Download - GLOBAL RECOVERY AND VIRUS HINDER SUPPLY GRIDLOCK

Transcript

C M Y K Nxxx,2021-10-13,A,001,Bs-4C,E1

U(D54G1D)y+[!?!%!$!#

As the world economy strug-gles to find its footing, the re-surgence of the coronavirus andsupply chain chokeholds threatento hold back the global recovery’smomentum, a closely watched re-port warned on Tuesday.

The overall growth rate will re-main near 6 percent this year, ahistorically high level after a re-cession, but the expansion reflectsa vast divergence in the fortunesof rich and poor countries, the In-ternational Monetary Fund said inits latest World Economic Outlookreport.

Worldwide poverty, hunger andunmanageable debt are all on theupswing. Employment has fallen,especially for women, reversingmany of the gains they made in re-cent years.

Uneven access to vaccines andhealth care is at the heart of theeconomic disparities. Whilebooster shots are becoming avail-able in some wealthier nations, astaggering 96 percent of people inlow-income countries are still un-vaccinated.

“Recent developments havemade it abundantly clear that weare all in this together and thepandemic is not over anywhereuntil it is over everywhere,” GitaGopinath, the I.M.F.’s chief econo-mist, wrote in the report.

The outlook for the UnitedStates, Europe and other ad-vanced economies has also dark-ened. Factories hobbled by pan-demic-related restrictions andbottlenecks at key ports aroundthe world have caused cripplingsupply shortages. A lack of work-ers in many industries is contrib-uting to the clogs. The U.S. LaborDepartment reported Tuesdaythat a record 4.3 million workersquit their jobs in August — to takeor seek new jobs, or to leave thework force.

In the United States, weakeningconsumption and large declines ininventory caused the I.M.F. topare back its growth projectionsto 6 percent from the 7 percent es-timated in July. In Germany, man-ufacturing output has taken a hitbecause key commodities arehard to find. And lockdown meas-ures over the summer have damp-ened growth in Japan.

Fear of rising inflation — even iflikely to be temporary — is grow-ing. Prices are climbing for food,medicine and oil as well as for carsand trucks. Inflation worriescould also limit governments’ability to stimulate the economy ifa slowdown worsens. As it is, theunusual infusion of public supportin the United States and Europe iswinding down.

“Overall, risks to economicprospects have increased, andpolicy trade-offs have becomemore complex,” Ms. Gopinathsaid. The I.M.F. lowered its 2021global growth forecast to 5.9 per-cent, down from the 6 percent pro-

SUPPLY GRIDLOCKAND VIRUS HINDERGLOBAL RECOVERY

INEQUALITY IS WIDENING

I.M.F. Economic ReportCites Uneven Access

to Vaccines

By PATRICIA COHENand ALAN RAPPEPORT

Continued on Page A7

VICTOR J. BLUE FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES

Displaced Afghans in Kabul. The European Union pledged $1.15 billion as world leaders met virtually to discuss aid. Page A9.Addressing the Need in Afghanistan

BAKER, La. — Over the lastyear and a half, a majority of theroughly 40 police officers who pa-trol Baker, La., a suburb of BatonRouge, tested positive for the co-ronavirus. All of them recoveredand went back to work — until Lt.DeMarcus Dunn got sick.

Lieutenant Dunn, a 36-year-oldshift supervisor who coachedyouth sports and once chaseddown someone who fled the policestation after being arrested, diedfrom Covid-19 on Aug. 13. His wed-ding had been scheduled for thenext day.

Chief Carl K. Dunn said he hadassumed that the lieutenant, a dis-tant relative, was vaccinated, butthought it would be inappropriateto ask. It was not until after thedeath, the chief said, that he wastold Lieutenant Dunn had not got-ten a shot. For some others in thedepartment who had been resist-ing vaccination, it was a turningpoint.

“They were like, ‘Oh, look, waita minute,’” Chief Dunn recalledlast month. “Those are the onesthat started getting it after De-Marcus left us.”

