ZERO IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
12
Simulated LIP Stages -1 0 1 2 3 Jan-29 Jan-34 Jan-39 Jan-44 Jan-49 Jan-54 Jan-59 Jan-64 Jan-69 Jan-74 Jan-79 Jan-84 Jan-89 Jan-94 Jan-99 Time L IP S tages ZERO IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 4 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 3 5.3% 4 1.3% 1 1.3% 1 1.3% 1 2 13.3% 10 13.3% 10 13.3% 10 13.3% 10 1 73.3% 55 74.7% 56 5600.0% 56 74.7% 56 0 88.0% 66 88.0% 66 88.0% 66 88.0% 66 -1 Annual Summary - Number of years with least 1 month occurrence. Perce nt of Years Numb er of Years Perce nt of Years Numb er of Years Percent of Years Numb er of Years Perce nt of Years Numb er of Years LIP Stage 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 4 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 3 0.4% 4 0.6% 5 0.6% 5 0.6% 5 2 5.8% 52 4.9% 44 4.8% 43 4.8% 43 1 30.0% 270 30.6% 275 30.9% 278 30.7% 276 0 63.8% 574 64.0% 576 63.8% 574 64.0% 576 -1 Monthly Summary Perce nt of Time Numb er of Mont hs Perce nt of Time Numb er of Mont hs Percent of Time Numb er of Mont hs Perce nt of Time Numb er of Mont hs LIP Stage 22 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 10 MGD IBT Zero MGD IBT Model Scena rio LIP Summary by Stage for a Lake Norman Withdrawal 56 0 0 4 52 49 0 0 5 44 48 0 0 5 43 48 0 0 5 43 Total 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 2003 12 0 0 4 8 12 0 0 5 7 12 0 0 5 7 12 0 0 5 7 2002 12 0 0 0 12 7 0 0 0 7 6 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 0 6 2001 7 0 0 0 7 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 5 2000 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 1999 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 5 1989 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 1988 8 0 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 8 1986 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1953 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 1941 Year 6 0 0 1 5 5 0 0 1 4 5 0 0 1 4 5 0 0 1 4 12 7 0 0 1 6 6 0 0 1 5 6 0 0 1 5 6 0 0 1 5 11 5 0 0 1 4 5 0 0 1 4 5 0 0 1 4 5 0 0 1 4 10 4 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 1 3 9 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 1 3 8 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 7 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 6 5 0 0 0 5 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 5 4 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 4 4 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 4 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 2 5 0 0 0 5 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 4 1 Month Number of Months Number of Months Number of Months Number of Months Total 4 3 2 1 Total 4 3 2 1 Total 4 3 2 1 Total 4 3 2 1 LIP Stage LIP Stage LIP Stage LIP Stage Month 22 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 10 MGD IBT Zero MGD IBT Model Scenario LIP Summary for a Lake Norman Withdrawal for LIP Stages Greater Than or Equal to 1
Transcript of ZERO IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
Simulated LIP Stages
-1
0
1
2
3
Jan-29 Jan-34 Jan-39 Jan-44 Jan-49 Jan-54 Jan-59 Jan-64 Jan-69 Jan-74 Jan-79 Jan-84 Jan-89 Jan-94 Jan-99
T ime
LIP Stages
ZERO IBT 10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
0.0%00.0%00.0%00.0%04
0.0%00.0%00.0%00.0%03
5.3%41.3%11.3%11.3%12
13.3%1013.3%1013.3%1013.3%101
73.3%5574.7%565600.0%5674.7%560
88.0%6688.0%6688.0%6688.0%66-1
Annual Summary - Number of years with least 1 month occurrence.
