Download - 1H 2014 Results

Transcript

1

Financial Results

1H 2014

Magnit at a Glance

Magnit at a Glance

As of 30.06.2014 Source: Company, Bloomberg, IFRS accounts for 1H2014 2

1 959Cities & Towns

№1Russian Food RetailChain by Revenueand Number of Stores

8 618Total Numberof Stores

3 189thous.sq.m.Selling Space

24DCs

5 697Trucks

Multi-format Business ModelComprising Convenience, Hypermarkets,“Magnit Family” Stores & Drogeries

№2Retailer in Europein MarketCapitalization $28bn Market

Capitalization >6% Share in RussianGrocery Sector

Shareholder Structure as of 1H2014

54,6%Free-float

38,7%Sergey Galitskiy, CEO

3,3%Other

3,4%Lavreno Ltd. (Cyprus)0,1%

Magnit at a Glance

Key Metrics

3*As of FY2013Source: IFRS accounts for 1H2014, Company’s Estimates

Guidance for 2014New Stores

349,0bn ($10,0bn) Revenue1H2014

5,61%

NetMargin

10,47%

EBITDAMargin

0,9

Net debt/LTM EBITDA

1,31%

DividendYield*

36%

PayoutRatio*

1 100 ConvenienceStores 80 Hyper-

markets 300-350 Drogeries

26-29%

RUR SalesGrowth

10,6-10,9%

EBITDAMargin

$1,7-1,8bn

Capex

P=

Magnit at a Glance

Strategy

4

Growth

Value Efficiency

Multi-format OrganicStore Growth

GeographicScope

Density of StoreCoverage

LowPrices

HighQuality

Assortment CostManagement

VerticalIntegration

Centralization

47

47%53%Discounters

22%

Supermarkets

14%

Hypermarkets

11%Traditional Stores

34%

Kiosks, Pavilions

8%

Open Markets

10%

Magnit at a Glance

Russian Food Retail Market

5

Market Composition by Format

7,3% FoodInflation $311bn Market

SizeFY 2013

% ModernRetailPenetration

Non-Modern Modern

Source: Sberbank CIB Estimates for FY2013

Magnit at a Glance

Magnit vs Peers

6Source: As of 2013; Companies, Infoline, Bloomberg, Magnit’s Estimates;

Numberof Stores

Selling Spacethous. sq.m.

RevenueRUR bn

Market CapUS$ bn

Market Share%

8 093

4 544

1 799

94

87

79

72

Magnit

XS

Dixy

Okey

Lenta

Auchan

Metro

3 011

2 223

617

489

508

740

564

579,7

532,7

180,5

139,5

144,3

287,4

183,2

26,5

4,6

1,6

3,2

n/a

n/a

n/a

6

5

2

1

1

2

2

778Drogeries

7 614Convenience Stores

169Hypermarkets

57Magnit Family

24Distribution Centers 1 5 7 6 1 2 2

51 211 170 221 68 45

12

2 15 12 19 2 5 2

6 51 27 54 10 19

2

322

1 452 1 931 2 446 658 658

147

Operational Overview

Geographical Coverage

7Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

1 959 Cities& Towns

7 FederalDistricts

North Caucasus

Southern Volga North West

Urals SiberiaCentral

Operational Overview

Logistics System

8Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

8 618Total Numberof Stores

707thous.sq.m.Warehousing Space

24DCs

5 697Trucks

7

6

5

2

1

1

2

Central

Volga

Southern

Urals

North Caucasus

North West

Siberia

2589

2548

1779

759

329

450

164

273,346

147,883

111,832

92,782

34,503

21,060

26,064

Centralization Ratio%

Magnit

Outsourced

89

11

92

8

Convenience Stores

1H2014 Future Targets

Magnit

Outsourced

71

29

80

20

Hypermarkets

Operational Overview

Suppliers

9Source: Company, as of December 31, 2013

5000DomesticSuppliers

4000Local Suppliers

1000Federal Suppliers

Assortment

55-60% 40-45%

200 Big InternationalCorporations

Operational Overview

Direct Import

10Source: Company,

Direct Import – as of FY2013; Private Label - as of June 30, 2014

12% Shareof Revenue627 PL

SKUsM 86% FoodItems

Private Label

10% InternationalDirect Import 800 Open

Contracts

Operational Overview

Employees

11Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

229 272 Employees 0ForeignWorkers

27 376AverageMonthlySalary 10% Wage Rate

IncreaseP=

161 438In-storePersonnel

42 144People Engagedin Distribution

17 034People in RegionalBranches

8 656People Employedby Head Office

1000 employees

Average Weighted Number of Employees – 197 251

Operational Overview

Competitive Attributes

12

35% of FamilyBudgetSpent on Food

Location Quality(of Products)