More than 460 American lawenforcement officers have diedfrom Covid-19 infections tied totheir work since the start of thepandemic, according to the Offi-

cer Down Memorial Page, makingthe coronavirus by far the mostcommon cause of duty-relateddeaths in 2020 and 2021. Morethan four times as many officershave died from Covid-19 as fromgunfire in that period. There is nocomprehensive accounting of howmany police officers have beensickened by the virus, but depart-ments across the country have re-ported large outbreaks in theranks.

While the virus has ravaged po-

Many OfficersResist Vaccine

Despite Risks

Covid Is the Top Causeof Police Deaths

By MITCH SMITH

Continued on Page A15

Lt. DeMarcus Dunn, 36, of theBaker, La., Police Department,died of Covid-19 in August.

MARIO TAMA/GETTY IMAGES

WINCHESTER, Va. — As a life-long Republican in her homestate, Virginia, Tammy Yoderfaithfully casts her ballot for thosewho want to lower taxes, opposeabortion and back other conserva-tive causes.

But the issue that transformedMs. Yoder, a stay-at-home mother,

from a reliable voter to the kind ofperson who brings three youngchildren to an evening campaignrally was nother Christian valuesor her pocketbook.

It was something even morepersonal, she said: what her chil-dren learn in school.

“The past year has revealed aton to me,” said Ms. Yoder, 41, asshe waited in this Northern Vir-ginia exurb for a speech by Glenn

Youngkin, the Republican candi-date for governor. “The more I’velistened and paid attention, themore that I see what’s happeningin schools and on college cam-

puses. And the stuff I see, I don’twant corrupting my children.”

From fights over evolution todesegregation to prayer, educa-tion battles have been a staple ofthe country’s divisive cultural is-sues for decades. But not quitelike this.

After months of closed class-rooms and lost learning time, Re-publicans in Virginia are making

The Issue Riling Up Virginia Voters: What’s Taught in the Schools

By LISA LERER G.O.P. Targets Race andGender Instruction

Continued on Page A16

ALGECIRAS, Spain — No oneknew the man’s name when hewashed ashore. His body hadfloated in the ocean for weeks, andit then sat much of the summerunidentified in a refrigerator in aSpanish morgue.

He was one among thousandslost at sea during what has been arecord year for migrant drown-ings in Spain. And he might havebeen sent with the other un-claimed dead to an unmarkedgrave if Martín Zamora had notfigured out that the body had aname, and a life.

He was Achraf Ameer, 27, a me-

chanic from Tangier. He had beenmissing for weeks when Mr. Za-mora reached his family byWhatsApp.

He had found their son’s body.He could take it to them in Moroc-co, for a price.

“Sometimes, I get the feelingthat some years ahead — in 30, 40,50 years, I don’t know how many— they will look at us like mon-sters,” he said. “They’ll see us all

as monsters because we just letpeople die this way.”

Mr. Zamora, a 61-year-old fa-ther of seven, is the owner ofSouthern Funeral Assistance, amortuary in Algeciras. But in thisport city where the lights of Mo-rocco can be seen across the Medi-terranean, he has become morethan that. Mr. Zamora is the bodycollector of those who don’t makeit to Spain alive.

Mr. Zamora, who says he has re-patriated more than 800 bodies intwo decades, has forged a busi-ness model like few others. Hewrestles with municipal officialsto hand over bodies so he can em-balm them. He works with smug-glers to find the relatives of the

Bodies Wash Ashore. His Grisly Work Begins.By NICHOLAS CASEY

and LEIRE ARIZ SARASKETASearching Out Families

of Migrants to Send Remains Home

The coast near Vejer de la Frontera, Spain. Thousands of migrants are lost in crossing from Africa.SAMUEL ARANDA FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES

Continued on Page A6

Doctors should no longer rou-tinely start most people who are athigh risk of heart disease on adaily regimen of low-dose aspirin,according to new draft guidelinesby a U.S. panel of experts.

The proposed recommendationis based on mounting evidencethat the risk of serious side effectsfar outweighs the benefit of whatwas once considered a remark-ably cheap weapon in the fightagainst heart disease.

