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Page 1: From Apples to Augmented Cognition (Current and Future Trends in Mobile)

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Copyright Paul Golding, 2011http://wirelesswanders.com

“From Apples to Augmented Cognition”Current & Future Mobile Trends

May 2011

Friday, 13 May 2011

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Some numbers:21 years in mobile16 patents (mobile chip design)5 continents4 books1st mobile apps co. in Europe1st mobile internet portal1st push email solution

*connFu is a cloud-telephony platform

Why listen to this guy?

Paul GRoles:Mobile Product StrategyDeveloperChief Apps Architect MotorolaAdvisor to corps !10k - !10BFounded the O2 IncubatorMentor at Springboard IncubatorconnFu* Master at O2

Friday, 13 May 2011

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3Written a few books...

Innovationis for

Everyone

31 innovationhabits

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I shouldcall Bob

Not so long ago we didn’t “need” mobiles...

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5From Islington to Iran

Mobiles are everywhere

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6Indoors and outdoors, they consume attention...

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“fish don’t know water exists... until beached”

Marshall McLuhan

ImmersiveAnd we need them like a fish needs water...

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In 59 countries:

>

A device most of us have most of the time...

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Global textmessages

200,000per second

Six Trillion

A global communication phenomenon

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The average teensends or receives

text messagesevery month

A lot of communications power...

Source: comScore

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The average teensends or receives

text messagesevery month

3,33915 s per text ~ 14 hours of attention

(15-24 yrs average 9 hours per month SN sites)

A lot of communications power...

Source: comScore

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Things we carry...The carry principle...

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Things we carry...The carry principle...

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12The “pre-history” of mobile...

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A is for...The mobile is dead...long live the...

2007...

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14There’s an app for that...

2009...

A is for...

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Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

Texting, talking

Mobiles are “everyware”

A new era of mobile...

Doing

(Voice + Text + Data)

Organise lunchDetect offersFind a popular placeShare video clipsHail a taxiLocate “friend of a friend”Compare shopping pricesScan & Share the billPin feedback in mid-airSwap stuffDo everything?

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Source: comScore

The trend is apps...

40% UK 35% UK

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17Visitors from Planet Google...

A is for...Friday, 13 May 2011

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Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

The consumerization of smartphones...

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Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

AndroidsThe consumerization of smartphones...

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Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

Androids

Dec 2010 - 50.3% devices sold = smartphones ~35% penetration (UK)

~70% growth

The consumerization of smartphones...

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Apples

Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

Androids

Dec 2010 - 50.3% devices sold = smartphones ~35% penetration (UK)

~70% growth

“everyware”

The consumerization of smartphones...

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+951% EU5

+115% EU5

Source:Asymco

(via VisionMobile, Tomi Ahonen)Source:

comScore

“platform wars”And now mostly a 2-horse race...

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...of the revolution

Millions of transistors!

Moore’s Law...

1 GHz

Hidden engine...

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What we really carry...21

A computer!

We carry a computer all day long...

Some metal...

Some leather...

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Inert

COMPUTER#two

COMPUTER#one

Actually, we carry two of them...

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!"#$%&'()*+(,

!-./0&1"2+-3$-/*,

4-.2$&56',

7"+*2%"-/&'-)3(88,

4-.2$&4*)3*+(%.+*,

1-%"-/&922*:*+-)*%*+,

;*)-%*<8*/8"/#&=:.*%--%$,

But it’s more than just a computer...

A computer with senses...Friday, 13 May 2011

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!"#$%&'()*+,,-./

!

"

#

$

Augmented Reality

We can surf the real world...

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25Real-world connectivity

Money

Access

Body

Engines

Metering

Control

Security

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25Real-world connectivity

Money

Access

Body

Engines

Metering

Control

Security

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26Today we carry these...

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27Tomorrow we carry this...

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!""#$%%#&'()*+"',,%-&.%/0112003/20/

%45"&(+%!6&."***

%7&"-!%"68#6.&"'.6%**

%!986%75:;97+%**

%".&5:6.+%76&.%**

There’s a URI for that...

Internet of Things

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!""#$%%#&'()*+"',,%-&.%/0112003/20/

%45"&(+%!6&."***

%7&"-!%"68#6.&"'.6%**

%!986%75:;97+%**

%".&5:6.+%76&.%**

There’s a URI for that...

Internet of Things

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!"#$%&'"

(%)!#*"

!"#$%&'"

+!),"((&-*

!"#$%&'").%+.%

/&(%!&0.%"12("-()!2*!&1(

“Sensor Net”

Streaming sensor data to the cloud...

Big Data!

Creating value from unthinkably large amounts of data

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Inert

!"#$%&'()*+(,

!-./0&1"2+-3$-/*,

4-.2$&56',

7"+*2%"-/&'-)3(88,

4-.2$&4*)3*+(%.+*,

1-%"-/&922*:*+-)*%*+,

;*)-%*<8*/8"/#&=:.*%--%$,

TheCloud

Which is smarter?

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“Real Right time”Right-time Web

Social stream

Information stream

Entertainment stream

Event stream

Sensor stream

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!"#$%&'()*+(,

!-./0&1"2+-3$-/*,

4-.2$&56',

7"+*2%"-/&'-)3(88,

4-.2$&4*)3*+(%.+*,

1-%"-/&922*:*+-)*%*+,

;*)-%*<8*/8"/#&=:.*%--%$,

Connected to streams in the cloud...

TheCloud

Social stream

Information stream

Entertainment stream

Event stream

Sensor stream

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What is smart?

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Augmented cognition:

Person + right-time computer ! personalized computing

= new person!

The augmented human...

Smartphone = smarter peopleFriday, 13 May 2011

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35Where are we headed?

100 GHz100 Mbps100 TB

The not-so-distant future...

Just imagine the possibilities...Friday, 13 May 2011

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[email protected]

@pgolding

(C) Copyright Paul Golding, 2010

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Thank You

Friday, 13 May 2011