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Bangalore's traffic messThe solution
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54365865449674% increase
201020072005200019951990
198
51980Year
Road space needs to double every 5 years.
Not logical.
Traffic population will rise 90 % between 2005 and 2010.
The current strategyWiden roads to keep pace with increasing traffic
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Bangalore 2015 ?
Road widening to keep pace with vehicle
population has never worked anywhere
worldwide.
Traffic simply increases to occupy the
increased road space. Congestionremains, commute time, pollution and
accidents increase.
This is a picture of congestion in 20-lane
road in Los Angeles, USA.
LA smog in background.
Pic. courtesy Transfuture.net
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Our present strategy - dog chasing its
own tail
Road space will never catch up with vehicle population.
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The solutions
Replace private transport with public transport.
This is the only solution that will work in the long term.
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The Metro is not a solution
Only people living andworking within 2 km. of the
Metro (the blue band in thepicture) will use it.
Only 5 % of Bangalore'spopulation will be able touse the Metro.The rest willstill have to depend on
private transport.
By the time the Metro isready, Bangalore's vehiclepopulation will be 50 Lakh.
Average traffic speed will be6 kmph. (12 kmph. now)Accidents, pollution,temperature will be muchhigher.
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Bangalore
London
Paris
Metro densities
Bangalore's Metro must reach the density ofmetros in cities like London or Paris before
the whole city can use it.
London, Paris, New York, Madrid all took
more than 100 years to achieve this density.
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Bangalore vs. London
The comparison
London's population is the same as Bangalore's.
London : 400 km. of track length, 270 stations.Bangalore : 33 km. of track length, 35 stations - 3 years (?) from now.
London : Carries 42 Lakh passengers a day.Bangalore : Will carry 5 Lakh passengers a day.
London : Has 11 lines
Bangalore : Will have 2 lines in 2011 (?)
London : Started in 1863, took 116 years (till 1979) to evolve to this stage.Bangalore : Starts in 2011 (?).
Passengers per day : Bangalore is estimated as 10 Lakh per day, but we can assume 5 Lakh going by Delhi, Kolkata
metro's ratio of actual vs. planned traffic (50 %).
We think that the Metro is a solution for Bangalore because it works well in cities like
London, Paris and New York.
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The Metro is not a solution
The whole city can use the Metro only when there is a station within 1 km. ofwherever you are in the city.
This will require a line length of 400 km.It will take 50 more years, at (an optimistic) 30 km. every 5 years.It will cost Rs. 100000 Cr. at Rs. 9000 Cr. for 35 km.
It will be 60 to 100 years before the Metro has city-wide coverage.
Most of us reading this will not be alive then,but will have to suffer the continuous construction activities.
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There are 150 vehicles on this flyover.
Carrying 150 people.
During rush hour (people going to, from work)
Each bike carries 1 person
Each car carries 1 person
Each bus carries 75 people
The bus is the solution
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There are 75 vehicles between each pairof red lines, carrying 75 people (because
there is only 1 person in each car or
bike)
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If we get each group of 75 people outof their private vehicles and into
buses,
This is what happens.
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Road space used by a person in a bus is:
3 % of that in a car
5 % of that on a 2-wheeler
Congestion Congestion?
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38 Lakh people in 5000 buses occupy
this much road space (0.5 %)
The logic already works in BangaloreBeautifully
BMTC has 5000 buses, carries 38 Lakh people every day.
0.2 % of vehicle population carries 50 % of the human population.
Proportionately
32 Lakh people in private vehiclesoccupy this much road space
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Bus-based systems are used worldwide
Some cities with bus-based systems
India- Delhi, Ahmedabad, Indore, PunePeru- LimaUSA - Chicago, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, Boston, Charlotte, Cleveland, Eugene, Hartford,Honolulu, San Juan, Santa Clara, Alameda, San Pablo, Louisville, Montgomery, PittsburghBrazil- Curitiba, Sao Paulo, Goiania, Proto Allegre
Ecuador- QuitoColombia- BogotaIndonesia JakartaUK- Bradford, LeedsAustralia- Adelaide, BrisbaneCanada - Ottawa, VancouverChina- Kunming, Fuzhou, Huangzhou, Wuhan, Shanghai, Beijing, Shenyang, Chengdu
Bus-based mass transport systems have been in existence for the past 30 years.
They are preferred because of their low cost and low deployment time, in countries as
economically diverse as Indonesia (comparable to India) and Canada (far wealthier than
India).
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Improved bus system : Rs. 3000 Cr.Expenditure on 10000 more buses of various classes + improved shelters, signage, etc.
- Ordinary bus costs Rs. 12 Lakh, Suvarna (air suspension, no AC) : Rs. 16 Lakh
- Marco Polo : Rs. 55 Lakh
Time required : 1 year.
Road widening for planned 400 km. : Rs. 4000 Cr.Usefulness : Zero
Destruction of city : Total
Cost of destruction of homes, businesses, culture, heritage : ?
Metro 33 km. to carry 5 % of Bangalore's population : Rs. 9000 Cr.6936 Cr. estimate in April 2005. BMRC announced 2000 Cr. escalation in Nov. 2008.
Metro 350 km. for whole of Bangalore : Rs. 100,000 Cr.Assumes 20 % underground, same mix as now.
Will take 50-60 years to build.
London has 400 km. with 270 stations. Its size and population are same as Bangalore's.
The economicsCosts of various options before us
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Road widening is definitely not the solutionIt will worsen all our problems : Vehicle population, pollution, temperature rise,
accidents, destruction of homes and businesses, destruction of grenery.
The Metro is too long term, and too expensiveIt will take 60 to 100 years to cover the whole of Bangalore
It will cost Rs. 100000 Cr.
The best solutionThe bus for long commutes + Cycling and walking for
short commutesCan be implemented in Rs. 3000 Cr.
In 1-2 years.
In sum
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ReduceNo. of vehicles by 75 %
Commute time by 30 %
Pollution by 80 %
Govt. expenditure on roads by 90 %
IncreaseSpending on Water supply, Medicare, Education, Power
Spending on rest of Karnataka
Without destroying BangaloreWith a bus system we can achieve this
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Which lifestyle do we want?
Private transport has given us this
1
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Bus+ cycling+walking
can give us this
2
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If you want to work towards solving the problem,
contact
Vinay Sreenivasa
OR
Roshni [email protected]
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