Assortment Reliability AtmospherePrices

5 000 People —MinimumPopulation

(1 500–1 600 Families)

4 000-9 500MonthlyFamily FoodBudget

P=Overlap “Good”Cannibalization

Magnit #1

Magnit #2

500m

Competitor #1 Competitor #2

Competitor #3

500m

Sales Catchment Area

Source: Company’s Estimates

Convenience Store

Operational Overview

Convenience Store

14Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

458 sq.m.Total

320 sq.m.Selling Space

89% Food

11% Non-food

29% Owned

71% Leased

Format Description Key Operational Statistics OpeningSize of the Store Average Ticket Payback

Store Ownership Structure

Sales Mix

Traffictickets/sq.m./day

Sales Densitysales/sq.m./year

LFL 1H2014-1H2013,%

217,1P=$6,2

214 746P=$6 743

7,23 AverageTicket, RUR

1,90 Traffic

9,26 Sales

2,9

3 years

If Leased

If Owned

Cost of New Storeper sq.m. of Total Space

Time to Maturity

6 months

Owned $1 100-2 800 Leased $250-500

4-6 years

Hypermarket

Operational Overview

Hypermarket

16Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

81% Food

19% Non-food

85% Owned

15% Leased

Format Description Key Operational StatisticsSize of the Store Average Ticket

Store Ownership Structure

Sales Mix

Traffictickets/sq.m./day

Sales Densitysales/sq.m./year

LFL 1H2014-1H2013,%

566,7P=$16,2

248 649P=$7 807

1,3

7 058 sq.m.Total

2 985 sq.m.Selling Space

6,37 AverageTicket, RUR

5,55 Traffic

12,28 Sales

OpeningPayback

6-9 years

Cost of New Storeper sq.m. of Total Space

Owned $1 700-2900Leased $700-900

8-15 months

Time to Maturity

S: up to 3 000M: 3 000-6 000L: over 6 000

Magnit Family

Operational Overview

Magnit Family

18Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

2 297 sq.m.Total

1 176 sq.m.Selling Space

85% Food

15% Non-food

40% Owned

60% Leased

Format Description Key Operational Statistics OpeningSize of the Store Average Ticket Payback

Store Ownership Structure

Sales Mix

Traffictickets/sq.m./day

Sales Densitysales/sq.m./year

LFL 1H2014 -1H2013,%

396,8P=$11,3

330 110P=$10 365

2,3

6-9 years

Cost of New Storeper sq.m. of Total Space

Owned $2 000-2 600Leased $800-1 400

8-15 months

7,51 AverageTicket, RUR

9,96 Traffic

18,22 Sales

Time to Maturity

Drogerie

Operational Overview

Drogerie

20Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014

314 sq.m.Total

236 sq.m.Selling Space

100% Non-food

28% Owned

72% Leased

Format Description Key Operational Statistics OpeningSize of the Store Average Ticket Payback

Store Ownership Structure

Sales Mix

Traffictickets/sq.m./day

Sales Densitysales/sq.m./year

LFL 1H2014 – 1H2013,%

243,3P=$7,0

74 532P=$2 340

3,05 AverageTicket, RUR

45,11 Traffic

49,54 Sales

1,0

3 years

If Leased

If Owned

Cost of New Storeper sq.m. of Total Space

Time to Maturity

6 months

Owned $800-2 500Leased $200-450

4-6 years

Sizeof the Store

sq.m.

AverageTicket

TrafficTickets/sq.m./day

DensitySales/

sq.m./year

SalesMix

LFL 1H2014-1H2013

%

Store Owner-ship Structure

PaybackYears

Cost of New Store

per sq.m.of Total Space

Timeto Maturity

Months

• Total• Selling Space

• Food• Non-food

• Av.ticket• Traffic/ Sales

• Owned• Leased

28%72%

40%60%

85%15%

29%71%

Operational Overview

Format Summary

21Source: Company, as of June 30, 2014; * Excludes selling space designated for leases

Hypermarket

Drogerie

MagnitFamily

458

7 058

314

2 297

320

2985*

236

1 176

Owned $1 100-2 800

Leased $ 250-500

2,9

1,3

1,0

2,3

P.217,1$6,2

P.566,7$16,2

P.243,3$7,0

P.396,8$11,3

P.214 746$6 743

P.248 649$7 807

P.74 532$2 340

P.330 110$10 365

81%19%

100%

85%15%

89%11%

Conveniencestore

6

8-15

6

8-15

3 (if leased)

