Download - 1 WMO First DPM Coordination Meeting Global results of the WMO Country-Level DPM Survey: Preliminary analysis of current capacities, gaps and needs of.

1

WMO First DPM Coordination MeetingWMO First DPM Coordination Meeting

Global results of the WMO Country-Level Global results of the WMO Country-Level DPM Survey: Preliminary analysis of current DPM Survey: Preliminary analysis of current capacities, gaps and needs of WMO Memberscapacities, gaps and needs of WMO Members

Item 3.0 Item 3.0 ByBy

Maryam Golnaraghi, Chief of DPM Programme Maryam Golnaraghi, Chief of DPM Programme

December 4, 2006 December 4, 2006

2

Issues Discussed in This PresentationIssues Discussed in This Presentation

• Preliminary Analysis of WMO Country-level Survey - Global

• Intro to Preliminary Analysis of WMO Country-level Survey - Regional

• Status of Regional-Level DPM Survey

• Seven primary Gap Areas

3

Mapping of Capacities, Gaps and NeedsMapping of Capacities, Gaps and Needs Country-level DPM Survey (Doc. 2) Country-level DPM Survey (Doc. 2)

• Issues considered– Key hazards

– National DRM governance and NMHS organizational structure

– NMHS technical capacities

– Partnerships and collaborations

– Major gaps and needs

• Survey designed too enable objective analysis for any regions, sub regions, country groupings, etc

• Launched in March 2006• 139 Responses received • An electronic database has been developed with

statistical analysis interface

4

Preliminary results of the WMO Preliminary results of the WMO country-level DPM survey country-level DPM survey

GlobalGlobal

5

Responses to the WMO Country-Level DPM Survey Responses to the WMO Country-Level DPM Survey

139 out of 187 Members (74 %) responded

24/5254 %

25/3474 %

10/1283 %

18/2282 %

14/1974 %

44/4892 %

Developing countries:

85/13754 %

Least developed countries:

25/5050 %

6

Ranking of the hazards Ranking of the hazards from the country-level surveyfrom the country-level survey

HIGHIMPACTS

LOWIMPACTS

HazardGlobal

(out of 139)Strong winds 119Flash flood 105Thunderstorm or lightning 103Drought 101River flooding 101Forest or wild land fire 81Earthquakes 75Heat wave 72Landslide or mudslide 70Hailstorm 69Hazards to aviation 67Dense fog 62Coastal flooding 56Tropical cyclone 56Heavy snow 53Cold wave 52Smoke, Dust or Haze 50Storm surge 48Waterborne hazards 47Tornado 45Marine hazards 43Avalanche 36Freezing rain 36Airborne substances 35Tsunami 35Volcanic events 29Desert locust swarm 27Sandstorm 27

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Understanding of Benefits of NMHSs Understanding of Benefits of NMHSs at Ministerial Levelat Ministerial Level

• 108/134 indicate low visibility of NMHS within government a major hurdle to NMHS contribution to DRM

• 124/132 indicate lack of ministerial understanding of benefits of hydro-met services to DRM a limiting factor

• 72/131 indicate national legislation and policies do not reflect role of NMHSs in DRM

8

Number of Countries Keeping Data ArchivesNumber of Countries Keeping Data Archives

• Very few countries maintain impact databases

• Need for strengthening NMHS capacities for hazard data archiving and maintaining standard databases

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140 Data Archived Impacts data (loss of life + economic losses)

HIGHIMPACT

LOWIMPACT

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Number of Countries Issuing WarningsNumber of Countries Issuing WarningsHIGH

IMPACTLOWIMPACT

Warnings could be significantly enhanced through strengthening of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services' capacities

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140NMS NHS Combined Service Other

10

Contributions of NMHSs to key sectors Contributions of NMHSs to key sectors relevant to Disaster Risk Managementrelevant to Disaster Risk Management

DRM Would open new Users for NMHSs products and Services

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Transp

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Safet

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Health

Food s

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wat

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Sanita

tion

45%39 %

55 %50 %

11

Limiting factors of NMHSs in their Limiting factors of NMHSs in their contribution to disaster risk managementcontribution to disaster risk management

Most critical factors limiting contributions of NMHSs to disaster risk management (number of positive responses / number of responses)

