FDI Determinants & Risks on Host Economies
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A Review of the Literature on FDI Inflows
and Determinants and Risks on Host Economies
Abstract
This paper surveys the recent burgeoning literature that empirically examines the
Foreign direct investment (FDI) decisions of multinational companies (MNCs) and the resulting
Economic affect across the world. This paper is attempted to discuss the pro and con’s of current
debate on allowing foreign direct investment (FDI) in India’s retail trade which primarily focuses on
two issues – employment and consumer welfare. The supporters of the move have developed
consumer centric arguments while the opponents are more concerned with its adverse impact on
employment. In the process, some key areas of concern remain untouched Here, I have identified the
following few which deserve due attention of policy makers. A literature review, interviews and an
econometric analysis are carried out in order to examine FDI’s impact on the industry. The
contribution of the paper is to evaluate what we can say with relative confidence about FDI as a
profession, given the evidence, and what we cannot have much confidence in at this point.
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Acronyms FDI Foreign Direct Investment OCED Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development IMF International Monetary Fund IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development MNE Multi National Enterprise
INTRODUCTION A simple definition of FDI would be –“An investor based in one country acquires an
Asset in another country with the intent to manage that asset” (OECD, 2000).
FDI eludes definition owing to the presence of many authorities:OCED, IMF,IBRD and
UNCTAD. All these bodies attempt to illustrate the nature of FDI with certain measuring
methodologies.I observe that FDI refers to capital inflows from abroad that invest in the
production capacity of the host economy.I describe FDI as a source of economic development,
modernization, and employment generation, whereby the overall benefits (dependant on the
policies of the host government)
“Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows are usually preferred over other
Forms of external finance because they are non-debt creating, non-volatile and
Their returns depend on the performance of the projects financed by the
Investors. FDI also facilitates international trade and transfer of knowledge, Skills and technology.”1
Buckley & Casson 2 An MNE was defined as a firm that owns and controls activities in two or
more different countries.
I think FDI plays an extraordinary and growing role in global business. It can provide a MNE
with new markets and marketing channels, cheaper production facilities, access to new
technology, products, skills and financing. For a host country or the foreign firm (MNE) which
receives the investment, it can provide a source of new technologies, capital, processes, products,
organizational technologies and management skills, and as such can provide a strong impetus to
economic development. Foreign direct investment, in its classic definition, is defined as a
company from one country making a physical investment into building a factory in another
1 Planning Commission of India, 2002. Report of the Steering Group on Foreign Direct Investment:
Foreign
Investment India.[government report]. p 11. New Delhi: Planning Commission, Government of India. Accessed on June 10, 2005. Available at http://planningcommission.nic.in/aboutus/committee/strgrp/stgp_fdi.pdf. Internet.
2 Buckley & Casson The Future of the Multinational Enterprise (1976).
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country. The direct investment in buildings, machinery and equipment is in contrast with
making a portfolio investment, which is considered an indirect investment.
Literature review In my view all FDI is ‘endurance seeking’ as MNE’s have to survive in current competitive
global scenario otherwise they will perish.
Vertical Foreign Direct Investment takes place when a MNE owns some shares of a foreign
enterprise, which supplies input for it or uses the output produced by the MNE.
Horizontal foreign direct investments happen when a MNE carries out a similar business
operation in different nations.
Also, I think that FDI is not horizontal or vertical but linear as firms attain synergies through
dual operations.
Types of Foreign Direct Investment: An Overview
FDIs can be broadly classified into two types as given below. This classification is based on the
types of restrictions imposed, and the various prerequisites required for these investments.
outward FDIs
inward FDIs
In this review we will be concentrating on Inward FDI’s and its impact on economic growth
and the problems associated with it.
Different economic factors encourage inward FDIs. Laura Altinger 3These include interest
loans, tax breaks, grants, subsidies, and the removal of restrictions and limitations. I also
believe that factors detrimental to the growth of FDIs include necessities of differential
performance and limitations related with ownership patterns. I am also of the opinion that
Consistent economic growth, de-regulation, liberal investment rules, and operational
flexibility are all the factors that help increase the inflow of Foreign Direct Investment or
FDI.
Why MNE’s engage in FDI? Hymer (1959)4 was the first one to explore this
Phenomenon in his doctoral dissertation and stated ‘FDI as a means of transferring
tangible and intangible assets to organize international production.’
