8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
1/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
2/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
1
Whyanewoperationalconceptis
needed
for
the
Persian
Gulf
ChallenginglegacyassumptionsforprojectingU.S.militarypower
Pacing
threat:
an
anti
access/area
denial(A2/AD)strategywithPersiancharacteristics
OutsideIn objectives&linesof
operation
Recommendedsupportinginitiatives
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
3/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
Thethreathaschanged: proliferationofprecisionguidedweapons,maritime
threats,terroristproxygroups,neartermpotentialofanucleararmedIran
TheArabawakeningpresentsbothstrategicopportunitiesandchallenges
Operationalplanningassumptionsdevelopedalmostthirtyyearsagoforthe
PersianGulfmaynolongerbevalid
Aturningpoint: WiththeendofoperationsinIraq,DoDhasanopportunityto
rethinkplans,forwardposture,andcapabilitiesneededtomaintainstable
militarybalanceintheGulfoverthenext20years
2
U.S. policy will emphasize Gulf securityto prevent Irans developmentof a nuclear weapon capability and counter its destabilizing policies
bbbbbb Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership, January 2012
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
4/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
3
Todayscontingencyforceisnotwellsuitedto
manyoftheproblemsitislikelytoface
Capabilities
for
Limited
Contingencies
in
the
Persian
Gulf,
1979
Recommendations:
EstablishaforwardposturethatregularlydeploysforcesintothePersianGulfandincludesayearroundcarriertaskgroup/amphibiousreadygrouppresence
PrepositionequipmentandconsumablesinthePersianGulftosupportrapidforcedeployments
RapidlydeploylargeforcesofbombersandfighterstotheregionintheeventofanIranianinvasionorSovietadventurism
Upgradeplans
and
capabilities
to
support
operationsagainstguerillaforces
Hardenanddefendcriticaloilfacilitiesandinfrastructureagainstairandterrorattacks
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
5/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
4
TheU.S.militaryhastraditionallyassumed:
AlthoughtheseassumptionsservedtheU.S.militarywellforthepastthirtyyears,it
shouldnotbeassumedthattheywillbesuitableforopsagainstcapableA2/ADcomplexes
Closein
bases
would
be
available
for
early
arrivingfighters,groundforces,C2elements
Navalunitscouldoperatewithinrangeoftheirtargetareas
U.S.
would
have
a
near
monopoly
on
PGMs
Norealthreatstorefuelingandlogisticsops
C4ISRnetworkswouldremainsecure
Asin1979,weareinatimeoftransitionanotherPersianGulfreviewmaybeneeded
MajorU.S. GulfOperations
EarnestWill,
1987
1988
DesertShield/Storm,19901991
SouthernWatch,19912003
DesertStrike,1996
NorthernWatch,
1997
2003
DesertFox,1998
IraqiFreedom,20032010
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
6/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
5
BallisticMissileFlightTimes
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
7/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
6
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
8/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
TheU.S.willnotinitiatearmedhostilities
Prior
intelligence
and
warning
will
be
limited
NeitherU.S.norIranianterritorywillbesanctuaries
Alloperatingdomainswillbecontested
Close
in
operating
locations
and
forces
will
be
at
risk
at
the
beginning
of
aconflictwithIran
Cannotassumeadditionalcloseinbasingwillbeimmediatelyavailable
IranwillthreatentouseWMD
7
TheU.S.militarywillneedtofighttomaintainitsfreedomofaction
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
9/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
Aredesignedtocreatetimeneededforanenemytoachieveitscampaignobjectives,e.g.,
PreventtheU.Sfromdeployingandemployingitsforceseffectively
CoerceU.S.partnersandalliestodenysupporttotheU.S.militaryand/ordrivethemoutofthewar
InflictsuchdamagetoU.S.forcesandbasesthattheU.S.wouldchoosetodiscontinuethefight
MaketheprospectofeventualU.S.victoryappeartooprolongedorcostly
8
IranisdevelopinganA2/ADstrategywithPersiancharacteristics
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
10/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
9
Natural channelizing effect of the Strait of Hormuzand Persian Gulf
Short-/medium-range missiles from Iran can reachcritical areas across the region
Global dependence on Gulf energy exports, most ofwhich still transit the Strait
80-90% of populations for many Persian Gulf stateslocated in coastal urban areas
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
11/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
10
Shahab3
C802
Fateh110
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
12/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyleIadvise,recommendandwarnthemoverthe
returnofthiscarrierto
thePersianGulfbecause
wearenotinthehabitof
warningmorethan
once
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
13/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
12
Defendingforwardbasesandpartnerinfrastructureagainstguidedrocket,artillery,mortarand
missileattacks
Counteringwidespreadandhighlymobileirregularproxyforcesarmedwithguidedweapons
Defendingsurfacevesselsagainst
missile,
submarine,
and
swarming
boatattacks
Penetratingcontestedairspacetoconductoffensiveoperations
SecuringsafepassagethroughtheStraitofHormuzandPersianGulf
Settingconditions
for
other
campaignoperations(e.g.,counterWMD,unconventionalwarfaremissions)
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
14/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
15/26
ClicktoeditMastertitlestyle
14
Prevent the U.S from deploying and employing its forces effectively
Coerce U.S. partners to deny support to the U.S. military
Inflict such damage that the U.S. would choose to discontinue the fight
Make the prospect of an eventual U.S. victory appear too prolonged or costly
Freedom of action in all domains air, land, sea, space & cyberspace
