Kan havvind skape en ny grønn vekstnæring for Norge?
Jon Dugstad, Director Wind & Solar
• Merger of INTSOK and INTPOW
• Independent non-profit foundation
• 250 partners/members
Founders
Government
• Ministry of Petroleum and Energy
• Ministry of Trade and Fisheries
• Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Trade organisations:
• Energy Norway
• Federation of Norwegian Industries
• Norwegian Oil and Gas Association
• Norwegian Shipowners’Association
• The Norwegian Confederation of Trade Unions
Industry
• Statoil
• Statkraft
Vision
Norwegian Energy Partners will strengthen the long-term
basis for value creation and employment in the
Norwegian energy industry by facilitating international
business development.
How?
We map capability, technology and competitivenessof the Norwegian suppliers to match with industry and client demand internationally.
We add competitiveness and reduce risk ofinternational business development.
Havvind – et globalt vekstmarked
… med base i Europa!
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
1995 1998 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Cu
mu
lati
ve in
sta
lled
ca
pa
city
(G
W)
Ann
ua
l ins
talle
d c
ap
aci
ty (
GW
)
15,780 MW Installed capacity
4,419 Grid-connected turbines
94 Grid connected sites
… med store forventninger om videre vekst (15-20% p.a.)
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
GW
Europa USA Kina Others
Kostnadsreduksjonene raskere enn forventet!
Sources: BEIS, DONG Energy, Bundesnetzagentur, NEV, Energinet.dk, Danish Energy Agency
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
LC
OE
(€
/MW
h)
Offshore wind NNG (UK) EA1 (UK) Horns Rev 3 (DK)
Borssele 1&2 (NL) Vesterhav (DK) Kriegers Flak (DK) Borssele 3&4 (NL)
Triton Knoll (UK) Hornsea 2 (UK) Moray Firth (UK)
Source: BVG Associates
156
145
124 122
102
7869 68
62
85
65 65
2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017
Walneyextension
Race Bank EastAnglia
BorkumRiffgrund
Horns RevIII
BorsseleI & II
KrigersFlak
BorsseleIII & IV
Cluster 1 TritonKnoll
Hornsea II Moray
Kilde: Wind Power Monthly/BEIS
-… har gjort havvind konkurransedyktig!
Source: BVG Associates
70% av kostnadene erknyttet til BOP og drift og vedlikehold
3%
28%
19%
12%
35%
4%
Environmental surveys
0.1%
Consenting and development services
0.5%
Site investigations
0.5%
Project management
2.1%
Turbine assembly1.2%
Blades5.1%
Drive train5.2%
Power conversion8.3%
Large fabrications1.3%
Towers3.5%
Small components3.0%
Subsea cables4.8%
Transmission3.2%
Substation structures
2.1%
Turbinefoundations
7.6%
Secondary steelwork1.4%
Installation ports and logistics
0.6%
Turbine and
foundationinstallation
4.9%Cable installation
2.4%Substation installation
0.4%
Installation equipment and
support services3.0%
Onshore works0.6%
Maintenance and inspection services
14.8%
Vessels and equipment16.4%
O&M ports3.8%
Ports and logistics0.2%
Marineoperations
3.3%
Salvage and recycling0.0%
Project management0.1%
Wind turbine supply
Balance of plant
Installation and commissioning
Operation, maintenance
and service
Decommissioning
Source: BVG Associates
Development and project
management
Technology, Supply Chain and Expenditure
© BVG Associates 2017
• Global annual expenditure for offshore wind in 2022 will be
approximately €25,7 billion
• Expenditure between 2018 and 2022 will be about €108,3
billion
• 27% of all offshore spend by 2022
• A € 600 billion market until 2030
• The rated power of turbines has increased over a 15-
year period, from 2MW to 9,5MW.
• Monopile foundations will continue to be widely used.
Jacket and gravity base foundations will be used in
rocky soil conditions or deeper waters.
• In 2017, the first large-scale floating foundation
project was installed in the UK.
• 66kV array cables were first installed on a project in
2017 meaning capacity of a string can be increased
and electrical losses can be reduced.
• Higher voltage transmission will be used for larger
projects further from shore, or where 'clusters' feed
into central HVDC transmission systems.
• Move towards 'third generation' jack-up installation
vessels to perform lifts in higher wind speeds.
• SOVs and drones will become more widely used for
larger projects located further from shore.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
'18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Exp
en
ditur
e (€m
illio
n)
Project development Turbine
Foundation Array cable
Transmission Turbine installation
Foundation installation Array cable installation
Transmission installation OMS
Source: BVG Associates
170 of ca. 260 Norwegian Energy Partners´ partners are interested in offshore wind
Er det noe for oss?
Våre styrker
Store komplekse prosjekter
Marine operasjoner
Havmiljø og materialstyrker
Offshore drift og vedlikehold
Teknologi og risiko
HMS kultur
Tilgjengelige ressurser
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
NOKbn
Total10largestNorwegianco´s Other MarketShare
• Norsk markedsandel fra 5 til 10% i 2030
• Internasjonal omsetning 3-doblet neste 10 år
• Omsetning nærmer seg 50 milliarder i 2030
En norsk havvindindustri!
Flytende havvind “first mover advantage”30% Norsk innhold i Hywind Skotland
- Engineering av understell og tårn og
system
- Innkjøpstjenester
- Transport av understell
- Forberedelse til sammenstilling av turbin
med understell og generatorer
- Tauing, forankring, drift
- Statisk og dynamiske kabler og tilbehør
- Sikkerhetstjenester, verifikasjon og
garantiundersøkelser
Et hav av forskjellige konsepter…
Jon Dugstad – Director Wind & Solar
Mulighetene er enorme,
bare begrenset av vår evne til å utnytte dem!
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