3 Laura Altinger 2010: FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, DOMESTIC INVESTMENT AND DEVELOPMENT:
ENHANCING PRODUCTIVE CAPACITIES P 14-15
4 Hymer, S. H. (1960): “The International Operations of National Firms: A Study of Direct Foreign
Investment”. PhD Dissertation. Published posthumously. The MIT Press, 1976. Cambridge, Mass.
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Global FDI Inflows before the economic downturn
UNCTAD 2006 5 Trends of FDI Inflows across different economies
European Union Inflows: During the year 2006 the foreign direct investment made in the
economically developed countries has been $800 million. This has been an improvement of 48%.
The amount of foreign direct investment made in the United Kingdom has also been on the
higher side compared to the previous years. The 25 members of the European Union have
received 45% of the total foreign direct investment made in the year 2006.
The foreign direct investment in the members of the Organization for Economic Co-operation
and Development has been far from being impressive. The foreign direct investments made in
these countries have been on a downward slope since 2003. This situation has been brought
about by the relatively unimpressive economic performance of the significant members of this
association in the recent times.
Africa Inflows: In African continent the FDI inflow has touched new heights recently it is
estimated that more than $38 billion has been invested in the recent years and this is a record in
itself. The recent increase in the inflows has happened owing to the increase in the FDI that is
being made in countries that have high oil and other natural resources.
Caribbean & Latin American Inflows: In the Caribbean and the Latin American region the
rate of foreign direct investment has been on the wane. Mexico and Brazil are the leading
countries in this region as far as foreign direct investment is concerned. The inflows have
increased by 6% in Brazil and in Mexico the rate has been steady. Chile has experienced a 48%
increase in the foreign direct investment being made in their country. This has been owing to the
fact that the mining industry of Chile has had the lion's share of the reinvested earnings.
However, the foreign direct investments made in Argentina and Chile had gone down by 30%
and 52% respectively. In the countries like Bolivia, Venezuela and Ecuador the governmental
stance towards the extractive industries has changed. They are now pushing for increased
revenues, as well as governmental control. This is expected to have a negative effect on the
investors.
5 World Investment Report:UNCTAD 2006 FDI from Developing and Transition Economies:
Implications for Development (from internet) http://www.unctad.org/en/docs//wir2006_en.pdf
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Asia and Oceania Inflows: In Asia and Oceania the FDI has been on the higher side. The figure
for 2006 was $230 billion and this was an improvement of 15% from 2005. China, Hong Kong
and Singapore have been the leading investment destinations in this area.
South Asian (India & China) Inflows: In the South Asian region, China and India have been
the leading investors. India has invested twice that what it did in 2005. India has also
experienced unprecedented levels of foreign direct investment in the country.
West Asian Inflows: In the West Asian region, countries like Turkey and others that have vast
oil reserves have also been receiving high foreign direct investment.
Developing countries are high beneficial of FDI when compared to developed countries.
I think MNE’s always look for developing economies.
“The most profound effect has been seen in developing countries, where yearly foreign direct
investment flows have increased from an average of less than $10 billion in the 1970’s to a
yearly average of less than $20 billion in the 1980’s, to explode in the 1990s from $26.7billion in
1990 to $179 billion in 1998 and $208 billion in 1999 and now comprise a large portion of global
FDI.. Driven by mergers and acquisitions and internationalization of production in a range of
industries, FDI into developed countries last year rose to $636 billion, from $481 billion in
1998” (Source: UNCTAD)
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I think from the above data collected from World Investment Report from 1989 to 2001 in the
both tables 3.1 and 3.2 indicate there is a substantial increase in FDI in developing countries
when compared to developed countries.
Global Trends in FDI Flows effected Due to Economic Downturn in recent years
The growth of FDI flows has hit in a big way in the recent years because of the Global economic
downturn which resulted in marking the end of FDI growth cycle which really started in 2004.
FDI flows reached a historic record of $1.8 trillion in 2007. Due to the impact of the ongoing
worldwide financial and economic crisis, FDI flows could declined by more than 20 per cent in
2008 and a further decrease in FDI flows happened in 2009, as the full consequences of the crisis
on MNE’s investment expenditures will continue to unfold.