The U.S. panel also plans to re-treat from its 2016 recommenda-tion to take baby aspirin for theprevention of colorectal cancer,guidance that was groundbreak-ing at the time. The panel said

more recent data had raised ques-tions about the benefits for cancer,and that more research wasneeded.

On the use of low-dose or babyaspirin, the recommendation bythe U.S. Preventive Services TaskForce would apply to peopleyounger than 60 who are at highrisk of heart disease and for whoma new daily regimen of the mildanalgesic might have been a toolto prevent a first heart attack orstroke. The proposed guidelineswould not apply to those alreadytaking aspirin or those who havealready had a heart attack.

The U.S. task force also wants to

Panel Pulls Back on Broad UseOf Aspirin in a Daily Regimen

By RONI CARYN RABIN

Continued on Page A14

The Food and Drug Administra-tion for the first time on Tuesdayauthorized an electronic cigaretteto be sold in the United States, asignificant turn in one of the mostcontentious public health debatesin decades.

In greenlighting a device andtobacco-flavored cartridges mar-keted by R.J. Reynolds under thebrand name Vuse, the agency sig-naled that it believed that the helpcertain vaping devices offersmokers to quit traditional ciga-rettes is more significant than therisks of ensnaring a new genera-tion.

“The authorized products’aerosols are significantly lesstoxic than combusted cigarettesbased on available data,” theF.D.A. said in a statement an-nouncing the decision.

The statement concluded, “TheF.D.A. determined that the poten-tial benefit to smokers who switchcompletely or significantly reducetheir cigarette use, would out-weigh the risk to youth.”

The watershed decision couldpave the way for authorization of

F.D.A., in First,Gives BackingTo E-Cigarette

By MATT RICHTEL and SHEILA KAPLAN

Continued on Page A17

N.B.A. ULTIMATUM The Nets toldtheir point guard Kyrie Irvingthat if he did not get vaccinated,he could not participate. PAGE B9

Anicka Yi has taken over Tate Modern’sTurbine Hall in London with an odorouswork to excite the senses. PAGE C2

ARTS C1-8

The Smell of Fine ArtWe sent staff members around thecountry to pick out some of the bestdining places. Above, clams and mus-sels at Communion in Seattle. PAGE D6

FOOD D1-10

The Restaurant ListA powerful lawyer in South Carolina’sLowcountry is at the center of a stringof unsolved deaths. PAGE A12

NATIONAL A12-19

Murder Mystery in the South

Jon Gruden’s missives show the under-lying resistance to change among N.F.L.decision makers, our columnist writes.Sports of The Times. PAGE B7

SPORTS B7-11

Emails and Their MessageÉric Zemmour, an anti-immigrant com-mentator, is surging in the polls beforepresidential elections next year — andhe is not even a candidate. PAGE A10

INTERNATIONAL A4-11

Far-Right Writer Jolts France

New York City is putting $100 in collegesavings accounts to encourage all of itspublic school kindergartners. PAGE B1

BUSINESS B1-6

Modest but Hopeful HelpRuthie Tompson did indispensable butanonymous work for four decades onclassic films like “Snow White” and“Pinocchio.” She was 111. PAGE A20

OBITUARIES A20-21

Acclaimed Disney Animator

Mayim Bialik wants the game-show joblong term, but her views on hot-buttonissues may become an obstacle. PAGE C1

Questions on ‘Jeopardy!’ HostA major developer’s financial troubles,and Beijing’s efforts to curb debt, arethreatening property sales. PAGE B1

Soured Home Buyers in ChinaAn F.D.A. advisory panel will decide onextra shots of the Moderna and John-son & Johnson vaccines. PAGE A14

Weighing Benefits of Boosters

Bret Stephens PAGE A22

OPINION A22-23

Late Edition

VOL. CLXXI . . . . No. 59,210 © 2021 The New York Times Company NEW YORK, WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2021

Today, patchy morning fog, a mix-ture of clouds and sunshine in the af-ternoon, high 72. Tonight, partlycloudy, low 63. Tomorrow, sunny,high 77. Weather map is on Page B6.

$3.00