6-9

3 (if leased)

6-9

4-6 (if owned)

4-6 (if owned)

7,23

6,37

3,05

7,51

1,90

5,55

45,11

9,96

9,26

12,28

49,54

18,22

Owned$1 700-2 900

Leased$ 700-900

Owned$800-2 500

Leased$200-450

Owned$2 000-2 600

Leased$800-1 400

Financial Overview

Summary P&L

Source: Reviewed IFRS accounts for 1H2013 – 1H2014Please note: there may be small variations in calculation of totals, subtotals, and/or percentage change due to rounding of decimals 22

USD MMUSD MMUSD MMUSD MM 1H20131H20131H20131H2013 1H20141H20141H20141H2014 1H2013 / 1H20141H2013 / 1H20141H2013 / 1H20141H2013 / 1H2014YYYY----oooo----Y GrowthY GrowthY GrowthY Growth

Net salesNet salesNet salesNet sales 8 796,438 796,438 796,438 796,43 9 978,599 978,599 978,599 978,59 13,4%

Cost of sales (6 398,47) (7 201,70) 12,6%

Gross profitGross profitGross profitGross profit 2 397,962 397,962 397,962 397,96 2 776,892 776,892 776,892 776,89 15,8%

Gross margin, % 27,26% 27,83%

SG&A (1 518,88) (1 760,15) 15,9%

Other income/(expense) 10,86 27,32 151,5%

EBITDAEBITDAEBITDAEBITDA 889,94889,94889,94889,94 1 044,881 044,881 044,881 044,88 17,4%

EBITDA margin,% 10,12% 10,47%

Depreciation & amortization (217,72) (242,70) 11,5%

EBITEBITEBITEBIT 672,22672,22672,22672,22 802,19802,19802,19802,19 19,3%

Net finance costs (72,15) (80,69) 11,8%

Profit before tax 600,07 721,50 20,2%

Taxes (131,15) (161,52) 23,2%

Effective tax rate 21,86% 22,39%

Net incomeNet incomeNet incomeNet income 468,91468,91468,91468,91 559,99559,99559,99559,99 19,4%

Net margin, % 5,33% 5,61%

Financial Overview

Revenue & Costs

23Source: IFRS accounts for 1H2012 – 1H2014

25,6

27,3 27,8

9,9 10,1 10,5

5,0 5,3 5,6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1H2012 1H2013 1H2014

Revenue DynamicsUSD mn

Net Income DynamicsUSD mn

Margin DynamicsSG&A Expense Structure

Revenue — 9 979 USD mnGrossMargin

EBIDTAMargin

NetMargin

%

+29,8%

8,8% 10,6%

+13,4%+38,0%

+19,4%

LFLLFL

Sales Growth, USD

Sales Growth, USD

6 7768 796 9 979

1H2012 1H2013 1H2014

340

469560

1H2012 1H2013 1H2014

20%

2 002 USD mn

1,88 (0,38) ― Packaging & Raw Materials

1,77 (0,36) ― Repair & Maintenance

55,18 (11,07) ― Payroll & Related Taxes

2,09 (0,42)― Taxes, Other than Income Tax

12,08 (2,42) ― Deprecation & Amortization

20,67 (4,15) ― Rent & Utilities

6,33 (1,26) ― Other

in SG&A,% in Revenue, %

25,6127,26

27,83-0,11 -0,01 -0,031,77 0,26 0,34

15

17

19

21

23

25

27

29

31

33

GM1H2012

Trading Margin Transport Losses GM1H2013

Trading Margin Transport Losses GM1H2014

Financial Overview

Gross Margin Bridge

24Source: IFRS accounts for 1H2012 – 1H2014

EBITDA Margin Bridge

% of Sales

% of Sales

+165 b.p.+57 b.p.

+22 b.p. +35 b.p.

9,90 10,12 10,47-1,00-0,35 -0,05 -0,03

-0,19 -0,241,65

0,57 0,21

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

EBIDTA1H2012

GrossMargin

Salaries Rent & Utilites Repair &Maintenance

Other EBIDTA1H2013

GrossMargin

Rent & Utilites Advertising Other EBIDTA1H2014

Financial Overview

Free Cash Flow

25Source: IFRS accounts for 1H2013 – 1H2014

Working Capital Analysis

The Average Days Payable to Suppliers is 36 Days.