I think that fall in global FDI flows in 2008–2009 was the result of two major factors affecting
domestic as well as international investment. First, the capability of firms to invest had been
reduced by a fall in access to financial resources, both internally – due to a decline in corporate
profits – and externally – due to lower availability and higher cost of finance. Second, the
propensity to invest had been affected negatively by economic prospects, especially in developed
countries that are hit by severe recession. The impact of both factors was compounded by the
fact that, as of early 2009, a very high level of risk perception was leading companies to
extensively curtail their costs and investment programmes in order to become more resilient to
any further deterioration of their business environment.
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UNCTAD 2009 Press release 6 confirms the instability in the financial sector and the global
economic slowdown. It also shows the uneven magnitude of the setback in international
investment among regions and industries. Developed countries were the most affected in 2008
whereas developing countries were affected badly in 1997 (such as the 1997 Asian crisis, see
UNCTAD, 1998) and had a significant negative influence on FDI inflows in a number of them
(such as Indonesia). The world economy is slowly regaining its momentum after universal
economic downturn and which in turn will help FDI inflows into different countries back to time
when it reached its peak in 2007.
Global FDI witnessed a modest, but uneven, recovery in the first half of 2010. Developing
and transition economies now absorb half of FDI.
RISKS of FDI on Host Economies
FDI in India’s retail Trade is Good or Bad to an Average Indian Consumer?
In this paper I will be comparing the pros and cons of allowing FDI in retailing in India and how
it affects the average Indian Consumer.
Though FDI retailing is still not allowed by Indian Government but there is a raging debate to
allow it or not. The supporters of FDI retailing in India base their arguments on consumer
6 See UNCTAD Press Release, “Global foreign direct investment now in decline – and estimated to have
fallen during 2008”, UNCTAD/PRESS/PR/2009/001.
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welfare whereas the opposing group of people is more concerned about the job losses if FDI is
allowed in retailing. This paper attempted to shed light on the issues which might help policy
makers to take a notice before making a final decision on whether to allow FDI retailing or not.
Guruswamy et al. (March, 2005)7 deliberated on this issue in detail and made an empirical
estimation of the future job losses, should the government allow entry of FDI in retail sector. The
estimated job loss ranged between 4,32.000 and 6,20,000.To analyze the effect of FDI on Indian
retail sector, I have made two different hypothesis of Indian economy in the next five years when
the level of FDI inflow is expected to increase and basing on the arguments of pro and con’s
allowing FDI retailing in India.
Hypothesis 1 – Assume if the economy grows at a faster rate, say like 10-12% or above and the benefits
of growth ‘travels/flows down’ the line (not “trickles down”) benefiting even the poorest of the poor.
Economic and social disparity reduces, which results in no difference between haves and have not’s
(‘poverty line’) becomes a topic of economic past, and purchasing power increases across different
economic classes and Human Development Index (HDI) improves substantially since people are
economically well off.
Hypothesis 2 – Assume if the economy grows at a faster rate, say like 10-12% or above but the benefits
of growth “trickles down” at a slower rate. Economic and social disparity widens, middle class and poorer
sections get marginalized resulting in big gap between have’s and have not’s, purchasing power of the
majority of the population does not improve, transition towards market economy becomes painful, and
there will be increase in “jobless growth”. The working class loses its bargaining strength and Human
Development Index (HDI) reduces substantially since majority of people are not economically well off
resulting in increase in crimes.
Hypothesis 1 gets approval from (ICRIER report 2005)8 recommends that FDI should be allowed
in retailing since it would speed up the growth of organized formats. The study found that
organized retailing has significant backward linkages by setting up of supply chains, investment
in food processing industry and manufacturing units, increased productivity of agriculture,
growth of interlinked sectors such as tourism and IT. Consumers have also gained from
organized retailing since it leads to lower prices, improves the quality of products and widens the
choice of products available to consumers.
ICRIER found in the report there would be only be mild effects on small shopkeepers found by
the ICRIER study is perhaps precisely the protectionist measures taken by Indian government
against foreign chains. I think that the local retail chains don’t have enough financial clout and
know how in order to drive a significant reduction in prices. Furthermore, I think it is reasonable
to think that the first wave of hypermarkets were open in rather well off areas, where lots of
customers are more sensible to choice then to price. I feel ICRIER has walked the rope rather
7 Mohan Guruswamy et al. 2005 : FDI in India’s Retail Sector More Bad than Good? February 12, The
Economic and Political Weekly, Mumbai.(internet find:
http://www.indiafdiwatch.org/fileadmin/India_site/CPAS_report.pdf)
8 ICRIER 2005 Survey report : Press release July 14,2005 can be obtained by the following link
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cautiously, of course based on this report. It feels there will be a slump but five years hence. In
all practicality, there is going to be a slump for mom-n-pop shops. The demographic conditions
on India are such that it cannot live without these shops. Agreed the buying power of the Indian
consumer has increased but that has not produced a serious shopper in him. Even today going to
mall is equated as a family outing in the Indian mentality.
