat Party
Zhas Otan
AssarOct-09
41
0.7
1
0.7
0.5
0.7
9
0.6
0.4
0.4
6
26
1
0.2
0.9
0.6
26
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Assar
Adilet
Party of Patriots
Communist Peoples party
Social Democratic party
Atameken
Other
No political parties
Don't know
No response
Apr-10
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRSINTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
42
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRSINTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
How serious of a threat is al Qaeda to Kazakhstan? Is it a How serious of a threat is al Qaeda to Kazakhstan? Is it a very serious threat, a somewhat serious threat, a minor threat very serious threat, a somewhat serious threat, a minor threat
or not a threat at all?or not a threat at all?
21 29 14 12 3 21
43
21 29 14 12 3 21
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very serious threat Somewhat serious threat Minor threatNot a threat at all No response Don't know
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
SOURCES OF INFORMATIONSOURCES OF INFORMATION
44
SOURCES OF INFORMATIONSOURCES OF INFORMATION
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
What are the main sources of political information for you?
87
64
5752
46
84
61
61
85
58
86
47
52
86
Kazakhstan's TVstations
Russian TV stations
Kazakhstan'snewspapers
Aug-08Feb-09
45
29
27
17
22
21
21
22
45
23
23
22
21
24
21
15
47
21
newspapers
Relatives, friends
Internet
Kazakhstan's radiostations
Feb-09May-09Oct-09Apr-10
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
What are the main sources of political information for you?
21
27
13
8
9
6
8
12
12
12
16
13
12
3
14
8
10
12Russian radio stations
Russian newspapers
Magazines
Other foreign TVAug-08Feb-09
46
3
1
1
2
1
1
2
11
4
2
1
1
2
3
1
33
2
stations
Other foreign radiostations
Other foreignnewspapers
Don't know
No response
Feb-09May-09Oct-09Apr-10
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
How do you rate the credibility of these information sources on a fiveHow do you rate the credibility of these information sources on a five--point scale where one means very unreliable and five means very point scale where one means very unreliable and five means very
credible?credible?(Credible responses only)(Credible responses only)
62
43 4340
7068
60
52
4548 49
4044
47
38
65
57
42 42
35 36
63
4745
38
61
56
45
3741
55
61
67
37
52
35
67
52
41
Aug-08
47
27
16
34
29
24 24
19
35 36
2730
26
2122
37
2022
37
30
20
34
171821
35
20
Kaz
akhs
tan'
s TV
stat
ions
Rus
sian
TV
stat
ions
Kaz
akhs
tan'
sne
wsp
aper
s
Kaz
akhs
tan'
s rad
iost
atio
ns
Rel
ativ
es, f
rien
ds
Rus
sian
radi
ost
atio
ns
Rus
sian
new
spap
ers
Inte
rnet
Mag
azin
es
Oth
er fo
reig
n T
Vst
atio
ns
Oth
er fo
reig
n ra
dio
stat
ions
Oth
er fo
reig
nne
wsp
aper
s
Aug-08Feb-09May-09Oct-09Apr-10
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
On average, how often do you use Internet?On average, how often do you use Internet?
3 3
6356
60
80
100
No response/Don't know
Never
Less often
48
9 149
125
65
46
5
0
20
40
Oct-09 Apr-10
Once a month
Once a week
A few times per week
Everyday
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
What do you use the Internet for mostly?Users of Internet, N=638Users of Internet, N=638
(All mentioned)(All mentioned)
54
44
42
40
16
Research
Chat
Work
Games
49
14
13
7
3
3
1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Listen to music
Watch videos
Blog
Shop
Don't know
No response
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Where do you most regularly access the Internet? Where do you most regularly access the Internet?
42
22
9
9
44
30
9
8
Home
Work
Relative's or friend's home
Internet café Oct-09 N=566
50
5
1
7
5
8
5
1
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Internet café
Cell phone or mobile connection
School, university
Don't know
No response
Oct-09 N=566Apr-10 N=638
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Does your home have satellite or cable TV?Does your home have satellite or cable TV?
Neither32%
Both5%
No response1%
Don't know1%
51
Cable33%
Satellite28%
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, April 2010
Does your home have satellite or cable TV?Does your home have satellite or cable TV?(Breakdown by population density)
1720
65
7
4
28 2328
41
332 2
60
80
100
No response/Don't knowNeither
52
48 5041
12
1720
42
4
0
20
40
Astana, Almaty Regionalcenters
Towns Villages, auls
NeitherBothSatelliteCable
IRI, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY, October 2009
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