Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
De-Risking A Business VentureIncreasing Value by Decreasing
Assumptions
Steve Barshstevebarsh.com [email protected] +1.215.888.2101 twitter: sbarsh
Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
3 – 7 Key Assumptions
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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
Common Assumptions
Demand (huge problem)
Market size Feature set Positioning /
differentiation Product
development Pricing Sales cycle stevebarsh.com3
Competition Team Execution Marketing Financials &
forecasts Capital Exit value
Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
Stop Waving, Start Pointing!
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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
De-Risking
Identify risks & assumptions Before or while
developing product
Before pitching De-risk the risks
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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
De-Risking Goals
Convert assumptions into knowledge At the lowest cost As quickly as possible
Consume intellectual capitalbefore venture capital
Decrease assumptionsto increase value
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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
Experiment / Test & Research!
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•Hypotheses to prove• Valid experiments toprove or disprove• Release early, measure, learn, iterate• Research• Valid proxies you can use• So, it’s / were just like ____• Be ready to defend
Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
3 Main Takeaways
1. Key assumptions
2. “Experiments” to test
3. Convert assumptions into knowledge Low capital Increase value
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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
See Also
Redeye VC Blog: Failing Cheaper by Josh Kopelman, First Round Capital.
Common Mistakes Made by Entrepreneurs by Mark Henricks.
How To: Raise Money in a Down Economy by Eric Ries at KPCB.
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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.
De-Risking A Business VentureIncreasing Value by Decreasing
Assumptions
Steve Barshstevebarsh.com [email protected] +1.215.888.2101 twitter: sbarsh
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