Wal-Mart is the world’s largest retailer regardless which matrix you use to measure the size of
the retailer and they ventured into India with a joint venture with Bharati and one thing they can
not do right now is front end retail. Wal-Mart India-Bharati are trying to lobby with the Indian
government and urging them to allow FDI in retail which will result in 2 million more jobs by
2013 and also result in bringing down food inflation by 20 to 30 basis points and it also pointed
out that INDIA requires at least 21 billion dollars in infrastructure development in retail which
mom and pops and Indian retailers will be unable to invest. The government is reluctant to allow
foreign companies to enter front-end retail fearing it will lead to large scale closure of mom and
pops stores which is a large vote bank of any government .Even though I do agree with some
valid points raised by walmart-bharthi because the mom & pop stores will not be able to raise the
capital for infrastructure. As per one survey done by dept of agriculture recently it was found that
a large of fresh produce gets wasted when it goes through unorganized retail these days if the
FDI is allowed and big retailers like Wal-Mart enters the fray the fresh produce will not be
wasted. I think it is the classic battle between producers/sellers and consumers. In India millions
of consumers lose the battle because of few thousand mom-and-pop sellers in some instances. In
a free democracy like India, market alone should be allowed to determine who survives and who
does not. Moreover there is a political pressure on Indian Congress government from opposition
parties like Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Indian Communist and Marxist (CPI & CPM) are
very vocal against allowing FDI into retailing since most of the middle men and small time
retailers will be out of jobs and these parties wants to protect their vote bank are dead against the
FDI into retail.
So the Hypothesis 1 works only good when the If the social economic condition in the next five
years prevails in the same way as described in Hypothesis 1, issues like employment loss would
lose to attract much attention, as the expanding economy with better distributional equity would
be able to absorb such shocks. Moreover, with a general rise in purchasing power, consumer
would prefer more choices and better quality of products, which a modern retail chain would be
able to offer. In this context we must be concerned about the statement the Finance Minister,
Mr.P. Chidambaram, made while making the midyear review for 2004-05. “On retail, the review
notes that creating an effective supply chain from the producer to the consumer is critical for
development of many sectors, particularly processed and semi-processed agro-products. In this
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context, it says, the role that could be played by organized retail chains, including international
ones merits careful attention.”9
When I observe the recent social economic trends, the projection as per Hypothesis 2 is more
likely. If FDI is allowed in retailing as per the request of MNE’s, we will have, on one hand,
smaller spreads between “disorganized” and “organized” prices. On the other hand, customers
that put a premium on their time. In that respect, the small, close to home shops could survive as
a handy alternative at the end of a working day. I don’t believe these conditions could be
replicated further, as the retail chains will expand to poor areas.
I am not supporting protectionism. I simply doubt that further expanding the “organized” retail
will have so little effect on small shopkeepers and more over the small shop keepers have a very
good personal rapport with their consumers and most of the shopping is done by the Indian house
wife’s and most of them tend to go to mom and pop shops because they are easily accessible and
they get a good personal customer service. Moreover some of the Indian customers will have a
running debt with the regular mom and pops stores and they back whenever the consumer and
shopkeeper agreed upon this type of payment cannot be done with the regular big time retailers.
So Hypothesis 1 and ICRIER report 200510 confirm that FDI should be allowed in retailing and
this model works for the UK or Western Europe and may or may not work in India if FDI is
allowed in retailing because about 60% of India lives in the villages, to whom the supermarkets
are definitely not going to cater. The supermarkets are going to cater to the "middle class". But
what the "middle class" "and elite class” needs is not what India needs. Supermarkets are not a
pressing need; investment in infrastructure, compulsory primary education and basic universal
health care are what are required. But the fate of these corporations & their shareholders &
affiliates in India are not what should govern Indian policy. Indian policy should be focused on
the villages and the development of the village-dwellers.