Percent of Years
Number of Years
Percent of Years
Number of Years
Percent of Years
Number of Years
Percent of Years
Number of Years
LIP Stage
0.0%00.0%00.0%00.0%04
0.0%00.0%00.0%00.0%03
0.4%40.6%50.6%50.6%52
5.8%524.9%444.8%434.8%431
30.0%27030.6%27530.9%27830.7%2760
63.8%57464.0%57663.8%57464.0%576-1
Monthly Summary
Percent of Time
Number of Mont
hs
Percent of Time
Number of Mont
hsPercent of Time
Number of Mont
hs
Percent of Time
Number of Mont
hsLIP
Stage
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero MGD IBTModel Scena
rio
LIP Summary by Stage for a Lake Norman Withdrawal
5600452490054448005434800543Total
100011000110001100012003
1200481200571200571200572002
12000127000760006600062001
700075000550005500052000
300033000330003300031999
500055000550005500051989
400044000440004400041988
800088000880008800081986
100011000110001100011953
300033000330003300031941
Year
6001550014500145001412
7001660015600156001511
5001450014500145001410
400134001340013400139
400044001340013400138
400044000440004400047
400044000430003300036
500054000440004400045
400043000330003300034
400043000330003300033
400043000330003300032
500054000440004400041
Month
Number of MonthsNumber of MonthsNumber of MonthsNumber of Months
Total4321Total4321Total4321Total4321
LIP StageLIP StageLIP StageLIP Stage
Month
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero MGD IBTModel
Scenario
LIP Summary for a Lake Norman Withdrawal for LIP Stages Greater Than or Equal to 1
S i m u l a t e d L a k e J a m e s E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s a t B r i d g e w a t e r D a m d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
1 , 1 9 0
1 , 1 9 2
1 , 1 9 4
1 , 1 9 6
1 , 1 9 8
1 , 2 0 0
05/0
1/20
00
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T1 6 M G D I B T1 0 M G D I B TZ E R O I B T
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (
16 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (
22 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
1188.341188.681188.771188.88100%
1192.011192.011192.011192.0199%
1192.611192.581192.571192.5795%
1193.071193.051193.051193.0590%
1194.621194.591194.591194.5975%
1195.621195.621195.661195.6750%
1197.621197.591197.641197.6525%
1199.881199.861199.881199.8810%
1203.21203.21203.21203.20%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake James Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Time
139 139 139 139 100%
140 140 140 140 99%
159 159 159 159 95%
203 202 202 202 90%
327 327 327 327 75%
627 628 627 627 50%
985 985 985 986 25%
1,379 1,381 1,382 1,384 10%
15,491 15,491 15,491 15,491 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake James Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
Exceedance Curve of Lake James Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
- lo
g (c
fs)
Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT
16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
Simulated Lake James Elevations and Outflows
Exceedance Curve of Elevations
1185
1187
1189
1191
1193
1195
1197
1199
1201
1203
1205
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero IBT
10 MGD IBT
16 MGD IBT
22 MGD IBT
Simulated Lake Norman Elevations and Outflows
752.95751.22750.65751.53100%
754.2754.18754.14754.1999%
754.74754.72754.71754.7895%
755.3755.24755.23755.3190%
756.15756.08756.09756.1175%
757.82757.81757.83757.8450%
758.09758.09758.09758.125%
759.99759.99759.99759.9910%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Norman Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
S i m u l a t e d L a k e N o r m a n E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s a t C o w a n s F o r d D a m d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
7 5 0
7 5 2
7 5 4
7 5 6
7 5 8
7 6 0
05/0
1/20
00
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T1 6 M G D I B T1 0 M G D I B TZ E R O I B T
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Norman Elevationsfor all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
749
751
753
755
757
759
761
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT
Exceedance Curve of Lake Norman Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
- lo
g (c
fs)
Zero MGD 10 MGD
16 MGD 22 MGD
637 628 614 602 100%
801 791 789 778 99%
949 937 932 916 95%
1,065 1,057 1,049 1,036 90%
1,161 1,151 1,147 1,139 75%
1,718 1,727 1,721 1,729 50%
3,218 3,220 3,235 3,241 25%
5,242 5,243 5,246 5,246 10%
42,469 42,471 42,477 42,479 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Norman Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
Simulated Lake Wylie Elevations and Outflows
560.83560.89561.03561.21100%
562.98563.01562.99562.9999%
563.37563.36563.36563.3795%
563.85563.87563.87563.9290%