Create advantages over a capable opponent Gain the initiative
Deny a quick victory
Set the conditions for effective follow-on operations
OutsideIn
encompasses
all
elements
of
the
joint
force
OutsideInproposesanenablingconcept,notatheaterwarplan
AirSeaBattlelikeconceptsarenotallaboutWESTPAC
Important
Caveats:
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
16/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
15
ISR and C2 networks are the "Achilles heel" of A2/AD strategies
U.S. ability to sustain operations over extended distances is a key advantage
At the outset of hostilities, U.S. could use this advantage to:
FootagereportedlyfilmedbyanIranianUAV
Degrade/deny enemys ability to effectivelytarget its missiles
Regain U.S. naval maneuver and ability todeploy air forces close to an enemy,thereby increasing sortie generation
Deny enemys ability to form an accuratepicture of the battlespace or assess effects of
its strikesForce the enemy to waste its missileassets against targets of little value
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
17/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
16
ConductlongrangeoperationsfromoutsidethereachofIransantiaccessthreatstogaintheadvantage:
DISPERSEANDDEPLOYTOSECURESTAGINGBASESavoidatrapbydeployingandoperatingfrombaseslocatedoutsidethereachofIransmissilethreats
BLIND
THE
ENEMY,
SHRINK
THE
A2/AD
THREAT
RING
fightfromrangetodominatethebattlespace killthearcher,notthearrows
CREATEENABLINGPOCKETSOFAIR&MARITIMESUPERIORITYincludesair,EW&underseawarfare,specialops,andjointtheaterentryopstocreatelodgmentsnearStrait
Counterweaponsofmassdestruction
CounterproxygroupsarmedwithGRAMM
Other Possible Theater Campaign Lines of Operation:
Imposecosts
UWtobringaboutregimechangefromwithin
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
18/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
17
Deploy to operate from baseslocated outside the reach of
Irans missile threats Disperse steady-state
theater presence forces
Deploy initial responseforces to locations outside
of Irans threat ring
Undersea warfarefor strike & maritimedominance ops
Fight from a posture ofadvantage to complicateIrans planning and reduceits A2/AD threat
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
19/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
18
Fight from range to dominatethe battlespace
Prevent the enemy fromdeveloping an accuratepicture of the battlespace
Attack from multiple axes tocomplicate and overwhelmIrans defenses
Force Iran to its culminatingpoint, regain the initiative forthe U.S.
Enable forces to deploycloser to the area ofoperations, increasingaircraft sortie rates / tempoof operations
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
20/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
Includes air, electronicwarfare and undersea
warfare, special
operations
and potentially jointtheater entry ops tocreate lodgments to
help secure the Strait
19
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
21/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
Counterweaponsofmassdestruction,
includingnuclear
weapons
Counterproxygroupsarmedwithguided
rockets,artillery,mortars,andmissiles
Imposecosts
on
Iran,
degrade
its
ability
to
conductoffensiveanddefensivemilitary
operations
Unconventionalwarfare
operations
that
could
leadtoaregimechangefromwithin
20
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
22/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
Amorebalancedmixofshortrangeandlongrangecapabilitiesforsurveillance& strike
Land
andsea
based
manned
and
unmanned
penetrating,
persistent
ISR
to
supportoperationsinhighthreatareas
RobustsurfacewarfaredefensesagainstASCMs,swarmingattackcraft,UAVs
Underseawarfarepayload,UUVswithlongendurance
Landbasedmissiledefenseswithlowtheaterfootprints
Landbasedcounterfires
Offensive&defensivecyber,electronicwarfare,directedenergycapabilities
Newcapabilities
to
support
SOF
ops
in
non
permissive
areas
Forcestobuildingpartnercapacity
21
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
23/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
22
Fiscal Year0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
4SSGNs
SSN
SSN
LargeBowTubesSSN
VerticalLaunchTubes
TorpedoTubes
11 12 1 3 14 15 1 6 1 7 18 19 20 2 1 2 2 23 24 25 2 6 27 28 29 30 3 1 3 2 3 3 34 35 3 6 37 38 39 4 0 41 42 43 44 45
Fiscal Year
10
2010level:1272Launchers
TotalNumberofLaunchers
564
1124
468
720VPMSSN
PayloadModules
PlannedSSGNretirementsandSSNfleetreductionwillsignificantlyreducetheunderseastandoffstrikemagazine
VirginiaPayloadModules(VPMs)onfutureVirginiaclassSSNswouldmorethantripleSSNTLAMpayloads(from12to40TLAMs)
20modifiedSSNswouldsignificantlyreducetheunderseastrikeshortfallforlesscostthanbuyingnewreplacementSSGNs
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
24/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
23
Work with regional partners todiversify posture, harden
shelters and support facilities
Improve ability to rapidlydisperse forces across theArabian Peninsula
Hundreds of candidates for
bases located outside thePersian Gulf, includingfacilities across Europessouthern tier
Does a networked force with
reach-back need to maintainmajor C2 facilities on thewestern coastline of the Gulf?
PotentialAirbases
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
25/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
Operational concepts such as AirSea BattleandOutside-Inare not all about preserving the defensebudget and buying major new weapon systems
New, innovative concepts are needed that will help:
24
Provide the vital links between the Defense
Strategy and future defense spending;
Increase synergy across operating domains andthe Services;
Identify priority capabilities; and
Identify areas for reducedinvestment as DoDrebalances to support its new strategy
8/3/2019 Defeating Iran's Anti-Access Weapons
26/26
Clickto
edit
Master
title
style
25
Top Related