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Page 1: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

How can regulation drive improvement?

Gwyn Bevan

ippr Policy Seminar 16th November 2005

Change agent or watchdog? Should regulation drive

improvement?

Page 2: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

How can regulation drive improvement? Agenda? Objective

quality assurance / improvement? outcomes / systems & processes?

Mode inspections: all / targeted & proportionate? regulatory distance: peer review /

professional inspectors? Scope

NHS / foundation trusts / pluralism? quality / quality & finance

Page 3: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

How can regulation drive improvement? Looking back: regulating NHS

Looking forward: regulating pluralist market

Page 4: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

How can regulation drive improvement? Looking back: regulating NHS

Regulatory failure in 1990s Clinical Governance Reviews (CGRs) by Commission for Health Improvement (CHI)

Market failure in 1990s star ratings Looking forward: regulating

pluralist market

Page 5: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

1990s: Regulatory failure CHI’s CGRs

the killing fields the fastest gynaecologist in the south of England Britain’s worst serial killer

Scandalous failure to actAbsence of system to require action

Page 6: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

Did CHI’s CGRs drive improvement?

NHS inspections Systems &

processes All trusts

Targeted & proportionate?

Peer review Quality assurance

Benefits? Feasible Know inspected for

sure Preparation for visit Aware CGRs star

ratings CHI found little new

but action followed

Page 7: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

1990s: Market failure targets & star ratings

NHS logic Ministerial

accountability for local failures

Collegial decision making by doctors

The caucas race: everybody has won, and all must have prizes.

Page 8: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

Did targets & star ratings drive improvement?

35

45

55

65

75

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

% category A calls within 8 minutes: target 75%

Star ratings

Page 9: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

35

45

55

65

75

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Wales

Did targets & star ratings drive improvement?

Star ratings (England only)

% category A calls within 8 minutes: target 75%

Page 10: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

Did targets & star ratings drive improvement?

Gaming?

75% < 8 minutes

Source: http://www.chi.nhs.uk/eng/cgr/ambulance/index.shtml

Gaming common (one in three) but marginal impact (2% - 6%)

75% < 8 minutes

Page 11: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

How can regulation drive improvement? Looking back: regulating NHS Looking forward: regulating

pluralist market Targeted & proportionate inspections:

synecdoche? Quality assurance? Quality improvement? Quality & finance?

Page 12: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

The problem of synecdoche

3-star trust? Omitted from targets

CHI’s CGRs? Data analysis Visits?

T&P inspections? Regulator without

hindsight Regulatee with

foreknowledge False positives &

negatives

Page 13: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

Quality assurance? Redesign CGRs

All providers Redefine clinical governance Peer review: staffing a requirement Regular & random visits

Investigations of perceived problems Systematic audit of targets Roman code for whistleblowers?

Page 14: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

Quality improvement: all providers? National clinical audits 50 common conditions /

procedures Require participation & funding

data collection

Page 15: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

Quality & finance? Regulation of finance governance of

failure Core services? Destabilisation?

Matter for ministers Regulator of quality

must know about financial problems Develop & publish information to inform

threat of patient choice

Page 16: How can regulation drive improvement? Gwyn Bevan

How can regulation drive improvement? Agenda? Objective

quality assurance / improvement? outcomes / systems & processes?

Mode inspections: all / targeted & proportionate? regulatory distance: peer review /

professional inspectors? Scope

NHS / foundation trusts / pluralism? quality / quality & finance