565.79565.8565.79565.875%
566.34566.34566.34566.3450%
567.71567.67567.72567.7225%
569.39569.39569.39569.3910%
569.4569.4569.4569.40%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Wylie Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
S i m u l a t e d L a k e W y l i e E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
5 6 0
5 6 2
5 6 4
5 6 6
5 6 8
5 7 0
05/0
1/20
00
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T1 6 M G D I B T1 0 M G D I B TZ E R O I B T
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Wylie Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
560
562
564
566
568
570
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero IBT
10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT
22 MGD IBT
Exceedance Curve of Wylie Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT
16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
838 838 838 838 100%
995 1,011 1,011 1,011 99%
1,204 1,205 1,205 1,205 95%
1,221 1,221 1,221 1,221 90%
1,269 1,270 1,270 1,271 75%
2,303 2,314 2,321 2,345 50%
3,953 3,980 3,981 4,027 25%
7,946 7,965 7,997 8,047 10%
68,404 68,392 68,399 68,400 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Wylie Flow Remain above, cfsExceedance,
Percent
Time
Simulated Lake Wateree Elevations and Outflows
218.61218.61218.61218.61100%
219.92219.91219.92219.9199%
220.35220.34220.35220.3595%
220.98220.97221220.9990%
222.12222.12222.12222.1275%
222.69222.68222.68222.6850%
225.5225.5225.5225.510%
231.96231.95231.94231.950%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Wateree Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
S i m u l a t e d L a k e W a t e r e e E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
2 1 5
2 2 0
2 2 5
2 3 0
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
01/0
1/20
03
03/0
1/20
03
05/0
1/20
03
07/0
1/20
03
09/0
1/20
03
11/0
1/20
03
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T
1 6 M G D I B T
1 0 M G D I B T
Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 1
: (22
MG
D)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Wateree Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
218
220
222
224
226
228
230
232
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero IBT
10 MGD IBT
16 MGD IBT
22 MGD IBT
Exceedance Curve of Wateree Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT
16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
963 963 963 963 100%
991 991 991 991 99%
1,037 1,037 1,037 1,038 95%
1,318 1,333 1,327 1,343 90%
1,904 1,915 1,915 1,932 75%
3,135 3,157 3,164 3,177 50%
7,171 7,204 7,211 7,246 25%
12,110 12,110 12,113 12,112 10%
119,578 119,379 119,332 119,380 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Wateree Flow Remain above, cfsExceedance, Percent Time
Simulated Lake Rhodhiss Elevations and Outflows
987.13987.13987.13987.13100%
989.22989.2989.21989.2199%
989.69989.63989.62989.6795%
991.02990.99990.97990.9890%
991.92991.91991.92991.9175%
992.47992.46992.46992.4650%
995.06995.04995.04995.0425%
995.1995.1995.1995.110%
1000.131000.131000.131000.130%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Rhodhiss Levels Remain above Elevation, FTExceedance,
Percent Time
S i m u l a t e d L a k e R h o d h i s s E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
9 8 7
9 8 9
9 9 1
9 9 3
9 9 5
9 9 705
/01/
2000
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T 1 6 M G D I B T 1 0 M G D I B T Z E R O I B TS
tage
0 /
Sta
ge 0
:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
) Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1: (
Zero
/ 22
MG
D)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Rhodhiss Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
986
991
996
1001
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero IBT
10 MGD16 MGD
22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Lake Rhodhiss Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
10
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
))
Zero MGD 10 MGD 16 MGD 22 MGD
89 84 84 84 100%
279 279 279 279 99%
469 464 463 457 95%
620 618 618 618 90%
952 953 953 951 75%
1,469 1,471 1,470 1,470 50%
2,190 2,190 2,191 2,194 25%
3,354 3,351 3,347 3,353 10%
39,834 39,834 39,834 39,834 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Rhodhiss Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Time
Simulated Lake Hickory Elevations and Outflows
928.72928.72928.73928.72100%
929.12929.12929.12929.1499%
930.17930.11930.05930.1195%
930.81930.8930.77930.7990%
931.53931.51931.51931.5275%
932.07932.06932.06932.0650%
934.98934.98934.98934.9825%
93593593593510%
9359359359350%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Hickory Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Time
