Download - Balkan Monitor - Hrvatska umorna od EU reformi

Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.EUROPE

Voices of the Balkans:between hope and disenchantment

Robert ManchinGallup Europe

Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.

What is the Gallup Balkan Monitor?

A multi-year comparative project in 7 countries A stratified random sample of 1000 in each country Fieldwork September-October 2008 Oversampling regions Face to face methodology Comparative questions Dedicated web-page Data dashboard / interactive www.balkan-monitor.eu

2

AL

HR

BIH SRB

KS

MK

ME


Emotional energy in new countries vs. BiH and Croatia

4


Strong feelings: Identification with “own country”

(% very & extremely strongly)

5

65

58

33

76

61

65

52

4279

1051


% of people who can not identify at all or only a little

with “Balkans”

6

60

34

41

47

10

23

21

32


Less emotional strength in identification with “Europe”

(% very & extremely strongly)

7

26

2215

67

49

35

25


Staying home or moving elsewhere?

Ideally, would you like to move (permanently or temporarily) to another country, or would you prefer to continue living in [COUNTRY/ENTITY]?


Subjective momentum – getting better or worse

9

Development of standard of living

5947

36 34 32 3124

25

28

38 4442 40

44

1522 25 20 25 28 31

Kosovo Montenegro Albania BIH Macedonia Serbia Croatia

Getting better Getting worse The same DK/NA

Right now, do you feel your standard of living is getting better or getting worse?


Corruption – getting around, finding solutions

10

48

39

34 32

2723

20

33

28

2125

1815

13

27 27

1311

16 17

11

Montenegro BIH Serbia Croatia Kosovo Albania Macedonia

To use relations To give small gifts To give money

In order to help your child to get into a good school, is it acceptable....

And in order to help your child to get into a good school is it acceptable ...% acceptable


Organized crime – popular pressure is particularly high in Croatia

11

Government against organised crime

4938 32 29 25

12 12

3545

4848 58

74 78

16 17 20 2317 14 10

Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo Albania Serbia BIH Croatia

Yes No DK/NA

Would you agree that the government is doing everything in its powers to fight organized crime?


On the road to the European Union

12


The majority feels welcomed by the EU

Do you think that the European Commission wants [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?


No perceived difficulties in the form of popular support of further enlargement…

Do you think that people in the European Union wants [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?


As Croats get closer to the date see more balanced

costs and benefits

Generally speaking, do you think that [COUNTRY]’s membership of the European Union WOULD BE a good thing, a bad thing, or neither good or bad?


Croats convinced that personally they would not benefit from the accession

16


The view of international community

17


Role of the international community over last 15-20 years

Thinking of the last 15-20 years taking everything into account overall how would you describe the International community’s role in [COUNTRY]?


Relative (dis)TRUST IN INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS

NATO > EU – Albania, – Kosovo – Macedonia

EU > NATO– Serbia– Croatia – Montenegro– BiH

19


Deep divisions within Macedonia

20


In your views what best describes the proceedings of the ICTY?

The reputation of the ICTY in the region


Satisfaction with government performance

22

Country Government ratings

2414 14

4 2 1 1

31

32 39

23

7

2415

1827

25

27

21

32

34

1623 18

43

67

33 44

114 4 3 4 10 5

Montenegro Macedonia Kosovo Albania BIH Serbia Croatia

Excellent Good Only fair Poor DK/NA

For each of the following levels of government, please indicate how good of a job the government does – excellent, good, only fair, or poor. [COUNTRY] GOVERNMENT


Majority sees a need for a new Constitution in Bosnia

23


But they mean different outcomes:

24


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