I, Allan Davison declare that in the past 3 years:
I have received manufacturer funding from the following companies*: No
I have done consulting work for the following companies*: No
I have done speaking engagements for the following companies*: None
I or my family hold individual shares in the following*: None
*pharmaceutical or medical/dental equipment
1
Declaration of Conflict of Interest
Making hunger history?
2
Where are we?
Where are we going?
Much better as a result of MDGs, but in 2015 hunger won’t yet be history
Hunger on a global scale will disappear, in 2 or 3 more 15y plans. New initiatives
We now know what works. 5-10 nations will keep pledges. None will forgo trade rules that favour rich at the expense of poor
What’s working, what’s not?
Aid isn’t workingTrade for profit instead
Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid
Population outstrips food supply
We give more than anyone!
Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving
MDGs won’t be achieved
Most aid corrupt dictators Corrupt multinationals
2008 recession
Never promised 0.7%
“Trade not aid”
Broken promises
Malthus is wrong
4
V little is wasted
Yeah – ½ what EU gives!
Profit motive hasn’t worked - aid is needed
“They” didn’t cause it
You did so!
Wo
rld
GD
P $
PP
P p
er
cap
(es
t) 1
500-
2100
1500 2000$0
$5,000
$10,000
India to 1500
China + Indiato 1850
WesternEuropeto 1945
USA + WestEurope
since 1945
http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/
Manifest destiny of world - wealth
China +India 2040?
5
Number of malnourished world-wide
61970 1980 1990 2000 20100
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000M
illio
ns
un
der
-no
uri
shed
(FA
O k
cal /
ho
use
ho
ld)
FAO data
water-carrier
See also: WHO, UN, WB, USDA, CIA, OECD, IFPRI
UNICEF 2009
http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf
kcal per household surveyed
World% undernourished
71970 1980 1990 2000 201015
33%
17%same data
22%
14%
1970 2010 2015 target 2030 FAO est
0
2000
4000
6000
8000Fed
Malnourished
Number fed & under-nourished worldwide
8
14%
Prediction
6%11%
Target
33%
88
millions
9
http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf
Percentage stunted
60%
40%
20%
Africa
Asia
Latin Am
Last 2 or 3 points are projections
1980 & every 5 years
10
Paying for total strangers to eat?
Not us, not if it goes to corrupt
dictators” }
10
11
http://www.globalissues.org/article/35/foreign-aid-development-assistance#GovernmentsCuttingBackonPromisedResponsibilities
“Development aid”, not spent on poverty or development
Clawed back by unfair tradeEmergency aid Debt relief Refugee, Tied to benefit rich
“Phantom aid”, the wasted 47%Refers toODA, not
MDGs
Corrupt heads of state: Rich...
Series1
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Accept “bribes” to give trade concessions that impoverish their people
Accept personal & campaign “contributions” peddling influence. Could stop bribery at home & abroad by abolishing secret a/c
... & Poor
12
100s
bu
reau
crat
s
200s
MN
Cs
10s
corr
up
t d
icta
tors
1000
s p
resi
den
ts,
PM
s, b
ure
aucr
ats
in r
ich
wikipedia Lockheed
SwissAir
We know what works•Transparent & accountable , open bids
•Partnerships not paternalism
•Goals, objectives, timed milestones
•Strategies revised annually by both partners
•Externally monitored. No political pressure
•Sustainable emphasis on poverty, agriculture
•Serves recipient needs, not donor / ideology
•Firm long-term commitments: MV, Grameen
Unrealistic? Let’s see ...13
• Grameen Family of social enterprises
• Billionaire philanthropists & foundations
• The Millennium Village project
• Passionate & influential voices for change
• Scientists & students bring energy to future
• Instant spread of innovations: agric, educ, &c
Beyond MDGs: amazing changes
14 www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition
15
Passionate renegades
15
year2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
2008 GDP/capita:Developing countries 3.93%
Developed countries -0.03Advantage = 3.96%
USDA data
17
% GDP/cap pa for poor nations cf % for rich
Number stunted (Unicef Data)
18
http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf
mill
ions
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs290/en/index.htmlhttp://www.fao.org/mdg/en/http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/reports.shtml#mdgs
Most MDGs will be mostly met worldwide
19
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs290/en/index.html
http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/reports.shtml#mdgs
“Phantom aid”: 47% is “wasted”
• Evaporating aid - promises … broken as soon as cameras turn elsewhere
• $ flow benefits the rich nations – tilted trade
• Aid with strings attached, contingent on UN votes, WB loans, unfair trade
• Dumped food surplus local farm economy
• Money given by corrupt rich people to “corrupt dictators”
20
UK banks in Nigerian
corruptionPaul Collier: The bottom billion20
Emergency aid isn’t intended for development
http://www.globalissues.org/article/35/foreign-aid-development-assistance#GovernmentsCuttingBackonPromisedResponsibilities
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