As per (Kurten’s: When Corporations Rule the World)11 there is a no way Indian retailer will
ever be able to compete with the huge financial muscle of a Wall Mart or a Tesco. Thailand is a
country which went down the Tesco-Carrefour route & then realized what it had done to its mom
& pop stores. After all it is the welfare of these store-owners which should be the Indian
government's concern, not that of the shareholders of Wal-Mart, Tesco & Carrefour, which in all
likelihood are owned by Western mutual funds etc.
9 Review hints at FDI in retail, pp 1-15, Times of India, 14 Dec.2004
10 ICRIER 2005 Survey report : (Dr. Arpita Mukherjee, Ms. Nitisha Patel) Press release July 14,2005 can be
obtained by the following link (http://www.icrier.org/conference/2006/14july_05.html)
11 Korten's: When Corporations Rule the World & The Rise & Rise of Tesco 83
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The small Mom & Pop stores that capitalist & elitist hates is what brings a quick personal touch
to shopping. Huge malls are more interested in bottom lines. Local shops and merchants offer
services like home delivery, quick product procurement, and higher-salary/profit employment,
local investment, etc. Huge malls strip away the wealth to feed to their CEOs multi-million
dollars, pollute the local environment a lot, and when strip-mined bare, they close and go.
In India millions benefit from small shops which are quick to access, provide Door services
(unlike Wal-Mart), and quick to heed only to consumer wishes. A large Wal-Mart decides what
the customer must buy. A diverse small shop locality knows the customer is the king.
In this context, the experience of Thailand, which opened up its retail sector for FDI in the
1980s, could be an eye opener for us. The Thai government liberalized their trading sector which
resulted in European retail giants Tesco, Carrefour had set up their operations in Thailand. As
expected, many of the traditional retailers had to down their shutters unable to compete with
global firms in an unequal fight. For example, traditional traders controlled 74% of the retail
market in 1997 but by 2002, their share came down to 60%. Faced with severe criticism from
local retailers, the government announced that they would put control on large retail
establishments by imposing the zoning policy regulation. In 2002, the ‘Retail Business Act' was
enacted to control the expansion of foreign retailers. However, the Thai government changed
their decision on zoning regulation allegedly under pressure from European Commission (EC)
who had requested Thailand to open up their retail sector for foreign retailers.
India is a larger economy than Thailand with a mature political system. In the changed global
trading environment, to protect the interest of its small producers and workers how government
of India will be able to bargain with opposition political parties and MNE’s and parties affected
(small retailers) by its decisions to allow FDI in retail trade is another important issue that should
be monitored carefully.
FDI - Exploitation of Labor
Exploiting workers in poor countries and initiating a "race to the bottom" in environmental and
labor standards. The experience comes from countries like Singapore, China, Chile and Ireland
which demonstrate how foreign direct investment (FDI) - with its transfer of technical and
organizational innovations and best practices stimulate rapid growth in incomes for all members
of society. When international flows of capital falter there's evidence that the poor in developing
countries suffer the most. In an interview, World Bank President James D. Wolfensohn12
predicted that between 20,000 and 40,000 more children may die worldwide and some 10 million
more people may be condemned to live below the poverty line of one dollar a day because of the
global economic aftershocks.
12 Interview with president of world bank James D. Wolfensohn
http://discuss.worldbank.org/content/interview/detail/2058/
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The extent to which foreign investment can help or harm the poor largely depend upon what
governments and firms choose to do. Many multinational companies voluntarily adopt
environmental, social, and governance practices designed precisely to guard against abuse of the
environment and the workforce when they invest in developing countries. But governments in
developing countries should facilitate and encourage the transfer of this social and environmental
practice and maximize the benefits from FDI. A Government keen to ensure FDI is truly pro-
poor should follow the following points.
Climate change I believe, now many people accept as real the phenomenon of climate change, And there is a
long overdue in building it in as a factor in structural specifications and in regulation .Any
industry involving substantial open air storage of residues in ponds and lagoons need to take
account of the fact that the structures which in the past were quite adequate to withstand the
worst weather conditions of the last fifty or hundred years , may not be adequate to withstand the
conditions which may prevail in the ten years ahead. Those responsible for structure design and
regulation need to take note.