GLOBAL (out of 139 responses)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

(out of 85 responses)

LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES


Africa - RA I (out of 28

responses)

Asia - RA II (out of 25

responses)

South America - RA

III (out of 10

responses)

Central and North

America and the

Caribbean - RA IV


South-West Pacific -

RA V (out of 14

responses)

Europe - RA VI


Visibility and recognition of NMHSs within the Government as one of the main contributing agencies to disaster risk reduction

108/134 67/83 19/24 24/26 16/24 8/10 15/18 10/14 35/42

Understanding at the ministerial level of the socio-economic benefits of hydrometeorological products and services

124/132 80/83 23/24 26/26 21/24 10/10 18/18 12/14 37/40

National disaster risk reduction organizational structures 49/132 27/82 10/24 4/26 9/24 2/10 11/18 6/13 17/41

Lack of understanding by governmental authorities of the value that NMHSs provides

82/130 53/80 16/23 18/24 11/24 6/9 13/18 9/14 25/41

Legislation or policies regarding the role of the National Meteorological and Hydrological Service in DRR

72/131 51/81 15/23 16/24 12/24 6/10 12/18 6/14 20/41

Observing networks for hydro-meteorological conditions 91/129 64/80 19/22 21/24 15/24 10/10 15/16 10/14 20/41

Resources for the maintenance of the observing networks 95/131 66/82 21/23 23/25 14/24 9/10 17/18 8/14 24/40

Value-added services in support of hydrometeorological risk assessment

114/127 74/79 20/21 24/25 17/23 9/9 17/17 13/13 34/40

Resources and infrastructure to deliver products and services

105/114 71/75 21/21 26/27 17/19 7/8 15/15 11/12 29/33

Operational forecasting and warning services 119/128 78/79 22/23 26/26 21/23 9/9 16/16 12/13 35/41

Readiness level system to ensure appropriate response by authorities to the levels of information issued by NMHSs

106/126 73/81 20/23 21/24 20/24 9/10 16/17 11/13 29/38

Collaboration and coordination with the WMO Regional Specialized Meteorological Centres

100/130 71/81 22/24 26/27 20/24 8/9 11/16 9/14 26/40

Linkages with other organizations involved in disaster risk reduction

68/133 52/82 17/24 23/27 9/23 4/10 11/17 7/14 14/42

Coordination with neighboring or adjacent countries 115/132 77/82 22/23 26/27 18/22 10/10 16/18 11/14 34/41

Forecaster training 74/131 57/80 18/24 19/25 12/24 8/10 12/17 8/14 15/41

Joint training between NMHS staff and disaster risk managers

91/132 66/83 22/24 26/26 13/24 8/10 13/17 8/14 23/41

Joint training between NMHS staff and media 90/135 66/84 20/24 26/27 11/24 7/10 15/18 8/14 23/42

Joint training between NMHS staff and emergency authorities and managers

89/133 65/83 20/24 25/26 15/24 8/10 12/17 8/14 21/42

Educational modules that NMHSs could target at Media, Public, disaster risk reduction authorities

117/134 77/84 22/24 27/27 18/24 9/10 18/18 12/14 33/41

Public understanding of the effects of hazards 111/133 73/83 21/23 25/26 18/24 9/10 15/18 12/14 32/41

public understanding of warnings 109/133 71/83 22/23 25/26 18/24 8/10 15/18 12/14 31/41

12

Areas in which WMO's global and regional efforts could Areas in which WMO's global and regional efforts could enhance NMHSs' contribution to disaster risk managementenhance NMHSs' contribution to disaster risk management

StatementGlobal

139 /187

Developing Countries85 / 137

LDC25 / 50

Technology transfer, capacity building, technical guidelines and technical trainings (e.g. forecasting tools and methodologies, hazard mapping, and other inputs to risk assessment tools, etc.)

