Download - Ipsos MORI Scotland: Scottish Public Opinion Monitor September 2013

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor September 2013

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Scottish Parliament voting

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?

Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections

Base: All giving a voting intention = 816; all certain to vote = 61% (629). Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013

38%

37%

15%

9%

All giving a voting intention

41%

37%

13%

7%

Certain to vote

SNP lead

+1

SNP lead

+4

SNP

Labour

Cons.

Lib Dem

SNP

Labour

Cons.

Lib Dem

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?

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10

20

30

40

50

60

Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other

41%

37%

13%

7%

2%

Scottish Parliament Election

Result

Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections

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Perceptions of key figures

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the

Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?

Satisfaction with party leaders

Base: All. Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013

Alex Salmond

Johann Lamont

Patrick Harvie

David Cameron

Ruth Davidson

Willie Rennie

Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net

satisfaction

+8

+6

-28

0

+11

-5

48%

37%

32%

31%

27%

22%

40%

31%

60%

31%

16%

27%

12%

32%

8%

38%

58%

50%

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the

Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?

Satisfaction with leaders among own party supporters

Base: All. Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013

Alex Salmond

Johann Lamont

David Cameron

Ruth Davidson

Willie Rennie

Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net

satisfaction

+66

+64

+39

+39

+44

78% 14% 8%

81% 15% 4%

57% 18% 25%

58% 19% 23%

57% 13% 30%

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime

Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

Satisfaction with party leaders trend

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13

Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron

48%

37%

31%

22%

27%


32%

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime

Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

Net Satisfaction with party leaders trend

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13

Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron

+8 +5 0 -5

+11


-28

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as Deputy First Minister/Leader of the Better Together

Campaign?

31%

32%

37%

17%

31%

52%

Don't know

Dissatisfied

Satisfied

Satisfaction with campaign leaders

30%

23%

47%

11%

16%

73%

Don't know

Dissatisfied

Satisfied

All Own campaign supporters

Nicola Sturgeon Alistair Darling

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here Technical details

• This presents the topline results from Scotland

• Results are based on a survey of 1,000 respondents

conducted by telephone

• Fieldwork dates: 9th – 15th September 2013

• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using

census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private

sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly

Public Sector Employment series data

• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to

computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of

“don’t know” categories

• Results are based on all respondents (1,000) unless

otherwise stated

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Thank you [email protected] | 0131 240 3269

[email protected] | 0131 240 3264 @IpsosMORIScot