Vedanta, a British Mining Company 13has been criticized by human rights and activist groups,
including Survival International and Amnesty International, due to their operations in Niyamgiri
Hills in Orissa, India that are said to threaten the lives14 of the Dongria Kondh that populate this
region. The Niyamgiri hills are also claimed to be an important wildlife habitat in Eastern Ghats
of India as per a report by the Wildlife Institute of India as well as independent reports/studies
carried out by civil society groups. In January 2009, thousands of locals formed a human chain
around the hill in protest at the plans to start bauxite mining in the area.
Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment
What are the determinants of FDI?
One of the most important determinants of foreign direct investment is the size as well as the
growth prospects of the economy of the country where the foreign direct investment is being
made. It is normally assumed that if the country has a big market, it can grow quickly from an
economic point of view and it is concluded that the investors would be able to make the most of
their investments in that country. In case of foreign direct investments that are based on export,
the dimensions of the host country are important as there are opportunities for bigger economies
of scale, as well as spill-over effects. The population of a country plays an important role in
attracting foreign direct investors to a country. In such cases the investors are lured by the
13 Vedanta British Mining company http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vedanta_Resources
14 British mining company threatens sacred mountain
http://www.survivalinternational.org/tribes/dongria
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prospects of a huge customer base. Now if the country has a high per capita income or if the
citizens have reasonably good spending capabilities then it would offer the foreign direct
investors with the scope of excellent performances. The status of the human resources in a
country is also instrumental in attracting direct investment from overseas. There are certain
countries like China that have taken an active interest in increasing the quality of their workers.
The Chinese government has made it compulsory for every Chinese citizen to receive at least
nine years of education. This has helped in enhancing the standards of the laborers in China. If a
particular country has plenty of natural resources it always finds investors willing to put their
money in them. A good example would be Saudi Arabia and other oil rich countries that have
had overseas companies investing in them in order to tap the unlimited oil resources at their
disposal. Inexpensive labor force is also an important determinant of attracting foreign direct
investment. The BPO revolution, as well as the boom of the Information Technology companies
in countries like India has been a proof of the fact that inexpensive labor force has played an
important part in attracting overseas direct investment. Infrastructural factors like the status of
telecommunications and railways play an important part in having the foreign direct investors
come into a particular country. I observed that if the infrastructural facilities are properly in place
in a country then that country receives a substantial amount of foreign direct investment. If a
country has extended its arms to overseas investors and is also able to get access to the
international markets then it stands a better chance of getting higher amounts of foreign direct
investment.
Literature review on FDI determinants suggests that market size (Lall
et al, 200315), market growth rates (Jenson16, 2003), political stability (Anantaram17, 2004),
Corruption (Wei18, 2003), exchange rate (Crowley and Lee, 200319), labor productivity
(Ramamurti20, 2004), economic freedom (Lee21, 2005), infrastructure (Chantasasawat, 15 Lall, Sanjaya, “Foreign Direct Investment in South Asia”, Asian Development Review,
11:1, 103-119, 1993
16 Jenson, Nathan M., “Democratic Governance and Multinational Corporations: Political
Regimes and inflows of Foreign Direct investment.” International Organization, 57, 587-
616, 2003
17 Anantaram, Rajeev, “The Empirical Determinants of State-wise Foreign Direct
Investment in India: Evidence From The Reform Years (1991-2002)”, Doctoral
Dissertation, 2004
18 Wei, Wenhui, “Foreign Direct Investment in China”, Doctoral Dissertation, 2004
19 Crowley, P., and Lee, J., “Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Investment:
International Evidence”, International Trade Journal, 13:1-26, 2003
20 Ramamurti, R., “Developing Countries and MNC’s: extending and enriching the
research
agenda”, Journal of International Business Studies, 35,277-283, 2004
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2004), openness (Singh and Jun, 1995), human capital (Hsiao, 2001), and taxes affect
FDI flows to global markets.
Conclusions
The FDI debate has opened up many issues which deserve proper attention of the policy
makers before the retail sector is opened up to foreign investors. The findings and
deliberations in this paper reveal that unlike in other sectors, FDI in retail will have a
much wider impact on the economy. Essentially, organized global retail chains will break
the traditional symbiotic relationship that exists between small producers and small
retailers. Also, in the new retailing format, due to unequal terms of trade in a monopoly
like situation, small producers and suppliers are likely to suffer most.
21 Lee, Jim, “Cross Country Evidence On The Effectiveness Of Foreign Investment
Policies”, The International Trade Journal, Volume XIX, No.4, Winter 2005
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