1 1 1

Provision of technical advice and specifications (e.g. to enhance observing networks, operational infrastructures, relevant products and services for disaster risk reduction applications)

2 2 2

Education, training and public outreach programs in disaster risk reduction (e.g. targeted at National Meteorological and Hydrological Service and their stakeholders) 3 4 7

Advocacy for enhanced visibility of National Meteorological and Hydrological Service’ in the area of disaster risk reduction 4 5 4

Cost benefit analysis of hydro-meteorological services in disaster risk reduction5 6 5

Strengthening strategic partnerships with stakeholders (e.g. disaster risk managers, media, etc.) 6 8 8

Assist members in the development of the national disaster risk reduction plans7 3 3

Strengthening strategic partnerships with other technical organizations and agencies (e.g. meteorology, hydrology, ocean services, etc.) 8 9 9

Resource mobilization9 7 6

Establishment of regional emergency protocols for the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services in support of each other in case of disruption of services due to the impact of a disaster

10 10 10

13

Seven Gap Areas (Clarification Doc. 2)Seven Gap Areas (Clarification Doc. 2)GA 1 Mainstreaming NMHS and their technical capacities in the national

disaster risk management and development planning and legislation

GA 2 Strengthening capacities for hazard monitoring, maintenance of standardized databases, and methodologies for hazard analysis in support of risk management applications

GA 3 Strengthening capacities for end-to-end operational hazard early detection and warnings supported by strong governance, organizational and operational capacities

GA 4 Strengthening capacities for provision of meteorological services in support of pre- and post-disaster emergency response and relief operations

GA 5 Facilitation of partnerships among NMHSs and other key national agencies for a more coordinated approach to DRM

GA 6 Strengthening educational and training programmes of NMHSs and their key stakeholders in DRM such as authorities, emergency response operators and media

GA 7 Development of public outreach programmes and materials

14

Preliminary results of the WMO Preliminary results of the WMO country-level DPM survey country-level DPM survey

Regional Regional (Results will be covered in the afternoon session)(Results will be covered in the afternoon session)

15

Patterns of casualties by natural Patterns of casualties by natural hazards in WMO Regionshazards in WMO Regions

16

Patterns of economic losses by natural Patterns of economic losses by natural hazards in WMO Regionshazards in WMO Regions

17

Casualties by natural hazards Casualties by natural hazards in WMO Regionsin WMO Regions

People killed by natural hazards, 1980-2005 (thousands of casualties)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

RA I RA II RA III RA IV RA V RA VI

Epidemic,famine

Tsunami

Volcano

Earthquake

Windstorm

Wild Fires

Slides

Flood

ExtremeTemperature

Drought

702

893

255

110

299

84

18

Economic losses by natural hazards Economic losses by natural hazards in WMO Regionsin WMO Regions

Economic losses by natural hazards, 1980-2005 (billion USD)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200


Epidemic,famine

Tsunami

Volcano

Earthquake

Windstorm

Wild Fires

Slides

Flood

ExtremeTemperature

Drought

20

0.9

42

5258

188

19

Results will be reviewed during the Results will be reviewed during the afternoon session Day 1 afternoon session Day 1

Regional Analysis Confirm Same Seven Regional Analysis Confirm Same Seven Gap Areas Gap Areas

20

WMO Regional-Level WMO Regional-Level DPM SurveyDPM Survey

Launched in October 2006Launched in October 2006

DPM Working Groups of Regional AssociationsDPM Working Groups of Regional Associations

21

Regional-level DPM survey is being implemented by RA Regional-level DPM survey is being implemented by RA Working Group on DPM to address issues related to:Working Group on DPM to address issues related to:

i) Providing information on initiatives through various economic groupings and agencies to develop regional strategic plans for implementing the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA)

ii) Strengthening regional capacity’s in disaster risk management

iii) Identification and prioritization of hazards that pose the greatest risk resulting in a need for cross boundary / sub-regional / regional collaboration and cooperation

iv) Understanding the current capacities and activities in the region in support of disaster risk management, and how these regional capacities and activities support these focus areas, including the projects underway through the working groups of the Regional Association

v) Identification of gaps and needs and cross-boundary challenges for enhancing capacities in support of disaster risk management

vi) Regional priorities with respect to addressing these gaps and needs

vii) Identification of existing and potential future partnerships and concrete project areas of the regional association with other agencies involved in disaster risk reduction.

viii) Prioritization of activities / projects in support of Members capacities in disaster risk management in your Regional Association.