Inventory Management Days is 44 Days

Working Capital: -120 mn USD as of 30.06.2014

USD mn

1H2013

1H2014

Adjusted for loss from disposal of PPE, provision for doubtful receivables, foreign exchange gain, finance costs, gain on disposal of subsidiary and investment income

Calculated as additions + transfers of PP&E during the respective period

Does not include cash flow from financing activities

1 056

945

364

-64

-87-111

-581

-245

-183

87

AdjustedEBIDTA

Change inWorkingcapital

Net InterestExpense

TaxesPaid

OCF Capex Other CashFlowfrom

InvestingActivities

FCF Payment ofDividents

Other CashFlowfrom

FinancingActivities

CF

901755

103

-130

-63 -100-666

-158

17

14

-75

Financial Overview

Balance Sheet

Source: Audited IFRS accounts for FY2012 – 1H2014Please note: there may be small variations in calculation of totals, subtotals, and/or percentage change due to rounding of decimals 26

USD MMUSD MMUSD MMUSD MM 2012201220122012 2013201320132013 1H20141H20141H20141H2014

ASSETS ASSETS ASSETS ASSETS

Property plant and equipment 5 226,8 5 962,8 6 144,5

Other non-current assets 130,0 176,1 169,5

Cash and cash equivalents 410,0 181,2 110,9

Inventories 1 350,7 1 713,9 1 769,4

Trade and other receivables 19,2 19,3 16,0

Advances paid 88,1 96,9 70,5

Taxes receivable 1,0 0,9 2,5

Short-term financial assets 28,9 35,1 41,9

Prepaid expenses 6,0 7,7 6,5

TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL ASSETS 7 260,7 7 260,7 7 260,7 7 260,7 8 193,9 8 193,9 8 193,9 8 193,9 8 331,7 8 331,7 8 331,7 8 331,7

EQUITY AND LIABILITIES EQUITY AND LIABILITIES EQUITY AND LIABILITIES EQUITY AND LIABILITIES

Equity 3 267,3 3 854,7 4 070,1

Long-term debt 1 259,2 1 144,0 1 618,4

Other long-term liabilities 202,8 258,6 270,5

Trade and other payables 1 413,1 1 471,8 1 489,9

Short-term debt 827,1 1 109,7 394,8

Dividends payable - - -

Other current liabilities 291,2 355,1 488,0

TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIESTOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIESTOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIESTOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 7 260,7 7 260,7 7 260,7 7 260,7 8 193,9 8 193,9 8 193,9 8 193,9 8 331,7 8 331,7 8 331,7 8 331,7

Financial Overview

Capex Analysis

27¹CAPEX for 1H2014 amounts to $581 mnSource: Company, as of December 31, 2013; Company’s Estimates

Construction in Progress & Buildings

Machinery & Equipment

Other Assets Land Acquisition of Subsidiaries

906 362 258 68 53

FY2013¹

$1,647 bn

FY2014 (plan)

$1,775 bn

Hyper Markets Trucks Distribution Centres

Convenience Stores

Acquisition & Construction of Conv.Stores

Buy-out of Leased Conv.Stores

Greenhouses Land for HyperMarkets

Store Renovation

Maintenance Drogeries

80 400 4 1 100 350

700 85 240 220 140 60 100 50 50 30 100

Financial Overview

Debt Burden

28Source: IFRS accounts for FY2012 – 1H2014

11,7

13,012,2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2012 2013 1H2014

1,11

0,9

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2012 2013 1H2014

Debt Level DynamicsUSD mn

Credit Metrics Credit Profile

EBIDTA / Finance Expenses

Net Debt / LTM EBITDA

The Company Hasan Impeccable Credit History

Collaboration with

the Largest Banks

Low Debt Burden:Net Debt / EBITDA Ratio of 0,9

No Currency Risk: No Currency Risk: No Currency Risk: No Currency Risk: 100%of Debt is Rub DenominatedMatching Revenue Structure

No Interest Rate Risk:No Interest Rate Risk:No Interest Rate Risk:No Interest Rate Risk:Interest Payments are Madeat Fixed Rates

2 0862 254

2 013

1 676

2 0731 902

827

1 110

395

1 2591 144

1 618

2012 2013 1H2014

Net DebtShort-term DebtLong-term Debt%

39,6%49,2%

19,6%

80% 80% 80% 80% of Debt is Long-term

Approximately 38%38%38%38%of LT Debt is Rub Bonds