S i m u l a t e d L a k e H i c k o r y E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s a t O x f o r d D a m d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
9 2 8
9 3 0
9 3 2
9 3 4
9 3 6
05/0
1/20
00
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G DI B T
1 6 M G DI B T
1 0 M G DI B T
Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
) Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)S
tage
1 /
Sta
ge 1
:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Hickory Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero MGD10 MGD
16 MGD22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Oxford Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT
16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT
139 139 139 139 100%
181 181 181 181 99%
196 196 196 196 98%
445 438 442 435 95%
646 644 646 645 90%
810 807 807 810 80%
1,042 1,047 1,043 1,045 70%
1,258 1,261 1,259 1,261 60%
1,485 1,484 1,485 1,485 50%
1,787 1,786 1,785 1,785 40%
2,215 2,219 2,220 2,218 30%
3,063 3,068 3,061 3,067 20%
4,646 4,649 4,653 4,655 10%
41,257 41,257 41,257 41,257 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Hockory [Oxford] Flow Remain above, cfsExceedance, Percent Time
Simulated Lake Lookout Shoals Elevations and Outflows
830.05830.13830.13830.13100%
832.46832.43832.45832.4599%
832.82832.81832.82832.8295%
833.49833.46833.48833.4990%
834.58834.57834.58834.5975%
836.19836.12836.13836.1450%
838.1838.09838.1838.125%
838.1838.1838.1838.110%
843.22843.22843.22843.220%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Lookout Shoals Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Time
S i m u l a t e d L a k e L o o k o u t S h o a l s E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
8 3 0
8 3 2
8 3 4
8 3 6
8 3 8
8 4 0
05/0
1/20
00
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T 1 6 M G D I B T 1 0 M G D I B T Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
) Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1: (
Zero
/ 22
MG
D)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Lookout Shoals Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
828
830
832
834
836
838
840
842
844
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero MGD
10 MGD
16 MGD
22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Lake Lookout Shoals Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
10
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero MGD 10 MGD
16 MGD 22 MGD
89 84 84 84 100%
279 279 279 279 99%
469 464 463 457 95%
620 618 618 618 90%
952 953 953 951 75%
1,469 1,471 1,470 1,470 50%
2,190 2,190 2,191 2,194 25%
3,354 3,351 3,347 3,353 10%
39,834 39,834 39,834 39,834 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Lookout Shoals Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
Simulated Lake Mountain Island Elevations and Outflows
640.1640.1640.61640.1100%
641.68641.67641.69641.799%
641.87641.86641.88641.8895%
642.11642.11642.13642.1490%
643.06643.07643.09643.0975%
644.73644.68644.71644.7250%
646.98646.91646.93646.9425%
647.47647.47647.47647.4710%
651.81651.81651.81651.810%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Mountain Island Levels Remain above Elevation, FTExceedance,
Percent Time
S i m u l a t e d L a k e M o u n t a i n I s l a n d E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
6 4 0
6 4 2
6 4 4
6 4 6
6 4 8
6 5 005
/01/
2000
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T 1 6 M G D I B T 1 0 M G D I B T Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)S
tage
1 /
Sta
ge
1: (Z
ero
/ 22
MG
D)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Mountain Island Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
638
640
642
644
646
648
650
652
654
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero MGD
10 MGD
16 MGD
22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Lake Mountain Island Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero MGD 10 MGD
16 MGD 22 MGD
321 321 321 321 100%
538 538 538 538 99%
594 594 594 594 95%
701 702 709 712 90%
876 882 883 887 75%
1,405 1,424 1,424 1,441 50%
2,682 2,698 2,704 2,744 25%
5,192 5,198 5,231 5,272 10%
45,562 45,571 45,581 45,600 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Mountain Island Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
Simulated Lake Fishing Creek Elevations and Outflows
412.38412.35411.56412.31100%
412.96412.96412.96412.9699%
413.43413.43413.44413.4495%
413.99413.97413.98413.9790%
414.78414.77414.79414.7875%
415.99415.98416415.9950%
417.2417.2417.2417.225%
417.2417.2417.2417.210%
417.2417.2417.2417.20%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Fishing Creek Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