22

Thank youThank you

23

Supporting slidesSupporting slides

24

Seven Gap Areas (Clarification Doc. 2)Seven Gap Areas (Clarification Doc. 2)GA 1 Mainstreaming NMHS and their technical capacities in the national

disaster risk management and development planning and legislation

GA 2 Strengthening capacities for hazard monitoring, maintenance of standardized databases, and methodologies for hazard analysis in support of risk management applications

GA 3 Strengthening capacities for end-to-end operational hazard early detection and warnings supported by strong governance, organizational and operational capacities

GA 4 Strengthening capacities for provision of meteorological services in support of pre- and post-disaster emergency response and relief operations

GA 5 Facilitation of partnerships among NMHSs and other key national agencies for a more coordinated approach to DRM

GA 6 Strengthening educational and training programmes of NMHSs and their key stakeholders in DRM such as authorities, emergency response operators and media

GA 7 Development of public outreach programmes and materials

25

Patterns of disasters by natural Patterns of disasters by natural hazards in WMO Regionshazards in WMO Regions

26

Disasters by natural hazards Disasters by natural hazards in WMO Regionsin WMO Regions

Disaster by natural hazards, 1980-2005 (events)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000


Epidemic,famine

Tsunami

Volcano

Earthquake

Windstorm

Wild Fires

Slides

Flood

ExtremeTemperature

Drought

1516

2557

785 769

1240

1002

27

Disasters (events) by natural hazards Disasters (events) by natural hazards in WMO Regionsin WMO Regions

Volcano0.6%

Tsunami0.3%

Epidemic, famine, insects39%

Wild Fires 1.1%

Windstorm 9%

Earthquake3%

Drought18%

Extreme Temperature

0.7%

Flood 27%

Slides 1.3%

RA IRA I

Slides 4%

Flood 35%

Extreme Temperature

11%Drought4%

Earthquake11%

Windstorm 22%

Wild Fires 8%

Epidemic, famine, insects

5%

Volcano0.5%

GlobalGlobal

Slides 7%

Flood 32%

Extreme Temperature

4%

Drought4%

Earthquake10%

Windstorm 30%

Wild Fires 2%


9%

Tsunami0.7%

Volcano1%

Slides 14%

Flood 43%

Extreme Temperature

3%Drought

6%

Earthquake14%

Windstorm 8%

Wild Fires 3%


6%

Tsunami0.4%

Volcano3%

Slides 6%

Flood 32%

Extreme Temperature

2.1%

Drought5%

Earthquake9%

Windstorm 34%

Wild Fires 2.0%


6%

Tsunami0.3%

Volcano4%

Slides 6%

Flood 23%

Extreme Temperature

0.4%

Drought3%

Earthquake11% Windstorm

40%

Wild Fires 3%


6%

Tsunami1.5%

Volcano7%

Slides 4%

Flood 35%

Extreme Temperature

11%Drought4%

Earthquake11%

Windstorm 22%

Wild Fires 8%


5%

Volcano0.5%

RA IIRA II

RA IIIRA III RA IVRA IV

RA VRA V RA VIRA VI

28

Casualties by natural hazards Casualties by natural hazards in WMO Regionsin WMO Regions

Volcano0.28%

Tsunami0.04%


Windstorm 0.5%

Earthquake1.0%

Drought80%

Flood 2%

Volcano2.5%

Tsunami11%


Wild Fires 0.06%Windstorm

13%

Earthquake14%

Drought28%

Extreme Temperature3.4%

Flood 9%

Slides 0.9%

Slides 1%

Flood 12%

Extreme Temperature

1.8%

Drought0.23%

Earthquake23%

Windstorm 25%

Wild Fires 0.05%


Tsunami7%

Slides 6%

Flood 17%

Extreme Temperature

0.4%

Drought0.01%

Earthquake62%

Windstorm 0.5%

Wild Fires 0.02%


6%

Tsunami0.04%

Volcano9%

Slides 2.0%

Flood 36%


Drought0.04%

Earthquake13%

Windstorm 26%

Wild Fires 0.02%

Epidemic, famine, insects1.8%

Tsunami0.003%

Volcano20%

Volcano8%

Tsunami57%


4%

Wild Fires 0.13%

Windstorm 13%

Earthquake11%

Drought3%

Extreme Temperature

0.01%

Flood 3%

Slides 1.3%


0.5%

Wild Fires 0.4%

Windstorm 2%

Earthquake33% Extreme

Temperature59%

Flood 3%

Slides 1.8%

RA IRA I

GlobalGlobal

RA IIRA II

RA IIIRA III

RA IVRA IV

RA VRA V

RA VIRA VI

29

Economic losses by natural hazards Economic losses by natural hazards in WMO Regionsin WMO Regions

Tsunami0.15%

Epidemic, famine, insects0.49%

Wild Fires 0.05%Windstorm

15%

Earthquake54%

Drought15%


Flood 16%

Slides 0.4%

Flood 28%

Extreme Temperature

1.8%

Drought5%

Earthquake24%

Windstorm 38%

Wild Fires 2.45%

Tsunami1%

Slides 0.3%

Flood 41%

Extreme Temperature

0.7%

Drought3%

Earthquake35%

Windstorm 19%

Wild Fires 0.4%

Tsunami0.7%

Volcano2%

Tsunami0%


0.2%

Wild Fires 1%

Windstorm 1%

Earthquake22%

Drought13%

Extreme Temperature

3%

Flood 55%

Slides 3%

Volcano2.2%

Tsunami0.00%


0.2%

Wild Fires 0.31%

Windstorm 60%

Earthquake19%

Drought4%

Extreme Temperature

0.16%

Flood 15%

Slides 0.002%

Volcano1.7%

Tsunami8%


0.2%

Wild Fires 32%

Windstorm 25%

Earthquake7%

Drought19%

Extreme Temperature

0.3%

Flood 7%

Slides 0.2%

Slides 0.6%

Flood 36%

Extreme Temperature

5%

Drought9%

Earthquake26%

Windstorm 21%

Wild Fires 1.9%

RA IRA I

GlobalGlobal

RA IIRA II

RA IIIRA III RA IVRA IV

RA VRA V RA VIRA VI

30

Ranking of the hazards from the country-Ranking of the hazards from the country-level survey in developing countrieslevel survey in developing countries

HIGHIMPACTS

LOWIMPACTS

Drought 70Strong winds 70Thunderstorm or lightning 68Flash flood 67River flooding 59Forest or wild land fire 52Earthquakes 48Landslide or mudslide 44Tropical cyclone 44

Developing countries(out of 85)Hazard

Hazards to aviation 42Coastal flooding 39Hailstorm 38Heat wave 37Smoke, Dust or Haze 36Dense fog 35Storm surge 28Tsunami 28Tornado 27Desert locust swarm 24Waterborne hazards 24Cold wave 23Sandstorm 22Volcanic events 22Marine hazards 21Avalanche 15Airborne substances 13Heavy snow 13Freezing rain 7

31

Number of developing countries keeping data archivesNumber of developing countries keeping data archives


• Need for strengthening National Meteorological and Hydrological Services' capacities for hazard data archiving

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LOWIMPACT

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32

Number of developing countries issuing warningsNumber of developing countries issuing warnings

HIGHIMPACT

LOWIMPACT


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33

Ranking of the hazards from the country-Ranking of the hazards from the country-level survey in LDClevel survey in LDC

HIGHIMPACTS

LOWIMPACTS

HazardLDC

(out of 25)Drought 20Strong winds 20Thunderstorm or lightning 20River flooding 18Flash flood 16Earthquakes 13Forest or wild land fire 13Heat wave 12Tropical cyclone 12Hazards to aviation 11Landslide or mudslide 10Coastal flooding 9Desert locust swarm 9Hailstorm 9Smoke, Dust or Haze 9Tsunami 8Dense fog 7Waterborne hazards 7Storm surge 6Tornado 6Sandstorm 5Volcanic events 5Marine hazards 4Cold wave 3Airborne substances 2Avalanche 2Freezing rainHeavy snow

34

Number of LDC keeping data archivesNumber of LDC keeping data archives


• Need for strengthening National Meteorological and Hydrological Services' capacities for hazard data archiving

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HIGHIMPACT

LOWIMPACT

0

5

10

15

20


35

Number of LDC issuing warningsNumber of LDC issuing warnings

HIGHIMPACT

LOWIMPACT


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no

w

0

5

10

15

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