S i m u l a t e d L a k e F i s h i n g C r e e k E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
4 1 6
4 1 7
4 1 8
05/0
1/00
07/0
1/00
09/0
1/00
11/0
1/00
01/0
1/01
03/0
1/01
05/0
1/01
07/0
1/01
09/0
1/01
11/0
1/01
01/0
1/02
03/0
1/02
05/0
1/02
07/0
1/02
09/0
1/02
11/0
1/02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T 1 6 M G D I B T 1 0 M G D I B T Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
) Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1: (
Zero
/ 22
MG
D)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Fishing Creek Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero MGD
10 MGD
16 MGD
22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Lake Fishing Creek Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero MGD 10 MGD
16 MGD 22 MGD
218 218 218 218 100%
452 460 455 468 99%
841 838 837 842 95%
1,086 1,099 1,100 1,100 90%
1,456 1,464 1,472 1,477 75%
2,618 2,632 2,633 2,652 50%
5,714 5,728 5,740 5,786 25%
9,810 9,812 9,906 9,876 10%
99,472 99,349 99,444 99,474 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Fishing Creek Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Tim
e
Simulated Lake Great Falls Elevations and Outflows
330.16330.17329.45330.18100%
349.2348.92348.91348.9699%
351.16351.08351.06351.0595%
352.03352.02352.01352.0290%
352.79352.79352.78352.7975%
353.73353.72353.72353.7150%
355.61355.6355.61355.625%
355.79355.79355.79355.7910%
366.05357.87357.87357.870%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Great Falls Levels Remain above Elevation, FTExceedance,
Percent Time
S i m u l a t e d L a k e G r e a t F a l l s E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
3 3 5
3 4 0
3 4 5
3 5 0
3 5 5
3 6 005
/01/
2000
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T 1 6 M G D I B T 1 0 M G D I B T Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (2
2 M
GD
)S
tage
1 /
Sta
ge
1: (Z
ero
/ 22
MG
D)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Great Falls Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
325
330
335
340
345
350
355
360
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero MGD10 MGD
16 MGD
22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Lake Great Falls Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero MGD 10 MGD
16 MGD 22 MGD
636 592 636 636 100%
690 690 690 690 99%
1,073 1,073 1,074 1,075 95%
1,276 1,281 1,287 1,289 90%
1,806 1,825 1,828 1,832 75%
2,948 2,956 2,962 2,978 50%
6,159 6,174 6,186 6,218 25%
10,278 10,278 10,313 10,318 10%
106,407 106,290 106,366 106,395 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Great Falls Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Time
Simulated Lake Rocky Creek Elevations and Outflows
275.77275.7276.28277.81100%
280.97280.98280.97280.9799%
281.16281.16281.15281.1695%
281.38281.37281.37281.3790%
281.85281.84281.85281.8475%
282.87282.86282.87282.8550%
284.4284.4284.4284.425%
284.4284.4284.4284.410%
287.88287.87287.88287.880%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Rocky Creek Levels Remain above Elevation, FT
Exceedance, Percent Time
S i m u l a t e d L a k e R o c k y C r e e k I s l a n d E l e v a t i o n P r o f i l e s d u r i n g 2 0 0 2 D r o u g h t
2 8 4
2 8 5
05/0
1/20
00
07/0
1/20
00
09/0
1/20
00
11/0
1/20
00
01/0
1/20
01
03/0
1/20
01
05/0
1/20
01
07/0
1/20
01
09/0
1/20
01
11/0
1/20
01
01/0
1/20
02
03/0
1/20
02
05/0
1/20
02
07/0
1/20
02
09/0
1/20
02
11/0
1/20
02
T i m e
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion,
ft
2 2 M G D I B T 1 6 M G D I B T 1 0 M G D I B T Z E R O I B T
Sta
ge 1
: (2
2 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 2
: (Ze
ro M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
: (Z
ero
MG
D)
Sta
ge 2
: (
22 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 1
/ S
tage
1: (Z
ero
/ 22
MG
D)
Sta
ge 1
: (1
6 M
GD
)
Sta
ge 0
/ S
tage
0:
(Zer
o / 2
2 M
GD
)
Exceedance Curve of Lake Rocky Creek Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
276
278
280
282
284
286
288
290
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance, Percent Time
End
of D
ay E
leva
tion
(ft)
Zero MGD
10 MGD
16 MGD
22 MGD
Exceedance Curve of Lake Rocky Creek Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Exceedance
Dai
ly A
vg F
low
(cfs
)
Zero MGD 10 MGD
16 MGD 22 MGD
179 444 444 444 100%
729 730 732 731 99%
1,097 1,097 1,105 1,106 95%
1,341 1,344 1,350 1,354 90%
1,908 1,914 1,916 1,922 75%
3,120 3,133 3,136 3,164 50%
6,388 6,403 6,419 6,453 25%
10,529 10,517 10,569 10,552 10%
107,224 107,120 107,160 107,185 0%
22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZero IBT
Lake Rocky Creek Flow Remain above, cfs
Exceedance, Percent Time
